Russia's war on Ukraine. 30.07.25
Operational situation
On the Northern Slobozhansky direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces attacked near Novyi Put, advanced near Yunakivka and Varachyne, and counterattacked near Kindrativka and Kostyantynivka in the direction of Oleksiivka.
Russian forces attempted to advance near Myropillya, Andriivka, and Yunakivka, east of Oleksandriya, and attacked near Novomykolayivka, Yunakivka, and Varachyne.
On the Southern Slobozhansky direction, Russian forces advanced within Vovchansk and west of the settlement, in the direction of Synelnykove, and attacked near Zelene and Milove.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked southwest of Chuhunivka and near Zarubynka.
On the Kupyansk direction, enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups advance to Kupyansk, operate directly north and northeast of the city, near Radkivka and Myrove, and attacked Krasne Pershe, Kindrashivka, Myrove, Stepova Novoselivka, in the direction of Novovasylivka and Pishchane.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces advanced in the northern part of Kolodyazi, attempted to advance in western Ridkodub, southwest of Dibrova, and attacked near Novyi Myr, Zelena Dolyna, Karpivka, Kolodyazi, Yampolivka, Dibrova, Torske, Serebriansk forest, in the direction of Hlushchenkove, Serednie, Shandryholove, Yampil, and Dronivka.
On the Siversk direction, Russian forces attempted to advance south of Serebrianka, and attacked near Siversk, Hryhorivka, Verkhnyokamianske, Vyiimka, and Fedorivka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced in the southern and central parts of Chasiv Yar, attacked near Predtechyne and Bila Hora, and attempt to advance in the Shevchenko neighborhood.
On the Toretsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the northeastern part of Yablunivka.
Russian forces attempted to advance west of Novospaske, and attacked near Toretsk, Dyliivka, Shcherbynivka, Oleksandro-Kalynove, Popiv Yar, Rusyn Yar, in the direction of Pleshchiivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced southeast of Volodymyrivka, fight for Novoukrainka, attempt to enter Myrnohrad from Novoekonomichne, and attacked near Pokrovsk, Rodynske, Mayak, Razyne, Volodymyrivka, Novoekonomichne, Mykolaivka, Lysivka, Chunyshyne, Novoukrainka, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Udachne, in the direction of Novopidhorodne.
On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces captured Oleksiivka and advanced northwest of the settlement, attacked near Novomykolayivka, Muravka, Horikhove, Zelene Kut, Zelenyi Hai, Piddubne, Voskresenka, Shevchenkove, Dachne Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, in the direction of Filiya, Oleksandrohrad, Komyshuvakha, and attempted to advance to Vorone and Komyshuvakha.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Oleksandrohrad and Andriivka-Klevtsove.
On the Huliaypole direction, the 394th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army captured Temyrivka. Russian forces attacked near Zelene Pole.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces attacked near Kamyanske, Plavni, and Stepnohirsk.
On the night of July 28, a Main Intelligence Directorate sabotage and reconnaissance group landed on Tendrivska Spit, destroyed an enemy position, a Zont electronic warfare system, and a Rosa coherent surveillance radar.
General conclusion:
The 5th Airborne Battalion of the 51st Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division operates near Sadky in the Northern Slobozhansky direction and is regularly shelled by the 1182nd Artillery Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division and the 810th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade.
Enemy losses in the Toretsk direction over a year of fighting are estimated at 51,000, including over 20,000 killed, who are replenished by poorly trained reserves.
On the Pokrovsk direction, enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups are trying to penetrate the Ukrainian rear across small rivers.
In the western part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Russian forces attack intensively despite significant losses.
On the Prydniprovske direction, Russian forces recently changed their tactics in southern Ukraine, especially along the Dnipro River, and try to penetrate the rear of the “Tavriya” Operational-Strategic Group instead of conducting assaults with small infantry groups. The enemy is equipped with modern equipment, including thermal insulating ponchos, to covertly penetrate into the Ukrainian rear and seize logistical routes. Similar tactics are used near the Antonivskyi Bridge.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 171 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk directions, Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to restrain the invaders. The enemy launched 7 airstrikes.
On the Southern Slobozhansky direction, the aggressor attacked the positions of Ukrainian defenders 5 times in the area of Vovchansk and in the direction of Kolodyazne.
On the Kupyansk direction, 4 enemy attacks occurred. The enemy's assault actions in the direction of Pishchane, Kupyansk, and in the area of Holubivka have been stopped.
On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 24 times, attempted to break into Ukrainian defense in the areas of Novyi Myr, Kolodyazi, Karpivka, Dibrova, Torske, and in the direction of Serednie, Serebrianka, Shandryholove, and Yampil.
On the Siversk direction, 7 attacks near Hryhorivka, Siversk, and Fedorivka have been stopped successfully.
On the Kramatorsk direction, 4 combat engagements were recorded in the direction of Bila Hora and in the area of Novomarkove.
On the Toretsk direction, the enemy carried out 9 attacks in the areas of Toretsk and Oleksandro-Kalynove.
On the Pokrovsk direction, 63 aggressor assault actions are stopped in the areas of Popiv Yar, Poltavka, Volodymyrivka, Novoekonomichne, Mykolaivka, Rodynske, Lysivka, Pokrovsk, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novopidhorodne, Muravka, Myroliubivka, Horikhove, Dachne, Nykanorivka, and Novoukrainka.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy carried out 10 attacks in the areas of Oleksandrohrad, Zelenyi Hai, Vilne Pole, Novokhatske, Maliivka, Temyrivka, and Zelene Pole.
On the Orikhiv direction, 2 attacks were repelled in the area of Plavni.
On the Prydniprovske direction, the enemy carried out 6 attempts to advance.
Supporting operation:
Ukrainian Defense Forces conducted a UAV strike on targets in the Tula, Kaluga, Ryazan, Voronezh, and Rostov Oblasts, and Krasnodar Krai.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 810th Separate Marine Brigade operates near the state border in Kursk Oblast. The 1427th Motorized Rifle Regiment operates near Tetkino. The 1443rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 18th Motorized Rifle Division of the 11th Army Corps operates near Varachyne.
The 28th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 70th Motorized Rifle Division of the 18th Combined Arms Army strikes Ukrainian positions near Tokarivka.
The 6th and 123rd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 3rd Combined Arms Army operate on the Siversk direction.
The 56th Separate SOF Battalion of the 51st Combined Arms Army operates near Novopoltavka.
The 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Combined Arms Army operates in the Vremivka direction.
The 1455th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army strikes Ukrainian positions near Orikhiv and Mala Tokmachka.
Possible operation situation developments:
According to the estimates of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, the enemy will not be able to achieve the Kremlin's goal of capturing the entire Donetsk Oblast by the end of 2025. The new operational task of the enemy grouping in the theater of military operations is to advance to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and create a buffer zone 10 km deep. Full occupation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts is possible no earlier than February 2028, provided current rates of advancement are maintained. However, if the current dynamics of combat operations are maintained, the enemy will be able to capture Pokrovsk by autumn, Kostyantynivka and Kupyansk by the end of the year, and reach the close approaches to Zaporizhzhia and the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration by early winter.
On the Northern Slobozhansky direction, the enemy’s “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping is trying to reach the Mala Korchakivka – Nova Sich – Maryinka – Sadky line.
The command of the enemy's "Sever (North)" Operational Grouping in cooperation with the right flank of “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping in the Southern Slobozhansky direction, will attempt to expand its bridgehead northeast of Velykyi Burluk and capture Hatnie before attacking the city. For this purpose, the troops will have to force water obstacles, including the Velykyi Burluk River on the Shevchenkove – Mykhailivka – Velykyi Burluk line. Villages located along the river will become a significant obstacle for Russian troops. The Vovchansk – Velykyi Burluk – Dvorichna line can become a powerful defensive line within Russia's buffer zone in northern Kharkiv Oblast in the medium and long term perspective.
On the Kupyansk direction, the “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command may intend to cut off the H26 Kupyansk – Shevchenkove highway, thereby complicating Ukrainian logistics and cutting off exit routes from Kupyansk. Further advance westward from the Velyka Shapkivka – Palamarivka – Nechvolodivka line could complicate the future withdrawal of "Starobilsk" Operational-Tactical Group (OTG) units to the line west of Kupyansk along the Kupyanka River. The possible future capture of Kupyansk, which is unlikely in the short term, will create a decision point for the "Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command: to develop the offensive west of Kupyansk, to advance in the direction of Borova and Lyman, or to transfer some troops to the Kramatorsk, Pokrovsk, or Novopavlivka directions.
On the Lyman direction, the forces of the Russian “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will attempt to reach the line of Karlivka – Shandryholove – Drobysheve, while simultaneously advancing near Torske in an effort to enter Lyman from the east. The “Starobilsk” OTG will be forced to withdraw from the area of Kopani – Novoyehorivka – Druzhelyubivka – Cherneshchyna, in response to the enemy’s advance along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River in the direction of Bilohorivka – Serebrianka, within the operational zone of the neighboring 3rd Combined Arms Army of the “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping.
On the Siversk direction, the command of the enemy's "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping will attempt to eliminate the Siversk salient held by "Khortytsia" OSG and break through towards the Sloviansk – Kramatorsk agglomeration. The 3rd Combined Arms Army will try to break through to the northern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River between Yampil and Hryhorivka, and from the southeast – toward Siversk. In the near future, the enemy will try to capture Pereyizne and attack Zvanivka along the eastern bank of the Bakhmutka River, attempting to break through to Siversk from the south.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the command of the enemy’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping and the 3rd Army may shift the direction of their main strike to the north of Chasiv Yar and launch an offensive on both sides of the Bakhmut–Sloviansk road, along the directions of Orikhovo-Vasylivka–Minkivka and Blahodatne–Pryvillya. This would allow them to break through to the immediate approaches to Sloviansk directly from the southeast and create a real threat of a deep envelopment of the right flank of the “Starobilsk” OTG.
Northeast of Pokrovsk, the enemy will continue attacks with troops of the 51st Combined Arms Army in the direction of Rodynske from both Fedorivka and Razyne, while attempting to break through as close as possible to Dobropillya. In addition, the enemy will continue attacks in the Novoekonomichne – Myrnohrad and Myroliubivka – Myrnohrad directions. If the rates of advance of the 51st Combined Arms Army's assault units do not drastically decrease in the near future, the further fate of Pokrovsk will be decided. To begin the decisive assault on Pokrovsk, the command of the 41st Combined Arms Army only needs to await the 51st Combined Arms Army's troops reaching the city from the east and northeast. A breakthrough by the 51st Combined Arms Army to Dobropillya could significantly complicate the situation for the "Khortytsia" OSG, which will cause an operational-scale crisis on the Pokrovsk and Kramatorsk directions.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the command of the enemy "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping is trying to capture the area of Havrylivka – Zelenyi Hai – Temyrivka – Novomykolayivka between the Vovcha and Vorona rivers, at the junction of Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts. The lines for the armies' immediate objectives may be: for the 5th Combined Arms Army it is the Komyshuvakha – Temyrivka line, and for the 36th and 29th Combined Arms Armies it is the Havrylivka – Novoselivka line. In the near future, continued enemy attacks should be expected in the operational zone of the 29th Combined Arms Army in the direction of Piddubne – Iskra along the Zaporizhzhia – Donetsk highway, and for the 36th Combined Arms Army, an assault on Voskresenka from three directions and a further breakthrough towards Novoselivka should be expected. The Operational Grouping seeks to reach the eastern bank of the Vovcha River in the Novoselivka – Iskra sector as quickly as possible. The 5th Combined Arms Army will try to conduct similar actions further south, on the Vorona River, to capture Temyrivka and advance towards Komyshuvakha.
Russian troops have created conditions for an advance in the direction of Huliaypole, Velykomykhaylivka, and Havrylivka. The “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping is capable of conducting an offense operation westward through Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, using the H15 Kurakhove – Zaporizhzhia highway. Enemy troops will have to force the Khaychur, Solona, Verkhnya Tersa, and Vovcha rivers, cross the T0408 Preobrazhennia – Novomykolayivka and T0401 Pokrovsk – Huliaypole highways, and capture several cities the size of Chasiv Yar, which could become a significant problem for the aggressor. A rapid advance of approximately 150 km from positions in Novokhatske to Zaporizhzhia is extremely unlikely, considering the current pace of the enemy's offensive.
Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 30.07.25
Personnel - almost 1,052 190 (+890);
Tanks – 11,066 (+1);
Armored combat vehicles ‒ 23,065 (+1);
Artillery systems – 30,895 (+30);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,451 (0);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,202 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 56,754 (+67);
Aircraft - 421 (0);
Helicopters – 340 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 48,685 (+100);
Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 3,548 (0);
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
On the night of July 30, Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 78 Shahed-type attack drones and various types of decoys. Air defense destroyed or suppressed 51 drones, but 27 hits were recorded in seven locations and debris fell in two others. Air defense forces emphasize that the enemy used up to eight jet UAVs.
On the night of July 30, Russians attacked Kharkiv with attack drones, resulting in explosions and a fire. In the Shevchenkivskyi district, a car wash, a supermarket, and the glazing of an apartment building were damaged, a car burned, and three people — two women and a man — were injured. Another drone hit the Slobidskyi district of the city.
During the night of July 30, Russians attacked Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with attack drones and artillery, injuring two people, destroying about 20 head of cattle, and damaging enterprises. In Pavlohrad, drones hit a transport enterprise, a railway station, and railway infrastructure, causing several fires. In Synelnykove district, the Mykolaivka and Pokrovska communities came under attack, while the Mezheva community was attacked by FPV drones, destroying five vehicles and damaging agricultural and private enterprises. In Nikopol district, the enemy struck with drones and artillery, shelling the district center, Marhanetska, and Pokrovska communities.
On the night of July 30, Russia attacked railway infrastructure in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast; the station in Pavlohrad was damaged. There are no casualties among passengers or railway workers.
On the night of July 30, Russian forces shelled Ochakiv in Mykolaiv Oblast with multiple rocket launcher systems, damaging 11 private and one apartment building, five outbuildings, and three vehicles. Fires broke out in one of the structures and in an open area, with no casualties. A gas pipeline was damaged, leaving more than a hundred customers without gas.
On the afternoon of July 30, Russian forces attacked the center of Sumy with attack drones: one drone hit a critical infrastructure facility, another hit a non-residential building in the central part of the city and the regional administration building. As a result of the strikes, two people were injured, including a 75-year-old woman who was hospitalized with shrapnel wounds.
At noon on July 30, Russian forces struck the village of Vasyshcheve, Kharkiv district, with two S-300/S-400 missiles, hitting a distribution center with a grocery supermarket and other enterprises. As a result of the attack, a security guard was killed and eight other people, including three rescuers, were injured, and a large-scale fire broke out.
The Russian army dropped aerial bombs on Huliaipole, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, injuring a 60-year-old woman and destroying and damaging houses.
A Russian drone attacked a 53-year-old resident of the village of Stanislav, Kherson Oblast; she was hospitalized with injuries.
In Donetsk Oblast, 22,500 civilians, including 115 children, remain in the active combat zone.