Russia’s war on Ukraine. 30.03.26
Operational situation
On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Vilcha, Prylipka, Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, Starytsya, and Chuhunivka.
On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces fought for Kivsharivka, attacked near Kupyansk, Petropavlivka, Kurylivka, Pishchane, Podoly, Novoosynove, Bohuslavka, Kruhlyakivka, Borivska Andriivka, Novoplatonivka, Hrekivka, and Olhivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a fuel depot near Novosvitlivka and a fuel depot and ammunition depot in Aidar.
On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Lyman, Novoselivka, Drobysheve, Stavky, Platonivka, Zakitne, Kryva Luka, and Riznykivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka, near Lypivka, Nykyforivka, and Fedorivka. The occupiers do not control Riznykivka or Kalenyky; their forward units conduct local assault operations along the Zakitne–Riznykivka line, attempting to break through to Rai-Oleksandrivka from the north and southeast and encircle Ukrainian units defending areas east of the village. Ukrainian defense is forcing Russian military command to redirect some units that had been operating on the Lyman–Siversk road northeast of Rai-Oleksandrivka to the Zakitne area.
Ukrainian Defense Forces hold part of Zakitne.
On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainain Defense Forces advanced in the northeast of Kostyantynivka and hold positions northeast of the city.
Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Chasiv Yar, Predtechyne, Ivanopillya, Kleban-Byk, Pleshchiivka, Berestok, Illinivka, and Yablunivka, in the direction of Dovha Balka, near Novopavlivka, Pavlivka, and Sofiivka.
On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Kucheriv Yar, Nove Shakhove, Novyi Donbas, Pokrovsk, and Hryshyne, in the direction of Shevchenkove and Novooleksandrivka, near Rodynske, Bilytske, Chervonyi Lyman, Myrnohrad, Udachne, Molodetske, Novopidhorodnie, and Kotlyne.
On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Bilyakivka, Dachne, Filiya, Ivanivka, Zelenyi Hai, Sosnivka, Andriivka-Klevtsove, Sichneve, Zlahoda, Oleksandrohrad, Ternove, and Rybne, in the direction of Verbove, near Vyshneve; advanced northeast of Ivanivka and operate in the center of Zlahoda.
Ukrainian Defense Forces stroke a train in Volnovakha.
On the Huliaypole Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced east of Pryluky.
Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole and Olenokostyantynivka, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa, Vozdvyzhivka, and Tsvitkove, near Varvarivka, in the direction of Dobropillya, near Myrne, in the direction of Huliaypilske, near Zaliznychne, in the direction of Hirke.
On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces strike south of Mala Tokmachka, attacked near Novodanylivka, Mali Shcherbaky, Stepove, and Prymorske.
On the Prydniprovske Direction, Russian forces continued local attacks near Antonivskyi Bridge.
Ukrainian Defense Forces struck three “Smerch” MLRS and a transport-loading vehicle west of Yany Kapu.
Supporting operation:
Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “KuibyshevAzot” chemical plant near Tolyatti, the “Alchevsk” metallurgical plant and a local electrical substation, and a military echelon in the Novosvitlivka area of Luhansk Oblast.
Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:
Russian forces employ “Shahed,” “Kniaz Vandal Novgorodskyi,” and “Molniya” strike UAVs against Ukrainian logistics and civilian facilities on the Kupyansk Direction. The occupiers have changed tactics and avoid strikes on hospitals, targeting ambulances and emergency service vehicles instead.
Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:
There were 147 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy three times assaulted Defense Forces unit positions near Vilcha and toward Zybyne and Okhrymivka.
On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 12 times in the areas of Novoosynove, Petropavlivka, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Bohuslavka, Novoplatonivka, and Borivska Andriivka.
On the Sloviansk Direction, 11 enemy attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defense toward Cherneshchyna, Lyman, and Novoserhiyivka, and to advance in the areas of Rai-Oleksandrivka, Platonivka, Zakitne, and Kalenyky were stopped.
On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 28 attacks near Fedorivka Druha, Mykolaivka, Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Kleban-Byk, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka.
On the Pokrovsk Direction, 31 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Bilytske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Hryshyne, Udachne, Toretske, Novooleksandrivka, Pokrovsk, Novomykolayivka, Bilyakivka, Molodetske, Dachne, Filiya, and Novopavlivka, and toward Hannivka.
On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 10 times in the areas of Andriivka-Klevtsove, Oleksandrohrad, Sichneve, Zlahoda, Ternove, Vyshneve, Rybne, and Krasnohirske.
On the Huliaypole Direction, 10 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Dobropillya, Zaliznychne, Varvarivka, Olenokostyantynivka, Huliaypole, and Myrne.
On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy attacked in the area of Prymorske.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 352nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps operates near Pishchane.
The 127th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army attempts to advance along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets river from Zakitne to Kryva Luka, from Platonivka to Kalenyky, and from Svyato-Pokrovske to Riznykivka. Units of the 123rd, 88th, and 85th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 3rd Combined Arms Army attack on both sides of the M03 (E40) Sloviansk–Bakhmut highway.
The 1st Battalion of the 136th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 58th Combined Arms Army intercepts heavy strike UAVs of Defense Forces near Kostyantynivka; the 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strikes near Berestok and in Kostyantynivka; the 242nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division strikes near Rusyn Yar; the 103rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes in Kostyantynivka; the 255th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates on the Kostyantynivka Direction. The 238th Artillery Brigade of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Starorayske; the 54th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division, the 77th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 7th Military Base of the 49th Combined Arms Army, and the 10th Tank Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division conduct UAV aerial reconnaissance.
The 61st Separate Marine Infantry Brigade of the Northern Fleet intercepts Ukrainian UAVs near Novotoretske; the “Grom-Kaskad” UAV brigade of the 4th Army of the Air Force and Air Defense strikes north of Shevchenkove.
The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes in the west of Ternuvate; the 589th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army operates on the Dnipropetrovsk Direction.
The 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes near Huliaypole; the 57th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes in Kopani.
The 1251st and 71st Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army strike south of Mala Tokmachka and in Novodanylivka.
Possible operation situation developments:
Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.
The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.
The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.
In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil River from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.
As a result of the general offensive by the flank groups of the adversary’s 3rd Combined Arms Army along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets and on both sides of the Sloviansk – Bakhmut road in previous months, including the capture of Siversk, the command of the adversary’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping has gained a number of new tactical opportunities, in addition to the possibility of encircling units of the Defense Forces’ 3rd Separate Corps east of Rai-Oleksandrivka. One option for further actions could be assisting the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies of the adversary’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping in the elimination of the Ukrainian Defense Forces’ Lyman bridgehead by cutting off its logistics with a breakthrough into the Mykolaivka area or reaching the immediate approaches to Kramatorsk from the east with a breakthrough to the Vasylivska Pustosh – Vasyutynske line.
On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.
On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.
On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.
On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.
On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.
On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 30.03.26
Personnel - almost 1,296 700 (+870);
Tanks – 11,824 (+4);
Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,317 (+4);
Artillery systems – 39,049 (+48);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,708 (+1);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,337 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 86,160 (+183);
Aircraft - 435 (0);
Helicopters – 350 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 206,531 (+2,471);
Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,491 (0);
Boats/ships – 35 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since the evening of March 29, Russian troops attacked Ukraine with an Iskander-M ballistic missile and 164 UAVs of the “Shahed,” “Gerbera,” “Italmas,” and other models. As of 08:30, air defense forces managed to shoot down or suppress 150 enemy drones, of which about 90 were Shahed-type strike drones. Hits by the ballistic missile and 12 UAVs were recorded at 7 locations, along with falling debris in 2 places. As of the morning of March 30, the enemy attack continues.
According to the head of the Chernihiv Oblast Military Administration Viacheslav Chaus, overnight, Russian troops struck civilian and critical infrastructure facilities in the oblast. Specifically, a Gerbera UAV attacked an agricultural enterprise in Novhorod-Siverskyi, damaging farm machinery, and a Geran UAV struck a critical infrastructure facility on the outskirts of Chernihiv, causing a fire. Also, in Semenivka, an enemy FPV drone hit the local history museum building, resulting in damage to the roof.
According to the head of the Sloviansk City Military Administration Vadym Liakh, on March 30 at approximately 11:50, the Russian army launched a strike with guided aerial bombs on the center of Sloviansk in Donetsk Oblast. As a result of the attack, a 42-year-old man was injured. Damage to the only maternity hospital in the oblast was also recorded.
According to the head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Ganzha, on Monday, Russian troops attacked Nikopol with an FPV drone. As a result of the strike, eight people were injured. Damage to shops, a high-rise building, and cars was also recorded.
According to the Sumy Oblast Military Administration, Russian troops launched strikes with guided aerial bombs on the residential sector of Hlukhiv. The enemy purposefully attacked civilian infrastructure, resulting in 11 people being injured, including one child. All the wounded were hospitalized, while a 50-year-old man is in serious condition.
According to the head of the Kherson Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Prokudin, at approximately 10:20, Russian troops attacked a minibus in downtown Kherson with a UAV. As a result of the strike, a 62-year-old man sustained shrapnel wounds to his face, abdomen, and leg, as well as a concussion, and explosive and closed craniocerebral injuries.
According to the head of the Derhachi City Military Administration Viacheslav Zadorenko, today at approximately 13:50, Russian troops attacked an energy infrastructure facility in the Kharkiv district. As a result of the strike on the border community, more than 800 residents of the settlement of Ruska Lozova were left without electricity.
According to the National Police, over the past 24 hours, Russian troops shelled 25 settlements in Sumy Oblast. In the Mykolaivka rural community, three civilians were injured as a result of an enemy UAV strike: two men aged 26 and 52, and a 49-year-old woman. Furthermore, in a number of communities in the oblast, damage to multi-apartment and private houses, a gas station, outbuildings, a garage, and a car was recorded.
According to the Ministry of Energy and Ukrenergo, as of the morning of March 30, some consumers in Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Odesa, Khmelnytskyi, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Chernihiv oblasts remain without electricity due to shelling of energy infrastructure. Despite a 2.7% increase in consumption compared to the previous Friday due to cloudy weather and decreased efficiency of household solar power plants, the application of restriction schedules for this day is not predicted.
According to the National Police, on Monday, March 30, anonymous reports of mining were mass-mailed to the electronic addresses of state authorities, local self-government bodies, educational institutions, banks, and other institutions. As of 14:50, 1,216 such appeals were recorded. By 18:00, relevant services had checked 56% of the facilities—in none of the cases was the information about mining was confirmed.