Russia's war on Ukraine. 27.11.24
Operational situation
In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) "Kharkiv" on the Kharkiv direction, 5 combat clashes with Russian invaders occurred near Vovchansk.
In the "Khortytsia" Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attempted 17 times to dislodge Ukrainian units from their positions near Hryhorivka, Zelenyi Hai, Zahryzove, Sienkove, Kolisnykivka, Synkivka, and Andriivka. The enemy attacked 21 times on the Lyman direction, trying to advance towards Hrekivka, Druzhkivka, Cherneshchyna, Makiivka, Terny, and Torske. On the Siversk direction, the occupiers attacked near Hryhorivka but failed. The areas of Chasiv Yar, Stupochky, Bila Hora, Predtechyne, and Dyliivka were attacked by the enemy on the Kramatorsk directions 13 times. The situation on the direction is controlled; Ukrainian Defense Forces firmly hold their positions. The enemy tried 6 times to penetrate Ukrainian defenses on the Toretsk direction. The occupiers acted near Dyliivka, Shcherbynivka, and Toretsk; all attacks were repelled, and the enemy did not succeed.
In the "Tavriya" OSG operational zone, on the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy intensively attacks, conducting 32 assault and offensive actions. The greatest activity of Russian occupiers remains in the areas of Myrolyubivka, Promin, Krasnyi Yar, Lysivka, and Chumatske. The situation is challenging but controlled by Ukrainian Defense Forces. Ukrainian soldiers make efforts to prevent the enemy from advancing deep into Ukrainian territory. On the Kurakhove direction, 39 combat clashes occurred. The occupiers remain highly active, trying to advance in the areas of Dachne, Novodmytrivka, Kurakhove, Dalnie, Katerynivka, Yelyzavetivka, Hanivka, and Antonivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces units repelled 26 enemy attacks. On the Vremivka direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces stopped 12 Russian assaults in the areas of Trudove, Konstyantynopolske, Rozdolne, Novoandriivka, and Rivnopil. On the Orikhiv direction, the occupiers actively used aviation near Mala Tokmachka, Temyrivka, and Pavlivka.
In the operational zone of "Odesa" OSG on the Prydniprovskyi direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 5 attacks by Russian occupiers. The enemy failed.
General conclusion:
Russian forces have occupied approximately 99% of the territory of Luhansk Oblast and about 66% of Donetsk Oblast.
The enemy has once again violated the Geneva Convention on the Treatment of Prisoners of War by executing five Ukrainian prisoners of war on November 13 in Petrivka (south of Pokrovsk).
Poor coordination is observed between artillery and combined-arms units, with significant communication problems between infantry and the combat vehicles supporting them.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 208 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kursk direction, The "Siversk" OTG units repelled an enemy attack south of Zelionyi Put.
Russian troops tried to advance in the areas of Novoivanovka, Kamyshovka, Daryino, and Kremiannoe.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces advanced near the international border northwest of Kharkiv in the area of Kozacha Lopan, Kudiyivka, and northeast of Kharkiv near Vovchansk. An enemy sabotage and reconnaissance group (SRG) entered the area of the Hoptivka-Nehotieivka checkpoint, but this is not unusual; Defense Forces are repelling constant enemy SRG attacks in wooded areas along the international border.
Russian troops are deploying reserves to retake lost positions in the areas of Hlyboke and Lukyantsi.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops captured Kopanky and advanced near Petropavlivka, within Zelenyi Hai, towards Lozova, west of Myasozharivka and Andriivka, along the western bank of the Zherebets River. The enemy used boats to cross the Oskil River and entered Dvorichna, advancing in the areas of Novominsk, Synkivka, Novoosynove, Zahryzove, Kolisnykivka, Kruhlyakivka, Zelenyi Hai, Pershotravneve, Kopanky, Novoyehorivka, Cherneshchyna, Andriivka, Druzhelyubivka, Makiivka, Hrekivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattack near Kolisnykivka and Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces regained lost positions northeast of Torske.
The enemy advanced near Torske and attacked near Terny, Yampolivka, Torske, and Hryhorivka.
On the Siversk direction, Russian troops unsuccessfully attacked near Hryhorivka, continuing assaults with small groups supported by aviation and artillery. High losses and lack of tactical advantages lead to low discipline among Russian soldiers.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces continued attacks in the area of Chasiv Yar and Stupochky, targeting a refractory materials plant in central Chasiv Yar. They attempt to secure positions on the southern edge of the plant, preferring to use small infantry fire groups of 2-5 soldiers in response to Ukrainian Defense Forces' presence near the “Siverskyi Donets–Donbas” canal. The enemy tries to cross the canal several times daily despite significant losses but avoids crossings at night due to low temperatures.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces intensively attacked Toretsk, Dachne, Dyliivka, and Shcherbynivka but failed.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops advanced southwest of Yuryivka, entered the northeastern part of Petrivka, and moved towards the outskirts of Zhovte and Dachenske. They continue offensives near Myrolyubivka, Promin, Krasnyi Yar, Lysivka, Pushkyne, Pustynka, Novyi Trud, Hryhorivka, Petrivka, and Dachenske, reaching positions 2 km from Myrnohrad.
On the Kurakhove direction, Russian troops advanced northwest of Dalnie, in the area of Berestky, near Zorya, on the southeastern outskirts of Kurakhove, attacking near Sontsivka, Novodmytrivka, Kurakhove, Dalnie. They attempt to establish fire control over Kurakhove and adjacent logistics routes, but "Tavriya" OSG continues to hold Kurakhove.
On the Vremivka direction, the 57th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division unsuccessfully assaulted Ukrainian positions south of Yelyzavetivka, but the 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the same division advanced near the outskirts of Romanivka. Russian forces attacked near Katerynivka, Antonivka, Hannivka, Sukhi Yaly, Trudove, Uspenivka, Konstyantynopolske, Velyka Novosilka, Rivnopil, Novodaryivka, Rozdolne, advancing southeast of Novodaryivka, in central Rozdolne, and on the eastern outskirts of Velyka Novosilka.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces attacked near Novoandriivka and Bilohirya without success.
On the Prydniprovskyi direction, Russian troops unsuccessfully attacked on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. The enemy’s main goal is to capture islands in the Dnipro River delta, they launched a powerful attack on Kozatskyi Island. The enemy faces difficulties in making progress, as reserves have been redirected from the Kherson direction to Kurakhove and Pokrovsk. Units of the 80th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 14th Army Corps are deployed on the Tendrivska Spit in Kherson Oblast and Kinburn Spit in Mykolaiv Oblast.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation removed Colonel General Gennady Anashkin from his position as the commander of forces in the Southern Military District and the enemy "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping. He was appointed as the head of the Frunze Military Academy in Moscow. Lieutenant General Alexander Sanchik, the deputy commander of forces in the Eastern Military District, has taken over command of "Yug (South)". Colonel General Alexander Lapin, commander of the Leningrad Military District, continues to lead the enemy "Sever (North)" Operational Grouping. Lieutenant General Andrey Ivanayev, previously Chief of Staff and First Deputy Commander of the Eastern Military District, has been appointed as the commander of this district.
The 204th Special Purpose Police Regiment (also known as the "Akhmat" detachment) operates near Strilecha.
The 16th Separate SOF Brigade is operating near Petropavlivka.
The 9th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army is active in the town of New York.
Possible operation situation developments:
The troops of the 20th Combined Arms Army will be used by the command of the enemy's "Zapad (West)" Operational Grouping on the flanks of its operational zone to facilitate the offensives of the 1st Tank Army and the 25th Combined Arms Army on the Kupyansk and Lyman directions, respectively. The redeployment of part of the forces of the 20th Army to the operational zones of the 1st Tank Army and the 25th Army is likely.
If the enemy manages to advance to the Chervone–Stupochky line on the Kramatorsk direction and simultaneously begins intensive northward attacks at the junction of its 41st and 51st Armies from the Novooleksandrivka–Arkhanhelske line, reaching the Yablunivka–Oleksandro-Kalynove line on the Toretsk direction, then the "Khortytsia" OSG will be forced to withdraw towards Kostyantynivka.
Before the end of November “Tavriya” OSG will withdraw from its positions along the Yelyzavetivka–Konstyantynopil line, Kurakhove, and the northern bank of the Kurakhove Reservoir to avoid encirclement.
On the Vremivka direction, the main forces of the 5th Combined Arms Army of the "Vostok" Grouping (127th Motorized Rifle Division, 57th and 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades) are expected to be deployed into the operation.
The enemy will continue advancing westward along the H15 highway toward Andriivka while simultaneously attacking the Defense Forces' bridgehead northeast of Vuhledar along the Uspenivka–Hannivka–Romanivka line, aiming to force "Tavriya" OSG units to withdraw westward under the threat of encirclement. Such a maneuver could allow Russian forces to seize advantageous tactical positions in this area and align the frontline from Sontsivka to Kostiantynopil, positioning Russian troops approximately 23 km east of the Donetsk–Dnipropetrovsk oblast border.
By the end of the current year, the enemy will not succeed in seizing the "belt of fortresses" Kostyantynivka – Druzhkivka – Kramatorsk – Sloviansk or occupying Donetsk Oblast. The upcoming battle for Pokrovsk will mark the apex of the enemy’s offensive operation in the Southwestern Theater of Operations in 2024.
The expected sequence of enemy actions for capturing Pokrovsk is as follows: first, the 90th Tank Division of the 41st Combined Arms Army and the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Combined Arms Army will break through to the area south of Pokrovsk. Afterward, the main forces of the 2nd and 41st Combined Arms Armies will advance from the direction of Mykolaivka toward Myrnohrad (via Promin). Another possible maneuver could involve an advance from Hrodivka toward Novoekonomichne, with attempts to break through along the railway directly to Pokrovsk from the direction of Novohrodivka.
The enemy's military command in the theater of operations until March 2025 will be creating conditions to achieve the military-political goal of the Special Military Operation: reaching the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts and the junction of Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Donetsk Oblasts near the village of Temyrivka.
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 27.11.24
Personnel - almost 735,410 (+1,580);
Tanks 9,449 (+14);
Armored combat vehicles – 19,304 (+48);
Artillery systems – 20,830 (+24);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,255 (+1);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,005 (+1);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 30,126 (+84);
Aircraft - 369 (0);
Helicopters – 329 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 19,616 (+64);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,765 (0)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
Following Russia's overnight drone attack on Kyiv, debris fell in the city's Dniprovskyi district, injuring two people.
In Kyiv Oblast, the overnight drone attack damaged 14 private houses and five cars, and shattered windows in three apartment buildings.
On November 27, at around 3:20 p.m., the enemy attacked civilian infrastructure in the village of Kindrativka, Khotynska community, Sumy district, using a drone. A 59-year-old man near his home was injured in the attack.
On November 27, during the day, Russian forces attacked a civilian car in the Vasylivskyi district of Zaporizhzhia Oblast using an FPV drone, injuring two people. Earlier in the morning, a drone attacked a vehicle delivering bread to frontline communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, injuring the driver.
As of 5:30 p.m. on November 27, in Kherson Oblast, one woman was killed and ten others were injured as a result of Russian shelling.
In Donetsk Oblast, 379 children remain in settlements classified as active combat zones.
The Russian military has intensified its shelling of Kupyansk, frequently using various weapons, including FPV drones, to target vehicles and infrastructure.
In Donetsk Oblast, access to the cities of Myrnohrad, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Kurakhove is nearly impossible due to constant shelling of roads, though some residents remain in these areas.
The power outage schedule in Ternopil and the region provides for six hours of electricity for each of five groups and five hours for one group on Wednesday.
The investigative journalism project *Schemes* analyzed data from international aviation registries, serial numbers of aircraft listed in a transfer agreement with Russia, and cross-referenced this with bomber identification by the Main Intelligence Directorate. They concluded that the Russian military is using at least six Tu-160 strategic bombers transferred by Ukraine in 1999 as part of a gas debt settlement.