Russia's war on Ukraine. 27.07.25
Operational situation
On the Northern Slobozhansky direction, Russian troops attacked near Varachyne, Sadky, Yunakivka, and Bezsalivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Varachyne, Sadky, and Yunakivka.
On the Southern Slobozhansky direction, Russian troops attacked near Hlyboke, Starytsya, Vovchansk, Milove, and in the directions of Lyptsi, Kozacha Lopan, and Kudiivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced northeast of Khatnie.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops attacked near Kupyansk, Myrne, Radkivka, Petro-Ivanivka, Stroyivka, Chervone Pershe, Kamyanka, Dvorichna, Fiholivka, Pishchane, Stepova Novoselivka, Zahryzove, Zelenyi Hay, and Hrekivka.
On the Lyman direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced south of Dibrova in the Serebriansk Forest area.
Russian troops attacked near Serednie, Karpivka, Shandryholove, Novyi Myr, Ridkodub, Kolodyazi, Zelena Dolyna, Yampolivka, Torske, Dibrova, and in the Serebriansk Forest.
On the Siversk direction, the 1234th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army and the 169th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 25th Combined Arms Army advanced north and northeast of Serebrianka in the southern part of the Serebriansk Forest. Russian troops attacked near Hryhorivka, Verkhnyokamianske, Vyiimka, and Fedorivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled the assault near Siversk, Hryhorivka, Serebrianka, and Vyiimka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian troops attacked near Chasiv Yar, Bila Hora, and Predtechyne.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian troops advanced southeast of Rusyn Yar, and attacked near Toretsk, Dyliivka, Poltavka, Popiv Yar, Shcherbynivka, and in the directions of Katerynivka and Pleshchiivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, enemy Reconnaissance and Sabotage Groups penetrate into the center of Pokrovsk. The 506th and 589th Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Combined Arms Army advance south of Pokrovsk, and the army's 30th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade advanced to Troyanda. Russian troops advanced on the northern outskirts of Novopavlivka, and attacked near Pokrovsk, Volodymyrivka, Novotoretske, Razyne, Boykivka, Rodynske, Novoekonomichne, Myrnohrad, Lysivka, Novoukrainka, Chunyshyne, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Udachne, and in the directions of Molodetske and Novopidhorodne.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army captured Zelenyi Hay, and the 336th Separate Marines Brigade captured Maliivka in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Russian troops attacked near Novopavlivka, Muravka, Oleksiivka, Tovste, Novokhatske, Oleksandrohrad, Voskresenka, Shevchenkove, Temyrivka, and in the direction of Komyshuvakha, and destroyed a bridge in Velykomykhaylivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Voskresenka.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian troops attempted to break through to the southern outskirts of Stepnohirsk and in Plavni, and attacked near Novopokrovka and Kamyanka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Stepnohirsk and Plavni.
General conclusion:
Russian troops intensify operations in the directions between Milove, Ambarne, in the Kozacha Lopan area, but the main strike occurs in the Vovchansk area.
The enemy’s "Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping intends to continue advancing westward from the Velyka Novosilka area into southern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 153 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk directions, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 9 aggressor attacks. The enemy also conducted 8 airstrikes.
On the Southern Slobozhansky direction, the enemy assaulted the positions of Ukrainian Defense Forces units 4 times near Starytsya, Krasne Pershe, and in the Vovchansk area.
On the Kupyansk direction, 6 aggressor attacks took place. Enemy assault actions were repelled near Radkivka, Kupyansk, and Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 16 times, attempting to break through the defense near the settlements of Novyi Myr, Zelene Hay, Hrekivka, Shandryholove, Kolodyazi, Karpivka, and Torske.
On the Siversk direction, the enemy made 2 attempts to break through in the Hryhorivka area.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the enemy unsuccessfully attacked Ukrainian Defense Forces positions twice in the direction of Predtechyne and Bila Hora.
On the Toretsk direction, the enemy conducted 3 attacks in the areas of Toretsk and Oleksandro-Kalynove.
On the Pokrovsk direction, 63 aggressor assaults were stopped in the areas of Poltavka, Volodymyrivka, Novotoretske, Novoekonomichne, Lysivka, Novoukrainka, Pokrovsk, Zvirove, Udachne, Kotlyne, Novopavlivka, Oleksiivka, Rodynske, Muravka, and in the direction of Novopidhorodne.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy conducted 12 attacks near Temyrivka, Tolstoi, Novokhatske, Myrne, Zelenyi Hay, Maliivka, and Voskresenka.
On the Orikhiv direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled an attack by the occupation troops in the Kamyanka area.
On the Prydniprovske direction, aggressor troops attacked Defense Forces positions 10 times.
Supporting operation:
Ukrainian Defense Forces conducted a UAV strike on a fuel depot in the Volgograd area.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
Operators of the 1st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army's UAVs attack targets within Kharkiv.
The 352nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps operates near Kupyansk, and the 16th Separate SOF Brigade operates near Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi.
The 299th Airborne Regiment of the 98th Airborne Division operates in the Chasiv Yar direction.
The 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates in Oleksandro-Kalynove, while the rest of the division's units operate near Kleban-Byk.
The 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Combined Arms Army attacks near Oleksandrohrad and Sichneve, the army's 5th Separate Tank Brigade operates near Maliivka, and the 1st Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army operates near Fedorivka.
The 108th Air Assault Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division operates in Kamyanka.
The 104th Air Assault Regiment of the 76th Air Assault Division and the 328th Air Assault Regiment of the 104th Air Assault Division operate near Krynky.
Possible operation situation developments:
According to the estimates of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, the enemy will not be able to achieve the Kremlin's goal of capturing the entire Donetsk Oblast by the end of 2025. The new operational task of the enemy grouping in the theater of military operations is to advance to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and create a buffer zone 10 km deep. Full occupation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts is possible no earlier than February 2028, provided current rates of advancement are maintained. However, if the current dynamics of combat operations are maintained, the enemy will be able to capture Pokrovsk by autumn, Kostyantynivka and Kupyansk by the end of the year, and reach the close approaches to Zaporizhzhia and the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration by early winter.
On the Northern Slobozhansky direction, the enemy’s “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping is trying to reach the Mala Korchakivka – Nova Sich – Maryinka – Sadky line.
The command of the enemy's "Sever (North)" Operational Grouping in cooperation with the right flank of “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping in the Southern Slobozhansky direction, will attempt to expand its bridgehead northeast of Velykyi Burluk and capture Hatnie before attacking the city. For this purpose, the troops will have to force water obstacles, including the Velykyi Burluk River on the Shevchenkove – Mykhailivka – Velykyi Burluk line. Villages located along the river will become a significant obstacle for Russian troops. The Vovchansk – Velykyi Burluk – Dvorichna line can become a powerful defensive line within Russia's buffer zone in northern Kharkiv Oblast in the medium and long term perspective.
On the Kupyansk direction, the “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command may intend to cut off the H26 Kupyansk – Shevchenkove highway, thereby complicating Ukrainian logistics and cutting off exit routes from Kupyansk. Further advance westward from the Velyka Shapkivka – Palamarivka – Nechvolodivka line could complicate the future withdrawal of "Starobilsk" Operational-Tactical Group (OTG) units to the line west of Kupyansk along the Kupyanka River. The possible future capture of Kupyansk, which is unlikely in the short term, will create a decision point for the "Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command: to develop the offensive west of Kupyansk, to advance in the direction of Borova and Lyman, or to transfer some troops to the Kramatorsk, Pokrovsk, or Novopavlivka directions.
On the Lyman direction, the forces of the Russian “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will attempt to reach the line of Karlivka – Shandryholove – Drobysheve, while simultaneously advancing near Torske in an effort to enter Lyman from the east. The “Starobilsk” OTG will be forced to withdraw from the area of Kopani – Novoyehorivka – Druzhelyubivka – Cherneshchyna, in response to the enemy’s advance along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River in the direction of Bilohorivka – Serebrianka, within the operational zone of the neighboring 3rd Combined Arms Army of the “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping.
On the Siversk direction, the command of the enemy's "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping will attempt to eliminate the Siversk salient held by "Khortytsia" OSG and break through towards the Sloviansk – Kramatorsk agglomeration. The 3rd Combined Arms Army will try to break through to the northern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River between Yampil and Hryhorivka, and from the southeast – toward Siversk. In the near future, the enemy will try to capture Pereyizne and attack Zvanivka along the eastern bank of the Bakhmutka River, attempting to break through to Siversk from the south.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the command of the enemy’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping and the 3rd Army may shift the direction of their main strike to the north of Chasiv Yar and launch an offensive on both sides of the Bakhmut–Sloviansk road, along the directions of Orikhovo-Vasylivka–Minkivka and Blahodatne–Pryvillya. This would allow them to break through to the immediate approaches to Sloviansk directly from the southeast and create a real threat of a deep envelopment of the right flank of the “Starobilsk” OTG.
The enemy's “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping will try to envelope Pokrovsk and bypass the “fortress belt” in Donetsk Oblast from the west in the coming months. The enemy command may attempt to exploit the penetration in the Pokrovsk–Toretsk sector to bypass the defenses of the “Khortytsia” Operational and Strategic Grouping (OSG) in Kostyantynivka from the southwest and west. An envelopment of Pokrovsk from the northeast requires the enemy to significantly advance in the direction of Rodynske, capture it, and establish a powerful defense area there. This will enable attacks on Pokrovsk or advancement to Novooleksandrivka with the aim of cutting off the M30 Pokrovsk – Pavlohrad highway and forcing the “Khortytsia” OSG to withdraw from Pokrovsk under threat of encirclement. Other options for enemy actions include advancing north of Udachne or Kotlyne with the goal of cutting off the M30 highway, or attempting to wedge between Dobropillya and Kostyantynivka to bypass the "fortress belt" from the west. Russian troops will attempt to cut off Ukrainian logistics along the T0515 Pokrovsk – Dobropillya highway attacking west of Razyne for this purpose.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the command of the enemy "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping is trying to capture the area of Havrylivka – Zelenyi Hai – Temyrivka – Novomykolayivka between the Vovcha and Vorona rivers, at the junction of Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts. The lines for the armies' immediate objectives may be: for the 5th Combined Arms Army it is the Komyshuvakha – Temyrivka line, and for the 36th and 29th Combined Arms Armies it is the Havrylivka – Novoselivka line. In the near future, continued enemy attacks should be expected in the operational zone of the 29th Combined Arms Army in the direction of Piddubne – Iskra along the Zaporizhzhia – Donetsk highway, and for the 36th Combined Arms Army, an assault on Voskresenka from three directions and a further breakthrough towards Novoselivka should be expected. The Operational Grouping seeks to reach the eastern bank of the Vovcha River in the Novoselivka – Iskra sector as quickly as possible. The 5th Combined Arms Army will try to conduct similar actions further south, on the Vorona River, to capture Temyrivka and advance towards Komyshuvakha.
Russian troops have created conditions for an advance in the direction of Huliaypole, Velykomykhaylivka, and Havrylivka. The “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping is capable of conducting an offense operation westward through Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, using the H15 Kurakhove – Zaporizhzhia highway. Enemy troops will have to force the Khaychur, Solona, Verkhnya Tersa, and Vovcha rivers, cross the T0408 Preobrazhennia – Novomykolayivka and T0401 Pokrovsk – Huliaypole highways, and capture several cities the size of Chasiv Yar, which could become a significant problem for the aggressor. A rapid advance of approximately 150 km from positions in Novokhatske to Zaporizhzhia is extremely unlikely, considering the current pace of the enemy's offensive.
Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 27.07.25
Personnel - almost 1,049 250 (+920);
Tanks – 11,057 (+1);
Armored combat vehicles ‒ 23,063 (+4);
Artillery systems – 30,822 (+10);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,449 (+1);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,201 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 56,493 (+122);
Aircraft - 421 (0);
Helicopters – 340 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 48,158 (+199);
Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 3,546 (+11);
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
On the night of July 27, Russian troops attacked Ukraine with 83 attack UAVs, of which 78 were destroyed or lost from radar; five hits were recorded in three locations and fragments fell in two.
On Sunday at 4:10 PM, the Russian army conducted an airstrike with a FAB-250 guided aerial bomb on the village of Illinivka in Donetsk Oblast, as a result of which a 59-year-old man was killed, and three more people sustained severe injuries; at least six houses and several cars were damaged.
On Sunday afternoon, during the shelling of the central district of Kherson, Russian troops fatally wounded a 58-year-old woman. She sustained severe injuries and later died in the hospital.
In Sumy Oblast, Russian troops attacked a scheduled bus with civilians in the Yunakivka community, as a result of which three people were killed and 20 more were wounded.
Throughout the day on July 27, Russian troops shelled Nikopol district of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast more than 15 times, wounded a 54-year-old man, damaged residential buildings, a dormitory, and cars, and caused fires.
Late in the evening on July 26, Russian troops attacked Kharkiv with attack UAVs; explosions and fires were recorded in Kyivskyi and Shevchenkivskyi districts, including a private house and another building on fire.
In the evening on July 26, Russian troops attacked civilian infrastructure in Kovpakivskyi district of Sumy; preliminarily, three people are known to be injured.