Russia's war on Ukraine. 27.01.25
Operational situation
On the Kursk direction, the "Siversk" Operational Tactical Group (OTG) made minor advances in the center of Pogrebki and in the wooded area northwest of Kositsa.
Ukrainian Defense Forces attempted to cross the Russo-Ukrainian international border in the direction of Tetkino.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian troops attacked near Vovchansk but did not advance.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops captured Novoyehorivka, attacked Pishchane, are trying to cross the Oskil River and expand their bridgehead in the area of Dvorichna, but cannot carry out a full-scale crossing of heavy equipment because the river is not frozen, so groups of 5-8 people cross the river in small boats at night or in fog, then wait for a concentration point in a wooded area until reinforcements arrive. The enemy attacked in the area of Stepova Novoselivka, Petropavlivka, Hlushkivka, Kolisnykivka, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Lozova, Zelenyi Hai, Zahryzove, Nadiia, Pershotravneve, Kopanky, Shyikivka, Hrekivka, Makiivka, Novoserhiyivka, Druzhelyubivka, Tverdokhlibove, entered the eastern outskirts of Tverdokhlibove, and advanced northwest of Novoyehorivka, northwest and west of Makiivka, towards Hrekivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled an enemy attack near Kolisnykivka and in the direction of Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, Russian troops advanced to the outskirts of Kolodyaz, but cannot enter the village. The enemy attacked in the areas of Yampolivka, Terny, Ivanivka, Novolyubivka, and Torske.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in Torske.
On the Siversk direction, Russian troops attacked in the area of Verkhnokamianske but did not advance.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian troops advanced to Tsentralna Street in Chasiv Yar and on the southern outskirts of the town, attacked near Orikhovo-Vasylivka, in the direction of Novomarkove, near Stupochky, Bila Hora and Predtechyne. The enemy conducts daily assaults with small groups of infantry and uses fog and precipitation to attack.
On the Toretsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces regained their previously lost positions in the northwestern part of Toretsk and are holding their ground within the administrative boundaries of the city.
Russian troops are trying to advance to Krymske and Petrivka, and attacked near Toretsk, near the Toretsk mine.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops slightly advanced north and west of Kotlyne, captured a neighboring mine shaft, advanced south of Udachne, south of Novoyelyzavetivka, and consolidated on the eastern and southern outskirts of Nadiivka, trying to capture Yelyzavetivka, continued assaults near Pokrovsk, Vozdvyzhenka, Vodyane Druhe, Myroliubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Lysivka, Zelene, Novoukrainka, Zvirove, Novovasylivka, Novooleksandrivka, Uspenivka, Novoserhiyivka, Nadiivka and Bohdanivka.
On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian troops advanced to the eastern outskirts of Dachne, north, east and south of Sribne, to Andriivka, to the northern outskirts of Dachne, north and northeast of Sukhi Yaly, attacked north and south of Ulakly after artillery preparation, and are making efforts to encircle the Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area. The enemy continued assaults near Sribne, Shevchenkove, Andriivka, Konstyantynopil, Dachne, Konstyantynopolske, and Yantarne.
On the Vremivka direction, Russian troops advanced north along Tsentralna Street in the northern part of Velyka Novosilka and control 89% of the village. Fighting within the village continues, the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade of the “Khortytsia”OSG is not threatened with encirclement. The enemy attacked in the area of Rozdolne and Novosilka.
General conclusion:
On the Siversk direction, Russian and Ukrainian forces have an equal number of UAVs. The enemy lacks military equipment and electronic warfare systems;
On the Vremivka direction, neither Russian nor Ukrainian forces can use heavy equipment due to firepower parity near the line of contact. The sides are roughly equal in artillery and FPV drones, but the enemy has a significant advantage in manpower. The Mokri Yaly River, which flows through the western part of Velyka Novosilka, is an obstacle to the enemy's advance.
Russian troops are ready to take Toretsk in the coming days, which is indicated by the redeployment of troops. The enemy command is resuming efforts to break through in the direction of Kostyantynivka. The capture of Toretsk will be used to advance further west and along the T0516 Toretsk-Kostyantynivka road;
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 166 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kharkiv direction, the enemy stormed Ukrainian positions 4 times near Vovchansk.
On the Kupyansk direction, there were 11 enemy attacks. Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled enemy assaults near Stepova Novoselivka, Kolisnykivka, Hlushkivka and Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 15 times, trying to advance near Hrekivka, Novoyehorivka, Nadiya, Zelenyi Hai, Makiivka, Yampolivka and Torske.
On the Kramatorsk direction, 21 combat engagements were registered in the areas of Chasiv Yar, Stupochky and Bila Hora.
On the Toretsk direction, the enemy made 9 attacks in the area of Toretsk.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces stopped 78 aggressor's assault and offensive actions in the areas of Vodyane Druhe, Myroliubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Zelene, Udachne, Kotlyne, Nadiivka, Uspenivka, Andriivka, Shevchenko, Dachne and Yantarne.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy attacked Ukrainian positions 12 times near Konstyantynopil, Rozlyv, Rozdolne, Novosilka and Velyka Novosilka.
On the Orikhiv direction, the enemy made one unsuccessful attempt to attack in the direction of Novoandriivka.
On the Prydniprovskyi direction, the enemy launched an unsuccessful attack and was repelled.
In the operational zone in Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 7 attacks, the enemy launched 25 air strikes.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Black Sea: 2 ships, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
Mediterranean Sea: 6 ships, including 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 22 cruise missiles.
Supporting operation:
Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an enemy UAV storage facility in the Orel Oblastof the Russian Federation, destroying up to 200 Shahed UAVs. A number of facilities in the Ryazan and Kursk Oblasts of the Russian Federation were also hit, including the facilities of the Ryazan Oil Refining Company.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 16th Separate SOF Brigade operates near Zarichne.
The 27th Artillery Regiment of the 6th Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps operates near Chasiv Yar.
The 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates near Dachne. The 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army and the 238th Artillery Brigade of the 8th Combined Arms Army operate near Andriivka. The 200th Artillery Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army and the 39th Separate Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps operates near the Sukhi Yaly River.
Possible operation situation developments:
The enemy command's plan for the Southwestern Theater of Military Operations during the winter campaign of 2025 may include an operation to capture Pokrovsk and the final occupation of Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, and Vovchansk. Another possible course of action could be the occupation of Kupyansk or simultaneous actions in several directions.
The Russian military command may redeploy units of the 6th Combined Arms Army, such as the 25th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and the 69th Motorized Rifle Division, from the Vovchansk area to Dvorichna if Russian forces achieve significant advances north of Kupyansk.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the "Khortytsia" OSG units will be forced to retreat to the Kostyantynivka area if the enemy reaches the Chervone–Stupochky line and simultaneously launches an offensive northward at the junction of its 41st and 51st Combined Arms Armies from the Novooleksandrivka–Arkhanhelske line, advancing to the Yablunivka–Oleksandro-Kalynove line on the Toretsk direction.
The enemy's military command in the theater of operations will attempt to leverage tactical advantages within and near Toretsk and east of Pokrovsk to eliminate the Ukrainian bridgehead southwest of Toretsk. For this purpose, the intensity of combat operations southwest of Toretsk will be increased.
The further enemy actions on the Novopavlivka direction will aim to prevent the consolidation of "Khortytsia" OSG units in the Rozlyv–Konstyantynopil–Andriivka–Ulakly area. The Russian military command is likely to simultaneously intensify pressure with forces from the 90th Tank Division and increase efforts in the operational zone of "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping. Troops from the 8th Combined Arms Army (20th and 150th Motorized Rifle Divisions) of the "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping are expected to participate in these actions, with some units likely being redeployed after the withdrawal of the "Khortytsia" OSG from the remaining positions at the Kurakhove bridgehead.
If the Russian military command plans to prioritize the capture of the "fortress belt" in Donetsk Oblast in the spring and summer of 2025, it will be forced to intensify operational activity on the Toretsk direction in the near future. At the same time, capturing Pokrovsk will remain the primary operational objective of the Russian military command in Donetsk Oblast. Consequently, the redeployment of Eastern Military District troops to the Toretsk or Kramatorsk directions would signify a shift in the operational priorities of the occupying forces.
Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 27.01.25
Personnel - almost 831,620 (+1,430);
Tanks 9,871 (+3);
Armored combat vehicles – 20,561 (+12);
Artillery systems – 22,339 (+16);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,263 (0);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,050 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 35,183 (+59);
Aircraft - 369 (0);
Helicopters – 331 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 23,327 (+74);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 3,053 (0)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
On the night of January 27, the occupiers attacked Ukraine with 104 Shahed strike UAVs and imitation drones; 57 drones were destroyed, while another 39 were lost from radar. The attack caused damage in four Oblasts.
Overnight in Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, a series of explosions occurred as critical infrastructure came under Russian attack. The strikes caused fires at two locations, covering areas of 100 sq.m and 500 sq.m. As of 11:18 a.m., the fires were extinguished.
On the night of January 27, a drone attack in Dnipro damaged nine apartment buildings, and the blast wave and debris also damaged vehicles. In the evening and at night, the "East" Air Command destroyed 13 drones in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
As a result of Russia’s nighttime drone attack, infrastructure objects were damaged in Sumy and the village of Pishchane in Sumy Oblast, but there were no casualties. Air defenders shot down seven Shahed drones.
Five people were injured following Russian strikes on Nikopol in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast on the morning of January 27. All have been hospitalized.
On January 27, Russian forces attacked Stepnohirsk in Zaporizhzhia Oblast with guided aerial bombs (KABs), injuring two women and two men.
In Kherson, Russian occupiers attacked a tractor with a drone, killing a 44-year-old man.
In Tomina Balka, Kherson Oblast, Russian forces used a drone to attack a man riding a scooter. The 50-year-old local resident suffered blast trauma and shrapnel wounds to his forearm and leg.
On Monday, Russian forces shelled the Nikopol and Synelnykove districts of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast throughout the day, damaging several civilian objects.
In the Novobavarskyi district of Kharkiv, the city’s second underground school was opened. It now hosts 751 children in two shifts with a mixed learning format.
Since the start of the full-scale war in Ukraine, 147 artists and 95 journalists have been killed.
According to a December survey by the Socis sociology company, obtained by Ukrainska Pravda, there has been a sharp increase in the number of Ukrainians who favor immediate negotiations to stop the war. Fifty percent of respondents support seeking a compromise solution involving international leaders to end the war. Additionally, over the past year, the proportion of those in favor of freezing the conflict and ceasing hostilities along the current frontline has grown from 8% to almost 20%.