Russia's war on Ukraine. 24.11.24
Operational situation
In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) "Kharkiv" on the Kharkiv direction, 13 clashes with Russian invaders occurred in the areas of Vovchansk and Tykhe.
In the "Khortytsia" Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, there were 12 enemy attacks. Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled assault actions near Hlushkivka, Synkivka, Zahryzove, Novoplatonivka, Kindrashivka, Pishchane, and Zelenyi Hai. On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 17 times, attempting to breach Ukrainian defenses near Druzhelyubivka, Tverdokhlibove, Novoyehorivka, Hrekivka, Novomykhailivka, Cherneshchyna, Kopanky, Yampolivka, and Terny. On the Siversk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled an enemy assault near Bilohorivka. On the Kramatorsk directions, the occupiers attacked 3 times in the areas of Stupochky and Chasiv Yar. On the Toretsk direction, the enemy conducted 2 attacks toward Toretsk.
In the "Tavriya" OSG operational zone, on the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces halted 55 enemy attacks in the areas of Promin, Lysivka, Krutyi Yar, Myrnohrad, Hryhorivka, Myrolyubivka, Zhovte, Pushkyne, Petrivka, and Pustynka. The highest concentration of clashes was near Dachenske. The enemy actively used bombing and assault aviation for strikes in this direction. On the Kurakhove direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 47 attacks. Utilizing aviation intensively, the occupiers attempted to advance near Berestky, Dalnie, Romanivka, Sontsivka, Zoria, Novodmytrivka, Kurakhove, Katerynivka, and Antonivka. On the Vremivka direction, the enemy conducted 26 assaults in the areas of Velyka Novosilka, Novodaryivka, Trudove, Sukhi Yaly, Rozdolne, Konstyantynopolske, and Rivnopillya.
In the operational zone of "Odesa" OSG on the Prydniprovskyi direction, the invading forces made 5 unsuccessful attempts to dislodge the Defense Forces from their positions.
General conclusion:
The Kurakhove direction is the most threatening for Ukrainian Defense Forces, as Russian forces advance there at a rate of 200–300 meters per day and have already breached certain areas.
On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy is attempting to expand its foothold on the eastern bank of the Oskil River in the Kolisnykivka–Synkivka sector and actively attacks southward toward Zahryzove.
On the Toretsk direction, the enemy is trying to advance from Zalizne toward Leonidivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy remains active in the Lysivka–Novooleksiivka sector, attempting to reach the Zhovte–Pushkyne line and encircle Pokrovsk more deeply from the south.
North of the Kurakhove Reservoir, the enemy is attempting to encircle "Tavriya" OSG units in the area of Voznesenka–Novoselydivka–Illinka–Berestky and advance to the Zoria–Stari Terny line.
On the Kurakhove direction, the enemy has reached Romanivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Illinka. "Tavriya" OSG units in Katerynivka are under threat of encirclement.
On the Vremivka direction, the enemy is advancing toward Velyka Novosilka in the interfluve of the Kashlyhach and Shaitanka Rivers. The enemy is trying to encircle Ukrainian Defense Forces units in the wooded area of Novopil–Novodaryivka–Staromayorske–Velyka Novosilka.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 227 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kursk direction, Russian forces advanced southeast of Daryino and on the eastern outskirts of the village. The enemy is attempting to capture Daryino and Nikolaevo-Daryino and make progress in the areas of Nizhniy Klin and Malaya Loknia. The enemy attacked near Nizhniy Klin, Nikolaevo-Daryino, and Martynovka.
"Siversk" OTG units counterattacked near Novoivanovka and struck a Russian crossing over the Seym River near Karyzh.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked near Vovchansk and Tykhe.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced in the areas of Synkivka, Zahryzove, Hlushkivka, Makiivka, Druzhelyubivka, Tverdokhlibove, Novoyehorivka, Hrekivka, Zelenyi Hai, and Novoplatonivka.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces attacked near Terny and Torske.
On the Siversk direction, Russian forces attacked near Bilohorivka but did not advance and are deploying reserves.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces continued their offensive near Chasiv Yar and Stupochky but did not advance. Enemy units are entrenching in the industrial zone of Chasiv Yar and control 30% of the city.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Predtechyne.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces attacked near Leonidivka but did not advance. The enemy achieved some success in the Zabalka neighborhood, entrenching along Heroiv Pratsi and Myrna streets in central Toretsk. Defense Force units counterattacked on the southern outskirts of Toretsk.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced south of Pokrovsk to the center of Pustynka and attacked near Promin, Myrnohrad, Myrolyubivka, Lysivka, Krutyi Yar, Sukhy Yar, Pustynka, Petrivka, Dachenske, Pushkyne, and Zhovte.
On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces are engaged in battles for Novodmytrivka, entrenching in Berestky, and launched offensives near Kurakhove, Sontsivka, Zoria, Berestky, Novodmytrivka, and Dalnie.
On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces advanced north of Illinka and attacked near Romanivka, Katerynivka, Antonivka, Sukhi Yaly, Trudove, Rozlyv, and Konstyantynopolske. They broke through nearly 5 kilometers toward Rozdolne and assaulted "Tavriya" OSG positions near Velyka Novosilka, Rozdolne, Novodaryivka, and Rivnopillya. Minefields hindered progress toward Velyka Novosilka, while heavy rain impacted maneuverability and drone usage.
Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled an enemy attack southeast of Velyka Novosilka in open fields.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces attacked near Kamianske but failed to advance.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Black Sea: 6 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 6 cruise missiles.
Possible operation situation developments:
The troops of the 20th Combined Arms Army will be used by the command of the enemy's "Zapad (West)" Operational Grouping on the flanks of its operational zone to facilitate the offensives of the 1st Tank Army and the 25th Combined Arms Army on the Kupyansk and Lyman directions, respectively. The redeployment of part of the forces of the 20th Army to the operational zones of the 1st Tank Army and the 25th Army is likely.
If the enemy manages to advance to the Chervone–Stupochky line on the Kramatorsk direction and simultaneously begins intensive northward attacks at the junction of its 41st and 51st Armies from the Novooleksandrivka–Arkhanhelske line, reaching the Yablunivka–Oleksandro-Kalynove line on the Toretsk direction, then the "Khortytsia" OSG will be forced to withdraw towards Kostyantynivka.
Before the end of November “Tavriya” OSG will withdraw from its positions along the Yelyzavetivka–Konstyantynopil line, Kurakhove, and the northern bank of the Kurakhove Reservoir to avoid encirclement.
After capturing Kurakhove, the forces of the enemy's "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping will focus on seizing Velyka Novosilka, which may occur in January 2025 following regrouping and replenishment of losses.
By the end of the current year, the enemy will not succeed in seizing the "belt of fortresses" Kostyantynivka – Druzhkivka – Kramatorsk – Sloviansk or occupying Donetsk Oblast. The upcoming battle for Pokrovsk will mark the apex of the enemy’s offensive operation in the Southwestern Theater of Operations in 2024.
The expected sequence of enemy actions for capturing Pokrovsk is as follows: first, the 90th Tank Division of the 41st Combined Arms Army and the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Combined Arms Army will break through to the area south of Pokrovsk. Afterward, the main forces of the 2nd and 41st Combined Arms Armies will advance from the direction of Mykolaivka toward Myrnohrad (via Promin). Another possible maneuver could involve an advance from Hrodivka toward Novoekonomichne, with attempts to break through along the railway directly to Pokrovsk from the direction of Novohrodivka.
The enemy's military command in the theater of operations until March 2025 will be creating conditions to achieve the military-political goal of the Special Military Operation: reaching the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts and the junction of Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Donetsk Oblasts near the village of Temyrivka.
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 24.11.24
Personnel - almost 730,740 (+1,020);
Tanks 9,423 (+4);
Armored combat vehicles – 19,209 (+17);
Artillery systems – 20,765 (+5);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,254 (0);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,004 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 29,864 (+14);
Aircraft - 369 (0);
Helicopters – 329 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 19,366 (+1);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,764 (0)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
This week, Russian forces launched over 800 guided aerial bombs, approximately 460 attack drones, and more than 20 missiles of various types against Ukraine, according to President Zelensky.
From the night until the morning of November 24, Ukrainian air defense shot down 50 enemy drones, while 19 were lost to radar tracking. In total, Russia launched 73 UAVs. As of 9:00 a.m., four drones remained airborne.
During an air raid alert on November 24, Russian forces likely launched missile strikes on Chernihiv Oblast, injuring a 28-year-old man and damaging civilian infrastructure.
Russian troops shelled the Dnipro district of Kherson with artillery, injuring an 83-year-old woman who was outside at the time. She is in critical condition and has been hospitalized. Later, another injured woman sought medical attention independently.
The number of internally displaced persons in Ukraine has reached 5 million and continues to grow, primarily due to enemy offensives and forced evacuations from combat zones.
In Toretsk, Donetsk Oblast, at 6:00 p.m. on November 21, representatives of the aggressor's army entered an apartment in a residential area where three civilians were present. The occupiers deliberately opened fire with automatic weapons, killing two local women on the spot. A man nearby sustained gunshot wounds, as well as fractures to his shoulder and collarbone.
Since May of this year, nearly 22,000 civilians have been evacuated from the most dangerous areas of Kharkiv Oblast.
Between January and November, Russia launched 194 ballistic missiles at Ukraine. Of these, around 60 were North Korean KN-23 missiles, which contained components manufactured in Western countries, CNN reported.