Russia's war on Ukraine. 11.12.24
Operational situation
On the Kursk direction, Russian forces advanced on the southern outskirts of Daryino, continued fighting for Plekhovo and Novoivanovka, advanced near Malaya Loknia, and attacked eastward near Kamyshovka and in the direction of Guevo. Battles continued near Pogrebki and Nikolaevo-Daryino. An enemy sabotage and reconnaissance group crossed the state border in Sumy Oblast and captured Alexandria but was detected and driven back into Kursk Oblast.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces launched offensives in the areas of Hlyboke, Vovchansk, and Starytsia.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced west of Svatove, capturing Vyshneve and Pershotravneve, and are attempting to consolidate their positions along this line. The enemy achieved success near Lozova, Zelenyi Hai, Novoyehorivka, and Hrekivka, and launched attacks near Petropavlivka, Kolisnykivka, Zahryzove, Kopanky, Nadiia, Makiivka, Cherneshchyna, and Druzhelyubivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Dvorichna, but the enemy continues to hold positions on the western bank of the Oskil River.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces launched offensives near Terny, Torske, and Yampolivka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced in Chasiv Yar and near Orikhovo-Vasylivka and Bila Hora.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces advanced in Toretsk and to the west of the city, while also launching attacks near Shcherbynivka and Nelipivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces successfully counterattacked in the area of the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced westward along Myru Street in Novotroitske and are engaged in battles for Shevchenko. They also launched attacks near Pokrovsk, Promin, Myroliubivka, Lysivka, Dachenske, Zelenyi, Chumatske, and Novyi Trud.
On the Kurakhove direction, Russia’s 5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army is engaged in battles in the center of Kurakhove and has captured the Kurakhove grain elevator. The enemy has advanced to Pushkina and Lermontova Streets on the western outskirts of Kurakhove, reached the Kurakhove City Council building, and captured part of the “Pivdenniy” neighborhood. Additionally, they have advanced to the southeastern outskirts of Konstyantynopolske, the eastern outskirts of Uspenivka, north of Uspenivka, and east of Hannivka. The enemy is consolidating positions in the area between Sontsivka and Stari Terny, advanced from Stari Terny to Dachne, reached the H15 Kurakhove–Zaporizhzhia highway, and moved to the western outskirts of Kurakhove. Russian forces also attacked near Kurakhove, Sontsivka, Stari Terny, Zoria, Dachne, Dalnie, Veselyi Hai, Hannivka, Uspenivka, Konstyantynopolske, Sukhi Yaly, and Rozlyv.
Ukrainian Defense Forces recaptured lost positions on the western outskirts of Romanivka.
On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces launched offensives near Velyka Novosilka, Rozdolne, Blahodatne, Makarivka, Storozheve, Novodarivka, Rivnopil, and in the direction of Zelene Pole.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces advanced north of Robotyne along the T0408 Tokmak–Orikhiv highway. Assault groups of the enemy are engaged in intense fighting.
General conclusion:
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces are attempting to cross the Vovcha River near Vovchansk. The enemy's advance to the east and south of Vovchansk could threaten Ukrainian rear positions on the Kupyansk direction.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces maintain a high pace of offensive operations, primarily using light unarmored vehicles such as motorcycles, buggies, and cars.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces use UAVs for remote mining of logistics routes, creating additional strain on Ukrainian sapper units.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces maintain a significant advantage in UAVs, which supports their rapid advancement.
Russian forces maintain a 3:1 artillery advantage, although this has decreased from a previous ratio of 5:1.
Russian forces control positions along all logistics routes leading to Kurakhove and are attempting to straighten the front line north of the Kurakhove Reservoir.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 199 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kharkiv direction, Ukrainian forces repelled 7 enemy attacks in the areas of Vovchansk, Lyptsi, and Starytsia.
On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy launched 11 assaults on Ukrainian defensive positions in the areas of Petropavlivka, Kolisnykivka, Zahryzove, Hlushkivka, and Lozova.
On the Lyman direction, Russian occupiers attacked Ukrainian positions 25 times near the settlements of Hrekivka, Kopanky, Nadiia, Zelenyi Hai, Makiivka, Yampolivka, Zarichne, Terny, Torske, and in the directions of Druzhelyubivka and Cherneshchyna.
On the Siversk direction, the enemy carried out an airstrike on Siversk.
On the Kramatorsk direction, 2 clashes were recorded near Bila Hora and Chasiv Yar, both of which were successfully repelled by Ukrainian Defense Force.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces launched 9 attacks on Ukrainian Defense Forces positions. The occupiers concentrated their main offensive efforts near Toretsk, Shcherbynivka, and Dyliivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces attempted to breach Ukrainian defenses 52 times near the settlements of Myrolyubivka, Promin, Myrnohrad, Novotroitske, Pushkyne, Lysivka, Dachenske, Novyi Trud, Zelenyi, Pishchane, Pokrovsk, and Shevchenko.
On the Kurakhove direction, the enemy launched 44 attacks near Sontsivka, Stari Terny, Zorya, Kurakhove, Dachne, and Dalnie. The enemy also actively used aviation, carrying out airstrikes in the areas of Ulakly, Oleksiivka, and Konstyantynopil.
On the Vremivka direction, the occupiers attacked 16 times near Veselyi Hai, Konstyantynopolske, Rozlyv, Trudove, Novodarivka, Sukhi Yaly, Blahodatne, and Makarivka.
On the Orikhiv direction, the enemy launched 7 attacks in the areas of Novoandriivka and Pyatykhatky.
On the Prydniprovskyi direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 3 enemy attacks.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Mediterranean Sea: 6 ships, including 4 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 41 cruise missiles.
The enemy's Mediterranean flotilla is located 8-15 km from Tartus and includes the “Admiral Golovko” and “Admiral Grigorovich” frigates, the “Novorossiysk” submarine, and the “Vyazma” support vessel.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
Approximately 150,000 Russian military personnel operate on the Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, and Vremivka directions, including over 70,000 on the Pokrovsk direction, 35,000-36,000 on the Kurakhove direction, and more than 40,000 on the Vremivka direction.
The 55th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 41st Combined Arms Army is operating in Hrodivka.
The 4th Military Base of the 58th Combined Arms Army, the 247th Air Assault Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division, and the 1152nd Motorized Rifle Regiment continue combat operations in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Possible operation situation developments:
On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy will try to break through the "Khortytsia" OSG defense near Kruhlyakivka and advance southward toward Bohuslavka and Nova Kruhlyakivka; attack Lozova and move toward Nova Kruhlyakivka; breach the "Khortytsia" OSG defense at Pershotravneve toward Kopanky and Novoserhiyivka, forcing Ukrainian Defense Forces to retreat from positions near Novoyehorivka under the threat of encirclement.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the "Khortytsia" OSG units will be forced to retreat to the Kostyantynivka area if the enemy reaches the Chervone–Stupochky line and simultaneously launches an offensive northward at the junction of its 41st and 51st Combined Arms Armies from the Novooleksandrivka–Arkhanhelske line, advancing to the Yablunivka–Oleksandro-Kalynove line on the Toretsk direction. If the Chasiv Yar Refractory Materials Plant is lost, it will be under enemy control by the end of December.
On the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy will attempt to advance to the Novotroitske–Ukrainka line, which would achieve two operational objectives: bypassing the flank of Ukrainian Defense Forces units holding Zorya and Sontsivka and simultaneously creating favorable conditions for enveloping Pokrovsk from the south.
If the enemy advances to the area where the Vovcha and Solona rivers converge near Dachne from the north, the position of Ukrainian Defense Forces units in Kurakhove will become critically complicated unless they manage to retreat in time. In the southern part of the Kurakhove bridgehead, Ukrainian Defense Forces units will soon have to abandon Hannivka and Uspenivka to avoid encirclement and retreat in a northwesterly direction.
On the Vremivka direction, intense battles for Velyka Novosilka are expected to unfold soon, as the enemy's future ability to organize and carry out a further offensive toward Rozlyv and Bahatyr, as well as to conduct a deep flanking maneuver against the Ukrainian Defense Forces' grouping from the south, depends on it. By controlling Rozdolne (located between Velyka Novosilka and the Zaporizhzhia–Donetsk highway) and having a convenient stronghold for concentrating and deploying additional forces and assets, the enemy command will soon attempt to cut off all "Khortytsia" OSG’s communication lines in Velyka Novosilka. The enemy will once again attempt to break through towards Novyi Komar or in the direction of Dniproenerhiya.
By the end of the current year, the enemy will not succeed in seizing the "belt of fortresses" Kostyantynivka – Druzhkivka – Kramatorsk – Sloviansk or occupying Donetsk Oblast. The upcoming battle for Pokrovsk will mark the apex of the enemy’s offensive operation in the Southwestern Theater of Operations in 2024.
The enemy's military command in the theater of operations until March 2025 will be creating conditions to achieve the military-political goal of the “Special Military Operation”: reaching the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts and the junction of Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Donetsk Oblasts near the village of Temyrivka.
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 11.12.24
Personnel - almost 757,340 (+1,400);
Tanks 9,526 (+2);
Armored combat vehicles – 19,616 (+20);
Artillery systems – 21,067(+3);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,253 (0);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1.023 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 31,073 (+36);
Aircraft - 369 (0);
Helicopters – 329 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 20,111 (+4);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,859 (0)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
President Volodymyr Zelensky reported that Russian occupiers have killed 50 priests and destroyed about 700 churches during the war.
On December 11, 2024, in the village of Bilovody, within the Khotyn community of Sumy district, the bodies of a 55-year-old man and his 65-year-old wife were discovered in the ashes of their private household. According to the investigation, their house was completely destroyed as a result of an enemy airstrike.
Throughout the day, the aggressor attacked Nikopol district of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast nearly 30 times using drones and artillery. The attacks targeted the communities of Nikopol, Marhanets, Pokrovske, Chervonohryhorivka, and Myrove. A 44-year-old man was injured as a result.
Daily drone attacks on civilians in Kherson and the Kherson Oblast continue. Around 14:30, Russian forces attacked the Dnipro district of Kherson. As a result, a 50-year-old man sustained a mine-blast injury and shrapnel wounds to his legs. Around 12:20, Russian forces attacked the Dnipro district of Kherson using drones. A 91-year-old woman who was outside at the time suffered an explosive injury and shrapnel wounds to her leg after an explosive device was dropped from a drone.
In the city of Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast, 18 children remain. The city authorities promise to evacuate them by the end of the week.
In temporarily occupied Donetsk, the so-called "DPR court" sentenced nine Ukrainian defenders of Mariupol, who were captured at the Azovstal plant, to prison terms ranging from 24 years to life imprisonment. The sentences were handed down to soldiers of the 36th Separate Marine Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The occupiers claim that in March 2022, these defenders allegedly shelled the village of Staryi Krym. It is reported that the defenders will serve their sentences in a strict-regime correctional colony.
In the temporarily occupied territories, Russians are forcing students of seized schools to take tests on knowledge of the Constitution of the Russian Federation.
Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko stated on Wednesday that, even without aid from the United States, Ukraine would be able to continue fighting at least through the first half of 2025.