Russia's war on Ukraine. 11.05.25
Operational situation
On the Kursk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced south of Tetkino, attacked near Novyi Put.
In Sumy Oblast, Russian troops continue attacks on the international border with Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts, intensifying airstrikes.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces attacked near Vovchansk.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops attacked near Zahryzove and Nova Kruhlyakivka.
On the Lyman direction, Russian troops attacked near Ridkodub, Lypove, Zelena Dolyna, Novyi Mir, Yampolivka, and Hrekivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces attacked near Lypove.
On the Siversk direction, Russian troops attacked near Hryhorivka, Bilohorivka, and Verkhnyokamianske.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian troops attempted to advance in the center of Stupochky, towards Dyliivka, and attacked near Chasiv Yar, Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Kurdyumivka, Bila Hora, Predtechyne, and Oleksandro-Shultyne.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Stupochky.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian troops advanced in the western part of Toretsk. The 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Army advanced east of Romanivka and is attacking the village. Enemy reconnaissance and sabotage groups operate near Oleksandro-Kalynove and Yablunivka. The enemy attacked near Toretsk, Dachne, Dyliivka, Druzhba, Oleksandropil, Nova Poltavka, Hnativka, Yelyzavetivka, Stara Mykolaivka, Shcherbynivka, between Stara Mykolaivka and Sukha Balka, towards Zoria and Malynivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Valentynivka and in Toretsk.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops advanced in the northern part of Kotlyne, advanced in the southeastern part of Novoserhiyivka, and attacked near Myrne, Promin, Myroliubivka, Dachenske, Hrodivka, Lysivka, Novotoretske, Zvirove, and Udachne.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Kotlyarivka and Myroliubivka.
On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian troops reached the eastern outskirts of Oleksiivka, advanced along the H15 highway from Kurakhove to Zaporizhzhia south of Bahatyr, and attempted to advance southwest of Kotlyarivka, near Novooleksandrivka, Nadiivka, and attacked near Preobrazhenka, Troitske, Bohdanivka, Horikhove, Konstyantynopil, Andriivka, Bahatyr, and Odradne.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Novoolenivka, Novoserhiyivka, Bahatyr, and Oleksiivka.
On the Huliaypole direction, Russian troops attacked near Vesele, Vilne Pole, Pryvilne, Shevchenkove, Novosilka, Novopil, Rivnopil, and towards Zelenyi Hai.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Zelenyi Hai and Novopil.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian troops attacked towards Novodanylivka, near Stepove and Shcherbaky.
General conclusion:
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advance in two directions—towards Kostyantynivka and Kramatorsk, attempting to bypass Chasiv Yar from the south and north.
Russian forces intensify airstrikes on Toretsk and accumulate reserves on the Toretsk direction.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 161 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kharkiv direction, three enemy attacks were repelled in the areas of Vovchansk, Mala Shapkivka, and Kamyanka.
On the Kupyansk direction, there were three Russian attacks. Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled the enemy's assault operations near Kindrashivka, Synkivka, and in the area of Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked eight times, attempting to advance towards Cherneshchyna, Olhivka, Ridkodub, Nove, Zelena Dolyna, and near Yampolivka and Kopanky.
On the Siversk direction, four enemy attacks were repelled. Occupier units tried to advance towards Hryhorivka and in the area of Bilohorivka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, nine combat engagements were recorded near Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Chasiv Yar, and towards Bila Hora, Mayske, and Predtechyne.
On the Toretsk direction, the enemy carried out twelve attacks in the areas of Druzhba, Toretsk, Shcherbynivka, and towards Dyliivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, 60 assault and offensive actions of the aggressor were stopped towards the settlements of Nova Poltavka, Myroliubivka, Kotlyarivka, Myrne, Zoria, and near the settlements of Malynivka, Yelyzavetivka, Lysivka, Dachenske, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Novoserhiyivka, Udachne, Novooleksandrivka, Preobrazhenka, and Andriivka.
On the Novopavlivka direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled thirteen enemy attacks near Konstyantynopil, Vilne Pole, Pryvilne, and towards Bahatyr, Shevchenko, and Novopil.
On the Huliaypole direction, the occupiers carried out thirteen attacks in the areas of Novopil and Novosilka.
On the Orikhiv direction, the enemy conducted two attacks in the area of Stepove and towards Novodanylivka, but was unsuccessful.
On the Prydniprovske direction, the aggressor made three futile attempts to advance towards Ukrainian Defense Forces' positions.
On the Kursk direction, there were 25 combat engagements of varying intensity. The enemy carried out 18 airstrikes.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Mediterranean Sea: 3 ships, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 8 cruise missiles.
Supporting operation:
There were no strikes.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 136th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 58th Army operates near Vovchansk.
The 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps operates in the direction of Kostyantynivka.
Possible operation situation developments:
The plan for the enemy's spring-summer offensive campaign in the Southwestern Theater of Operations may be as follows: a simultaneous breakthrough towards Kostyantynivka and Druzhkivka from the south and southeast (from the direction of Toretsk and Vozdvyzhenka), as well as from the northeast (from the direction of Chasiv Yar), followed by an advance towards Kramatorsk from the south while simultaneously advancing towards Slovyansk with the forces of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies of the "Zapad (West)" Operational Grouping through Lyman. Russian forces may attempt to advance near Kupyansk, Lyman, Novopavlivka, or toward the city of Zaporizhzhia. The Pokrovsk direction is viewed by Ukraine’s military-political leadership as the absolute priority for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. Additionally, Russian forces intend to create a buffer zone in the north of Sumy Oblast and pose a threat to the city of Sumy in the coming months.
The enemy will maintain its offensive in northern Sumy Oblast to establish a buffer zone along the Yunakivka – Khrapivshchyna – Radkivka – Mohrytsya line, extending along the Psel River. The command of the "Sever (North)" Operational Grouping is focusing on seizing control of the Bilovody – Loknia – Yunakivka – Yablunivka sector, as well as the eastern portion of the forested area west of Mohrytsya. Their objective is to push forward to the Velyka Rybytsya – Myropillya line along the Psel River. The enemy is also attempting to break through towards Vorozhba and Bilopillya to disrupt the Sumy – Novhorod-Siverskyi supply route.
On the Kupyansk direction, the command of the enemy's "Zapad (West)" Operational Grouping intends to encircle the tactical group of "Khortytsia" OSG which is defending along the Novoyehorivka – Hrekivka line. To achieve this, they plan to advance with the 144th Motorized Rifle Division from the bridgehead near Nove towards the heights near the village of Cherneshchyna, and with the 4th Tank Division advancing in converging directions: Raihorodka – Cherneshchyna and Pershotravneve – Kopanky.
On the Lyman direction, the forces of the "Zapad (West)" Operational Grouping will advance towards Karlivka and Drobysheve, aiming to reach the Karlivka – Shandryholove – Drobysheve line while simultaneously advancing near Torske to approach Lyman from the east. The 25th Combined Arms Army will attempt to break through the communication lines of the "Khortytsia" OSG tactical group, which is defending in the Dibrova – Yampil direction and in the area of the Serebriansk Forest. The enemy will attempt to advance on both banks of the Chornyi Zherebets River, moving towards the general directions of Yampolivka – Torske and Ivanivka – Zarichne. The main grouping of the army will operate on its right flank, attempting to break through from the north to the Lyman – Kreminna road in the Zarichne – Torske section, while simultaneously tying down the "Khortytsia" OSG forces in the center and on the left flank of the operational zone with frontal engagements.
On the Siversk direction, the command of the enemy's "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping will attempt to eliminate the Siversk salient held by "Khortytsia" OSG and break through towards the Sloviansk – Kramatorsk agglomeration and to Kostyantynivka, delivering its main strike in the area of Chasiv Yar. The 3rd Combined Arms Army of the enemy will try to break through to Kostyantynivka from Chasiv Yar, but it is unlikely to achieve its operational goals without reinforcements, such as the return of the 106th Airborne Division from the Kursk direction or strategic reserves. The 3rd Army will attempt to advance to the northern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River between Yampil and Hryhorivka and from the southeast towards Siversk. The command of the "Yug" Operational Grouping is also concentrating forces in the areas of Soledar, Rozdolivka, and Zaliznyanske to strike from the south along the Bakhmutka River towards Siversk. The offensive may begin with the advance of the forward units of the 127th and 6th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 3rd Army towards Siversk from the east and southeast. The immediate objective for the enemy is to capture Pereyizne and Fedorivka, with the subsequent goal of advancing to the Zvanivka – Vyimka line.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the command of the enemy’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping and the 3rd Army, in particular, may soon change the direction of their main strike and shift it to the north of Chasiv Yar, launching an offensive on both sides of the Bakhmut–Sloviansk road along the Orikhovo-Vasylivka–Minkivka and Blahodatne–Pryvillya directions, which would allow them to break through to the forward approaches of Sloviansk directly from the southeast and create a real threat to the “Siversk” Operational Tactical Grouping (OTG) of Ukrainian Defense Forces by executing a deep flanking maneuver on its right flank. If the enemy manages to achieve operational surprise in these directions and advance to tactical depth, the situation in the Kolodyazi–Hryhorivka sector on the Lyman direction could radically deteriorate for the “Khortytsia” OSG.
The command of the enemy’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will continue its offensive on the Toretsk direction with two tactical groups — one in the Toretsk area (main group), and another in the Vozdvyzhenka area (group on a secondary direction). The first group will attempt a breakthrough toward Pleshchiivka, bypassing the Kleban-Byk reservoir from the east; the second will push toward the Novoolenivka area, bypassing the reservoir from the west along the Pokrovsk–Bakhmut highway. The enemy will attempt to outflank the prepared “Khortytsia” OSG defenses from the east, along lines based on a cascade of small reservoirs and ponds along the Bychok River, generally in the Toretsk–Kostyantynivka direction, aiming to reach the intermediate line Pleshchiivka–Bila Hora. Its forward units will attempt to advance through Shcherbynivka toward Pleshchiivka and along the Dachne–Dyliivka railway. In the near future, the enemy will focus on seizing Shcherbynivka and Novospaske. If unsuccessful, the main axis of the attack may shift to the zone of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division near Vozdvyzhenka, or the enemy may focus on dismantling the “Khortytsia” OSG’s defenses along the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal, advancing from south to north.
The operational plan of the 8th Combined Arms Army on the Kostyantynivka direction is to envelop the tactical group of the "Khortytsia" OSG, which is defending south of Kostyantynivka between Oleksandropil and Tarasivka from the flanks. The enemy aims to encircle and destroy this group or, if unable to do so, force it to withdraw from the area south of Kostyantynivka in a northwestern direction under the threat of encirclement. The ultimate goal of these actions is a two-pronged breakthrough from the southwest and southeast toward the area of Stepanivka – Berestok – Pleshchiivka – Yablunivka, followed by a simultaneous assault on Kostyantynivka from this area and from the direction of Chasiv Yar.
Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 11.05.25
Personnel - almost 965,890 (+1,310);
Tanks – 10,792 (+2);
Armored combat vehicles – 22,446 (+6);
Artillery systems – 27,670 (+33);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,381 (+1);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,159 (+1);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 47,947 (+117);
Aircraft - 372 (0);
Helicopters – 335 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 35,537 (+55);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 3,197 (0)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
On the night of May 11, after the end of the three-day unilateral "ceasefire" announced by Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin, Russia launched "Shaheds" at Ukraine фпфшт. The enemy attacked with 108 Shahed-type strike UAVs and decoy drones. Air defense forces shot down 60 drones, while 41 were lost from radar. Sumy and Kyiv Oblasts were affected.
Analysts from the OSINT project Deepstate stated that during the three days of the so-called "ceasefire" from May 8 to 10, Russian forces attacked at the frontline more on average than in April. Their report indicates that the occupiers carried out 193, 196, and 161 assault actions respectively over the three days. In April, the average daily activity was 155 attacks per day. Almost no ceasefire was observed in any sector of the front.
In the morning of May 11, the enemy attacked Kyiv Oblast using UAVs. In two districts near the capital—Brovary and Obukhiv—there was destruction.
On Sunday morning, Russian troops struck twice with guided aerial bombs and drones at the village of Pavlivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, injuring two women aged 75 and 56.
On Sunday, May 12, Russian troops carried out artillery strikes on Kherson and the village of Bilozerka, injuring two civilian women and a man. One of the women and the man were hospitalized.
In the afternoon on Sunday, Russian troops dropped a guided aerial bomb on the village of Sadovod in Kharkiv Oblast, injuring two women and damaging two residential buildings.
At 16:00, Russian Armed Forces targeted a car with a drone in the village of Baranivka in Kharkiv Oblast. The vehicle was damaged, and a married couple—a 53-year-old man and a 54-year-old woman—were injured.
A strike by enemy FPV drones was recorded on the Zolochiv community in the Bohodukhiv district in Kharkiv Oblast. As a result of the drone attack around 12:30 in the village of Ivashky, a 54-year-old man was injured. He was hospitalized in moderate condition.
Russians directed KAB (guided aerial bombs) at the Velykomykhailivska community of Synelnykove district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Two men were injured; one of them is in serious condition. Private homes and cars were destroyed by the enemy strike.
On May 10, starting from 15:30, Russian military launched a series of airstrikes on Kupyansk. In the city, residential buildings and a car were damaged. As a result of the impact of one of the KABs, two civilians were affected: a 52-year-old man and a 76-year-old woman experienced acute stress reactions.