Russia's war on Ukraine. 11.01.25
Operational situation
On the Kursk direction, Russian forces made minor advances on the southern outskirts of Makhnovka, the southern outskirts of Russkoe Porechie, and the northern outskirts of Kositsa. They are attempting to encircle some Ukrainian positions near Guevo and Kurilovka. The 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 72nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 44th Army Corps and the 34th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 49th Combined Arms Army are engaged in battles for Pogrebki. The enemy attacked near Sudzha, in the areas of Novaya Sorochina, Staraya Sorochina, Nikolaevka, Viktorovka, Nikolskiy, Cherkasskoe Porechie, and Zamostia.
The "Siversk" Operational Tactical Group (OTG) counterattacked near Berdino and Kruglenkoe.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces conducted unsuccessful local attacks near Starytsia and Vovchansk.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces made slight advances northwest of Orlyanka, on the eastern outskirts of Dvorichna, near Zapadne, from Zahryzove to Bohuslavka, west of Nadiya, and near Serhiivka. They ferry infantry across the Oskil River using light inflatable craft and attacked near Petropavlivka, Kucherivka, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Zahryzove, Zelenyi Hai, Borivska, Andriivka, Lozova, Pershotravneve, Kopanka, Makiivka, Tverdokhlibove, and Hrekivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced to the center of Kolisnykivka and counterattacked in Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces advanced in the areas of Ivanivka, Terny, and Zarichne, but ceased using armored vehicles due to heavy losses.
On the Siversk direction, Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked near Bilohorivka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced east of Stupochky and are pushing toward the third and fourth workshops of the refractory materials plant in the center of Chasiv Yar. They also attacked near Bila Hora and Predtechyne.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces advanced along Murmanska, Korolenka, Dovzhenko, and Angarska Streets in Toretsk; east of New York toward Sukha Balka; along Berehova Street in Petrivka; and near Shcherbynivka and Sukha Balka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the command post of the enemy's 3rd Army Corps in Svitlodarsk with a missile.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced northeast and on the western outskirts of Solone, conducted an assault near Yelyzavetivka, captured most of Baranivka, moved toward Tarasivka, seized a section of the T0406 Pokrovsk–Mezhova highway, and advanced to the outskirts of Kotlyne and Yasenove. The enemy attacked near Pokrovsk, in the areas of Novooleksandrivka, Baranivka, Myroliubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Myrnohrad, Sukhy Yar, Lysivka, Dachenske, Novyi Trud, Zelenyi, Zvirove, Vovkove, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novovasylivka, Novoandriivka, Novoyelyzavetivka, and Yasenove.
On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces advanced northeast of Slovyanka and repelled a Ukrainian counterattack near Andriivka. The 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army is attacking in the direction of Andriivka, while the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army is advancing on the outskirts of Yantarne. The enemy assaulted near Kurakhove, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Sribne, Dachne, Yantarne, Zelenivka, Ulakly, Konstyantynopil, and Rozlyv.
On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces advanced on the northern outskirts of Velyka Novosilka, are engaged in battles for Neskuchne, and attacked near Vremivka.
General conclusion:
On the Kursk direction, Russian forces are delivering their main strike northwest of Sudzha from positions west of Novoivanovka through Leonidovo and Alexandria between Lebedevka and Malaya Loknia, advancing toward the Sudzha–Lgov highway.
Recently, Russian forces have intensified shelling and airstrikes using guided aerial glide bombs on Ukrainian Defense Forces positions near Pokrovsk.
Russian forces will attempt to seize positions along the T0406 Pokrovsk–Mezhova highway to complicate the logistical support of Ukrainian Defense Forces ahead of the assault on Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 213 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kharkiv direction, the enemy launched five assaults on Ukrainian Defense Forces positions in the areas of Vovchansk and Starytsia.
On the Kupyansk direction, there were 8 Russian attacks. Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled enemy assaults near Kucherivka, Petropavlivka, Pishchane, Zahryzove, and Lozova.
On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 39 times, attempting to advance near Tverdokhlibove, Hrekivka, Zelenyi Hai, Pershotravneve, Makiivka, Terny, and Zarichne.
On the Siversk direction, the enemy attacked twice near Bilohorivka without success.
On the Kramatorsk direction, 32 clashes were recorded in the areas of Bila Hora, Predtechyne, Chasiv Yar, and Stupochky.
On the Toretsk direction, the enemy carried out five attacks near Toretsk and Shcherbynivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces stopped 72 enemy assaults and offensive actions in the areas of Novopoltavka, Tarasivka, Baranivka, Myroliubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Lysivka, Myrnohrad, Novyi Trud, Zvirove, Udachne, Kotlyne, Novooleksandrivka, Novovasylivka, Novoandriivka, Novoyelyzavetivka, Andriivka, Kurakhove, Dachne, Petropavlivka, Yasynove, and Yantarne.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy attacked 14 times near Konstyantynopil, Zelenivka, Rozlyv, Rozdolne, Velyka Novosilka, and Neskuchne.
In the operational zone in the Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 29 enemy attacks in the past day. The enemy carried out 386 artillery strikes, including 14 using multiple-launch rocket systems.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
Mediterranean Sea: 7 ships, including 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 22 cruise missiles.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
On the Kharkiv direction, the 204th Separate SOF Regiment "Akhmat" operates in the areas of Alisivka and Strilecha.
The 215th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 98th Airborne Division operates in Mykolaivka.
The 132nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army operates in Petrivka and provides drone support to forces attacking Toretsk and west of Krymske.
Possible operation situation developments:
The enemy command's plan for the Southwestern Theater of Military Operations during the winter campaign of 2025 may include an operation to capture Pokrovsk and the final occupation of Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, and Vovchansk. Another possible course of action could be the occupation of Kupyansk or simultaneous actions in several directions.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the "Khortytsia" OSG units will be forced to retreat to the Kostyantynivka area if the enemy reaches the Chervone–Stupochky line and simultaneously launches an offensive northward at the junction of its 41st and 51st Combined Arms Armies from the Novooleksandrivka–Arkhanhelske line, advancing to the Yablunivka–Oleksandro-Kalynove line on the Toretsk direction.
The enemy’s offensive on Pokrovsk may proceed according to two main scenarios:
A breakthrough to the city from the south and the gradual expulsion of Ukrainian Defense Forces from the city due to numerical superiority in forces and means (the enemy's tactics in Chasiv Yar).
A deep encirclement of Pokrovsk from the south, cutting the road to Mezhova, regrouping part of the 2nd Combined Arms Army's forces, encircling the city from the north as well, cutting the T0504 road to Kostyantynivka.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will attempt to bypass the "Khortytsia" OSG’s defense zone in the area of Velyka Novosilka – Vremivka – Neskuchne from the west, expand its section of control over the Velyka Novosilka – Uspenivka road between Novosilka and Vremivka, and actively broaden the penetration toward Neskuchne and Novosilka. Here, it is most likely that the 34th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 49th Combined Arms Army (part of the brigade's units have been spotted in Kursk Oblast near the village of Pogrebki) will be introduced into the operation.
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 11.01.25
Personnel - almost 806,500 (+1,570);
Tanks 9,751 (+10);
Armored combat vehicles – 20,271 (+18);
Artillery systems – 21,817 (+28);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,260 (0);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,042 (+1);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 33,534 (+61);
Aircraft - 369 (0);
Helicopters – 331 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 21,958 (+74);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 3,017 (0)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
On the night of January 11, the enemy attacked Ukraine with 74 drones. Air defense forces shot down 47 of them, while another 27 were "locationally lost." Falling debris from downed enemy drones caused damage to farm buildings, institutions, private homes, and vehicles in seven oblasts of Ukraine.
Throughout the night, the occupiers attacked Prymorske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast with drones. In the morning, they struck a civilian vehicle carrying five people. A 47-year-old woman died at the scene from her injuries. All other victims are currently in the hospital, with one man in critical condition.
As of 4:00 PM, in Donetsk Oblast on Saturday, Russian shelling resulted in the death of one man, injuries to five others, and damage to homes and infrastructure.
In Antonivka, part of the Kherson City community, around 4:00 PM, Russians attacked a man with a drone. He was hospitalized with injuries. Earlier in the morning, in Beryslav, Kherson Oblast, a civilian died during a Russian drone attack when explosives were dropped on him.
Ukrainian soldiers captured two North Korean military personnel in the Kursk region. "This was a challenging task: typically, Russians and North Korean military personnel kill their wounded and do everything to eliminate evidence of North Korea’s involvement in the war against Ukraine," said President Zelenskyy.
Russia conducts a deliberate policy of destroying Ukrainian ethnic identity. During the summer of 2024 alone, 3,310 Ukrainian children from temporarily occupied territories of Kherson Oblast were taken by the occupying authorities for "re-education," reported Dmytro Lubinets, the Verkhovna Rada Commissioner for Human Rights. Among the so-called activities for children were military-sporting camps in Vologda and "Future University Student" sessions organized in Tula.