Russia's war on Ukraine. 10.07.25
Operational situation
On the Northern Slobozhansky direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces attacked in the directions of Tetkino and Novyi Put, counterattacked near Andriivka, Oleksiivka, and Kindrativka.
Russian forces advanced near Oleksiivka, Kindrativka, Yunakivka, and attempted to advance northeast of Mohrytsya.
On the Southern Slobozhansky direction, Russian forces attempted to advance near Vovchansk, attacked in the direction of Lyptsi, Hryhorivka, Ambarne, Petro-Ivanivka, Novoosynove, and near Kalynove, Radkivka, Holubivka, Kamyanka, Krasne Pershe, Stepova Novoselivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Milove.
On the Kupyansk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the east of Kopanky.
Russian forces attacked near Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces attempted to advance south of Hlushchenkove, west of Lypove, north of Zelena Dolyna, and in the center of the village, attacked in the direction of Serednie, Shandryholove, and near Ridkodub, Karpivka, Novyi Myr, Zelena Dolyna, and Torske.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Ridkodub, Yampolivka, and Torske.
On the Siversk direction, Russian forces are attempting to advance on the northeastern outskirts of Siversk, but cannot consolidate on the Serebrianka – Verkhnyokamianske line. Between the enemy's positions and the outskirts of Siversk, there are up to 5 km of open terrain. The enemy attacked near Serebrianka, Hryhorivka, Verkhnyokamianske, Vyiimka, and Ivano-Dariivka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces continued attacks near Chasiv Yar, Bila Hora, Stupochky, and Predtechyne.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Bila Hora.
On the Toretsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces regained positions northwest of Yablunivka and in the west of the village.
Russian forces advanced south of Nelipivka, attempted to advance north and northwest of Zoria, attacked near Toretsk, Dyliivka, Rusyn Yar, Popiv Yar, Poltavka, Shcherbynivka, and in the direction of Katerynivka, Oleksandro-Kalynove, and Pleshchiivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Dyliivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces continued attacks in the direction of Pokrovsk, Rodynske, Novopidhorodne, and near Novotoretske, Razyne, Novoekonomichne, Malynivka, Myrnohrad, Mykolaivka, Myroliubivka, Promin, Lysivka, Shevchenkove, Kotlyne, Udachne, Molodetske, and Zvirove.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army captured Tolstoi. The occupiers advanced west and southwest of Vilne Pole. Russian forces attempted to advance northwest of Tolstoi, north of Novoserhiyivka, north of Dachne, on the southwestern outskirts of Myrne, east of Voskresenka, advanced in the direction of Novopavlivka, and near Muravka, Kotlyarivka, Oleksiivka, Zelenyi Kut, Horikhove, Yalta, Myrne, Zaporizhzhia, Piddubne, Komar, Shevchenkove, Zelene Pole, Novopil.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces attempted to advance in the northern and southeastern parts of Kamyanske and south of Plavni, attacked near Novodanylivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Kamyanske.
General conclusion:
On the Southern Slobozhansky direction, Russian forces are attempting to expand their bridgehead on the western bank of the Oskil River and bypass Kupyansk from the north, cutting off the logistics of the "Kharkiv" Operational-Tactical Group (OTG).
Ukrainian Defense Forces for the first time used unmanned ground vehicles to conduct assault operations, captured enemy positions, and forced an enemy unit to surrender.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces attack with platoons of 20-25 military personnel, who concentrate in various areas throughout the day and operate in 2-3 groups. The enemy is attempting to seize dominant heights for UAV attacks on the logistics of the "Khortytsia" Operational-Strategic Group (OTG).
Russian forces have reduced the intensity of their attacks on the Toretsk direction.
Russian forces are attempting to break through to Kostyantynivka from the Pokrovsk direction after unsuccessful attempts to break through to the city from Chasiv Yar and Toretsk. The enemy has deployed additional forces on the Pokrovsk direction and has now concentrated approximately 100,000 military personnel.
The enemy was unable to capture Dachne; Ukrainian Defense Forces hold their positions in the village, although small enemy assault groups attempt to break through to Dachne.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 201 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk directions, 14 combat engagements occurred. The enemy launched 7 airstrikes.
On the Southern Slobozhansky direction, the aggressor assaulted Ukrainian Defense Forces positions 13 times in the areas of Vovchansk, Kamyanka, Krasne Pershe, Ambarne, and towards Lyptsi and Petro-Ivanivka.
On the Kupyansk direction, 6 enemy attacks were recorded. Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled enemy assault actions near Stepova Novoselivka, Radkivka, and towards Novoosynove.
On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 30 times, attempting to advance forward near Novyi Myr, Ridkodub, Serednie, Karpivka, Zelena Dolyna, Torske, Hrekivka, Kolodyazi, and towards Serebrianka.
On the Siversk direction, the enemy carried out 7 attacks in the areas of Serebrianka, Verkhnyokamianske, and Vyiimka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, 4 combat engagements were recorded in the areas of Bila Hora, Chasiv Yar, and Predtechyne.
On the Toretsk direction, the enemy carried out 8 attacks in the areas of Dyliivka, Shcherbynivka, Toretsk, Rusyn Yar, and towards Pleshchiivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, 61 offensive actions of the aggressor were stopped in the areas of Popiv Yar, Poltavka, Novotoretske, Myrnohrad, Novoekonomichne, Myrna, Horikhove, Myroliubivka, Mykolaivka, Promin, Lysivka, Kotlyne, Udachne, Dachne, Novoserhiyivka, Yalta, Oleksiivka, and towards Shakhove, Novopidhorodne, Pokrovsk, Razyne, and Rodynske.
On the Novopavlivka direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 29 attacks near Yalta, Myrne, Zelene Pole, Shevchenko, Vilne Pole.
On the Orikhiv direction, an enemy attack in the Novodanylivka area was successfully repelled.
On the Prydniprovske direction, the enemy made 9 unsuccessful attempts to advance towards Prydniprovske and Bilohrudyi Island.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Mediterranean Sea: 3 ships, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
Supporting operation:
There were no strikes.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 121st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army operates on the Kupyansk direction, the 16th Separate SOF Brigade operates near Kupyansk.
The 4th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army operates near Kopanky.
Artillery units of the 106th Airborne Division are observed near Chasiv Yar.
The 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army and the 3rd Separate SOF Brigade operate near Yablunivka.
The 37th Separate Railroad Brigade operates on the Pokrovsk direction.
The 35th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 41st Combined Arms Army operates near Muravka, the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Combined Arms Army operates near Fedorivka, and the 14th Separate SOF Brigade operates near Myrne.
The 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army is advancing in the direction of Velyka Novosilka.
The 70th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army operates near Mala Tokmachka, the 108th and 247th Air Assault Regiments of the 7th Air Assault Division, and the 1152nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 58th Combined Arms Army operate near Kamyanske.
Possible operation situation developments:
On the Northern Slobozhansky direction, the enemy’s “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping is trying to reach the Mala Korchakivka – Nova Sich – Maryinka – Sadky line.
On the Southern Slobozhansky direction, in the near future, the command of the Russian “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will likely attempt to build on its recent tactical success and try to seize the area of Mala Shapkivka – Kindrashivka – Tyshchenivka – Velyka Shapkivka, and break through directly to the northern outskirts of Kupyansk, in the area of Moskovka. The enemy will also attempt an attack from Holubivka toward Radkivka, aiming to capture the latter.
On the Lyman direction, the forces of the Russian “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will likely attempt to reach the line of Karlivka – Shandryholove – Drobysheve, while simultaneously advancing near Torske in an effort to enter Lyman from the east. The command of the 25th Combined Arms Army has not achieved significant results in this direction, but it is not excluded that the “Starobilsk” Operational-Tactical Group (OTG) will be forced to withdraw from the area of Kopani – Novoyehorivka – Druzhelyubivka – Cherneshchyna, in response to the enemy’s advance along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River in the direction of Bilohorivka – Serebrianka, within the operational zone of the neighboring 3rd Combined Arms Army of the “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping.
On the Siversk direction, the command of the enemy's "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping will attempt to eliminate the Siversk salient held by "Khortytsia" OSG and break through towards the Sloviansk – Kramatorsk agglomeration. The 3rd Combined Arms Army will try to break through to the northern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River between Yampil and Hryhorivka, and from the southeast – toward Siversk.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the command of the enemy’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping and the 3rd Army may shift the direction of their main strike to the north of Chasiv Yar and launch an offensive on both sides of the Bakhmut–Sloviansk road, along the directions of Orikhovo-Vasylivka–Minkivka and Blahodatne–Pryvillya. This would allow them to break through to the immediate approaches to Sloviansk directly from the southeast and create a real threat of a deep envelopment of the right flank of the “Starobilsk” Operational Tactical Group (OTG). If the enemy succeeds in achieving operational surprise along these directions and advances to tactical depth, the situation in the Kolodyazi–Hryhorivka section on the Lyman direction will deteriorate significantly for the “Kharkiv” OTG.
The enemy's “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping advanced to the northeast of Pokrovsk and will likely attempt to advance further in the coming months in order to achieve an envelopment of Pokrovsk and to bypass the “fortress belt” in Donetsk Oblast from the west. The enemy command may attempt to exploit the penetration in the Pokrovsk–Toretsk sector to envelop Pokrovsk from the northeast and north, or to bypass the defenses of the “Khortytsia” Operational and Strategic Grouping (OSG) in Kostyantynivka from the southwest and west. Further Russian advance north and west of the Razyne directly depends on the combat capability of the involved units (the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army, and the 110th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army). In order to advance west of Razyne, Russian forces would need to force the Kazennyi Torets River at several locations, which could present an obstacle to their advance. The enemy would also have to seize villages along the Pokrovsk–Oleksandrivka line in order to fully sever Ukrainian logistics.
Envelopment of Pokrovsk from the northeast would require the enemy to advance significantly toward Rodynske, seize it, and establish a strong defensive area there to enable attacks on Pokrovsk or to advance toward Novooleksandrivka in order to cut the M30 highway (Pokrovsk–Pavlohrad) and compel the “Khortytsia” OSG to withdraw from Pokrovsk under threat of encirclement. Other possible courses of action for the enemy could include an advance north of Udachne or Kotlyne to sever the M30 highway, if they manage to break through Ukrainian defenses, or an attempt to penetrate between Dobropillya and Kostyantynivka in order to bypass the “fortress belt” from the west. Russian forces will attempt to advance to Rodynske from positions in the Novoekonomichne area and force the Defense Forces to retreat from Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad under threat of encirclement, before resuming the offensive in the direction of Kostyantynivka.
The operational situation on the Novopavlivka direction is significantly more dangerous than on the Sumy direction and threatens potential negative consequences for Ukrainian Defense Forces both operationally and strategically. If the Defense Forces’ command fails to stabilize the situation in this direction in the near future, Ukraine’s military and political leadership should prepare for the possible opening of the Pavlohrad operational direction and the emergence of operational complications for the “Tavriya” OSG on the Zaporizhzhia direction. At the same time, a possible enemy offensive operation to seize the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk agglomeration should also be taken into account.
Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 10.07.25
Personnel - almost 1,030 580 (+920);
Tanks – 11,011 (+11);
Armored combat vehicles ‒ 22,972 (+3);
Artillery systems – 30,140 (+38);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,437 (+3);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,193 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 54,656 (+81);
Aircraft - 421 (0);
Helicopters – 340 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 44,781 (+324);
Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 3,445 (+6);
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
In June 2025, the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission recorded the highest number of civilian casualties in Ukraine in three years: 232 killed and 1,343 injured. In total, 6,754 people were affected in the first half of the year—54% more than in the same period of 2024. The main reasons for the increase are a tenfold rise in Russian missile and drone attacks, especially in urban areas, and the active use of short-range drones near the front line. Since the start of the full-scale war, the UN has documented at least 13,580 civilians killed and over 34,000 injured.
On the night of July 10, Russia attacked Ukraine with 415 aerial assault means, directing the main strike at Kyiv. Air defense destroyed 178 targets: 164 Shahed drones, 8 Iskander-M ballistic missiles, and 6 Kh-101 cruise missiles. Another 204 enemy objects were suppressed or lost from radar. Hits were recorded in 8 locations (33 Shaheds), and fragments of downed objects fell in 23 areas.
On the night of July 10, Kyiv suffered the most massive attack since the beginning of summer, the enemy used drones and ballistic missiles. As a result of the strike, damage was recorded in 22 locations across six districts of the city, with Shevchenkivskyi and Podilskyi districts being the most affected. Numerous fires broke out in residential buildings, warehouses, and office buildings. 2 people were killed, 24 injured (10 of them hospitalized). The attack lasted over three hours, with explosions heard until at least 5:00 AM. Due to damage to power grids, public transport routes in the city were changed.
On the night of July 10, Kyiv Oblast endured an almost 10-hour massive drone and missile attack. Four districts of the region were hit, private houses, outbuildings, and cars were damaged, and fires broke out. Significant damage to residential buildings was recorded in Brovarskyi district, a garage caught fire in Vyshhorodskyi district, and a 51-year-old man was injured and hospitalized in Obukhivskyi district.
As a result of Russian strikes on Kherson on the evening of July 9 and night of July 10, six people were injured. Around 10:30 PM, four people were affected, including a 52-year-old woman in serious condition, and an 87-year-old woman and an 85-year-old man in moderate condition. Around 00:30 AM in Dniprovskyi district, a drone attack injured a 63-year-old woman and a 41-year-old man. Around 7:00 AM on July 10, two people were injured as a result of Russian drone strikes on Dniprovskyi district. Specifically, a 74-year-old man sustained a blast injury and wounds to his legs and torso, and was hospitalized in serious condition.
On the evening of July 9, Russians dropped an aerial bomb on the Mezhivska community in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, injuring two people—a 43-year-old rescuer and his 40-year-old wife. The attack destroyed their house, caused a fire over an area of 300 m², and damaged about 20 more houses, a shop, power lines, and a gas pipeline. The injured were hospitalized.
As a result of artillery shelling of the village of Myrne, Kupyansk district, on July 10, two civilians were affected: a 57-year-old man was hospitalized with head and chest injuries, and a 66-year-old woman with an acute stress reaction received on-site assistance.
Russian forces attacked the Pokrovsk community of Nikopol district with an FPV drone: a 67-year-old man sustained injuries and, despite hospitalization in extremely serious condition, died in the hospital.