Russia's war on Ukraine. 10.03.25
Operational situation
On the Kursk direction, the 34th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 49th Combined Arms Army captured Malaya Loknia, the 51st Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division took Lebedevka, and the 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 72nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 44th Army Corps seized Pravda and Kubatkin. Russian forces captured Novaya Sorochina and Ivashkivskyi and reached the line along the Malaya Loknia–Sudzha railway. The 106th Airborne Division advanced toward Kozacha Loknia. The enemy, including up to two battalions of the Armed Forces of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, advanced into the industrial zone in the northeast of Sudzha, the hold positions in the city along the eastern bank of the Sudzha River, and attempt to advance toward Knyazhe-1, Knyazhe-2, and the Zamostia district. The 810th Separate Marines Brigade of the Black Sea Fleet attacked near Guevo.
The "Siversk" Operational and Tactical Group (OTG) holds individual positions in Malaya Loknia, Cherkasskoe Porechie, and Martynovka, but most units withdrew from positions in the northern part of the salient in the direction of Kozacha Loknia and Sudzha. The maneuver is complicated by destroyed bridges.
In Sumy Oblast, Russian forces captured Novenke, advanced toward Milove and Hoholivka, and attacked near the Sudzha border crossing.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Milove and Honcharivka.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces continued their offensive but did not advance, attacking near Vovchansk.
On the Kupyansk direction, the 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army unsuccessfully advanced between Fiholivka and the Oskil River. Russian forces attacked near Kindrashivka, Petro-Ivanivka, Petropavlivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Lozova, Nova Kruhlyakivka, and Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces advanced toward Nove, Zelena Dolyna, and in the areas of Myrne, Yampolivka, Zhuravka, Ivanivka, Kolodyazi, in the direction of Novomykhailivka, and near Torske.
On the Siversk direction, Russian forces advanced north of Verkhnyokamianske, continued assaults in the Bilohorivka area toward Serebrianka and in the Verkhnyokamianske area.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces continued assaults on Chasiv Yar, including in the "Zakhidne Selyshche" district, near Hryhorivka, and toward Stupochky and Bila Hora.
On the Toretsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the center of Toretsk and recaptured the “Avanhard” stadium, counterattacking in various areas of the city.
Russian forces advanced in the western part of Toretsk, continued offensive operations in the areas of Druzhba and Dachne.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced along Polova Street in the southeast of Lysivka and south of the village, repelled an enemy attack toward Zaporizhzhia, and are counterattacking near Uspenivka and Shevchenkove.
Russian forces attacked near Pokrovsk, Tarasivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Dachenske, Shevchenkove, Vidrodzhennya, Kotlyne, Nadiivka, Preobrazhenka, Novooleksandrivka, Troitske, Bohdanivka, and Serhiivka. The 41st and 2nd Combined Arms Armies attempt to regain lost positions near Kotlyne, Pishchane, Shevchenkove, Uspenivka, and Dachenske.
On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces captured Konstyantynopil, advanced in the areas of Ulakly, Bahatyr, and Rozlyv.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces conducted offensive actions in the areas of Stepove, Shcherbaky, Pyatykhatky, Charivne, and toward Kamianske.
General conclusion:
On the Kursk direction, enemy forces attempt to eliminate the northern part of the operational zone of the "Siversk" OTG in Kursk Oblast, having significantly increased combat intensity over the past few days.
On the Kupyansk direction, the "Khortytsia" Operational and Strategic Group (OSG) has driven the enemy out of positions in Synkivka.
The enemy’s 6th Combined Arms Army is becoming increasingly involved in battles on the western bank of the Oskil River.
Russian forces have the initiative south of Pokrovsk, near Pishchane, Vidrodzhennya, and Zelene.
There is a temporal correlation between the suspension of intelligence sharing by the United States with Ukraine on March 5 and the intensification of the Russian Armed Forces' offensive in Kursk Oblast on March 6-7.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 140 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kharkiv direction, five enemy attacks were repelled near Vovchansk. The aggressor carried out airstrikes on Prudyanka, Vovchanski Khutory, and Slatyne.
On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy carried out four attacks near Lozova, Petropavlivka, and Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces stormed Ukrainian defensive positions 11 times in the areas of Balka Zhuravka, Novolyubivka, Myrne, Ivanivka, and Yampolivka.
On the Siversk direction, Ukrainian troops repelled 20 enemy attacks. Occupation units are attempting to advance in the areas of Bilohorivka, Verkhnyokamianske, and toward Serebrianka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled four enemy attacks near Chasiv Yar, Hryhorivka, and toward Stupochky and Bila Hora.
On the Toretsk direction, occupiers stormed Ukrainian Defense Forces’ positions 17 times today in the areas of Toretsk, Druzhba, and Dachne.
On the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy carried out 31 assaults. The highest activity of Russian occupiers remains in the areas of Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Dachenske, Kotlyne, Nadiivka, Preobrazhenka, Andriivka, and Ulakly. The enemy carried out airstrikes on Zorya, Popiv Yar, and Udachne.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy attempted to break through five times near Skudne, Burlatske, and Konstyantynopil.
On the Huliaypole direction, attacks took place in the areas of Novopil and Pryvilne.
On the Orikhiv direction, occupiers advanced four times near Stepove, Nesteryanka, and Shcherbaky. Airstrikes targeted the Stepove and Kamianske areas.
On the Kursk direction, the "Siversk" OTG repelled 27 enemy attacks. The enemy carried out 20 airstrikes.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
Mediterranean Sea: 4 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 26 cruise missiles.
Supporting operation:
Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Novokuybyshevsk Oil Refinery of Public JSC Rosneft in Samara Oblast, targeting a hydrotreatment unit.
The day before, a strike was carried out on the oil depot of the Burevestnik Plant in Cheboksary (Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation).
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army attacks toward Zahryzove and Kolisnykivka. The 4th Tank Division and the 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Tank Army operate in the Lozova-Kopanky direction.
The 3rd and 144th Motorized Rifle Divisions of the 20th Combined Arms Army engage near Makiivka and Ivanivka. The 67th Motorized Rifle Division and the 164th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 25th Combined Arms Army act along the Terna-Yampolivka-Torske line.
The 217th Airborne Regiment of the 98th Airborne Division and the 200th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 14th Army Corps unsuccessfully attack the northern outskirts of Chasiv Yar and the area near Hryhorivka.
The 102nd and 103rd Motorized Rifle Regiments, along with the 174th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army, engage in combat in Toretsk.
The 74th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 41st Combined Arms Army operates near Shevchenkove, while the 506th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Combined Arms Army engages in Uspenivka.
The 61st Separate Marines Brigade of the Northern Fleet operates on the eastern bank of Kherson Oblast.
Possible operation situation developments:
The plan for the enemy's spring-summer offensive campaign in the Southwestern Theater of Operations may be as follows: a simultaneous breakthrough towards Kostyantynivka and Druzhkivka from the south and southeast (from the direction of Toretsk and Vozdvyzhenka), as well as from the northeast (from the direction of Chasiv Yar), followed by an advance towards Kramatorsk from the south while simultaneously advancing towards Slovyansk with the forces of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies of the "Zapad (West)" Operational Grouping through Lyman.
If enemy forces of the "Sever (North)" Operational Grouping secure and expand their bridgehead in the Dvorichna area, they will be positioned to push further into Kharkiv Oblast, broadening the so-called "sanitary zone." This could be achieved through simultaneous advances toward Velykyi Burluk from the bridgehead and from Vovchansk. Another likely course of action is an offensive against the Kupyansk defense sector of "Khortytsia" OSG, coordinated with the 1st Tank Army of the enemy's "Zapad (West)" Operational Grouping.
On the Lyman direction, in the near future, the command of the 25th Combined Arms Army of the enemy's "Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will attempt to accomplish its immediate task by deploying the 169th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade into the operation and attacking the positions of "Khortytsia" OSG along the Kreminna–Zarichne road toward Torske.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the encirclement of Chasiv Yar from the south by advancing toward Stupochky will be a priority for the command of the 3rd Combined Arms Army and the 98th Airborne Division of the enemy. To achieve this, the enemy may redeploy additional forces from the 85th or 88th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 3rd Combined Arms Army to this direction from the southern sector.
The operational plan of the 8th Combined Arms Army on the Kostyantynivka direction is to envelop the tactical group of the "Khortytsia" OSG, which is defending south of Kostyantynivka between Oleksandropil and Tarasivka from the flanks. The enemy aims to encircle and destroy this group or, if unable to do so, force it to withdraw from the area south of Kostyantynivka in a northwestern direction under the threat of encirclement. The ultimate goal of these actions is a two-pronged breakthrough from the southwest and southeast toward the area of Stepanivka – Berestok – Pleshchiivka – Yablunivka, followed by a simultaneous assault on Kostyantynivka from this area and from the direction of Chasiv Yar. After the reaching the Poltavka–Pleshchiivka line, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army, reinforced by an airborne forces group, will attempt a rapid breakthrough from the bridgehead on the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal in the Chasiv Yar area, advancing from the northeast toward Kostyantynivka.
The command of the enemy’s "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping will attempt to organize a breakthrough toward Komar on the Huliaypole direction in the near future and advance into the operational rear of "Khortytsia" OSG which is engaged in heavy defensive battles on the Novopavlivka direction.
Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 10.03.25
Personnel - almost 886,320 (+1,190);
Tanks – 10,292 (+18);
Armored combat vehicles – 21,400 (+40);
Artillery systems – 24,271 (+65);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,311 (+1);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,102 (+1);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 40,071 (+138);
Aircraft - 370 (0);
Helicopters – 331 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 28,603 (+241);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 3,120 (0)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
On the night of March 10, Russia launched another attack on Ukraine, deploying 176 strike UAVs, including Shahed-type kamikaze drones and decoy drones. As of 08:00, 130 strike UAVs had been confirmed shot down. Forty-two decoy drones lost orientation and failed to reach their targets. Damage was reported to infrastructure in Kharkiv, Poltava, and Kyiv Oblasts.
On the night of March 10, Russian aviation struck the village of Blakytne in the Zaporizhzhia district with guided aerial bombs. As a result of the attack, two men were injured, and residential buildings were damaged.
During the night of March 10, Russian occupiers attacked Poltava Oblast with drones. There were no casualties, but residential buildings, vehicles, agricultural equipment, and power lines sustained damage.
Three residents of the Dnipro district of Kherson were injured due to Russian drone attacks on the morning of March 10. A 35-year-old and a 39-year-old man were inside a vehicle when Russian forces dropped an explosive device from a drone. A 50-year-old man was hit while outside. Later in the day, a 54-year-old civilian was wounded during a Russian shelling in the Dnipro district of Kherson.
On Monday, Russian occupiers shelled Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast twice: one person was killed, and another was injured.
Russian forces attacked the village of Inzhenerne near Kherson with a drone, injuring two civilians.
On March 9 at 23:40, Russian strike drones attacked a poultry complex and an agricultural enterprise in Pokrovske, Izium District, Kharkiv Oblast, causing a fire and damaging hangars, equipment, and refrigeration units.
In Kharkiv Oblast on March 9, a Russian drone dropped an explosive device on a residential area in the village of Ivashky, Zolochiv community, killing three people and injuring another woman.
As of January 31, approximately 4.3 million people who fled Ukraine due to Russia’s full-scale invasion held temporary protection status in EU countries, according to Eurostat.