Russia's war on Ukraine. 10.02.25
Operational situation
On the Kursk direction, “Siversk” OTG advanced southeast of Sudzha near Russkaya Konopelka, Fanaseevka, along the 38K-028 Sudzha–Oboyan highway southwest of Russkaya Konopelka.
The enemy counterattacked in the areas of Sverdlivkovo, Nikolskiy, Malaya Loknia, and Cherkasskya Konopelka.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces attacked near Vovchansk; enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups are active on the outskirts of Lyptsi.
"Kharkiv" OTG advanced near the Vovchansk Aggregate Plant.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops advanced in the areas of Petropavlivka, Bohuslavka, Zahryzove, Zelenyi Hai, and Novoserhiyivka, attempting to push west of Zapadne.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces unsuccessfully attempted to advance toward Novoe, in the area of Torske, conducted reconnaissance near Kolodyaz, and tried to advance near Novolyubivka, south of Ivanivka, within the boundaries of Yampolivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked northwest of Ivanivka.
On the Siversk direction, Russian forces tried unsuccessfully to bypass Ukrainian positions near Bilohorivka on motorcycles.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian troops unsuccessfully advanced near Chasiv Yar and Bila Hora, fought for control of Orikhovo-Vasylivka, and advanced north and south of the village. The enemy covered a two-kilometer stretch of the Bakhmut–Chasiv Yar road with nets for protection from Ukrainian UAV strikes
On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces advanced near Toretsk, in the areas of Krymske and Shcherbynivka, and along Klymenko Street in Leonidivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced near Pokrovsk, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Novotoretske, Vodyane Druhe, Novooleksandrivka, Kalynove, Zelenyi Hai, Lysivka, Shevchenkove, Kotlyne, Preobrazhenka, Pishchane, Nadiivka, Novoserhiyivka, Sribne, Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia, Novoandriivka, and Udachne.
They stormed south of Yasenove. Enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups were observed on the outskirts of Pokrovsk, advancing west of Zvirove, north of Novoyelyzavetivka, within the southeastern part of Malynivka, fighting for Udachne, and attempting to advance northeast of Zvirove toward Sribne.
Minefields hinder enemy movement near Kotlyne.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Kotlyne, Zvirove, toward Nadiivka, Sribne, and Pishchane, advancing near Mine No. 3.
On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian troops unsuccessfully attacked near Shevchenkove, Andriivka, Konstyantynopil, Dachne, and Rozlyv, attempting to advance toward Ulakly and along Haharina Street in Andriivka.
Zelenivka remains in the gray zone.
On the Huliaypole direction, Russian troops advanced near Velyka Novosilka, attacked near Novopil, and advanced northeast near Novyi Komar.
General conclusion:
Russian troops continue to bypass Pokrovsk from the west and constantly bring reinforcements to the area.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 99 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kharkiv direction, 3 enemy attacks were repelled near Vovchansk and Fiholivka.
On the Kupyansk direction, 7 enemy assaults occurred. The Defense Forces repelled enemy storming actions near Bohuslavka, Stepova Novosilka, Holubivka, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Petropavlivka, and Zahryzove.
On the Lyman direction, 10 enemy attacks were recorded as they tried to advance near Zelenyi Hai, Novoserhiyivka, Yampolivka, Kolodyazi, Kopanky, and Novolyubivka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, 2 clashes were reported near Chasiv Yar.
On the Toretsk direction, 13 enemy attacks occurred near Toretsk, Krymske, and Shcherbynivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, 33 enemy assaults were stopped in the areas of Zelenyi Hai, Vodyane Druhe, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Pishchane, Udachne, Novooleksandrivka, Andriivka, and Dachne.
On the Novopavlivka direction, With active air support, the enemy tried to break through 10 times near Kostiantynopil without success.
In the operational zone in Kursk Oblast, 18 attacks were repelled, and the enemy carried out 39 airstrikes.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
Mediterranean Sea: 6 ships, including 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 22 cruise missiles.
Supporting operation:
Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Afipsky Oil Refinery in Slavyansk-na-Kubani, Krasnodar Krai.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 16th Separate SOF Brigade operates near Zarichne.
The 40th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet is active near Novoukrainka. Reconnaissance units of the 90th Tank Division of the 41st Combined Arms Army operate near Zaporizhzhia, while the 6th Tank Regiment of the 90th Tank Division is concentrated in the immediate rear near Selydove.
The 102nd and 103rd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army are engaged near Dachne.
Possible operation situation developments:
Once the enemy sufficiently expands its bridgeheads on the Chornyi Zherebets River, the 25th Army, with forces of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division and the 164th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, will sharply intensify actions toward Torske and Yampolivka. This will mark the second stage of pushing "Khortytsia" OSG out of the bridgehead east of the Chornyi Zherebets River on the Lyman direction. To implement this plan, the command of "Zapad (West)" Operational Grouping will need to expand the bridgehead on the Chornyi Zherebets River to a size sufficient for concentrating an assault grouping and find additional forces and resources.
On the Kramatorsk direction, the "Khortytsia" OSG units will be forced to retreat to the Kostyantynivka area if the enemy reaches the Chervone–Stupochky line and simultaneously launches an offensive northward at the junction of its 41st and 51st Combined Arms Armies from the Novooleksandrivka–Arkhanhelske line, advancing to the Yablunivka–Oleksandro-Kalynove line on the Toretsk direction.
The further enemy actions on the Novopavlivka direction will aim to prevent the consolidation of "Khortytsia" OSG units in the Rozlyv–Konstyantynopil–Andriivka–Ulakly area. The Russian military command is likely to simultaneously intensify pressure with forces from the 90th Tank Division and increase efforts in the operational zone of "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping. Troops from the 8th Combined Arms Army (20th and 150th Motorized Rifle Divisions) of the "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping are expected to participate in these actions, with some units likely being redeployed after the withdrawal of the "Khortytsia" OSG from the remaining positions at the Kurakhove bridgehead.
The most likely course of enemy actions in the operational zone of the "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping may involve the capture of the Novodarivka–Novopil–Zelene Pole–Novosilka area, followed by an attempted breakthrough toward Bahatyr and Komar. To accomplish this, the 57th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army and part of the forces of the 34th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 49th Combined Arms Army (whose main forces operate in Kursk Oblast) will be redeployed from the right flank of the Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping to the operational zone of the 5th Combined Arms Army. The 36th Combined Arms Army will be fully deployed east of the Mokri Yaly River and reinforced with the 40th and 336th Separate Marines Brigades. The 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army will be moved into reserve and later used to develop the offensive toward Komar and Bahatyr. Securing this initial objective will enable the command of the Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping to create highly favorable conditions for an offensive by the 35th Combined Arms Army on the Huliaypole direction. A breakthrough to Bahatyr and Komar would allow the enemy to achieve operational success across the entire Novopavlivka direction.
The command of the enemy's "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping will soon continue attacks toward the Donetsk–Zaporizhzhia highway along the Mokri Yaly River and will additionally deploy part of the units from the 60th and 34th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades into the operation.
Exhausted by losses and intense battles over the past month, the enemy will not be able to quickly pursue "Khortytsia" OSG whose units are retreating from Velyka Novosilka. More and more enemy units are being withdrawn and redeployed to the Pokrovsk direction. Additionally, the enemy will not be able to break through to Zaporizhzhia or Dnipropetrovsk oblasts, as they lack the necessary troops, funds, and resources. The plan to collapse the southern Ukrainian front and advance toward Zaporizhzhia is unfeasible for the same reason.
If the Russian military command plans to prioritize the capture of the "fortress belt" in Donetsk Oblast in the spring and summer of 2025, it will be forced to intensify operational activity on the Toretsk direction in the near future. At the same time, capturing Pokrovsk will remain the primary operational objective of the Russian military command in Donetsk Oblast. Consequently, the redeployment of Eastern Military District troops to the Toretsk or Kramatorsk directions would signify a shift in the operational priorities of the occupying forces.
Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 10.02.25
Personnel - almost 850,490 (+1,170);
Tanks 10,001 (+9);
Armored combat vehicles – 20,813 (+16);
Artillery systems – 22,879 (+35);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,273 (0);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,059 (+3);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 36,638 (+109);
Aircraft - 370 (0);
Helicopters – 331 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 24,623 (+137);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 3,054 (0)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
From the evening of February 9, Russian occupiers attacked Ukraine with 83 Shahed-type strike UAVs and various types of decoy drones; 61 drones were shot down, while 22 were lost from radar.
At night in Sumy, an enemy Shahed hit a car parking lot in a residential area, damaging many cars and breaking windows in apartment buildings. One woman was injured and hospitalized.
In the evening and at night, Russian troops shelled Nikopol Raion in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with Grad systems and heavy artillery, damaging two industrial enterprises, residential buildings, a shop, a car, and power lines. No casualties were reported.
On the night of February 10 in Beryslav, Kherson Oblast, a Russian drone dropped an explosive device on a man. He died on the spot from his injuries.
Late in the evening of February 9, the Russians struck Kramatorsk using an FAB-500 bomb with a guided module. A densely populated residential area was hit. Seventeen people were injured, and one person was killed.
On the evening of February 9, the Russian army carried out an airstrike on the village of Kozacha Loknia in Kursk Oblast, Russia, which is currently under the control of the Ukrainian army. Four people, including an 11-year-old boy, were injured.
Around 16:20, the Russian army hit the central part of Kherson with artillery. A shell struck a multi-story building. A 59-year-old woman suffered blast trauma and a concussion and was taken to the hospital in moderate condition.
Russian forces shelled the city of Kupiansk in Kharkiv Oblast, causing a private house to catch fire. A 99-year-old woman was injured.
In Kherson Oblast, a 60-year-old resident of Veletenske was injured by a Russian explosive device, and in Stiyke, a 51-year-old man was wounded by a landmine.
As of December 31, 2024, about 4.3 million people who left Ukraine due to Russia’s full-scale invasion have temporary protection status in EU countries, according to Eurostat.
Ukrenergo reports an increase in electricity consumption in the country. As of 7:30 a.m., consumption levels were 1.9% higher than at the same time on the previous working day, Friday. The daily consumption peak on February 9 was recorded in the evening, 8.6% higher than on Sunday, February 2. The main reason is a significant drop in air temperature. From 06:00 to 21:00, power restrictions are applied to industry and businesses.
Since the beginning of 2025, 17 Ukrainians have been returned from temporarily occupied territories, according to Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets.
In temporarily occupied Berdyansk, a laboratory for unmanned aerial systems has opened, effectively preparing schoolchildren for participation in the war against Ukraine. The lab is equipped with quadcopter kits, UAV control systems, and training stands to practice skills necessary for reconnaissance and artillery fire adjustment.