Russia’s war on Ukraine. 10.01.26
Operational situation
On the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces advanced north of Hrabovske, attacked near Oleksiivka and Andriivka, and toward Mala Korchakivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Andriivka. Strikes by the Defense Forces against Russian troops complicate the evacuation of their wounded in Yunakivka, Oleksiivka, and Andriivka.
On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Prylipka, Starytsia, Vovchansk, Zelene, Buhruvatka, Vovchanski Khutory, Vilcha, Lyman, and Khatnie, but did not advance.
On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces fought for Tyshchenkivka and attacked near Kupiansk, Fyholivka, Petropavlivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Kurylivka, Myrove, Bohuslavka, Novoyehorivka, Novovodyane, and Hrekivka, toward Borova, Nova Kruhlyakivka, and Olhivka, and attempted to advance on the eastern outskirts of Lozova, near Podoly.
On the Lyman Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance toward Svyatohirsk and attacked near Lyman and Novoselivka, toward Drobysheve, Stavky, Kolodyazi, Myrne, and Maslyakivka.
On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance southeast of Zakytne and attacked near Siversk, Dronivka, Platonivka, Riznykivka, and Fedorivka.
On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Russian forces advanced in the western part of Novomarkove, northwest of Stupochky, and northwest of Ivanopillya, attempted to advance east of Novodmytrivka, and attacked near and inside Kostyantynivka, toward Stinky, near Chasiv Yar, Novodmytrivka, Minkivka, Oleksandro-Shultyne, Pleshchiivka, Stupochky, Berestok, Yablunivka, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, and Sofiivka.
On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Shakhove, Nove Shakhove, Dorizhne, Hryshyne, Rodynske, Razyne, Sukhetske, Zatyshok, and Krasnyi Lyman, toward Bilytske, near Myrnohrad, Kotlyne, Udachne, and Molodetske, toward Kucheriv Yar, near Zapovidne and Ivanivka, and are operating in the northern part of Pokrovsk.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Hryshyne.
On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces advanced near Novopavlivka, Novoserhiyivka, Dachne, Filiya, Oleksandrivka, Piddubne, Ivanivka, Sichneve, Krasnohirske, Sosnivka, and Vyshneve.
On the Huliaypole Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced on the western outskirts of Pryluky and counterattacked near Huliaypole, Zelene, and Dobropillya.
The 394th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army attempted to advance north and southeast of Svyatopetrivka. Russian forces attacked near and within Huliaypole, near Pryluky and Bratske, toward Prydorozhne, Rizdvyanka, Svyatopetrivka, Vozdvyzhenka, Zelene, Yehorivka, Andriivka, Varvarivka, Solodke, Zlahoda, and Rybne, toward Zalizne and Staroukrainka.
On the Orikhiv Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces operate in the center of Stepnohirsk and counterattacked near Prymorske.
Russian forces attacked near Stepnohirsk, Pavlivka, Mali Shcherbaky, Prymorske, and Lukyanivske, toward Novoyakovlivka.
On the Prydniprovske Direction, Russian forces attacked near the Antonivskyi Bridge.
Supporting operation:
Ukrainian Defense Forces conducted a UAV strike on the LUKOIL-Volgograd Refinery in Volgograd.
Ukrainian Special Operations Forces struck an ammunition depot of the 51st Combined Arms Army in Hirne, Donetsk Oblast, and a 50N6E radar from the S-350 Vityaz air defense system in Donetsk Oblast.
General conclusion:
The 136th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 58th Combined Arms Army was redeployed from Vovchansk to the Chasiv Yar area to replace the 71st Motorized Rifle Division of the 14th Army Corps. UAV units of the 136th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade strike Ukrainian forces in Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka. The commander of the 136th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, Colonel Erik Selimov, was killed on 4 January in a car accident near Alchevsk, Luhansk Oblast.
Russian forces carried out a missile strike with an “Oreshnik” intermediate-range ballistic missile from the Kapustin Yar test range in Astrakhan Oblast against a target in Lviv Oblast.
On the Pokrovsk direction, an average of about 50 combat engagements per day take place. Russian forces attempt to increase pressure on Ukrainian defenses by moving additional reserves into the area and conduct infiltrations and continuous assaults.
Units of the 7th Rapid Reaction Corps of the Air Assault Forces of Ukrainian Defense Forces hold Myrnohrad, but the situation remains difficult, as Russian forces continue to concentrate troops in the southern part of Myrnohrad and on the northeastern outskirts of the city. The enemy has intensified infiltration missions toward the center of Myrnohrad, is adjusting tactics to local conditions, and is increasing attempts to penetrate the city.
The commander of the 2nd Battalion of the 237th Air Assault Regiment of the 76th Air Assault Division ordered subordinates to execute Ukrainian prisoners of war near Pokrovsk. An increase in Russian war crimes is observed on the Huliaypole and Pokrovsk directions.
Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:
There were 171 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy attacked Ukrainian defensive positions 10 times in the areas of Prylipka, Starytsia, Vovchansk, and Zelene.
On the Kupyansk Direction, the enemy carried out 7 attempts to advance in the area of Stepova Novoselivka and toward Bohuslavka and Nova Kruhlyakivka.
On the Lyman Direction, the enemy attacked 14 times, attempting to penetrate Ukrainian defenses in the areas of Novovodyane, Novoyehorivka, Kolodyazi, Drobysheve, and Myrne.
On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces halted the enemy’s offensive action in the area of Platonivka.
On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy conducted 21 attacks near Stupochky, Kostyantynivka, Oleksandro-Shultyne, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Rusyn Yar, and Yablunivka, and toward Sofiivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, 43 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Razyne, Shakhove, Nykanorivka, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Udachne, and Novoserhiyivka, and toward Novopavlivka and Filiya.
On the Oleksandrivka direction, the enemy carried out 20 attacks in the areas of Piddubne, Sosnivka, Verbove, Vyshneve, Rybne, Yehorivka, and Krasnohirske.
On the Huliaypole Direction, 27 enemy attempts to advance were stopped in the areas of Solodke, Huliaypole, Varvarivka, and Zelene.
On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy attempted an offensive in the area of Stepove and was repelled.
On the Prydniprovske Direction, the enemy attempted to improve its position in the area of the Antonivskyi Bridge but was unsuccessful.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 352nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps strikes Ukrainian positions in the eastern part of Kurylivka.
The 85th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army shells Ukrainian positions north of Mykolaivka and Nykyforivka; the 164th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 25th Combined Arms Army strikes Ukrainian positions in the northern part of Raihorodka; the 88th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army operates in Kalenyky; the 7th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the Army operates near Zakytne.
The 1st Battalion of the 78th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army operates west of Ivanopillya; the 163rd Tank Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates near Sofiivka; the 242nd Motorized Rifle Regiment and the 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operate near Novopavlivka and Rayske.
The 9th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army operates near Rodynske.
The 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army operates near Bratske; the 14th Separate SOF Brigade operates on the western bank of the Khaychur River.
Possible operation situation developments:
On the Southern Slobozhanske Direction, the enemy will attempt to capture Vovchansk, attempt to break through in the area of Tsehelne toward the Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv road and the highway to Rubizhne with the forces of a tactical grouping (elements of the 6th Combined Arms Army, the 11th and the 44th Army Corps). These actions will slow the enemy’s advance along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets to Bilyi Kolodyaz, Verkhnya Pysarivka and Buhayivka.
On the Kupyansk Direction, the enemy will hold its bridgehead in the Dvorichna and simultaneously will develop an offensive by the 47th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army east of the city. The troops of the 6th Combined Arms Army will envelop the defense area of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces near Kolodyazne, will attack in the Milove – Ambarne and Krasne Pershe – Novovasylivka Directions, and will break through in the Dvorichna – Ridkodub Direction. Enemy troops have been tasked with capturing Kupyansk by February 2026.
The defeat of the enemy “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping in Kupyansk complicates and delays the seizure of the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk agglomeration. The successes of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Kupyansk Direction will not allow Russian forces to exploit the advance of the troops of the 25th Combined Arms Army near Lyman and the 3rd Combined Arms Army near Siversk, thereby slowing the movement toward Sloviansk. Enemy forces will need to force the Siverskyi Donets River in the Lyman Direction to reach Sloviansk and secure their flanks against a possible counterstrike by Ukrainian Defense Forces from the Izium area. Russian forces are unable to develop an offensive toward Sloviansk from the Siversk Direction, as they do not have a sufficient number of troops there to conduct a frontal assault on the city.
On the Lyman Direction, the enemy’s 20th Combined Arms Army will attempt to seize the Yarova – Novoselivka – Drobysheve – Pryshyb area and block the Lyman – Izium logistics route along the northern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River. The 25th Combined Arms Army will continue its offensive east and southeast of Lyman in order to reach the Dibrova – Ozerne line and create a favorable initial position for an assault on Lyman from the south and southeast and will attempt to seize Zakitne and consolidate on the dominant heights. In addition, through actions on this Direction, the enemy seeks to support the 3rd Combined Arms Army, which is advancing toward Sloviansk along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River. The troops of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies will advance north and east of Lyman with the aim of isolating the defense area of the 3rd Army Corps of the Ukrainian Defense Forces around the city from the north and northwest, in order to reach the Siverskyi Donets River south of the city on the Raihorodok – Zakitne section.
By maintaining control of a bridgehead on the Siverskyi Donets river, 3rd Army Corps of the Ukrainian Defense Forces will make it much more challenging for the enemy to launch an offensive towards Sloviansk from this direction.
On the Sloviansk Direction, the 3rd Combined Arms Army will attempt to break through from the Dronivka – Siversk line to the Zakitne – Riznykivka – Kalenyky – Kryva Luka area, facilitating the offensive on Lyman by the troops of the 25th Combined Arms Army. The advance of the 3rd Combined Arms Army along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River in a westward direction will allow the command of the enemy “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping not only to concentrate the main forces of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies for the assault on Lyman without diverting them to block Defense Forces positions along the river, but also to ensure maneuver by troops within the zones of the 3rd, 20th, and 25th Combined Arms Armies across the Siverskyi Donets River outside the fire influence of Ukrainian Defense Forces.
Ukrainian Defense Forces will seek opportunities to slow the enemy advance along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River toward Raihorodok and Sloviansk.
On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy command will attempt to conduct a deep envelopment of Kostyantynivka from the north, east, and southeast and to break through from the southwest to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, that is, to enter the deep rear of the 19th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces defending in Kostyantynivka and to its south and southwest. Enemy troops will advance in the general direction of Volodymyrivka – Rayske to reach the near approaches to Druzhkivka and will attempt to break through from the east and northeast to the Bilokuzmynivka – Virolyubivka – Izhevka – Kurtivka area. Simultaneously, the enemy will conduct a frontal offensive within the defense zone of the 12th “Azov” Separate SOF Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine. The troops of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps will advance to the Novodmytrivka – Chervone line, collapsing the defense of the 24th Separate Mechanized Brigade of the 11th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in Chasiv Yar by an offensive from the south. The aggressor will attack along both banks of the Kazennyi Torets River in the Sofiivka area, attempt to seize the village, and advance toward Novopavlivka and Torske. In the offensive zone of the 8th Combined Arms Army, the enemy will advance in the general direction of Volodymyrivka – Sofiivka.
The Pokrovsk–Myrnohrad defense area of the 7th Rapid Reaction Corps of the Air Assault Forces of Ukrainian Defense Forces will be seized by the enemy by the end of January 2026. By capturing Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, the enemy gains the chance to launch an offensive toward Dobropillya and potentially break through rapidly, with the 2nd Combined Arms Army advancing from Pokrovsk and the 51st Combined Arms Army moving from the bridgehead on the Kazennyi Torets River. The command of the enemy “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping will not be able to bypass/envelop the defense area of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the flanks, as the Defense Forces firmly hold the Vilne – Novyi Donbas line, leaving only a frontal offensive on Dobropillya, which will entail enormous losses.
On the Oleksandrivka and Huliaypole Directions, the enemy’s “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping will attempt to envelop the Huliaypole defensive area of Ukrainian Defense Forces from the north, block its main lines of communication, reach the Huliaypole–Pokrovske road on the Dobropillya–Varvarivka section, reach the Khaychur River, force it in the Danylivka–Dobropillya area, and encircle Huliaypole from the northwest. Forces of the 36th Combined Arms Army and elements of the right flank of the 5th Combined Arms Army will attempt to break through toward Pokrovske from the southeast.
On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy will try to break through toward Novomykolayivka to bypass the Orikhiv defensive area of Ukrainian Defense Forces from the north. The enemy “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping will attempt to collapse the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine southeast of Zaporizhzhia and break through to its near approaches, advancing along the Donetsk–Zaporizhzhia highway. Simultaneously, acting from the south, the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will attempt to break through from the Plavni–Kamianske line along the left bank of the Dnipro River toward Stepnohirsk, and from the Stepove–Mali Shcherbaky line in the northern direction with the aim of reaching the near approaches to the city of Zaporizhzhia.
On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 10.01.26
Personnel - almost 1,217 810 (+880);
Tanks – 11,530 (+4);
Armored combat vehicles ‒ 23,882 (0);
Artillery systems – 35,908 (+16);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,597 (+1);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,269 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 73,510 (+84);
Aircraft - 434 (0);
Helicopters – 347 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 103,414 (+653);
Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,155 (+18);
Boats/ships – 30 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
On the night of 10 January, the enemy attacked Ukraine with one Iskander-M ballistic missile and 121 UAVs, of which the Air Force shot down or suppressed 94. Missile and UAV strikes were recorded at 15 locations, as well as the fall of debris at one location. As of the morning, the attack was ongoing.
On the night of 10 January, the enemy carried out a massive UAV attack on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, as a result of which three people were injured: a 44-year-old man and a 58-year-old woman in Kryvyi Rih, and a 34-year-old man in Dnipro. According to the head of the Oblast Military Administration, Oleksandr Hanha, despite the downing of 27 UAVs, fires broke out in Kryvyi Rih and the surrounding area, infrastructure was damaged, and power outages occurred. In Dnipro and the surrounding area, infrastructure was also damaged, power supply disruptions were recorded, and a fire broke out in a garage cooperative, where two garages were destroyed and another 27 were damaged.
As a result of the nighttime Russian strike on Dnipro on the night of 10 January, as of 13:00 more than 50,000 people remained without electricity.
On the morning of 10 January, explosions were heard in Odesa as a result of an enemy strike on industrial infrastructure in Odesa district. An empty tank was damaged on the territory of a port enterprise and insulation caught fire, but there were no casualties.
As a result of a Russian strike on Sloviansk on 10 January, seven civilians were wounded: five men and two women aged between 34 and 70. The occupiers dropped a FAB-250 aerial bomb with a UMPK guidance kit on dense residential areas, which led to damage to private and apartment buildings, a shop, a garage, and a vehicle.
During the day on 10 January, Russian forces struck an infrastructure facility in the Slobidskyi district of Kharkiv, and missile debris fell near apartment buildings. The consequences of the attack are being clarified.
As a result of enemy attacks on 10 January, a 68-year-old man was killed in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and three more elderly people were wounded. In Donetsk Oblast, at least three people were killed (two in Yarova and one in Kostyantynivka) and nine were wounded, seven of them in Sloviansk. In Zaporizhzhia Oblast, an air bomb strike on Yurkivka destroyed a house and wounded a 56-year-old man, while in Kharkiv Oblast, a 38-year-old man was injured as a result of a massive UAV attack on critical infrastructure and residential areas of Lozova.
As of 18:00 on 10 January, power engineers had restored electricity to another 60,000 households in Kyiv; in total, following the massive strike on 8 January, power had already been restored to 648,000 homes. At the same time, emergency power outages are still being applied on the left bank of the capital and in the Holosiivskyi and Pecherskyi districts.