Russia's war on Ukraine. 09.11.24
Russia's war on Ukraine. 09.11.24
Operational situation
In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) "Kharkiv" on the Kharkiv direction, the enemy unsuccessfully attacked Ukrainian defensive lines near Vovchansk 4 times and conducted airstrikes on Vovchansk, Odnorobivka, and Kharkiv.
In the "Khortytsia" Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, the enemy launched 14 assaults in the areas of Kindrashivka, Kolisnykivka, Zahryzove, Lozova, and Berestove, with Ukrainian Defense Forces repelling 13 of them. Airstrikes hit Kivsharivka, Novoosynove, and Bohuslavka. On the Lyman direction, Russian invaders attacked Ukrainian positions 11 times near Hrekivka, Zarichne, Terny, Torske, and Hryhorivka. Ukrainian Defense forces are holding back the enemy on the Siversk direction, repelling 4 enemy attacks near Bilohorivka. On the Kramatorsk direction, Ukrainian defenders halted one Russian attack near Bondarne. On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces attacked Ukrainian Defense Forces 10 times near Toretsk and Shcherbynivka. The occupying army heavily utilized aviation, launching strikes on the areas of Dyliivka, Druzhba, Toretsk, Shcherbynivka, and Petrivka.
In the "Tavriya" OSG operational zone, on the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces attempted 34 times to breach Ukrainian defenses near Myrolyubivka, Novotoretske, Promin, Lysivka, Krutyi Yar, Selydove, Vyshneve, and Chumatske. On the Kurakhove direction, the enemy attacked 40 times near Illinka, Berestky, Novoselydivka, Novodmytrivka, Voznesenka, Maksymivka, Antonivka, and Katerynivka. On the Vremivka direction, invaders carried out 6 attacks near Trudove, Konstyantynopil, and Sukhyi Yaly. On the Orikhiv direction, the enemy is trying to advance near Novoandriivka, launching airstrikes on the areas of Lobkove and Novoandriivka.
In the operational zone of "Odesa" OSG on the Prydniprovskyi direction, Russian forces faced defeat in three attacks while assaulting Ukrainian defensive positions.
General conclusion:
The enemy’s "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping actively attacks along the line of Yasna Polyana – Maksymivka – Bohoyavlenka, attempting to approach Kurakhove from the south and take control of the N15 Kurakhove – Zaporizhzhia highway, along the Konstyantynopil-Kurakhove section. Advancing to meet them are the forces of the "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping, operating along the line of Zorya – Voznesenka – Illinka – Maksymilianivka.
The enemy is attempting to advance along both banks of the Solona River, aiming to bypass Pokrovsk from the south.
The enemy has made progress near Maksymivka, Myasozharivka, Dalnie, Selydove, Petrivka, Bohoyavlenka, and Pobieda.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 164 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kursk Direction, "Siversk" OTG made minor advances on the northern outskirts of Novoivanovka.
Russian forces intensified attacks in the Korenevo district, with particularly fierce fighting near Novoivanovka and close to Dariivka, where the enemy advanced on the southern outskirts of Plekhovo.
Battles continue around Nikolaevo-Daryino, Zelenyi Put, Pogrebki, Malaya Loknia, and Straiya Sorochina.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces continued their offensive near Vovchansk but made no advances.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces are attempting to advance near Kucherivka, capture the railway station close to Petropavlivka, and reach wooded areas near Kolisnykivka. The enemy advanced in the direction of Zelenyi Hai and Kopanka and continued offensive actions around Kindrashivka, Petropavlivka, Kolisnykivka, Kruhlyakivka, Zahryzove, Berestove, Lozova, Vyshneve, Pershotravneve, Druzhelyubivka, Hrekivka, Makiivka, and Katerynivka.
On the Lyman direction, the enemy is attempting to advance in Terny, attacking near Zarichne, Torske, Serebrianka, and Hryhorivka.
On the Siversk direction, Russian forces continued their offensive near Bilohorivka, Vyimka, Pereyizne, but there were no changes on the front line.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced east of Stupochky. The 6th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 3rd Army Corps captured a mine and crossed a section of the "Siverskyi Donets-Donbas" canal southwest of Klishchiivka. Small enemy infantry groups are advancing on the northern and southern flanks of Chasiv Yar's defenses. The enemy continued its offensive in the Bondarne, Bila Hora, and Chasiv Yar areas.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces continued their offensive in the Toretsk area, toward Shcherbynivka, but made no advances.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced near Novooleksandrivka, Selydove, in the direction of Hryhorivka, Petrivka, and Yuryivka, and continued their offensive around Myrolyubivka, Novotoretske, Promin, Krutyi Yar, Sukhyi Yar, Lysivka, and Vyshneve.
On the Kurakhove direction, Russian forces made slight advances along the N15 Kurakhove - Zaporizhzhia highway southeast of Kurakhove. The enemy is attacking Kurakhove from the north and south, increasing the intensity of attacks despite worsening weather conditions. The enemy advanced towards Zoria, to the center of Sontsivka, near Novoselydivka, Voznesenka, along the northern shore of the Kurakhove Reservoir near Illinets, and towards Berestky.
Russian forces are engaged in combat near Kreminna Balka and continued their offensive in the areas of Sosnivka, Novodmytrivka, Novoselydivka, Voznesenka, Kreminna Balka, Illinets, Berestky, and towards Stari Terny.
On the Vremivka direction, the 57th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Army slightly advanced north of Bohoyavlenka, while the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps advanced in the forest northeast of Bohoyavlenka. Russian forces advanced northeast of Vuhledar, north of Yasna Polyana, east of Maksymivka, and continued their assault in the areas of Antonivka, Katerynivka, Yelyzavetivka, Bohoyavlenka, Trudove, Maksymivka, Sukhyi Yaly, and Rozlyv.
On the Orikhiv direction, positional battles continued around Novoandriivka.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Black Sea: 1 ship, 1 including cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
Mediterranean Sea: 1 ship, 1 including cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 8 cruise missiles.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
Units of the 51st Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division have advanced into Daryino and are engaged in battles within and around the village.
The 116th Separate SOF Brigade of the Russian National Guard is active near Vovchansk.
The 123rd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Army is fighting in the areas of Spirne and Vyimka.
An assault company of the "Borz" battalion (part of the "Redut" PMC) is active near Zoryane (northeast of Kurakhove).
The 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Army operates near Pryiutne.
The 38th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 35th Army is advancing on the Polohy direction.
Possible operation situation developments:
The enemy's military command in the theater of operations until March 2025 will create conditions to achieve the military-political goal of the Special Military Operation: reaching the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts and the junction of Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Donetsk Oblasts near the village of Temyrivka.
The command of the enemy's "Zapad (West”) Operational Grouping will intensify efforts on the Lyman direction to ensure the advance of the 25th Combined Arms Army to the Borova–Lyman line. The goal is to assist in the elimination of the Siversk bridgehead held by the Ukrainian Defense Forces and create favorable conditions for the eventual capture of the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration by the end of this year.
If the enemy manages to advance to the Chervone–Stupochky line on the Kramatorsk direction and simultaneously begins intensive northward attacks at the junction of its 41st and 51st Armies from the Novooleksandrivka–Arkhanhelske line, reaching the Yablunivka–Oleksandro-Kalynove line on the Toretsk direction, then the "Khortytsia" OSG will be forced to withdraw towards Kostyantynivka.
The expected sequence of enemy actions for capturing Pokrovsk is as follows: first, the 90th Tank Division of the 41st Combined Arms Army and the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Combined Arms Army will break through to the area south of Pokrovsk. Afterward, the main forces of the 2nd and 41st Combined Arms Armies will advance from the direction of Mykolaivka toward Myrnohrad (via Promin). Another possible maneuver could involve an advance from Hrodivka toward Novoekonomichne, with attempts to break through along the railway directly to Pokrovsk from the direction of Novohrodivka. Simultaneous operations are unlikely, as this would require allocating part of the 2nd Combined Arms Army to reinforce the 27th Motorized Rifle Division and to block or capture the Lysivka–Sukhy Yar area, weakening the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping on its main offensive line.
The enemy is preparing for the final stage of the Kurakhove operation: forces and assets on the left flank of "Tsentr (Center)" Operational Grouping in coordination with the 8th Army of "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping will attempt not only to envelope Kurakhove but also to break through to the area around Andriivka along both banks of the Vovcha River. Simultaneously, forces of "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping advancing from the south to the north will try to break through to Rozlyv and Konstyantynopil.
With the current pace of the enemy's offensive on the Vremivka direction, the encirclement of Kurakhove from the south can be expected by November 10.
By the end of this year, the enemy will not only fail to occupy Donetsk Oblast within its administrative borders but also will be unable to seize the "fortress belt" of Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka-Kramatorsk-Slovyansk. The upcoming battle for Pokrovsk will be the climax of the enemy's offensive operation in the Southwestern Theater of Operations in 2024. October and partially November become the moment of maximum tension for both sides in the entire 2024 campaign.
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 09.11.24
Personnel - almost 707,540 (+1,660);
Tanks 9,238 (+5);
Armored combat vehicles – 18,697 (+36);
Artillery systems – 20,249 (+23);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,245 (0);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems - 996 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 28,561 (+66);
Aircraft - 369 (0);
Helicopters – 329 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 18,575 (+49);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,634 (+3)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
On the night of November 9, the enemy attacked Ukraine with 51 strike UAVs. As of the morning of November 9, air defense forces confirmed the downing of 32 enemy UAVs. Another 18 enemy drones were lost in various regions of Ukraine.
During the night of November 9, Russian drone attacks on Odesa caused significant damage to high-rise buildings, private residential areas, administrative buildings, and vehicles in the city. Parts of the city experienced power outages. One person was killed, and 13 others were injured, including two children, ages 4 and 16.
On the night of November 9 in Kharkiv, a guided aerial bomb struck one of the city’s busiest roads, damaging the roadway, trolleybus power lines, and street lighting infrastructure.
An FPV drone strike in the Zaporizhzhia district damaged a critical infrastructure facility, leaving part of the residential area without power.
On November 9, the enemy launched a ballistic missile strike on infrastructure in the Shostka community of Sumy Oblast. The impact of the Russian attack is still being assessed.
Over the past day, occupiers launched 417 attacks on 14 settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. There were 65 reports of damage to residential buildings and infrastructure. No civilian casualties were reported.
Activists from the "Yellow Ribbon" movement report that Russian forces have begun widespread confiscation of civilian property in Tokmak and Mariupol. Using "abandonment" status as a pretext, properties are being transferred to the occupation administration and handed over for use by Russian military personnel.
On the temporarily occupied territories of Kherson Oblast, Russian occupation authorities have begun to destroy gravestones on the graves of Ukrainian soldiers who served in the Anti-Terrorist Operation/Joint Forces Operation (ATO/JFO), according to the Center for Investigative Journalism.