Russia's war on Ukraine. 07.09.24
Operational situation
In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) "Kharkiv" on the Kharkiv direction, the aggressor attempted to storm Ukrainian positions 4 times in the areas of Lyptsi and Vovchansk.
In the "Khortytsia" Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, the enemy launched 24 attacks near Synkivka, Hlushkivka, Andriivka, Berestove, and Stelmakhivka. On the Lyman direction, Russian forces stormed Ukrainian defenders’ positions 17 times in the areas of Novoyehorivka, Druzhelyubivka, Cherneshchyna, Terny, Torske, Dibrova, and Makiivka. On the Siversk direction, 5 enemy attempts to improve tactical positions near Verkhnyokamianske and Spirne were repelled, with the occupiers suffering losses. On the Kramatorsk direction, 3 failed attempts were made by the invaders to advance near Hryhorivka, Chasiv Yar, and Andriivka. On the Toretsk direction, the occupiers launched 9 assaults in the areas of Toretsk and Nelipivka, with enemy assault and bomber aviation actively engaged. The enemy is pressing hard, attempting to advance near Sukha Balka.
In the "Tavriya" OSG operational zone, on the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy is intensively attacking Ukrainian Defense Forces carrying out 45 assaults. The greatest activity of Russian occupiers remains in the areas of Novohrodivka, Hrodivka, and Mykhailivka. The situation on the Kurakhove direction is difficult, with 41 combat clashes occurring. The enemy attempted to advance in the areas of Krasnohorivka, Kostyantynivka, and Heorhiivka. On the Vremivka direction, the aggressor launched 8 assaults on the frontline of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the direction of Vodyane and Staromayorske.
In the operational zone of "Odesa" OSG on the Prydniprovskiy direction, 9 enemy attacks were repelled, resulting in the adversary’s failure.
General conclusion:
"Siversk" OTG controls 1,153 km² of territory in Kursk Oblast and 49 towns and villages (around 100 in total including small villages).
Russian forces have increased their activity on the Kharkiv direction and are preparing for an escalation of combat operations: the 11th Tank Regiment of the 18th Motorized Rifle Division of the 11th Army Corps is near Hlyboke, and the 7th Separate Motorized Rifle Regiment of the same corps is near Lukyantsi.
On the Kupyansk direction, enemy infantry units are forced to move long distances on foot, sometimes up to 10 km, as their combat vehicles can't advance due to the Ukrainian Defense Forces' control of the air with strike UAVs. There's no evacuation of wounded personnel, and frontline troops are only receiving small arms and ammo resupply.
A decree of the Russian president tasked the operational headquarters in Simferopol with leading the counter-terrorist operation in the Sea of Azov.
Russian forces have increased the transfer of fuel from Rostov Oblast to Crimea to 160 rail cars per day via Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts, along the Avilo-Uspenka–Amvrosiivka–Volnovakha–Tokmak–Melitopol–Dzhankoi railway. Russian forces are accelerating the construction of new railway branches: Taganrog–Ilovaisk and Mariupol–Volnovakha.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 165 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kursk Direction: Russian forces regained positions northeast of Zhuravli.
"Siversk" OTG launched attacks near Komarovka, Korenevo, Matveeva, Olgovka, Malaya Loknya, Pogrebki, Russkoe Porechie, Martynovka, Cherkasskaya Konopelka, and Borki, destroying a pontoon crossing in the Glushkovo district. Ukrainian reconnaissance and sabotage groups operate along the 38K-017 (Kursk-Rylsk) highway prompting the enemy to set up checkpoints.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian troops continued attacks in the areas of Hlyboke, Vovchansk, Starytsya, and Hatyshche, while repelling counterattacks by "Kharkiv" OTG in Vovchansk, Hlyboke, near Lyptsi, and toward Starytsya.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced south of Pishchane, north and east of Stelmakhivka, northwest of Synkivka, and continued offensives near Hlushkivka, toward Lozova and near Andriivka.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces attacked near Novoyehorivka, Druzhelyubivka, Cherneshchyna, Terny, Torske, and Dibrova.
On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces continued attacks near Verkhnyokamianske, Spirne, and Vyimka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced in the western part of Kalynivka, northeast and west of the village, continued their offensive near Chasiv Yar, Hryhorivka, Ivanivske, Bila Hora, and toward Predtechyne and Ivanopillya, as well as near Klishchiivka and Andriivka.
On the Toretsk direction, combat engagements persisted in the northern and eastern parts of New York, north of New York, and in the eastern part of Nelipivka. Russian forces captured Pivnichne and advanced in the southern part of Toretsk, near Druzhba.
Ukrainian Defense Forces regained control of parts of New York and counterattacked near Toretsk and New York.
Fighting continued near Toretsk, Nelipivka, Oleksandropil, Panteleimonivka, and Leonidivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces reclaimed lost positions in southwestern Halytsynivka and western Mykhailivka.
Russian forces captured most of Lisivka and are approaching the southern outskirts of Ukrainsk. The enemy controls Ptyche, Skuchne, Karlivka, Zavitne, and Zhuravka. A Russian reconnaissance and sabotage group reached the outskirts of Hirnyk.
Fighting continued in the areas of Vozdvyzhenka, Zelene Pole, Sukha Balka, Myrolyubivka, Hrodivka, Novotoretske, Novohrodivka, Selydove, Mykhailivka, Zhelanne Pershe, and Ukrainsk.
On the Kurakhove direction, the 110th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade (51st Army) advanced in northern Krasnohorivka. The enemy attacked near Krasnohorivka and Heorhiivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Maksymilianivka.
On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces continued their offensive near Kostyantynivka, Staromayorske, Vuhledar, and Vodyane.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.
The sinking of the "Conro Trader" railway ferry has reduced the capacity of the Kerch Strait supply line by threefold, and the enemy lacks available rail ferries to immediately restore its throughput.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 51st Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division redeployed from the Siversk direction is operating on the Kursk direction.
Assault units of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Army are engaged in combat on the Svatove-Kreminna line, while "Storm-V" assault units manned by former prisoners are involved on the Kupyansk direction.
The "Black Knives Division" unit is operating in Zavitne (likely a volunteer unit formed in the Urals, alluding to the 1st Volunteer Tank Corps from World War II).
The 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Army and the 40th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet are active In Prechystivka.
Escalation indicators:
The transfer of a batch of tactical missiles from Iran to Russia with a range of up to 120 km.
Possible operation situation developments:
The enemy's command on the theater of operations must conduct strategic regrouping between operational zones and reinforce the "Tsentr (Center)"Operational Grouping on the Toretsk direction with at least a corps. For this purpose, the 3rd Army Corps may be redeployed to this direction from the Kramatorsk direction, or the main forces of the 51st Army may be concentrated.
Without the involvement of additional forces and resources, the enemy's 41st Army Command will soon have to either concentrate on narrower directions and sectors or abandon simultaneous offensive actions across the entire operational zone and focus on high-cost battles in Toretsk itself or conclude combat operations in the area of New York and Nelipivka.
The enemy’s shift of their main offensive focus to the southern sector of the "Tsentr (Center)" Operational Grouping’s operational zone on the Pokrovsk direction will soon intensify combat operations around Selidove, Ukrainsk, Halytsynivka, Kurakhivka, and Hirnyk. Without securing the Selidove area, the enemy cannot sustain their offensive towards Pokrovsk, but they will continue attacking in an attempt to breach the defensive line along the Zhuravka and Kazennyi Torets rivers.
The enemy's "Tsentr (Center)" Operational Grouping may attempt to advance through "Tavriya" OSG positions along the Novohrodivka-Hrodivka line, despite higher levels of casualties, in order to maintain the speed of their advance and try to capture Myrnohrad more quickly.
By the end of this year, the enemy will not only fail to occupy Donetsk Oblast within its administrative borders but also will be unable to seize the "fortress belt" of Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka-Kramatorsk-Slovyansk. The upcoming battle for Pokrovsk will be the climax of the enemy's offensive operation in the Southwestern Theater of Operations in 2024.
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 06.09.24
Personnel - almost 623,990 (+1270);
Tanks 8,632 (+1);
Armored combat vehicles – 16,878 (0);
Artillery systems – 17,774 (+29);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,178 (0);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems - 942 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 24,171 (+55);
Aircraft - 368 (0);
Helicopters – 328 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 14,784 (+52);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,588 (+1);
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian+general:
During the night of September 7, the Air Force's radar units detected and tracked 67 Shahed drones. Ukrainian air defense forces successfully shot down 58 of these strike UAVs, while six exited Ukrainian airspace, flying towards Russia, Belarus, and temporarily occupied Luhansk.
As a result of the attack, debris from the Russian drones fell in the Pechersk and Dnipro districts of Kyiv. In the Pechersk district, debris landed in the courtyard of a residential building, while in the Dnipro district, it fell on the grounds of a kindergarten. Fortunately, no injuries were reported.
In Kyiv Oblast, debris from downed drones damaged three private homes in one of the districts.
On the night and morning of Saturday, September 7, Russian forces shelled border areas and settlements in Sumy Oblast 15 times.
From 09:15 to 10:00 on September 7, 2024, Russian artillery struck the city of Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast, killing three men aged between 24 and 69. Three others were injured. The attack damaged an apartment building, an administrative building, a shop, a pharmacy, six cars, and three power lines.
Later that day, the occupiers dropped explosives from a UAV on a resident of Odradokamianka, Kherson Oblast. A 69-year-old woman was injured in the attack and was taken to the hospital with blast injuries, as well as wounds to her legs and abdomen.
In Kharkiv Oblast, nine people, including two children, were injured due to Russian shelling over the past day. A logistics facility, private homes, and vehicles were also damaged in the attack.