Russia's war on Ukraine. 06.10.24
Operational situation
In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) "Kharkiv" on the Kharkiv direction, the enemy attacked Ukrainian defensive lines near Lyptsi, Vovchansk, and Starytsya 6 times, all attacks were repelled.
In the "Khortytsia" Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, the enemy concentrated efforts near Lozova, launching 12 attacks, and conducted 10 assaults in the areas of Novoosynove, Kucherivka, Petropavlivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Pishchane, Hlushkivka, and Kruhlyakivka, all of which were repelled. On the Lyman direction, Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions 9 times near Novosadove, Makiivka, Hrekivka, and Torske. On the Siversk direction, the most intense assaults occurred near Bilohorivka, where 9 attacks were repelled. Russian forces also attacked near Novosadove and Verkhnyokamianske. On the Kramatorsk direction, 5 ongoing combat engagements are happening near Stupochky, Kalynivka, Hryhorivka, and Chasiv Yar, with Ukrainian Defense Forces repelling 5 enemy attacks. On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces launched 13 attacks near Dachne and Toretsk.
In the "Tavriya" OSG operational zone, on the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces attempted to breach Ukrainian defenses 28 times near Novotoretske, Selydove, Krutyi Yar, Lisivka, and Promin. The enemy remained active on the Kurakhove direction with 26 attacks near Tsukuryne, Novoselydivka, Izmailivka, Hostre, Maksymilianivka, Katerynivka, Kostyantynivka, and Antonivka. On the Vremivka direction, the occupiers carried out 4 unsuccessful assaults near Bohoyavlenka, and on the Orikhiv direction, they made 1 failed attempt to advance near Novodanylivka.
General conclusion:
Russian forces achieved minor tactical successes on the Kupyansk direction and advanced on the southwestern outskirts of Toretsk towards Zabalka, Hostre, and Maksymilianivka in the Kurakhove sector. In all other directions, positional battles continue, with the enemy being forced into defensive operations.
The enemy's “Tsentr (Center) Operational Grouping has nearly halted its offensive activity in the directions of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, instead focusing its efforts further south, around the Tsukuryne area. These actions likely aim to establish a northern flank for a future offensive towards Kurakhove.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 147 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kursk Direction "Siversk" OTG continued its offensive in the Glushkovo district near Vesioloe, Novyi Put, Medvezhye, advancing southeast of Korenevo, Liubimovka, Obukhovka, Kamyshovka, Plekhovo.
Russian troops are attempting to regain control of Medvezhye and have advanced southeast of Obukhovka.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian troops continued their offensive near Hlyboke, near Starytsya, Vovchansk, and Tykhe, but did not advance.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops cut the road between Kruhlyakivka and Kolisnykivka, continued the offensive in the area of Synkivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Novoosynove, Pishchane, Stelmakhivka, Lozova, Borova, Hrekivka, Makiyivka, and Nevske.
On the Lyman direction, Russian troops advanced 2 km east of Terny and are trying to align the front line along the Torske - Makiivka road. The enemy attacked near Novosadove and Torske.
On the Siversk Direction, Russian troops continued unsuccessful attacks in the area of Bilohorivka, Verkhnyokamianske, and Vyimka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian troops attacked near Chasiv Yar, near Kalynivka, Stupochky, and Andriivka.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian troops advanced along Tsentralna Street in Toretsk, attacked near Dachne, to the northeast of Toretsk and in the area of Shcherbynivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops advanced on the eastern outskirts of Tsukuryne, are trying to capture Zhelanne Druhe, attacked in the area of Novotoretske, Selydove, Kruty Yar, Mykolaivka, Lysivka, and fighting continues near Izmailivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces struck command posts of the 2nd Army Corps, the 35th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 41st Army Corps, and the 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 2nd Army Corps with Storm Shadow missiles.
On the Kurakhove direction, Russian troops continued their offensive near Heorhiivka, Hostre, and Ostrivske.
On the Vremivka direction, Russian troops advanced north of Kostyantynivka and reached the southern outskirts of Katerynivka, further advancing south of Katerynivka, towards Bohoyavlenka, are trying to capture Illinka, continued offensive actions in the area of Antonivka and Kostyantynivka.
The wreckage of a downed experimental Russian heavy UAV S-70 "Okhotnik" was found near Kostyantynivka.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian troops continued unsuccessful attacks in the area of Robotyne, Maly Shcherbaky, and Kamianske.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Black Sea: 2 ships, including 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 8 cruise missiles.
Mediterranean Sea: 3 ships, 2 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 20 cruise missiles.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
Units of the 106th Airborne Division, the 56th Air Assault Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division, and the 1427th Motorized Rifle Regiment are operating near Medvezhye. The 155th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet is active near Obukhovka.
The 7th Separate Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps is operating near Lukyantsi.
The 39th Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Defense Regiment of the 8th Army is active near Serebrianka, supporting operations of the 3rd Army.
The 58th Separate SOF Brigade of the 51st Army is active near the “Novyi” neighborhood in Chasiv Yar.
The 74th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 41st Army is operating near Hrodivka.
The 80th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade (Arctic) of the 14th Army Corps is active on the Kherson direction.
Possible operation situation developments:
Ukrainian Defense Forces are expected to leave Toretsk and Selydove in the short term.
The enemy's military command in the theater of operations within the following 2-3 months will concentrate its efforts on achieving the military-political goal of the Special Military Operation: reaching the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. For this purpose they will maximize their advance towards Pokrovsk-Pavlohrad, in the direction of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration, and aiming to reach the junction of Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Donetsk Oblasts near the village of Temyrivka.
After seizing Selydove, the occupation forces will begin operations to storm Pokrovsk, Myrnohrad, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka. Securing a breakthrough toward Kurakhove remains the primary objective for the enemy's "Yug (South)" Operational Grouping, particularly its 20th and 150th Motorized Rifle Divisions of the 8th Combined Arms Army. However, they lack the reserves necessary to achieve this.
Even if the enemy halts its large-scale offensive on the Pokrovsk direction, it will continue to exert pressure on Ukrainian defenses, thereby preventing the Defense Forces from building up reserves and resources to seize the strategic initiative.
By the end of this year, the enemy will not only fail to occupy Donetsk Oblast within its administrative borders but also will be unable to seize the "fortress belt" of Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka-Kramatorsk-Slovyansk. The upcoming battle for Pokrovsk will be the climax of the enemy's offensive operation in the Southwestern Theater of Operations in 2024. October and partially November become the moment of maximum tension for both sides in the entire 2024 campaign.
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 06.10.24
Personnel - almost 660,470 (+1,250);
Tanks 8,919 (+3);
Armored combat vehicles – 17,679 (+21);
Artillery systems – 19,092 (+55);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,216 (0);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems - 970 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 26,006 (+101);
Aircraft - 369 (0);
Helicopters – 328 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 16,578 (+49);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,613 (0);
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
Over the past week, Russian forces launched approximately 20 missiles, over 800 guided aerial bombs, and nearly 400 attack drones against Ukraine, according to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
On the night of October 6, Russians launched 90 means of attack on Ukraine, including 2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles, 1 Iskander-K cruise missile, 1 X-59/69 guided aviation missile, and 87 Shahed-type drones. By the morning of October 6, two missiles and 56 enemy drones were shot down, while 25 drones were lost in various parts of Ukraine. As of 9:00 AM, four drones remained in Ukrainian airspace.
On the night of October 6, Russian forces attacked Odesa with Shahed drones. According to rescuers, the strikes damaged warehouses and trucks, igniting fires. One man suffered severe injuries and was hospitalized. Around 50 rescuers were involved in extinguishing the fires. In Odesa Oblast, a civilian cargo ship was damaged due to the Russian missile attack.
In Kupyansk on the morning of October 6, two men were wounded by an enemy FPV drone strike. The Russians targeted an area near a bus stop.
On the morning of October 6, the enemy launched an X-22 missile at Kramatorsk, damaging a fire-rescue station and industrial facilities. No casualties were reported among the personnel.
At least four people, including one child, were wounded during the shelling of Bilenke in Donetsk Oblast. Both Bilenke in the outskirts of Kramatorsk and the city itself were hit by fire on Sunday morning and afternoon, damaging businesses and private homes.
In the afternoon of the same day, Russian forces dropped three guided aerial bombs on the city of Kostyantynivka. One person was killed, and two others were wounded. Two apartment buildings, an administrative building, a shop, a cafe, a bank, a post office, and a power line were damaged.
Over the past day, Russian forces carried out 5,130 shellings across Ukrainian territory, including 144 from multiple rocket launch systems. Additionally, 1,410 kamikaze drones were used, and 82 airstrikes were conducted, with 130 guided aerial bombs dropped on Ukrainian positions and settlements.
Over the previous day, Russians conducted 61 attacks on the border regions of Sumy Oblast. In one community, three civilians were injured, with 108 explosions recorded.
On October 5, two people were killed, and thirteen were wounded in shelling in Kherson Oblast, including six medics who were providing aid at the sites of earlier strikes.
In addition to systematically destroying cultural heritage, Russia is committing another crime—stealing cultural assets. Artifacts stolen from Ukrainian museums and archaeological sites are appearing on the international black market, reported Ukraine's Prosecutor General, Andriy Kostin.