Russia's war on Ukraine. 02.03.25
Operational situation
On the Kursk direction, Russian forces continued their offensive in the areas of Lebedevka, Malaya Loknia, Viktorovka, and Novaya Sorochina, conducting airstrikes with FAB-3000 bombs in the areas of Guevo and Kurilovka.
In Sumy Oblast, fighting continued near Zhuravka and Novenke.
On the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces continued local attacks near Vovchansk but were unsuccessful. Fighting persisted on the northern bank of the Vovcha River within the town.
On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced in the areas of Holubivka, Kindrashivka, Dvorichna, Novoosynove, Zahryzove, and Lozova. The enemy attempted to advance along the Kindrashivka–Makiivka–Serebrianka line and expand its bridgehead near the Oskil River. The aggressor is also attempting to advance in the areas of Stroyivka and Kucherivka.
On the Lyman direction, Russian forces advanced in the areas of Zelena Dolyna, Nove, Novomykhailivka, Ivanivka, and Yampolivka.
On the Siversk direction, Russian forces advanced in the areas of Bilohorivka and Verkhnyokamianske.
Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Bilohorivka.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced in the area of Orikhovo-Vasylivka and attempted to move south of Chasiv Yar near Stupochky.
On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces conducted offensive operations near Toretsk, Krymske, Dachne, Dyliivka, Leonidivka, and Shcherbynivka.
Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced near Tolbukhin Street and the Central Mine in Toretsk, actively deploying reconnaissance and sabotage groups near the slag heap of Mine No. 10, the Central Mine, the Toretsk Mine, and high-rise buildings in central Toretsk.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces continued their offensive near Nova Poltavka, Baranivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Lysivka, Pishchane, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novoukrainka, Nadiivka, Preobrazhenka, and Bohdanivka.
On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces continued attacks near Konstyantynopil, Andriivka, and Ulakly but failed to advance.
On the Huliaypole direction, Russian forces advanced towards Velyka Novosilka, south of Burlatske, and continued attacks near Pryvilne, Burlatske, Skudne, Dniproenerhiya, and Rivnopil.
The 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army and the 5th Separate Tank Brigade of the 36th Combined Arms Army are engaged in battles for Skudne, Burlatske, and Pryvilne, attempting to advance north of Burlatske.
On the Orikhiv direction, Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked near Charivne and advanced near Pyatykhatky and Kamianske.
Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced near Shcherbaky.
General conclusion:
On the Kupyansk and Lyman directions, the "Zapad (West)" and "Sever (North)" Operational Groupings have fallen behind the offensive schedule, although they have managed to cross the Oskil River and establish bridgeheads north of Kupyansk.
On the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy's offensive has definitively lost momentum.
The planned offensive operation of the 8th Combined Arms Army toward Kostyantynivka (Kramatorsk, Toretsk, and Kostyantynivka directions) has not yet entered the active phase for several reasons, despite the army completing the occupation of initial areas for the offensive.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the forces of the "Tsentr (Center)" Operational Grouping are attempting to advance using the 110th and 114th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades as well as the main forces of the 90th Tank Division.
The objective of the "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping is to reach the Zaporizhzhia–Donetsk highway in the Piddubne–Komar section and to defeat the of "Tavria" Operational and Strategic Group (OSG) on the Novopavlivka direction by cutting off key logistical routes supplying Ukrainian Defense Forces. Over the past 3–5 days, the enemy has made no significant advances in these areas despite fierce battles near Preobrazhenka and Andriivka.
The forward units of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army have captured Burlatske and are advancing towards Shevchenkove and northward towards Vesele. Additionally, units of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division are advancing towards Pryvilne and Vilne Pole, with the objective of capturing the Shevchenko–Burlatske–Pryvilne–Vilne Pole area and reaching the Shevchenko–Dniproenerhiya line along the western bank of the Mokri Yaly River.
The forward units of the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, reinforced by units of the 5th Separate Tank Brigade, the 40th and 336th Separate Marines Brigades, are advancing along the eastern bank toward Dniproenerhiya from the direction of Novoocheretuvate and Rozdolne. They have captured Novoocheretuvate and engaged in battles for Skudne.
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
There were 97 combat engagements on various fronts.
On the Kupyansk direction, the aggressor conducted three attacks near Novoosynove and Zahryzove but was repelled.
On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 11 times, attempting to penetrate Ukrainian defenses near Nove, Novomykhailivka, Yampolivka, Makiivka, and towards Katerynivka
On the Toretsk direction, the enemy launched 15 attacks in the areas of Krymske, Dachne, Toretsk, and Dyliivka.
On the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 27 assault actions of the aggressor toward Nova Poltavka, Tarasivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Kotlyarivka, Nadiivka, Pokrovsk, Pishchane, Udachne, Preobrazhenka, Bohdanivka, Andriivka, and Ulakly.
On the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy conducted 11 attacks in the areas of Konstyantynopil, Burlatske, and Skudne.
On the Huliaypole direction, the enemy attacked three times in the areas of Pryvilne and Charivne.
On the Orikhiv Direction, the occupation forces stormed Ukrainian Defense Forces positions four times near Pyatykhatky, Nesteryanka, and Kamianske.
On the Prydniprovskyi direction, a Russian attack was successfully repelled.
Ukrainian Defense Forces continue operations in Kursk Oblast, repelling 16 enemy assault actions. The enemy conducted 31 airstrikes.
In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:
Mediterranean Sea: 4 ships, including 3 cruise missile carriers; the total salvo is 26 cruise missiles.
Changes in the enemy disposition:
The 83rd Separate Air Assault Brigade operates near Zhuravka.
The 132nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army and the 238th Artillery Brigade of the 8th Combined Arms Army operate near Ivanopillya.
The 433rd and 506th Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Combined Arms Army operate near and within Uspenivka.
The 394th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army has replaced the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army north of Burlatske. The brigade has been withdrawn for combat capability restoration.
The enemy grouping conducting offensive actions on the Huliaypole direction (primarily forces of the 5th and 36th Combined Arms Armies) consists of up to 49,000–50,000 military personnel, up to 280 tanks, up to 630 armored fighting vehicles, 350–360 artillery guns and mortars, 80–85 multiple launch rocket systems, and a missile battalion of the Iskander Operational-Tactical Missile System.
The command of the "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping is holding part of the forces of the 60th and 34th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades and the 5th Separate Tank Brigade in reserve as a success exploitation echelon.
Possible operation situation developments:
Once the enemy sufficiently expands its bridgeheads on the Chornyi Zherebets River, the 25th Army, with forces of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division and the 164th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, will sharply intensify actions toward Torske and Yampolivka. This will mark the second stage of pushing "Khortytsia" OSG out of the bridgehead east of the Chornyi Zherebets River on the Lyman direction.
The operational plan of the 8th Combined Arms Army on the Kostyantynivka direction is to envelop the tactical group of the "Khortytsia" OSG, which is defending south of Kostyantynivka between Oleksandropil and Tarasivka from the flanks. The enemy aims to encircle and destroy this group or, if unable to do so, force it to withdraw from the area south of Kostyantynivka in a northwestern direction under the threat of encirclement. The ultimate goal of these actions is a two-pronged breakthrough from the southwest and southeast toward the area of Stepanivka – Berestok – Pleshchiivka – Yablunivka, followed by a simultaneous assault on Kostyantynivka from this area and from the direction of Chasiv Yar.
After the first stage (reaching the Poltavka–Pleshchiivka line), the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army, reinforced by an airborne forces group, will attempt a rapid breakthrough from the bridgehead on the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal in the Chasiv Yar area, advancing from the northeast toward Kostyantynivka.
The command of the enemy’s "Vostok (East)" Operational Grouping will attempt to organize a breakthrough toward Komar on the Huliaypole direction in the near future and advance into the operational rear of "Khortytsia" OSG which is engaged in heavy defensive battles on the Novopavlivka direction.
Russian operational losses from 23.02.22 to 02.03.25
Personnel - almost 876,720 (+1,110);
Tanks – 10,241 (+8);
Armored combat vehicles – 21,174 (+25);
Artillery systems – 23,959 (+51);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,306 (+2);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,091 (+3);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 39,218 (+117);
Aircraft - 370 (0);
Helicopters – 331 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 27,594 (+192);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 3,065 (0)
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian + general:
Air defense destroyed 1,023 aerial attack assets of the Russian army during the week from February 24 to March 2.
On the night of March 2, the enemy launched an attack with 79 strike UAVs, of which 63 were shot down. Another 16 drones were lost from the radar. As a result of the attack, Kharkiv, Sumy, Khmelnytskyi, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts were affected.
On the night of March 2, in the village of Pyrohivtsi, Khmelnytskyi District, a fire and destruction occurred on private property due to a strike by an enemy UAV. A woman sustained injuries. The blast wave damaged nine residential buildings.
In Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, a Russian artillery strike on the afternoon of March 2 injured three civilians. An 84-year-old man was rescued from the rubble by emergency services and taken to the hospital in critical condition.
On the afternoon of March 2, Russian forces attacked a public transport bus in Kherson using a drone. Reports indicate 10 people were injured, and one person was killed. A 56-year-old man, a 72-year-old man, and a 66-year-old woman were hospitalized with blast injuries.
Around 6:30 a.m. in Kozatske, Kherson Oblast, the enemy dropped explosives from a drone on a 63-year-old man, causing fatal injuries.
Around 4:00 p.m., Russian forces launched an airstrike with four guided bombs (KABs) on the village of Dovzhyk in the Zolochiv community, Kharkiv Oblast. A 65-year-old woman and a 14-year-old child were injured. Residential houses were damaged in the attack.
Around 5:30 p.m. in Beryslav District, Kherson Oblast, Russian forces attacked a civilian vehicle with a UAV. A woman was killed, and a man was injured.