For over four years, since 16th of February 2022, the Centre for Defence Strategies, lately supported by Media Center Ukraine, has been producing daily digests of key events in Ukraine for you. We published the daily report each and every day and managed never missing a single day.

It has been important for us to share accurate and verified information about the russian war against Ukraine, at a time when the volume of news was constantly increasing.

We are now concluding this series of digests and would like to thank you for your trust and attention. We hope these reports were useful to you and have helped you better navigate current events.

The amount of information today is much greater and you can build the complete picture of the war based on a great variety of open data.

Thank you for being with us, and we look forward to staying in touch.

We regret to inform you that because we could not secure funding to continue with our digest, we will be suspending it effective April 1, 2026.

Thank you for being with us all this time.

Sincerely,

CDS team
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On the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance near Novodmytrivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck enemy concentration areas near Basivka and Nova Tavilzhanka in Belgorod Oblast.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, Lyptsi, Vilcha, Zybyne, and Okhrymivka, in the direction of Verkhnya Pysarivka and Khatnie.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Ambarne.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces fought for Novoosynove, attacked near Kupyansk, Petropavlivka, Pishchane, Kurylivka, Bohuslavka, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Novoplatonivka, Borivska Andriivka, Novoserhiyivka, Cherneshchyna, Korovyi Yar, and Oleksandrivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces hold Kivsharivka and captured four soldiers of the 153rd Tank Regiment of the 47th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the south of Yampil and west of Stavky.

Russian forces attacked near Lyman, Drobysheve, Yarova, Svyatohirsk, Zakitne, Platonivka, Kalenyky, and Riznykivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka, near Fedorivka Druha.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainain Defense Forces advanced along the T0504 Pokrovsk–Kostyantynivka highway east of Kostyantynivka.

Russian forces advanced southwest of Stepanivka, attacked near Kostyantynivka, Mykolaivka, Kleban-Byk, Pleshchiivka, Stepanivka, Pavlivka, Rusyn Yar, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Kucherovyi Yar and Hannivka, near Pokrovsk and Hryshyne, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka, near Rodynske, Bilytske, Myrnohrad, Udachne, and Molodetske.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Bilyayivka, Dachne, Filiya, Ivanivka, Andriivka-Klevtsove, Sichneve, Zlahoda, Berezove, Oleksandrohrad, Ternove, Krasnohirske, and Rybne, in the direction of Verbove and Vyshneve.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked from Dobropasove in the direction of Hai and struck an enemy concentration area near Berezove.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces advanced in the southeastern part of Myrne, attacked near Huliaypole and Olenokostyantynivka, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa and Vozdvyzhivka, near Varvarivka, in the direction of Dobropillya and Huliaypilske, near Zaliznychne, in the direction of Staroukrainka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an enemy UAV unit command post and position area near Huliaypole.

On the Orikhiv Direction, the 1198th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 35th Combined Arms Army advanced on the southeastern outskirts of Luhivske. Russian forces attacked near Bilohirya, Kamianske, Prymorske, and Stepnohirsk.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an S-400 SAM system launcher near Hvardiyske.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “Atlant Aero” plant and the “Beriev” aircraft plant in Taganrog.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces have increased UAV employment thanks to improving weather conditions and have intensified the use of booby-trap drones along the main routes used by Ukrainian forces.

• Russian forces continue guided aerial bomb strikes on Kostyantynivka to complicate Ukrainian logistics and destroy fortifications ahead of an offensive, completely destroying Kostyantynivka’s infrastructure.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces have somewhat reduced their offensive tempo due to losses and the need to restore combat capability and are attempting to restore normal communications. Russian forces conduct frontal assaults on Hryshyne after failing to envelop the settlement and attack daily with infantry groups.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces liberated 9 settlements, including 2 in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and 7 in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and cleared 3 more settlements. The rapid advance of Ukrainian Defense Forces units in this area has disoriented the enemy, complicating the deployment of its reserves. The occupiers maintain a significant presence on this direction but have not built up forces since winter. Most Russian assault groups do not reach the front line, as Ukrainian UAVs detect them at a depth of up to 50 km from the front line and strike them at 25 km.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 140 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, one combat engagement took place.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made three attempts to breach defensive lines in the areas of Starytsya and Vovchansk, and toward Khatnie.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 11 times toward Novoosynove, Kurylivka, Borivska Andriivka, Pishchane, and Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 8 enemy attempts to penetrate the defense in the areas of Drobysheve and Novoyehorivka, and to advance in the areas of Rai-Oleksandrivka and Zakitne were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 17 attacks near Kostyantynivka, Illinivka, Kleban-Byk, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Novopavlivka, Stepanivka, and Sofiivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 29 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Toretske, Myrnohrad, Rodynske, Pokrovsk, Hryshyne, Udachne, Novomykolayivka, Novopidhorodnie, and Molodetske.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 9 times in the areas of Berezove, Kalynivske, and Zlahoda, and toward Oleksandrohrad and Verbove.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 13 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Huliaypole and Bilohirya, and toward Huliaypilske, Staroukrainka, and Zaliznychne.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 72nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 44th Army Corps operates near Volodymyrivka; the 83rd Separate Air Assault Brigade operates in the border areas of Kursk Oblast; the 51st and 119th Airborne Regiments of the 106th Airborne Division operate near Yunakivka.

• The 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army operates near the Oskil River.

• The 85th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army fights for Fedorivka Druha; the 37th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division of the 25th Combined Arms Army strikes east of Lyman; the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army strikes west of Stavky; the 204th Separate SOF Regiment strikes near Yampil.

• The 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strikes on the eastern outskirts of Kostyantynivka; the 72nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Army Corps and units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike in Kostyantynivka.

• The 102nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes in the direction of Dobropillya; the 5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army conducts reconnaissance in support of UAV operators of the 57th Separate SOF Company of the 8th Combined Arms Army near Dobropillya, Bilytske, and Vodyanske.

• Units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike north of Serhiivka; units of the “Grom-Kaskad” UAV brigade of the 4th Army of the Air Force and Air Defense strike in the area of the Pokrovsk–Myrnohrad agglomeration.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes near Novohryhorivka.

• The 57th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes near Hirke.

• The 4th Military Base of the 58th Combined Arms Army intercepts Ukrainian UAVs on the Kherson Direction. The 331st Airborne Regiment of the 98th Airborne Division strikes on the right bank of the Dnipro River.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.

• In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil River from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.

• As a result of the general offensive by the flank groups of the adversary’s 3rd Combined Arms Army along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets and on both sides of the Sloviansk – Bakhmut road in previous months, including the capture of Siversk, the command of the adversary’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping has gained a number of new tactical opportunities, in addition to the possibility of encircling units of the Defense Forces’ 3rd Separate Corps east of Rai-Oleksandrivka. One option for further actions could be assisting the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies of the adversary’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping in the elimination of the Ukrainian Defense Forces’ Lyman bridgehead by cutting off its logistics with a breakthrough into the Mykolaivka area or reaching the immediate approaches to Kramatorsk from the east with a breakthrough to the Vasylivska Pustosh – Vasyutynske line.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 31.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,297 670 (+970);

Tanks – 11,826 (+2);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,324 (+7);

Artillery systems – 39,110 (+61);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,709 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,338 (+1);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 86,359 (+199);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 208,827 (+2,296);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,491 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since the evening of March 30, Russian troops attacked Ukraine with 289 UAVs of the Shahed, Gerbera, Italmas, and other models. As of 08:00 on Tuesday, March 31, air defense forces managed to shoot down or suppressed 267 drones, of which about 200 were Shahed-type. Hits by 20 strike UAVs were recorded at 11 locations, along with falling debris in 6 places. As of the morning, the attack continues.

• According to the head of the Odesa Oblast Military Administration Oleh Kiper, towards the morning of March 31, Russian troops attacked Odesa with UAVs. In the Kyivskyi district, a hit on a nine-story residential building was recorded, where the facade, balconies, and glazing from the second to the fourth floors were damaged. As a result of the strike, a fire broke out, and a 50-year-old man was injured.

• According to the Ministry of Internal Affairs, on the night of March 31, Russian occupation troops attacked Poltava. As a result of the strike, a high-rise building was damaged, from which rescuers evacuated residents. One person is known to have been killed and four were injured, including two children. A hit on an infrastructure facility was also recorded.

• According to the head of the Sloviansk City Military Administration Vadym Liakh, Russian occupiers launched an airstrike on the private sector of Sloviansk, having preliminarily dropped two 250-kilogram high-explosive aerial bombs. As a result of the attack, at least three civilians were injured, including a 12-year-old girl. Damage to at least 22 private houses and 3 cars was also recorded.

• According to the Ukrzaliznytsia press service, Russian troops launched a strike on the railway infrastructure of Sloviansk in Donetsk Oblast. As a result of the attack, a locomotive depot and railway facilities were damaged, and windows in the station building were partially blown out. Four locomotive depot employees were injured; all were hospitalized, with one female employee in serious condition.

• On March 31, a Russian drone launched a strike on the territory of a non-operating enterprise in Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast; as a result of the attack, a woman and three police officers were injured, and a critical infrastructure facility was damaged.

• On March 31, a Russian drone hit a civilian vehicle in the Velyka Pysarivka community in Sumy Oblast, resulting in a 37-year-old man sustaining fatal injuries.

• According to the head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council Oleksandr Vilkul, Russian invaders are attacking the city’s infrastructure facilities. Explosions were heard in Kryvyi Rih. Earlier, at 17:48, the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warned of an enemy UAV over the city.

• According to the head of the Poltava Oblast Military Administration Vitalii Diakivnych, on the evening of March 30 in the Poltava district, the falling of enemy UAV debris on a multi-apartment building was recorded. As a result of the incident, one person was killed and three sustained injuries. Two victims, including an eleven-year-old boy, were hospitalized.

• According to the head of the Novhorod-Siverskyi District State Administration Oleksandr Seliverstov, on March 31, another attempt at remote mining by Russian troops was recorded in the district territory. Local residents are warned that explosive objects may suddenly appear in yards, on roads, and on roadsides. Citizens are urged to be as careful as possible.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces fought for Kivsharivka, attacked near Kupyansk, Petropavlivka, Kurylivka, Pishchane, Podoly, Novoosynove, Bohuslavka, Kruhlyakivka, Borivska Andriivka, Novoplatonivka, Hrekivka, and Olhivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a fuel depot near Novosvitlivka and a fuel depot and ammunition depot in Aidar.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Lyman, Novoselivka, Drobysheve, Stavky, Platonivka, Zakitne, Kryva Luka, and Riznykivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka, near Lypivka, Nykyforivka, and Fedorivka. The occupiers do not control Riznykivka or Kalenyky; their forward units conduct local assault operations along the Zakitne–Riznykivka line, attempting to break through to Rai-Oleksandrivka from the north and southeast and encircle Ukrainian units defending areas east of the village. Ukrainian defense is forcing Russian military command to redirect some units that had been operating on the Lyman–Siversk road northeast of Rai-Oleksandrivka to the Zakitne area.

Ukrainian Defense Forces hold part of Zakitne.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainain Defense Forces advanced in the northeast of Kostyantynivka and hold positions northeast of the city.

Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Chasiv Yar, Predtechyne, Ivanopillya, Kleban-Byk, Pleshchiivka, Berestok, Illinivka, and Yablunivka, in the direction of Dovha Balka, near Novopavlivka, Pavlivka, and Sofiivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Kucheriv Yar, Nove Shakhove, Novyi Donbas, Pokrovsk, and Hryshyne, in the direction of Shevchenkove and Novooleksandrivka, near Rodynske, Bilytske, Chervonyi Lyman, Myrnohrad, Udachne, Molodetske, Novopidhorodnie, and Kotlyne.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Bilyakivka, Dachne, Filiya, Ivanivka, Zelenyi Hai, Sosnivka, Andriivka-Klevtsove, Sichneve, Zlahoda, Oleksandrohrad, Ternove, and Rybne, in the direction of Verbove, near Vyshneve; advanced northeast of Ivanivka and operate in the center of Zlahoda.

Ukrainian Defense Forces stroke a train in Volnovakha.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced east of Pryluky.

Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole and Olenokostyantynivka, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa, Vozdvyzhivka, and Tsvitkove, near Varvarivka, in the direction of Dobropillya, near Myrne, in the direction of Huliaypilske, near Zaliznychne, in the direction of Hirke.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces strike south of Mala Tokmachka, attacked near Novodanylivka, Mali Shcherbaky, Stepove, and Prymorske.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Russian forces continued local attacks near Antonivskyi Bridge.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck three “Smerch” MLRS and a transport-loading vehicle west of Yany Kapu.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “KuibyshevAzot” chemical plant near Tolyatti, the “Alchevsk” metallurgical plant and a local electrical substation, and a military echelon in the Novosvitlivka area of Luhansk Oblast.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• Russian forces employ “Shahed,” “Kniaz Vandal Novgorodskyi,” and “Molniya” strike UAVs against Ukrainian logistics and civilian facilities on the Kupyansk Direction. The occupiers have changed tactics and avoid strikes on hospitals, targeting ambulances and emergency service vehicles instead.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 147 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy three times assaulted Defense Forces unit positions near Vilcha and toward Zybyne and Okhrymivka.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 12 times in the areas of Novoosynove, Petropavlivka, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Bohuslavka, Novoplatonivka, and Borivska Andriivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 11 enemy attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defense toward Cherneshchyna, Lyman, and Novoserhiyivka, and to advance in the areas of Rai-Oleksandrivka, Platonivka, Zakitne, and Kalenyky were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 28 attacks near Fedorivka Druha, Mykolaivka, Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Kleban-Byk, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 31 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Bilytske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Hryshyne, Udachne, Toretske, Novooleksandrivka, Pokrovsk, Novomykolayivka, Bilyakivka, Molodetske, Dachne, Filiya, and Novopavlivka, and toward Hannivka.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 10 times in the areas of Andriivka-Klevtsove, Oleksandrohrad, Sichneve, Zlahoda, Ternove, Vyshneve, Rybne, and Krasnohirske.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 10 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Dobropillya, Zaliznychne, Varvarivka, Olenokostyantynivka, Huliaypole, and Myrne.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy attacked in the area of Prymorske.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 352nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps operates near Pishchane.

• The 127th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army attempts to advance along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets river from Zakitne to Kryva Luka, from Platonivka to Kalenyky, and from Svyato-Pokrovske to Riznykivka. Units of the 123rd, 88th, and 85th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 3rd Combined Arms Army attack on both sides of the M03 (E40) Sloviansk–Bakhmut highway.

• The 1st Battalion of the 136th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 58th Combined Arms Army intercepts heavy strike UAVs of Defense Forces near Kostyantynivka; the 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strikes near Berestok and in Kostyantynivka; the 242nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division strikes near Rusyn Yar; the 103rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes in Kostyantynivka; the 255th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates on the Kostyantynivka Direction. The 238th Artillery Brigade of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Starorayske; the 54th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division, the 77th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 7th Military Base of the 49th Combined Arms Army, and the 10th Tank Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division conduct UAV aerial reconnaissance.

• The 61st Separate Marine Infantry Brigade of the Northern Fleet intercepts Ukrainian UAVs near Novotoretske; the “Grom-Kaskad” UAV brigade of the 4th Army of the Air Force and Air Defense strikes north of Shevchenkove.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes in the west of Ternuvate; the 589th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army operates on the Dnipropetrovsk Direction.

• The 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes near Huliaypole; the 57th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes in Kopani.

• The 1251st and 71st Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army strike south of Mala Tokmachka and in Novodanylivka.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.

• In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil River from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.

• As a result of the general offensive by the flank groups of the adversary’s 3rd Combined Arms Army along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets and on both sides of the Sloviansk – Bakhmut road in previous months, including the capture of Siversk, the command of the adversary’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping has gained a number of new tactical opportunities, in addition to the possibility of encircling units of the Defense Forces’ 3rd Separate Corps east of Rai-Oleksandrivka. One option for further actions could be assisting the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies of the adversary’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping in the elimination of the Ukrainian Defense Forces’ Lyman bridgehead by cutting off its logistics with a breakthrough into the Mykolaivka area or reaching the immediate approaches to Kramatorsk from the east with a breakthrough to the Vasylivska Pustosh – Vasyutynske line.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 30.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,296 700 (+870);

Tanks – 11,824 (+4);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,317 (+4);

Artillery systems – 39,049 (+48);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,708 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,337 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 86,160 (+183);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 206,531 (+2,471);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,491 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since the evening of March 29, Russian troops attacked Ukraine with an Iskander-M ballistic missile and 164 UAVs of the “Shahed,” “Gerbera,” “Italmas,” and other models. As of 08:30, air defense forces managed to shoot down or suppress 150 enemy drones, of which about 90 were Shahed-type strike drones. Hits by the ballistic missile and 12 UAVs were recorded at 7 locations, along with falling debris in 2 places. As of the morning of March 30, the enemy attack continues.

• According to the head of the Chernihiv Oblast Military Administration Viacheslav Chaus, overnight, Russian troops struck civilian and critical infrastructure facilities in the oblast. Specifically, a Gerbera UAV attacked an agricultural enterprise in Novhorod-Siverskyi, damaging farm machinery, and a Geran UAV struck a critical infrastructure facility on the outskirts of Chernihiv, causing a fire. Also, in Semenivka, an enemy FPV drone hit the local history museum building, resulting in damage to the roof.

• According to the head of the Sloviansk City Military Administration Vadym Liakh, on March 30 at approximately 11:50, the Russian army launched a strike with guided aerial bombs on the center of Sloviansk in Donetsk Oblast. As a result of the attack, a 42-year-old man was injured. Damage to the only maternity hospital in the oblast was also recorded.

• According to the head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Ganzha, on Monday, Russian troops attacked Nikopol with an FPV drone. As a result of the strike, eight people were injured. Damage to shops, a high-rise building, and cars was also recorded.

• According to the Sumy Oblast Military Administration, Russian troops launched strikes with guided aerial bombs on the residential sector of Hlukhiv. The enemy purposefully attacked civilian infrastructure, resulting in 11 people being injured, including one child. All the wounded were hospitalized, while a 50-year-old man is in serious condition.

• According to the head of the Kherson Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Prokudin, at approximately 10:20, Russian troops attacked a minibus in downtown Kherson with a UAV. As a result of the strike, a 62-year-old man sustained shrapnel wounds to his face, abdomen, and leg, as well as a concussion, and explosive and closed craniocerebral injuries.

• According to the head of the Derhachi City Military Administration Viacheslav Zadorenko, today at approximately 13:50, Russian troops attacked an energy infrastructure facility in the Kharkiv district. As a result of the strike on the border community, more than 800 residents of the settlement of Ruska Lozova were left without electricity.

• According to the National Police, over the past 24 hours, Russian troops shelled 25 settlements in Sumy Oblast. In the Mykolaivka rural community, three civilians were injured as a result of an enemy UAV strike: two men aged 26 and 52, and a 49-year-old woman. Furthermore, in a number of communities in the oblast, damage to multi-apartment and private houses, a gas station, outbuildings, a garage, and a car was recorded.

• According to the Ministry of Energy and Ukrenergo, as of the morning of March 30, some consumers in Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Odesa, Khmelnytskyi, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Chernihiv oblasts remain without electricity due to shelling of energy infrastructure. Despite a 2.7% increase in consumption compared to the previous Friday due to cloudy weather and decreased efficiency of household solar power plants, the application of restriction schedules for this day is not predicted.

• According to the National Police, on Monday, March 30, anonymous reports of mining were mass-mailed to the electronic addresses of state authorities, local self-government bodies, educational institutions, banks, and other institutions. As of 14:50, 1,216 such appeals were recorded. By 18:00, relevant services had checked 56% of the facilities—in none of the cases was the information about mining was confirmed.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a fuel depot near Unecha, Bryansk Oblast.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Vovchansk, Starytsya, Vovchanski Khutory, Izbytske, Mala Vovcha, Okhrymivka, Prylypky, Lyptsi, Verkhnya Pysarivka, Zybyne, and Chuhunivka.

On the Kupyansk Direction, enemy infiltration groups operate in the northwest of Kupyansk. Russian forces attacked near Petropavlivka, Kurylivka, Pishchane, Hlushkivka, and Podoly, in the direction of Novoosynove, near Novoplatonivka and Serednie, in the direction of Novoserhiyivka.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the east of Lyman and counterattacked near the Serebriansk forest area.

Russian forces fought for Brusivka, attacked near Lyman, Novoselivka, Stavky, and Drobysheve, in the direction of Svyatohirsk, near Yampil and Dibrova, in the direction of Staryi Karavan, near Platonivka, Zakitne, Kalenyky, and Riznykivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka, near Nykyforivka.

The enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army delivers its main effort in the general northwest direction on both sides of the Sloviansk–Bakhmut road with the 123rd, 85th, and 88th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades, which have reached the Lypivka–Fedorivka Druha line, advancing north of the Vasyukivka river to a depth of up to 10 km and penetrating the 3rd Army Corps’ defenses at multiple points in the areas of Pryvillya, Minkivka, and Novomarkove. Ukrainian Defense Forces’ 3rd Army Corps holds some positions west of Vasyukivka, thereby restraining the enemy north of the road in the Lypivka–Nykyforivka–Fedorivka Druha area. Forward elements of the 3rd Combined Arms Army continue active offensive and assault operations with the aim of breaking through the 3rd Army Corps’ tactical defensive zone. Forward units of the 127th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army are attempting to advance along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets river in the directions of Zakitne–Kryva Luka, Platonivka–Kalenyky, and Svyato-Pokrovske–Riznykivka, reach the Mykolaivka–Rai-Oleksandrivka line, and break through to the Starodubivka and Piskunivka area. Their attempts to break into Kryva Luka have been unsuccessful. In the Zakitne area, Ukrainian Defense Forces pushed the enemy back and continue to hold part of the village.

Enemy assault groups operating on the Zakitne–Riznykivka line have reduced the intensity of assault operations due to the growing resistance of the 3rd Army Corps’ forward units in this area. Following the infiltration of several infantry groups between Kryva Luka and Riznykivka, they have been unable to advance further for a week. Enemy units do not control either Kalenyky or Riznykivka, being present there only in very small, isolated groups. The stubborn defense of Zakitne is forcing the “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping command to transfer part of the forces operating south of the Lyman–Siversk road to that area, reducing pressure in the general direction toward Rai-Oleksandrivka from the northeast.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainain Defense Forces hold positions in the northeast of Kostyantynivka and counterattack near Chasiv Yar.

Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Markove, and Chasiv Yar, in the direction of Chervone, near Predtechyne, Ivanopillya, Kleban-Byk, Pleshchiivka, Berestok, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Yablunivka, Rusyn Yar, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Kucheriv Yar, Nove Shakhove, Zaporizhzhia, Pokrovsk, and Hryshyne, in the direction of Shevchenkove, Serhiivka, and Novooleksandrivka, near Bilytske, Chervonyi Lyman, Myrnohrad, Udachne, Molodetske, Novopidhorodnie, and Kotlyne, and attempted to advance west of Rodynske.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Muravka, Novomykolayivka, Dachne, Filiya, Ivanivka, Zelenyi Hai, Sosnivka, Andriivka-Klevtsove, and Sichneve, in the direction of Havrylivka, near Zlahoda, Oleksandrohrad, and Kalynivske, in the direction of Verbove.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked toward Andriivka-Klevtsove, Berezove, and Fedorivka, struck an enemy concentration area near Sichneve in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, struck Herber and Shahed UAV position areas at Donetsk airport, fuel depots on the outskirts of Donetsk, ammunition depots near Manhush and Hlyboke, a damaged vehicle collection point near Prokhorivka, an electronic warfare unit position area in Luhansk, and a logistics depot in Manhush.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces advanced north of Zalizne, attacked near Huliaypole and Olenokostyantynivka, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa, Vozdvyzhivka, Varvarivka, Dobropillya, Zelene, Hirke, Zaliznychne, Staroukrainka, Myrne, and Huliaypilske.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked near Mala Tokmachka, Novodanylivka, Mali Shcherbaky, Stepove, Prymorske, and Stepnohirsk.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a UAV command post near Nova Kakhovka, a command post near Lyubymivka, a combat vehicle concentration area near Blahovishchenka, and a logistics depot near Mezhyhiria in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Yaroslavl oil refinery. Fires continue at the NOVATEK–Ust-Luga oil refinery and the “Transneft–Port Primorsk” oil terminal.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• Russian forces are waiting for improved weather conditions to intensify offensive operations on the Kupyansk Direction; they have largely exhausted their resources but are preparing to intensify the offensive with the arrival of leaf cover and improved camouflage conditions, periodically attempting to advance toward Kupyansk from the east and having effectively ceased such attempts from the north.

• Both Russian groupings (the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies of the “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping and the 8th Combined Arms Army and 3rd Army Corps of the “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping) that were to complete the preliminary envelopment of the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk agglomeration from the flanks and reach assembly areas for a spring–summer 2026 offensive are well behind schedule.

• The “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping command’s concept for the Sloviansk Direction was read fairly well by Ukrainian military command, which organized a more resilient defense precisely on the flank directions of the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk agglomeration than to its east. Available reserves allow for intensive counterattacks at priority points. The “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping command is fairly close to realizing its concept — its assault groups have already reached a line less than 4.5 km southeast of Rai-Oleksandrivka — but the northeastern flank of the 3rd Combined Arms Army has stalled due to the stubborn defense of the Defense Forces’ 3rd Army Corps in the Kryva Luka and Zakitne area and cannot break through to Rai-Oleksandrivka.

• Russian forces reduced their offensive tempo on the Sloviansk Direction after the recent intensification but continue infiltration attempts. The enemy failed to consolidate in Lyman and may therefore focus on advancing toward the “fortress belt” from the south through Kostyantynivka.

• A hypothetical assault and seizure of Lyman or Kostyantynivka simultaneously with Druzhkivka will not be quick for Russian forces. Without significant reinforcement of the flank groupings, the execution of these tasks will be considerably prolonged, placing the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army in a situation where it will be forced to attack the Armed Forces of Ukraine’s defenses from the east independently — that is, frontally — which substantially reduces the probability of Russian forces seizing the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk agglomeration during 2026.

• Russian forces have intensified offensive operations on the Pokrovsk Direction and are attempting to advance simultaneously on several tactical axes, have intensified assault actions particularly during poor weather conditions, are attempting to advance on the flanks near Hryshyne and in the direction of Rodynske, and are using smoke screens.

• Russian forces have recently begun employing “Kniaz Veshchy Oleh” reconnaissance UAVs.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 236 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made 5 attempts to breach defensive lines in the areas of Starytsya, Prylipka, Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, and Chuhunivka.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 9 times in the areas of Pishchane, Petropavlivka, and Kruhlyakivka, and toward Novoplatonivka and Kurylivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 9 enemy attempts to penetrate the defense toward Drobysheve and Stavky, in the area of Novoselivka, and to advance in the areas of Zakitne, Riznykivka, and Platonivka and toward Rai-Oleksandrivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 30 attacks toward Nykyforivka, in the areas of Predtechyne, Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Novopavlivka, Kleban-Byk, Ivanopillya, and Yablunivka, and toward Illinivka, Sofiivka, Berestok, and Kucheriv Yar.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 57 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Bilytske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novomykolayivka, Novopidhorodnie, Molodetske, Nove Shakhove, Chervonyi Lyman, Novopavlivka, and Dachne, and toward Hryshyne, Shevchenko, and Filiya.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 22 times in the areas of Ternove, Oleksandrohrad, Ivanivka, Zelenyi Hai, and Andriivka-Klevtsove and Sichneve, and toward Sosnivka, Verbove, and Zlahoda.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 33 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Huliaypole, Varvarivka, Olenokostyantynivka, and Myrne, and toward Dobropillya, Zaliznychne, Hirke, Huliaypilske, and Tsvytkove.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy attacked 10 times in the areas of Mala Tokmachka, Novodanylivka, Mali Shcherbaky, and Stepove.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, the enemy carried out 2 assault actions toward Antonivskyi Bridge.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The enemy’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping continues to advance with part of its forces on the Sloviansk Direction and has in its grouping at this location the 3rd Combined Arms Army (6th, 85th, 88th, 123rd, and 127th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades), a number of Territorial Forces formations at regiment/battalion level, and part of the forces of the so-called “volunteer assault corps.” The 123rd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strikes near Kalenyky; the 37th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division of the 25th Combined Arms Army strikes in the eastern part of Lyman.

• The 4th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strikes in the western part of Kostyantynivka; the 72nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Army Corps strikes near Kostyantynivka; the 242nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Rusyn Yar and Mykolaypillya.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes west of Ternuvate; bombers of the 11th Army of the Air Force and Air Defense strike Ukrainian positions in Velykomykhailivka.

• The 2nd Battalion of the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army operates on the outskirts of Zaliznychne and strikes southwest of Hirke; the 38th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 35th Combined Arms Army strikes near Huliaypilske.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.

• In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil River from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.

• As a result of the general offensive by the flank groups of the adversary’s 3rd Combined Arms Army along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets and on both sides of the Sloviansk – Bakhmut road in previous months, including the capture of Siversk, the command of the adversary’s “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping has gained a number of new tactical opportunities, in addition to the possibility of encircling units of the Defense Forces’ 3rd Separate Corps east of Rai-Oleksandrivka. One option for further actions could be assisting the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies of the adversary’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping in the elimination of the Ukrainian Defense Forces’ Lyman bridgehead by cutting off its logistics with a breakthrough into the Mykolaivka area or reaching the immediate approaches to Kramatorsk from the east with a breakthrough to the Vasylivska Pustosh – Vasyutynske line.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 29.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,295 830 (+1,360);

Tanks – 11,820 (+8);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,313 (+16);

Artillery systems – 39,001 (+65);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,707 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,337 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 85,977 (+181);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 204,060 (+1,948);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,491 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, during the week Russia employed more than 3,000 UAVs against Ukraine, a significant portion of which were Shahed type. In addition to drones, the enemy launched more than 1,450 guided aerial bombs and 40 missiles of various types. The President stressed that Russia is not reducing the pace of its war against the Ukrainian state and its people, while simultaneously investing in the prolongation of other conflicts to achieve global destabilization.

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, on the night of 29 March Russian forces attacked Ukraine with a Kinzhal aeroballistic missile and 442 UAVs, including around 300 Shaheds. Preliminary reports indicate that air defense forces shot down or suppressed 380 enemy drones. Hits from 16 strike UAVs were recorded at 7 locations, with debris falling at 14 more. As of the morning, the attack is ongoing, with several enemy drones still airborne.

• According to Khmelnytsky Oblast Military Administration head Serhiy Tyurin, the Russian occupying army struck Khmelnytsky Oblast. The attack caused power outages in the Oblast.

• According to Kyiv Oblast Military Administration head Mykola Kalashnyk, on the night of 29 March the Russian army attacked Kyiv Oblast with UAVs. Air defense forces intercepted nearly three dozen enemy drones. The attack caused minor damage in Bila Tserkva and Boryspil districts, where civilian settlements again came under fire.

• According to Odesa City Military Administration head Serhiy Lysak and local media, from Saturday evening until Sunday morning Russian occupying forces continued UAV attacks on Odesa and the Oblast, targeting energy facilities. Air raid alerts were declared several times in the region, with drones maneuvering at ultra-low altitude of around 100 meters. In Odesa, one drone struck a private residential building, and damage was also recorded at a dacha cooperative. In Odesa district, fire engulfed two garages, destroying a vehicle. No casualties were reported, though the strikes caused power outages in a number of settlements in the Oblast.

• According to the Chernihiv Oblast Military Administration, on the night of 29 March the Russian aggressor attacked a woodworking enterprise in Novhorod-Siverskyi using at least 5 Geran UAVs. The strikes caused a fire at the enterprise, damaged production facilities, and also damaged nearby residential buildings and a kindergarten. The Oblast Military Administration stressed the absence of any military targets in the area of the strike.

• According to NAK “Naftogaz Ukrainy,” Russian forces are attacking the company’s assets for the fourth consecutive day. On 29 March, facilities in Sumy Oblast were struck, causing significant damage and a fire. There were no casualties among employees.

• According to the National Police, at 12:36 Russian forces dropped 5 KAB-250 aerial bombs on Kramatorsk. As of 17:30, 3 people have been killed and 13 civilians injured. The strikes damaged 7 apartment buildings, 11 private houses, a bank building, a shop, and a café.

• According to Mykolaiv Oblast Military Administration head Vitaliy Kim, on Saturday evening in Voskresenka community of Mykolaiv district, ten people were injured in a UAV attack and falling debris at a public recreation area: two women and eight children aged 10 to 16. As of the morning, a 40-year-old woman and two girls are in serious condition, while the other six children are in moderate condition. In the evening, one girl died. Three private houses, three shops, and a vehicle were also damaged in the community, while in Voznesensk district shelling broke windows at an educational facility and damaged a power line, causing a partial power outage in one settlement.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, Russian attacks on Zaporizhzhia district on Sunday killed a 75-year-old woman and injured two men. The occupiers struck Zarichne with guided aerial bombs, destroying a private house and a non-residential building where the woman was killed and a 72-year-old man was injured. In Bilenske, an enemy drone damaged a private house, injuring a 77-year-old man.

• According to Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, daily video evidence from the front is recording cases of Russian infantry self-destruction, which occurs mostly after UAV wounds or when surrounded by Ukrainian drones. Fedorov noted that such suicides are the result of Russian propaganda urging soldiers to die rather than surrender, combined with the absence of casualty evacuation options. He assessed that March may become a record month for occupier losses, which could exceed 30,000 killed and seriously wounded.

• The Southern District Military Court in Rostov-on-Don sentenced three Ukrainians captured during the siege of the Azovstal plant in Mariupol. One received 5.5 years in prison while the other two received 18 and 19 years in a penal colony respectively.

Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to hold the dominant high ground near Lyptsi.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Petropavlivka, Podoly, Pishchane, and Kurylivka, in the direction of Novoosynove, Kivsharivka, Novoplatonivka, and Bohuslavka, near Borivska Andriivka, Nadiia, Shyikivka, Tverdokhlibove, and Serednie.

Ukrainian Defense Forces destroyed a Tor-M1 SAM system launcher southeast of Pysarivka, fuel depots near Aidar and Raihorodka, and struck an enemy concentration area near Kamyanka.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance to the southern outskirts of Lyman, attacked near Stavky and Drobysheve, in the direction of Svyatohirsk, near Yampil, Dibrova, Platonivka, Zakitne, Kalenyky, Kryva Luka, and Riznykivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka and Mykolaivka, near Nykyforivka, Vasyukivka, and Fedorivka Druha, in the direction of Lypivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked from Mykolaivka.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, enemy infiltration groups operate in the south of Berestok and the south of Illinivka. Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Markove, and Minkivka, in the direction of Chervone, near Ivanopillya, Pleshchiivka, Berestok, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Yablunivka, Rusyn Yar, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka.

Ukrainain Defense Forces hold positions northeast of Novodmytrivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Kucheriv Yar, Novyi Donbas, Shakhove, and Nove Shakhove, in the direction of Hannivka, near Zaporizhzhia, near Pokrovsk and Hryshyne, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka, Serhiivka, and Vasylivka, near Bilytske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Svitle, Udachne, Molodetske, Novopidhorodnie, and Kotlyne.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an enemy concentration area near Dorizhne and struck enemy infiltration groups in the eastern and southeastern parts of Bilytske.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novoserhiyivka, Novomykolayivka, Muravka, Oleksandrohrad, Krasnohirske, Vyshneve, and Ternuvate.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Andriivka-Klevtsove, struck enemy infiltration groups in the center of Ternove, and struck a logistics hub, concentration area, and command post in Velyka Novosilka; ammunition depots of the 165th Separate Logistics Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army near Makedonivka and Buryakova Balka; an enemy concentration area near Luhanske; a command post near Olhynka; a 58th Combined Arms Army ammunition depot near Manhush; and a logistics depot of the 165th Separate Logistics Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army near Rybynskе.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Svyatopetrivka, and Zelene, in the direction of Vozdvyzhivka, Rizdvyanka, and Verkhnya Tersa, near Myrne and Zaliznychne, in the direction of Staroukrainka and Huliaypilske.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a logistics depot near Novoselivka and an enemy concentration at a training range near Novopetrovske.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked near Prymorske, Stepnohirsk, Mala Tokmachka, Stepove, and Shcherbaky.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a “Valdai” radar near Hvardiyske, a “Forpost” UAV control station in Yevpatoria, and an unmanned surface vessel control station in Sevastopol.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “Severstal” metallurgical plant in Cherepovets, Vologda Oblast; the Smolensk aircraft plant; and the “Promsyntez” explosive manufacturing plant in Chapaevsk, Samara Oblast.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• Russian forces continue to exploit difficult weather conditions and infiltration tactics in the Kostyantynivka–Druzhkivka tactical zone, using smoke screens to conduct attacks. The enemy is preparing to increase assault intensity as the ground dries out, is rotating units, but no signs of force concentration are observed. Ukrainian Defense Forces have covered roads near Kramatorsk and Sloviansk with anti-drone netting.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces recently resumed offensive attempts; the sides’ positions are intermingled along the front line, forming a large grey zone without a clear front line.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 181 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, 5 combat engagements took place.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy 5 times assaulted Defense Forces unit positions toward Prylipka, Vovchansk, Zybyne, Mala Vovcha, and Okhrymivka.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 8 times toward Petropavlivka, Kurylivka, Hlushkivka, Novoplatonivka, Podoly, Novoosynove, and Pishchane.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 15 enemy attempts to penetrate the defense toward Novoserhiyivka, Stavky, Drobysheve, and Lyman, in the area of Serednie, and to advance near Platonivka and toward Rai-Oleksandrivka and Riznykivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 38 attacks toward Markove, Chervone, Kostyantynivka, Ivanopillya, Illinivka, Stepanivka, and Novopavlivka, and in the areas of Pleshchiivka, Rusyn Yar, Yablunivka, and Sofiivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 36 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Nykanorivka, Myrnohrad, Rodynske, Pokrovsk, Hryshyne, Kotlyne, Udachne, Muravka, and Novomykolayivka, and toward Kucheriv Yar, Bilytske, Nove Shakhove, Novopidhorodnie, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 4 times toward Oleksandrohrad, Verbove, and Kalynivske.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 21 enemy attacks took place toward Varvarivka, Staroukrainka, Olenokostyantynivka, Zelene, and Zaliznychne, and in the area of Myrne.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, an attack near Antonivskyi Bridge was repelled.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 41st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 72nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 44th Army Corps operates near Myropillya; the 83rd Separate Air Assault Brigade and the 1st Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division operate in the border zone of Kursk Oblast. Units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies operate on the Northern Slobozhansky Direction.

• The 375th Separate Anti-Tank Artillery Battalion of the 47th Tank Division and the 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Tank Army operate near Kupyansk. The 2nd Battalion of the 15th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army operates near Bohuslavka.

• The 37th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division of the 25th Combined Arms Army strikes northwest of Staryi Karavan; the 123rd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army assaults Ukrainian positions northeast of Rai-Oleksandrivka; the 164th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 25th Combined Arms Army and the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army advance in the direction of Lyman.

• The 1008th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strikes in Kostyantynivka; the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Rayske, Pryiut, and Novomykolayivka; the 255th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army and the 58th Separate SOF Battalion of the 51st Combined Arms Army operate on the Kostyantynivka Direction.

• The 74th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 41st Combined Arms Army strikes with multiple launch rocket systems in the direction of Dobropillya.

• The 200th Artillery Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army strikes west of Berezove.

• The 38th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 35th Combined Arms Army strikes near Chervona Krynytsia; the 291st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army strikes near Orikhiv.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.

• In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil River from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, in a tactical perspective, the adversary’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will move to the decisive phase of the battles for the Defense Forces’ Lyman bridgehead on the Siverskyi Donets and will attempt to capture Lyman. The adversary’s Svatove grouping of forces, intentionally separated from the “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping, will attack more actively in the direction of Borova. Ukrainian Defense Forces’ confident control over the areas of the Sloviansk Thermal Power Plant, Mykolaivka, and Raihorodka allows for the provision of stable logistics for the Lyman defense area of the 3rd Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces from the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets. With the aim of destroying logistics first and foremost, the adversary will increase fire impact on the Raihorodok – Staryi Karavan – Starodubivka – Sloviansk Thermal Power Plant area. The envelopment of the Lyman defense area from the northwest and southeast by troops of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies may significantly assist the adversary in its further assault on the city itself. Therefore, before the assault on Lyman, the 20th Combined Arms Army will attempt to fully occupy the Yarova – Novoselivka – Drobysheve – Pryshyb area and subsequently attempt to reach the Oleksandrivka – Sosnove line and break through to Svyatohirsk.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 28.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,294 470 (+1,300);

Tanks – 11,812 (+4);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,297 (+10);

Artillery systems – 38,936 (+73);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,707 (+7);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,337 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 85,796 (+227);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 202,112 (+1501);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,491 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, on the night of 28 March Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 273 UAVs, with Odesa Oblast as the main axis of the strike. Air defense forces shot down or suppressed 252 enemy drones. Hits from 21 strike UAVs were recorded at 18 locations, with debris falling at 9 more. After 07:00, the enemy carried out repeat drone strikes on Odesa Oblast and other regions in the north and east; the results of these operations are still being assessed.

• According to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, on the night of 28 March Russian forces carried out a massed strike on Odesa, launching more than 60 UAVs. The attack damaged a maternity hospital, residential buildings, enterprises, and port and critical infrastructure. One person is known to have been killed and more than ten injured, including a child. Subsequently, another injured person died in hospital.

• According to the Administration of Sea Ports of Ukraine and Odesa Oblast Military Administration head Oleh Kiper, on the morning of 28 March Russian forces attacked the infrastructure of one of the Greater Odesa ports with UAVs. Hits were recorded on the territory of the enterprise and an adjacent terminal, damaging mooring infrastructure elements, a grain gallery, and a technical tank. There were no casualties. The port continues to operate given the security situation.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, on the morning of 28 March Russian occupiers attacked Kryvyi Rih with Shahed UAVs, killing one man and injuring two more. Damage was also recorded at an industrial enterprise where fires broke out. According to Kryvyi Rih Defense Council head Oleksandr Vilkul, on the morning of 28 March Russian forces attacked the city’s industrial and energy infrastructure a second time. Details of the consequences of the strike are not yet being disclosed.

• According to the Poltava Oblast Military Administration, overnight on 28 March Russian UAVs attacked Poltava district. Hits were recorded on a residential building and industrial facilities. At least one person was killed in the attack. As of the morning, an air raid alert has been declared again in the district.

• According to National JSC “Naftogaz Ukrainy,” Russian forces have been conducting massed attacks on the company’s gas extraction assets in Poltava Oblast for the third consecutive day. On the night and morning of 28 March, three production facilities were struck by UAVs. A 55-year-old process equipment operator was killed in one of the attacks. Operations on the damaged equipment have been halted and emergency services are working on site to address the consequences.

• According to the Office of the Prosecutor General, at around 12:00 on 28 March Russian forces shelled a residential building with artillery in Znob-Novhorodska community in Seredyna-Buda district of Sumy Oblast. A 20-year-old woman was killed in the attack and her 6-year-old sister was seriously injured.

• According to Bring Kids Back UA, a 14-year-old girl and her mother have been returned from temporarily occupied territory to Ukrainian-controlled territory. For four years the family lived under constant pressure: Russian military personnel conducted searches, intimidated them, threatened them with eviction, and last year confiscated their vehicle along with their documents.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the southwestern part of Vovchansk.

Russian forces attacked near Starytsya, Hrafske, Pishchanske, Vovchanski Khutory, and Nesterne, in the direction of Okhrymivka, Verkhnya Pysarivka, and Zybyne.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Kupyansk, Pishchane, Kivsharivka, and Kurylivka, in the direction of Novoosynove, near Novoplatonivka, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Kopanky, Nadiia, Tverdokhlibove, Korovyi Yar, and Oleksandrivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in the southwest of Kupyansk.

On the Sloviansk Direction, the 123rd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army fought for Riznykivka and Kalenyky and attempted to advance west of Kalenyky.

Russian forces attempted to advance in the northeast of Lyman, southeast of the city, west of Dibrova, and northeast of Staryi Karavan, attacked near Drobysheve, Svyatohirsk, Yampil, Zakitne, and Platonivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka, near Fedorivka Druha and Lypivka, and struck the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal dam near Raihorodka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Rai-Oleksandrivka and hold positions in Nykyforivka.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the center of Kostyantynivka and counterattacked near Minkivka, Novopavlivka, and Pavlivka.

Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Chasiv Yar, Minkivka, Pleshchiivka, Berestok, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka, and conducted an assault in Kostyantynivka, attacking from Toretske and Ivanopillya, with another group on motorcycles along the H32 Pokrovsk–Kostyantynivka highway, and a special operations group along the railway.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces advanced west of Pokrovsk, attempted to advance northwest of Udachne, attacked near Toretske and Novyi Donbas, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka, Shevchenkove, Serhiivka, and Svitle, near Bilytske, Molodetske, Kotlyne, and Novopidhorodnie, conducted two assaults on the approaches to Hryshyne and Rodynske, and near Myrnohrad.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in Kotlyne and near Hryshyne and are repelling an assault west of Pokrovsk.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Novoserhiyivka, Horikhove, Oleksandrohrad, Krasnohirske, Ternove, Vyshneve, and Ternuvate.

Ukrainian Defense Forces liberated Berezove.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Olenokostyantynivka, and Svyatopetrivka, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa and Vozdvyzhivka, near Varvarivka, Dobropillya, Pryluky, Myrne, Charivne, and Zaliznychne, and are transferring marine infantry and airborne units to build up the tempo of the offensive toward Huliaypilske and Verkhnya Tersa.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Myrne, Hirke, Novoselivka, Vozdvyzhivka, and Rizdvyanka.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces liberated the northern and central parts of Prymorske, Richne, and the northwestern part of Stepnohirsk, advanced in the center and north of Prymorske, consolidated in Richne, and hold positions in Veselyanka.

Russian forces attacked near Mala Tokmachka, Stepove, Shcherbaky, Prymorske, Lukyanivske, and Novoboykivske, in the direction of Novoyakovlivka and Pavlivka.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Kirishi oil refinery in Leningrad Oblast.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces UAV strikes have prevented the enemy from concentrating forces near the international border in the north of Kharkiv Oblast. Russian forces are increasing UAV employment in Kharkiv Oblast, primarily “Molinia,” “Shahed,” “Zala,” and “Orlan” types.

• Russian forces continue to sustain heavy losses in their attempts to advance toward Sloviansk, attacking 7–8 times per day and intensifying artillery strikes while deploying fresh infantry to the front line. Ukrainian Defense Forces UAV operators hold positions on the high ground east of Sloviansk, strike Russian forces in the lowland areas, and prevent the enemy from concentrating forces before leaf cover emerges and camouflage conditions change.

• The first and second lift reservoirs of the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal have only around two weeks of water reserves remaining following the enemy airstrike on the dam.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 150 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy twice assaulted Defense Forces unit positions near Starytsya and Zybyne.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked near Novoosynove.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 12 enemy attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defense near Nadiia, Tverdokhlibove, Drobysheve, Stavky, and Lyman, and to advance in the areas of Platonivka, Rai-Oleksandrivka, and Riznykivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 23 attacks near Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Illinivka, Berestok, Stepanivka, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 42 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Shakhove, Novopidhorodnie, Bilytske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Hryshyne, Kotlyne, Udachne, Pokrovsk, and Molodetske, and toward Hannivka, Novyi Donbas, Kucheriv Yar, and Svitle.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 10 times in the areas of Oleksandrohrad, Vyshneve, and Krasnohirske.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 22 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Huliaypole, Zaliznychne, Myrne, and Svyatopetrivka.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy attacked three times in the areas of Tokmachka, Stepove, and Shcherbaky.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 1st Battalion of the 41st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 72nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 44th Army Corps operates near Myropillya; the 83rd Separate Air Assault Brigade operates in the border areas of Kursk Oblast.

• The 71st Motorized Rifle Division of the 14th Army Corps strikes in Volokhivka; the 15th Separate SOF Company of the 6th Combined Arms Army and the 82nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army operate in the Vovchansk area; the 83rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division fights for Shevyakivka.

• The 1432nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 1st Tank Army operates near Bohuslavka; the 423rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army advances in the direction of Borova.

• Units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike near Mykolaivka and in the direction of Lyman.

• The 1008th and 1307th Motorized Rifle Regiments, the 27th Artillery Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps, and the 1194th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strike in Kostyantynivka; the 102nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Torske.

• The 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates near Shakhove.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes south of Zirnytsia and near Velykomykhailivka; the 186th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 29th Combined Arms Army operates in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

• The 40th Separate Marine Infantry Brigade of the Pacific Fleet advances in the direction of Varvarivka and Pryluky; the Martin Pushkar detachment strikes near Charivne and Huliaypilske.

• The 108th Air Assault Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division operates near Richne.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.

• In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil River from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, in a tactical perspective, the adversary’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will move to the decisive phase of the battles for the Defense Forces’ Lyman bridgehead on the Siverskyi Donets and will attempt to capture Lyman. The adversary’s Svatove grouping of forces, intentionally separated from the “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping, will attack more actively in the direction of Borova. Ukrainian Defense Forces’ confident control over the areas of the Sloviansk Thermal Power Plant, Mykolaivka, and Raihorodka allows for the provision of stable logistics for the Lyman defense area of the 3rd Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces from the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets. With the aim of destroying logistics first and foremost, the adversary will increase fire impact on the Raihorodok – Staryi Karavan – Starodubivka – Sloviansk Thermal Power Plant area. The envelopment of the Lyman defense area from the northwest and southeast by troops of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies may significantly assist the adversary in its further assault on the city itself. Therefore, before the assault on Lyman, the 20th Combined Arms Army will attempt to fully occupy the Yarova – Novoselivka – Drobysheve – Pryshyb area and subsequently attempt to reach the Oleksandrivka – Sosnove line and break through to Svyatohirsk.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 27.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,293 170 (+1,000);

Tanks – 11,808 (+1);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,287 (+9);

Artillery systems – 38,863 (+68);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,700 (+2);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,337 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 85,569 (+217);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 200,611 (+2,222);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,491 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since the evening of March 26, Russian troops attacked Ukraine with 102 drones of various types, including Shahed, “Gerbera,” and “Italmas.” As of 08:30 on March 27, Air Defense Forces shot down or suppressed 93 enemy UAVs. Hits by 9 strike drones were recorded at 8 locations, along with falling debris in 4 places.

• According to the head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration Serhii Ganzha, on the night of March 27, Russian troops attacked Dnipropetrovsk Oblast more than 30 times with UAVs and artillery. The Nikopol, Kryvyi Rih, and Synelnykove districts came under fire. In the Nikopol district, a 17-year-old girl was hospitalized in moderate condition; an enterprise and cars were damaged. In Kryvyi Rih and the Zaitseve community, hits on infrastructure facilities were recorded, which caused fires.

• According to reports from Kharkiv Mayor Ihor Terekhov and the State Emergency Service, on the night of March 27, Russian troops launched strikes on the Kyivskyi district of the city. A missile hit on a nine-story residential building was recorded, as well as a UAV attack. As of the morning, the number of injured increased to 8 people, most of whom were diagnosed with an acute stress reaction.

• According to the Naftogaz Group press service, as a result of Russian attacks on March 26 and the night of March 27, a gas production infrastructure facility in Poltava Oblast was seriously damaged. A fire broke out at the enterprise, and its operations have currently been suspended. The company notes that since the beginning of the year, approximately 40 strikes on Naftogaz Group facilities have been recorded.

• According to the State Emergency Service, Russian troops attacked one of the settlements of the Koryukivka district in Chernihiv Oblast with a UAV. As a result of the strike, a residential building caught fire, and a 95-year-old man was killed.

• According to the Donetsk Oblast Prosecutor’s Office, on March 27, Russian troops shelled Kostyantynivka and Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka, resulting in one person killed and six injured. In the morning, the occupiers struck the private sector of Kostyantynivka with tube artillery, wounding two local residents. At 11:00, the enemy dropped a FAB-250 aerial bomb with a UMPC on a residential block in Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka, leading to the death of a 41-year-old man and the wounding of four more civilians.

• According to the head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Ganzha, throughout March 27, Russian troops attacked the oblast nearly 50 times with UAVs and artillery, resulting in five people being injured. In the Nikopol district, four people were injured, including an 11-year-old girl; a 58-year-old man was hospitalized in serious condition. A 37-year-old resident of the Pokrovske community in the Synelnykove district also sustained serious injuries. In the Kryvyi Rih district and other communities of the oblast, damage to infrastructure, residential buildings, a store, and a gas station was recorded.

• According to the head of the Balakliia City Military Administration Vitalii Karabanov, on the evening of March 26, Russian troops attacked a private residential building in the city of Balakliia, Kharkiv Oblast, with a “Gerbera” type UAV. A fire broke out as a result of the hit, and one person was injured.

• According to the Support Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since the beginning of 2026, engineering units have cleared 452.49 hectares of territory and neutralized 358 explosive objects. Over 382.86 hectares of the surveyed areas are agricultural land, and approximately 69.63 hectares are forested areas.

• According to the Commissioner of the Verkhovna Rada for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets, a catastrophic situation has developed in occupied Oleshky in Kherson Oblast: there is a shortage of drinking water in the city, stable electricity and gas supplies are absent, and medical assistance is limited. The Ombudsman emphasized that food delivery is accompanied by mortal danger for drivers, and the Russian Federation ignores the norms of the Geneva Convention regarding the provision of food and medicine to civilians. Lubinets called on the Russian side to create a humanitarian corridor for evacuation, and on the International Committee of the Red Cross to take decisive action to establish dialogue and organize the delivery of aid, as the situation has not changed a month after previous appeals.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army fights for Pishchane. Russian forces attacked near Vovchansk, Pishchanske, Vovchanski Khutory, Starytsya, Vilcha, Hrafske, and Nesterne, in the direction of Okhrymivka, Verkhnya Pysarivka, and Zybyne.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance east of Hlushkivka, attacked near Petropavlivka, Kurylivka, Podoly, and Pishchane, in the direction of Kivsharivka, Novoosynove, and Novoplatonivka, near Kopanky, Tverdokhlibove, and Serednie.

On the Sloviansk Direction, enemy infantry groups infiltrated from Zarichne into Lyman and penetrated to the southeastern outskirts of the city. Russian forces fought for Nykyforivka and Lypivka, attempted to advance south of Kalenyky and southwest of Riznykivka, attacked near Drobysheve, Yarova, Ozerne, Yampil, Zakitne, and Platonivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka, near Pazeno and Fedorivka Druha.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced southeast of Kostyantynivka, north of Ivanopillya, and northwest of Stupochky.

Russian forces attempted to advance northwest of Holubivka, struck the northeastern part of Kostyantynivka, attacked near Kostyantynivka, Virolyubivka, Minkivka, Malynivka, Oleksandro-Shultyne, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Berestok, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Toretske, Novyi Donbas, Nove Shakhove, Zaporizhzhia, Pokrovsk, and Hryshyne, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka and Shevchenkove, near Rodynske, Bilytske, Myrnohrad, Udachne, Molodetske, Kotlyne, and Novopidhorodnie.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Horikhove, Filiya, Oleksandrohrad, Krasnohirske, Zlahoda, and Ternove, in the direction of Pryvillya.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck enemy communications hubs near Velyka Novosilka and Hirnyk and are striking road vehicles on highways around Donetsk.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces advanced in the south of Myrne, attacked near Huliaypole and Olenokostyantynivka, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa and Vozdvyzhivka, near Dobropillya, Varvarivka, Myrne, and Zalizne, in the direction of Huliaypilske and Staroukrainka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Myrne, Novoselivka, and Hirke.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked near Stepnohirsk, Prymorske, Lukyanivske, and Novoboykivske, in the direction of Novoyakovlivka and Pavlivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a communications hub near Fedorivka.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Vyborg shipyard and the “Purga” Project 23550 patrol icebreaker being built for the Russian FSB Border Service.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to expand the kill zone in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, forcing the enemy to move on foot 2 to 10 km to the line of departure for attacks. In the Vovchansk area, Russian forces attempt to adopt Ukrainian tactics, using more unmanned ground vehicles in response to the expanding kill zone. The enemy is withdrawing combat equipment further to the rear from the front line, including into Belgorod Oblast.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces are preparing for their spring–summer campaign by striking Ukrainian logistics with UAVs and guided aerial bombs and have struck crossings and dams along the Siverskyi Donets river, constraining Ukrainian Defense Forces maneuver near Lyman. The occupiers study Ukrainian defenses in preparation for an offensive in the Kryva Luka and Zakitne area when warm weather arrives.

• Russian military command has deployed reserves on the Pokrovsk Direction and increased the size of assault groups to 15–20 personnel, but their training is poor. The enemy is increasing the use of vehicles, motorcycles, and all-terrain vehicles.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 158 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, 3 combat engagements were recorded.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made three attempts to breach defensive lines toward Starytsya, Zybyne, and Okhrymivka.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 4 times toward Nova Kruhlyakivka, Kurylivka, and Platonivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 14 enemy attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defense toward Drobysheve, Lyman, and Dibrova, in the area of Kopanky, and to advance in the areas of Zakitne, Riznykivka, and Platonivka and toward Rai-Oleksandrivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 17 attacks in the areas of Chasiv Yar, Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, and Novopavlivka, and toward Illinivka and Toretske.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 44 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Bilytske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novomykolayivka, Novopidhorodnie, Molodetske, Horikhove, Svitle, and Novoserhiyivka, and toward Novyi Donbas, Novooleksandrivka, Hryshyne, and Shevchenko.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked three times in the areas of Ternove, Oleksandrohrad, and Krasnohirske.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 17 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Huliaypole, Varvarivka, and Olenokostyantynivka, and toward Zaliznychne and Myrne.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy attacked in the area of Prymorske.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, the enemy carried out two assault actions — toward the Antonivskyi Bridge and toward Bilohrudyi island.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 56th Air Assault Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division strikes near Bachivsk.

• The 204th Separate SOF Regiment, the 45th Separate SOF Brigade of the Airborne Forces, and the “Rubezh” Reconnaissance and Assault Brigade (Russian Volunteer Corps) strike near Vovchansk.

• The 47th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army operates near Pishchane; the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army attacks from the Katerynivka–Hrekivka line.

• The 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army and the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army attack in the directions of Shandryholove–Drobysheve and Novoselivka–Yarova; the 2nd Artillery Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strikes on the Sloviansk Direction.

• Units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike in Kostyantynivka and Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka; the 1194th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army, the 1307th, 1008th, and 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division, the 72nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Army Corps, and an FSB Presidential Regiment counter-terrorism detachment strike in Kostyantynivka; the 57th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates near Novotoretske and Sofiivka.

• The 263rd Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 55th Marine Infantry Division of the Pacific Fleet operates in the Dobropillya area.

• The 400th Self-Propelled Artillery Regiment of the 90th Tank Division of the 41st Combined Arms Army operates in the Novopavlivka area; the 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes near Kolomiychykha, Dolynka, and Vozdvyzhivka.

• The 218th Tank Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes near Dolynka.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.

• In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil River from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, in a tactical perspective, the adversary’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will move to the decisive phase of the battles for the Defense Forces’ Lyman bridgehead on the Siverskyi Donets and will attempt to capture Lyman. The adversary’s Svatove grouping of forces, intentionally separated from the “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping, will attack more actively in the direction of Borova. Ukrainian Defense Forces’ confident control over the areas of the Sloviansk Thermal Power Plant, Mykolaivka, and Raihorodka allows for the provision of stable logistics for the Lyman defense area of the 3rd Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces from the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets. With the aim of destroying logistics first and foremost, the adversary will increase fire impact on the Raihorodok – Staryi Karavan – Starodubivka – Sloviansk Thermal Power Plant area. The envelopment of the Lyman defense area from the northwest and southeast by troops of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies may significantly assist the adversary in its further assault on the city itself. Therefore, before the assault on Lyman, the 20th Combined Arms Army will attempt to fully occupy the Yarova – Novoselivka – Drobysheve – Pryshyb area and subsequently attempt to reach the Oleksandrivka – Sosnove line and break through to Svyatohirsk.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 26.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,292 170 (+1,210);

Tanks – 11,807 (+1);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,278 (+4);

Artillery systems – 38,794 (+49);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,698 (+2);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,337 (+1);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 85,352 (+201);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 198,389 (+2,038);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,491 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported that Russia is preparing an operation against Ukraine’s water supply systems in the coming months.

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since the evening of March 25, Russian troops attacked Ukraine with 153 drones of various types, including Shahed, “Gerbera,” and “Italmas.” As of 08:00 on March 26, Air Defense Forces shot down or suppressed 130 enemy UAVs. Hits by 16 strike drones were recorded at 11 locations, along with falling debris in five places.

• According to the Izmail District State Administration, overnight, Russian troops attacked the port and energy infrastructure of the Izmail district of Odesa Oblast. As a result of the strikes, damage to facilities in the city of Izmail and the Vylkove community was recorded.

• According to the DTEK press service, on the night of March 26, Russian troops attacked four of the company’s energy facilities in Odesa Oblast. As a result of significant destruction, as of the morning, 33,400 families remain without electricity, while 31,500 households have already been reconnected. Restoration work is ongoing.

• According to the head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Ganzha, on the morning of March 26, Russian troops attacked Kryvyi Rih, resulting in damage to an infrastructure facility; according to preliminary data, there are no casualties. Additionally, the occupiers struck the Nikopol and Synelnykove districts of the oblast with UAVs and artillery. Enterprises and a private house were damaged in the Marhanets, Pokrovske, Mykolaivka, Vasylkivka, and Petropavlivka communities.

• According to Ihor Terekhov and Oleh Syniehubov, in the Slobidskyi district of Kharkiv, a Russian UAV hit the ground near a restaurant and residential buildings. As a result of the attack, 10 people were injured, including a 65-year-old man with blast injuries and a 58-year-old woman with an acute stress reaction. Windows were blown out in surrounding high-rise buildings, and approximately 10 cars were damaged.

• According to the Vice Prime Minister for Restoration of Ukraine Oleksii Kuleba, on the night of March 26, Russian troops attacked railway and port infrastructure. In Kirovohrad Oblast, UAVs damaged a locomotive maintenance point and several units of traction rolling stock. In the south of the country, hits were recorded on piers, warehouses, buildings of port operators, and a marine terminal. According to preliminary data, there are no casualties.

• On the morning of March 26, Russian Federation troops attacked Dnipro with drones, resulting in damage to a high-rise building and five people being injured. Apartments on the second and third floors of the multi-apartment building caught fire.

• According to the head of the Kherson Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Prokudin, during the day on March 26, an employee of a thermal power plant was killed as a result of Russian shelling of Kherson.

• According to the head of the Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration Ivan Fedorov, the Russian army attacked the frontline city of Orikhiv using UAVs. As a result of the strike, a private house was damaged, and two people were injured—a 71-year-old man and a woman.

• According to the Ministry of Energy, as of the morning of March 26, as a result of hostilities and shelling of energy infrastructure facilities, some consumers in Dnipropetrovsk, Odesa, Sumy, Chernihiv, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv oblasts remain without electricity. The most difficult situation is recorded in Chernihiv and Odesa oblasts, where a significant number of subscribers are de-energized due to substantial damage to energy equipment following several consecutive attacks.

• Five more children were returned to Ukraine-controlled territory from the temporarily occupied part of Kherson Oblast, including four deprived of parental care, reported the head of the Kherson Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Prokudin.

• According to a report by the Yale School of Public Health’s Humanitarian Research Lab (Yale HRL) dated March 25, 2026, Russian state companies Gazprom and Rosneft financed the deportation and ideological “re-education” of at least 2,158 Ukrainian children. Between 2022 and 2025, children were transported from the occupied territories of Donetsk, Luhansk, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts to six camps in the Russian Federation and Crimea via subsidiaries and trade unions, where the children were subjected to pro-Russian indoctrination and militarization. Three of these facilities directly belong to Gazprom structures.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, Starytsya, Verkhnya Pysarivka, Okhrymivka, and Velykyi Burluk.

On the Kupyansk Direction, elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army have almost completely seized Pishchane, with Ukrainian Defense Forces units holding positions on the outskirts of the village. Russian forces advanced south of Pishchane, attacked near Kupyansk and Petropavlivka, near Kurylivka, in the direction of Kivsharivka, Novoosynove, and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, near Novoplatonivka, Bohuslavka, and Borivska Andriivka, in the direction of Izium.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an enemy concentration area near Khoroshe.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced within and north of Zakitne.

Russian forces attacked near Lyman, Drobysheve, Yampil, Dibrova, Platonivka, Zakitne, Kryva Luka, and Riznykivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka, near Lypivka.

The Svatove group of Russian forces (elements of the 4th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army and part of the forces of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army) is attempting to expand its breakthrough to the Oskil river by actively attacking in the direction of Lozova–Borova, and to break through to the Novoplatonivka–Shyikivka–Nyzhnie Solone–Pidlyman area and seize Borova. The 20th Combined Arms Army command is simultaneously attempting, with elements of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division, to break through from the Katerynivka–Hrekivka line in the direction of Hrekivka–Izyumske and further northwest, enveloping the high ground in the Novoyehorivka area from the south, thereby supporting the 4th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army’s offensive on Borova; and with elements of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army and the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army to isolate the Lyman defensive district of the Defense Forces’ 3rd Army Corps from the northwest through active offensive operations in the directions of Shandryholove–Drobysheve and Novoselivka–Yarova, while simultaneously pressing it frontally from the north in the direction of Kolodyazi–Stavky. The 25th Combined Arms Army attacks the entire Lyman defensive district head-on from the east while simultaneously attempting to envelop it from the southeast, operating along the Siverskyi Donets River. Between 17 and 19 March, the enemy made several largely unsuccessful attempts at no fewer than 6 points on both directions to break through the Armed Forces of Ukraine’s defenses with forward assault units: from the Borivska Andriivka area toward Novoplatonivka and Borova, from the Pershotravneve area toward Shyikivka, from the Hrekivka area toward Druzhelyubivka, from the Serednie area toward Oleksandrivka, from the Shandryholove–Derylove area toward Drobysheve, and from the Kolodyazi area toward Stavky. In the 25th Combined Arms Army’s sector, its assault units fought for Yampil, where Ukrainian Defense Forces successfully counterattacked. The army’s forward infantry groups were spotted along the Lyman–Zakitne road and on the Dibrova–Ozerne line, with active infiltration by small enemy infantry groups taking place in the directions of Zarichne–Lyman and on the southeastern outskirts of Lyman itself.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces liberated Minkivka, advanced east, southeast, and south of Kostyantynivka and south of Illinivka, are clearing enemy positions southeast of Novopavlivka, consolidating positions in the north of Novodmytrivka and east of Stepanivka, and counterattacked near Chasiv Yar.

Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Minkivka, and Chasiv Yar, in the direction of Chervone, near Pleshchiivka, Kleban-Byk, Ivanopillya, Berestok, Illinivka, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka, and carried out an airstrike with a FAB-1500 bomb in the center of Kostyantynivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Toretske, Pokrovsk, and Hryshyne, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka, Shevchenkove, and Svitle, near Rodynske, Bilytske, Myrnohrad, Udachne, and Molodetske.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Filiya, Oleksandrohrad, Zlahoda, Krasnohirske, and Novohryhorivka, in the direction of Stepove; their small groups infiltrated the southern outskirts of Ternove, where they were struck by Ukrainian Defense Forces.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an enemy concentration area near Velyka Novosilka.

On the Huliaypole Direction, enemy infiltration groups are consolidating along the line of the T0401 highway in the center of Dobropillya and southeast of Hirke. Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Olenokostyantynivka, Svyatopetrivka, and Zelene, in the direction of Boykove, Verkhnya Tersa, Vozdvyzhivka, Dobropillya, Varvarivka, Myrne, and Charivne, near Zalizne, in the direction of Huliaypilske and Novoselivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an enemy concentration area and a repair and recovery unit position near Novozlatopil.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces are clearing liberated areas in the eastern part of Prymorske and attacked near Prymorske and Stepnohirsk.

Russian forces fought for Pavlivka, attacked near Mala Tokmachka, Novodanylivka, and Stepnohirsk, in the direction of Novoandriivka, near Prymorske, in the direction of Richne and Veselyanka.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Russian forces attacked near Bilohrudyi island.

Russian forces employ an average of 2,000 to 2,500 UAVs per week to strike Ukrainian positions on the left bank of the Dnipro River, employing 3,247 UAVs over the past week. Up to 90% of UAVs are intercepted or suppressed by Ukrainian Defense Forces.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a column of “Bastion-M” coastal missile system launchers, destroying one launcher and two “Zircon” hypersonic cruise missiles and damaging another launcher, and struck the “Tavriyska” thermal power plant near Simferopol.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces continue to use infiltration tactics, committing fresh poorly trained reinforcements, which results in heavy losses.

• The 1st Tank Army and the 20th Combined Arms Army operate on overstretched frontages, simultaneously on the Kupyansk, Borova, and Lyman Directions; only on the latter does the 25th Combined Arms Army operate at full strength.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command is currently delivering its main effort on the Lyman Direction, where the main forces of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies operate. Russian forces broke through to the Oskil River in the Kruhlyakivka area, splitting the single large operational bridgehead of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the left bank of the river and along the northern bank of the Siverskyi Donets river from Kupyansk to Bilohorivka; reached the Borivska Andriivka–Pershotravneve line and the near approaches to Borova from the northeast; eliminated the 3rd Army Corps bridgehead on the Chornyi Zherebets river; broke through the Serednie–Drobysheve line and the Kolodyazi area to the near approaches to Lyman from the northeast; advanced along the northern bank of the Siverskyi Donets river; seized Torske and Zarichne; began fighting for Yampil; reached the southeastern outskirts of Lyman and the Lyman–Zakitne road; and began fighting for Dibrova and Ozerne with their forward infantry groups.

• Enemy claims of penetration and consolidation of its assault groups in the northern part of Lyman are not accurate. In Drobysheve, Ukrainian Defense Forces also hold their positions firmly, although enemy infiltration groups have been spotted on the outskirts of the village.

• The 20th Combined Arms Army will continue its offensive on diverging axes, further reducing the density of its combat formations and effectively being forced to orient its flanks in opposite directions — both toward Borova and toward Lyman.

• The attempts by 3rd Combined Arms Army assault units to break through in the directions of Zakitne–Kryva Luka and Platonivka–Kalenyky indicate the army’s actual offensive direction. Meeting engagements are taking place in the areas of Kryva Luka and Kalenyky; Ukrainian Defense Forces are attempting to prevent the enemy from advancing in the directions of Mykolaivka and Piskunivka. The enemy has reached lines 6 km from Piskunivka and 9 km from Mykolaivka.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping, which must in a timely manner create favorable conditions for an offensive on Sloviansk from the northeastern direction, has not yet completed preparatory measures even for the assault on Lyman.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces intensified attacks after receiving reinforcements and conducted an assault along a 10 km stretch, employing large numbers of personnel, motorcycles, and other vehicles. 90% of attackers were struck before reaching the line of departure for the assault.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 191 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, one enemy attack was recorded.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made 4 attempts to breach defensive lines in the area of Vovchansk and in the direction of Okhrymivka.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 5 times in the direction of Petropavlivka, Novoosynove, Novoplatonivka, and Kurylivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 14 enemy attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defense in the areas of Tverdokhlibove and Serednie, toward Lyman and Drobysheve, and to advance in the areas of Yampil, Zakitne, Platonivka, and Pazeno were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 43 attacks in the area of Minkivka, in the direction of Malynivka, Virolyubivka, Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Illinivka, Ivanopillya, Oleksandro-Shultyne, Stepanivka, Sofiivka, Rusyn Yar, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 47 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Nykanorivka, Pokrovsk, Rodynske, Hryshyne, Udachne, Novomykolayivka, Molodetske, and Filiya, and toward Nove Shakhove, Novopidhorodnie, Novopavlivka, Bilytske, and Shevchenko.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 8 times in the areas of Ternove, Krasnohirske, and Zlahoda, and in the direction of Pryvillya.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 2 enemy attacks took place toward Dobropillya, Staroukrainka, Zaliznychne, Huliaypilske, Varvarivka, Myrne, and Olenokostyantynivka.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The enemy’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping consists of
  - the 1st Tank Army (1st and 15th Motorized Rifle Regiments, 1st Tank Regiment of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 12th and 13th Tank Regiments and 423rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Tank Division),
  - the 20th Combined Arms Army (252nd, 362nd, and 752nd Motorized Rifle Regiments and 237th Tank Regiment of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division; 254th, 283rd, and 488th Motorized Rifle Regiments and 59th Tank Regiment of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division),
  - the 25th Combined Arms Army (31st, 36th, and 37th Motorized Rifle Regiments and 19th Tank Regiment of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division, 164th and 169th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades, 11th Separate Tank Brigade).
  
  Almost all first-echelon units have 1–2 assault companies per battalion, less commonly an assault battalion per regiment.
  
  Forces are distributed by direction as follows:
  - Borova Direction — 4th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army, part of the forces of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army, and the 3rd and 144th Motorized Rifle Divisions of the 20th Combined Arms Army;
  - Lyman Direction — 25th Combined Arms Army, main forces of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army and the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army, and part of the forces of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division.

• The 204th Separate SOF Regiment strikes north of Zakitne.

• The 27th Artillery Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strikes on the western outskirts of Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka and in Kostyantynivka; the 13th Assault Detachment of the 1194th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strikes in Kostyantynivka; the 3rd Battalion of the 136th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 58th Combined Arms Army strikes in Kostyantynivka and Novodmytrivka; the 57th Separate SOF Company of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Mykolayivska and Novohryhorivka.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes near Velykomykhailivka; the Tor-MU Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment of the 90th Tank Division of the 41st Combined Arms Army intercepts Ukrainian UAVs in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

• The 16th CBRN Brigade of the Eastern Military District strikes in Staroukrainka and Zaliznychne.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.

• In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil River from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, in a tactical perspective, the adversary’s “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping will move to the decisive phase of the battles for the Defense Forces’ Lyman bridgehead on the Siverskyi Donets and will attempt to capture Lyman. The adversary’s Svatove grouping of forces, intentionally separated from the “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping, will attack more actively in the direction of Borova. Ukrainian Defense Forces’ confident control over the areas of the Sloviansk Thermal Power Plant, Mykolaivka, and Raihorodka allows for the provision of stable logistics for the Lyman defense area of the 3rd Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces from the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets. With the aim of destroying logistics first and foremost, the adversary will increase fire impact on the Raihorodok – Staryi Karavan – Starodubivka – Sloviansk Thermal Power Plant area. The envelopment of the Lyman defense area from the northwest and southeast by troops of the 20th and 25th Combined Arms Armies may significantly assist the adversary in its further assault on the city itself. Therefore, before the assault on Lyman, the 20th Combined Arms Army will attempt to fully occupy the Yarova – Novoselivka – Drobysheve – Pryshyb area and subsequently attempt to reach the Oleksandrivka – Sosnove line and break through to Svyatohirsk.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 25.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,290 960 (+1,220);

Tanks – 11,806 (+6);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,274 (+3);

Artillery systems – 38,746 (+51);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,696 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,336 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 85,151 (+196);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 196,351 (+2,459);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,491 (+23);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force, on the night of March 25, the Russian Federation attacked Ukraine with 147 strike UAVs of various types, including more than 80 Shahed drones. As of 08:30, Ukrainian air defense neutralized 121 drones; hits by 24 units were recorded at 18 locations, and falling debris was recorded at 3 locations. The attack continued, with enemy drones remaining in the airspace.

• According to “Chernihivoblenergo” JSC, as a result of an overnight strike by Russian UAVs on an energy facility in the Chernihiv district, approximately 150,000 subscribers in the city of Chernihiv and the Chernihiv district were de-energized.

• According to the head of the Kyiv Oblast Military Administration Mykola Kalashnyk, on the morning of March 25, Russian troops struck the energy infrastructure of Slavutych, resulting in the city being temporarily left without a centralized electricity supply. Approximately 21,000 residents are without power; critical infrastructure has been switched to backup power sources, and social institutions are functioning on generators.

• According to the Kherson Oblast Military Administration, on the morning of March 25, Russian troops shelled Kherson and the village of Bilozerka, resulting in four civilians being injured. In Bilozerka, two men aged 43 and 72 were wounded; both were taken to the hospital. In the Korabelnyi district of Kherson, two women aged 84 and 70 were injured due to the shelling of the residential sector, one of whom was hospitalized in moderate condition.

• According to the Kharkiv Oblast Prosecutor’s Office, on March 25, Russian troops attacked Kharkiv and the Zolochiv Community. In the Zolochiv Community, a 61-year-old man was killed as a result of a drone hit on a civilian vehicle. In Kharkiv, due to strikes on the Kholodnohirskyi and Novobavarskyi districts, the number of injured reached 9 people, including a 15-year-old girl; residential buildings, a gas network, and cars were damaged. Fires broke out at the impact sites.

• According to the State Emergency Service of Sumy Oblast, on the morning of March 25, Russian troops attacked a fire station building in one of the border settlements of the Shostka district with a UAV. As a result of the strike, the building was destroyed and firefighting equipment was decimated.

• According to the State Emergency Service, the Russian army shelled a hospital in the village of Shevchenkove, Kupiansk district, Kharkiv Oblast. The building of the medical facility was partially destroyed, and a fire broke out on-site. According to preliminary data, three people were injured. In the village of Velykyi Burluk, Kupiansk district, Kharkiv Oblast, Russians attacked State Emergency Service rescuers while they were extinguishing a fire in a non-residential building hit by a Russian drone.

• According to the head of the Odesa Oblast Military Administration Oleh Kiper, on the evening of March 24, a Russian UAV destroyed a residential building in Odesa Oblast, which caused a large-scale fire. As a result of the strike, a woman was injured; another person may be under the rubble. Six neighboring private houses were also damaged.

• According to the head of the Ternopil Oblast Military Administration Taras Pastukh, on March 24, as a result of a massive attack by Russian UAVs in Ternopil Oblast, hits were recorded at energy infrastructure facilities and an administrative building. Fires at the impact sites were promptly extinguished; there are no deaths or injuries among the civilian population. Power supply interruptions are observed in the region.

• According to the head of the Vinnytsia Oblast Military Administration Nataliia Zabolotna, the number of people injured as a result of the Russian UAV attack on March 24 has risen to 21. Currently, five wounded individuals are in hospitals, two of whom are in serious condition; the death of one person has also been confirmed. Damage to 84 households was recorded in three Communities of the region.

• According to the Secretariat of the Commissioner of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine for Human Rights, within the Bring Kids Back UA initiative, as of March 25, 2026, 2,058 deported children have been successfully returned to Ukraine. Active support in this process is provided by 38 countries, as well as the Council of Europe and the European Union.

• According to the Commissioner of the Verkhovna Rada for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets, the Russian Federation is illegally holding 26 Ukrainian journalists and media workers, while the ICRC has officially confirmed the detention of only one of them. The ICRC legally “does not see” the rest, which creates an additional obstacle for both the process of their return and the negotiation process, Lubinets reported. During 2025, Ukraine managed to return only three media representatives through exchanges: Dmytro Khyliuk, Marko Kaliush, and Vladyslav Yesypenko.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, and Starytsya, in the direction of Zybine, Okhrymivka, and Hryhorivka, and advanced near Vovchansk.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near and within Kupyansk, near Kivsharivka, Petropavlivka, Pishchane, and Kurylivka, in the direction of Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, near Novoplatonivka, Bohuslavka, and Borivska Andriivka, in the direction of Shyikivka, near Hrekivka, Novomykhailivka, Olhivka, and Serednie, and advanced near Synkivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a fuel depot near Vedmezhe and a fuel train in Stanytsya Luhanska.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the western part of Zakitne. Russian forces attacked near Stavky, Yampil, Zakitne, Dibrova, Platonivka, Riznykivka, Kalenyky, Pazeno, Fedorivka Druha, Lypivka, and Nykyforivka.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced along the T0504 Pokrovsk–Kostyantynivka highway in the south of Kostyantynivka and counterattacked near Minkivka.

Russian forces attempted to advance along the T0504 Pokrovsk–Kostyantynivka highway, attacked near Kostyantynivka, Minkivka, Chasiv Yar, Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Pleshchiivka, Kleban-Byk, Ivanopillya, Berestok, Illinivka, Rusyn Yar, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka, and increased the intensity of fire and air strikes on Druzhkivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novyi Donbas, Vilne, Pokrovsk, and Hryshyne, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka, Shevchenkove, and Svitle, near Rodynske, Bilytske, Myrnohrad, Udachne, Molodetske, Kotlyne, and Novopidhorodnie, in the direction of Serhiivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Udachne; Novyi Donbas is a grey zone.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Ternove, Stepove, Novohryhorivka, Yehorivka, Zlahoda, and Krasnohirske. The use of the highway in Horlivka is becoming impossible due to Ukrainian Defense Forces UAV strikes on vehicles.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Novooleksandrivka and struck a Tor-M1 SAM system launcher in Kurakhivka, a chemical munitions production workshop in Avdiivka, a Shahed UAV depot in Makiivka, a communications hub in Donetsk, and ammunition depots, logistics facilities, and artillery parking areas in Donetsk Oblast.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Staroukrainka, Olenokostyantynivka, Svyatopetrivka, Zelene, Solodke, Varvarivka, Myrne, and Zaliznychne.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked near Mala Tokmachka, Stepnohirsk, Pavlivka, Novoboykivske, and Novoyakovlivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Richne.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Russian forces conducted local attacks near Antonivsky Bridge.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the oil loading infrastructure of the “Transneft-Port Primorsk” oil terminal in Primorsk, Leningrad Oblast, and a Nebo-U radar in Bryansk Oblast.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces continue to infiltrate in the grey zone, after which their groups wait for reinforcements before conducting further attacks.

• On the Kramatorsk Direction, Russian forces have intensified artillery strikes over the past several weeks and are carrying out UAV and guided aerial bomb airstrikes on Chasiv Yar, Kostyantynivka, Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, and Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces destroyed twice as many enemy personnel over the past week, indicating a gradual escalation. The aggressor attacks in small groups; its UAV operators strike any target they can find. Defense Forces UAV dominance is complicating the enemy’s advance from Berestok to the western outskirts of Kostyantynivka.

• Russian forces have been increasingly conducting armored assaults over the past week.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces shoot down around 1,000 enemy UAVs per week. Russian forces have increased the number of reconnaissance and strike UAVs since autumn 2025.

• Russian forces maintain a high offensive tempo on the southern front, have expanded their kill zone to 20 km, and are transferring assault units to southern Ukraine from other sections of the front, including two marine infantry divisions.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 168 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, 13 combat engagements took place.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy assaulted Defense Forces unit positions 5 times near Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, Starytsya, and Okhrymivka.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 6 times near Petropavlivka, Borivska Andriivka, Novoplatonivka, and Bohuslavka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 12 enemy attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defense near Lyman, Dibrova, and Drobysheve, and to advance in the areas of Yampil, Rai-Oleksandrivka, Platonivka, and Riznykivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 17 attacks near Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Illinivka, Kleban-Byk, Sofiivka, and Ivanopillya, and toward Novopavlivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 34 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Toretske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Hryshyne, Pokrovsk, Filiya, Udachne, and Molodetske, and toward Novooleksandrivka and Svitle.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 10 times in the areas of Oleksandrohrad, Stepove, Novohryhorivka, Krasnohirske, and Zlahoda.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 18 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Olenokostyantynivka, Zaliznychne, Huliaypole, Varvarivka, Zelene, Svyatopetrivka, and Myrne.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, Ukrainian units repelled an enemy attack near Bilohrudyi island.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army attacks near Ambarne and Khatnie, in the direction of Novovasylivka and Mytrofanivka.

• The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army attack Kupyansk from the north; the 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Tank Army attacks in the directions of Lyman Pershyi–Kupyansk and Vilshana–Petropavlivka; elements of the 47th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army operate in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka; the division’s 153rd Tank Regiment operates in the southeast of Kurylivka.

• The 254th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army operates near Drobysheve.

• Units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike in Kostyantynivka; the 57th Separate SOF Company of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Kurtivka; artillery of the 4th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strikes in Kostyantynivka; the 58th Separate SOF Battalion of the 51st Combined Arms Army operates on the Kostyantynivka Direction.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade, the 77th Separate Unmanned Systems Regiment of the enemy’s “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping, and the 656th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 29th Combined Arms Army strike near Velykomykhailivka.

• The 305th Artillery Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes west of Krynychne, Dolynka, and Vozdvyzhivka; the 38th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 35th Combined Arms Army strikes west of Kopani; the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes near Hirke.

• The Russian Ministry of Defense rapid response UAV detachment strikes Ukrainian tanks in Orikhiv.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.

• In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil River from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army will break through to the Mykolaivka–Nykanorivka line and, with part of its forces, to the Vasylivska Pustosh–Vasyutynske line, in order to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk respectively.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 24.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,289 740 (+890);

Tanks – 11,800 (+6);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 242,71 (+3);

Artillery systems – 38,695 (+33);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,696 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,336 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 84,955 (+180);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 193,892 (+1023);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, on the night of March 24, Russia launched a massive combined strike against Ukraine’s critical infrastructure, employing 426 air attack weapons: 392 strike UAVs of various types (Shahed, “Gerbera,” “Italmas”), 18 Kh-101 cruise missiles, 7 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles, 5 Iskander-K cruise missiles, and 4 Kh-59/69/31 guided air missiles. Air defense forces neutralized 390 targets, including 365 drones and 25 missiles (all 18 Kh-101 missiles, all 5 Iskander-K missiles, and 2 Kh-59/69 missiles). As a result of the attack, hits by 6 missiles and 27 strike UAVs were recorded at 22 locations, along with falling debris at 10 locations; as of 09:00, the operation to repel the attack continued due to several enemy drones remaining in the airspace.

• According to reports from President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the State Emergency Service, as a result of the combined Russian strike on the night of March 24, damage was recorded in 11 regions of the country, four people were killed, and dozens were injured. The head of state confirmed that children are among the victims.

• According to President of Moldova Maia Sandu, the overnight Russian strikes on Ukraine’s civilian energy infrastructure led to the interruption of Moldova’s key power connection with Europe. She called the Russian Federation’s actions a war crime and an attack on everyone, emphasizing that the situation in the republic’s power grid remains unstable, although alternative routes have already been engaged. Subsequently, media reported that Moldova introduced a state of emergency in the energy sector for 60 days and did not rule out the possibility of rolling blackouts due to the “difficult situation” in connection with the Russian Federation’s strikes on Ukraine.

• According to the Ministry of Energy, on the night of March 24, Russia carried out a massive combined attack on energy infrastructure in several regions of Ukraine, resulting in temporary power outages for consumers in Zaporizhzhia, Odesa, Poltava, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Kherson oblasts. In most regions, hourly blackout schedules for the population will be in effect from 16:00 to 22:00, and power capacity limits have been introduced for industry until the end of the day.

• On the night of March 24, the Russian occupation army launched a combined strike on Zaporizhzhia; an enemy drone hit a high-rise building, resulting in one person killed and 12 people injured.

• According to the head of the Poltava Oblast Military Administration Vitalii Diakivnych, on the night of March 24, the Russian occupation army attacked Poltava Oblast, resulting in two people killed and 11 injured. In the Poltava hromada, damage to a hotel and residential buildings was recorded, where fires broke out. Due to the shelling in Poltava Oblast, the movement of a number of trains is delayed.

• According to the Kharkiv Oblast Prosecutor’s Office, on March 24 at approximately 05:20, a Russian FPV drone made a direct hit on an electric train traveling the Slatyne—Kharkiv route. As a result of the strike on the carriage at Slatyne station, a 61-year-old passenger was killed. The train driver and his assistant suffered an acute stress reaction. During the night, in the village of Dobronadiivka in Kirovohrad Oblast, shelter was provided to approximately 700 passengers of the Kyiv-Dnipro train, which was threatened by a Russian drone attack.

• According to the head of the Kherson Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Prokudin, on the morning of March 24, Russian occupiers shelled the Central district of Kherson with MLRS, resulting in a man’s death. Due to a direct hit, at least two private houses and a garage were destroyed, and homes in an entire block were damaged.

• According to the head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration Oleksandr Ganzha, on March 24, Russian occupiers attacked Dnipro, resulting in an enemy UAV hitting a 14-story building. Due to the strike on the high-rise building, walls, balconies, windows, and the technical floor were damaged, and fires broke out on the two upper floors. 13 people were injured, including an eighteen-month-old boy hospitalized in moderate condition. As of the time of the report, the attack on the city continued.

• According to the head of the Sumy Oblast Military Administration Oleh Hryhorov, on March 23 in the Pishchane starosta district of the Sumy hromada, an enemy UAV hit a civilian vehicle. As a result of the attack, a 13-year-old boy and his father were injured.

• According to the head of the Communications Department of the Air Force Command Colonel Yurii Ihnat, on Tuesday, March 24, Russia carried out one of the most massive attacks on Ukraine, as after the night strike, the enemy continued aerial terror; in the period from 09:00 to 18:00 on March 24, according to preliminary data, the adversary employed 556 strike UAVs. Drones flew in columns from the north, south, and across the line of military contact, expanding the geography of strikes to Poltava, Kyiv, Vinnytsia oblasts and western regions from Khmelnytskyi to Lviv. As of 18:00, 541 enemy UAVs were shot down/suppressed by air defense, and 15 hits were recorded.

• According to reports from Lviv Mayor Andrii Sadovyi and the head of the Lviv Oblast Military Administration Maksym Kozytskyi, on March 24 during the day, Russian UAVs attacked the region, resulting in a fire in a UNESCO heritage building in Lviv, as well as fires in residential buildings on Soborna Square, Brativ Rohatyntsiv and Chervonoi Kalyny streets. Due to falling drone debris, a private house caught fire in the village of Sernyky of the Bibrka hromada. In total, 13 people were injured, with one person in serious condition.

• According to reports from the head of the Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast Military Administration Svitlana Onyshchuk and Mayor Ruslan Martsinkiv, during the day on March 24, a Russian UAV attacked the central part of Ivano-Frankivsk, resulting in two people killed. Four more people were injured, including a 6-year-old child. Due to the strike, the buildings of the city and regional maternity hospitals were damaged, as were approximately 10 residential buildings. The mayor noted that the target of the attack was one of the administrative buildings.

• According to reports from the heads of the respective Oblast Military Administrations Serhii Tiurin, Vitalii Bunechko, and Nataliia Zabolotna, on March 24, the army of the Russian Federation attacked Khmelnytskyi, Zhytomyr, and Vinnytsia oblasts. In Vinnytsia Oblast, one person was killed as a result of the strikes, and the number of injured reached 13 people; 9 private houses and two high-rise buildings were damaged. In the center of Zhytomyr, a two-story residential building was damaged, and a 12-year-old girl was injured. In the Shepetivka district of Khmelnytskyi Oblast, a man was hospitalized with a concussion and brain contusion; interruptions in the electricity supply were also recorded in the region.

• According to the State Emergency Service, Russian troops launched a strike with nine air bombs on the private sector of Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast. As a result of the attack, a woman was killed, and another man was injured. 12 private houses, an outbuilding, and an infrastructure facility were damaged. Fires broke out at the impact sites.

• According to the head of the Odesa Oblast Military Administration Oleh Kiper, on the evening of March 23, the Russian army launched a massive UAV strike on Odesa Oblast, resulting in a drone hitting a bus stop in the Odesa district. Due to the attack, an 18-year-old girl and a 51-year-old man were injured, whose condition doctors assess as moderate. Damage to transport and energy infrastructure facilities in the region was also recorded.

• According to reports from the National Police and the SBU, the detained 21-year-old suspected perpetrator of the double terrorist attack in Bucha on March 24 stated that he was recruited through a computer game. According to the individual, during the gameplay, he met an unknown person, likely a representative of the Russian Federation, who offered him to carry out bombings in Kyiv Oblast. The handler provided the perpetrator with step-by-step instructions for manufacturing improvised explosive devices and manuals for their remote activation.

• According to the IAEA, the Zaporizhzhia NPP lost its connection to the main 750 kV “Dniprovska” power line and is currently being supplied via a backup line. The agency noted that it is starting a negotiation process between Ukraine and the Russian Federation to establish a truce necessary for conducting repair work and restoring a stable power supply to the plant.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance near Vovchanski Khutory, attacked near Prylipka, Synelnykove, and Starytsya, in the direction of Okhrymivka and Zybine. On the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz axis, Russian forces have had no success. The enemy is attempting to increase pressure on Ukrainian positions in the Vilcha area, attacking them across the railway from the direction of Vovchansk in order to unblock the advance of its assault groups along the Siverskyi Donets river. Attempts by forward units of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army to reach the Khatnie–Ambarne and Novovasylivka–Mytrofanivka line, operating from the direction of Milove and Krasne Pershe, have been unsuccessful. The division’s 83rd Motorized Rifle Regiment, which has been attempting to seize Ambarne for the second month, has made no significant progress. Attempts by forward elements of the 6th Combined Arms Army to advance from the direction of Dvorichna toward Ridkodub along the Dvorichna–Velykyi Burluk road have also yielded no results.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Petropavlivka and Pishchane, in the direction of Kurylivka and Hlushkivka, near Novoplatonivka and Borivska Andriivka, in the direction of Shyikivka, near Serednie, and are intensifying assault operations in the direction of Kupyansk.

Individual assault groups of the 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade advanced in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, engaging in fighting for the latter. Individual infiltration groups were also recorded in the area between Lyceum No. 7 and the dairy canning plant north of Kucherivka. Assault groups of the 153rd Tank Regiment of the 47th Tank Division held their positions in the southeastern part of Kurylivka after breaking through from the direction of Pishchane. However, after three weeks of fighting the enemy has still failed to break through to Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi or cut the Novoosynove–Hlushkivka road.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance south of Riznykivka, attacked near Lyman, Stavky, and Dibrova, in the direction of Staryi Karavan and Brusivka, near Kalenyky, Zakitne, Riznykivka, Pazeno, and Platonivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka, near Fedorivka Druha and Lypivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Kryva Luka, Kalenyky, Nykyforivka, and Fedorivka Druha.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced along the T0504 Pokrovsk–Kostyantynivka highway in the east of the city.

Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Chasiv Yar, Minkivka, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Kleban-Byk, Stepanivka, Illinivka, Yablunivka, Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, and Novopavlivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Kucheriv Yar, near Shakhove, Nove Shakhove, Pokrovsk, Serhiivka, and Hryshyne, in the direction of Shevchenkove, near Bilytske, Rodynske, Chervonyi Lyman, Myrnohrad, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novopidhorodnie, and Molodetske.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Ternove, Novohryhorivka, Yehorivka, Zlahoda, and Krasnohirske.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in the direction of Herasymivka and Zarichne, and struck an enemy concentration area and logistics infrastructure near Velyka Novosilka, a UAV unit command post near Rivnopillya, and an S-400 system radar in Donetsk Oblast.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Solodke, Varvarivka, Staroukrainka, Olenokostyantynivka, Zelene, Zaliznychne, Myrne, and Charivne.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an enemy concentration area near Huliaypole.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked near Prymorske, in the direction of Novoboykivske and Novoyakovlivka, near Stepnohirsk and Pavlivka; enemy reconnaissance and sabotage groups operate east of Orikhiv.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a Buk-M2 SAM system launcher near Staropetrivka and a personnel concentration area near Berdyansk.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Russian forces attacked near Bilohrudyi island.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “Bashneft” plant in Ufa.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian military command uses blocking detachments to force infantry to advance. Enemy units attempt to subsist on stored food and ammunition. An increase in attack intensity on the direction should be expected.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attacked with a battalion employing armored vehicles and all-terrain vehicles.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy has deployed recently redeployed special operations units. The enemy is attempting to restore UAV aerial reconnaissance, actively employs “Molinia” strike UAVs, and continues to use infiltration tactics.

• Fighting continues on the Sumy Oblast border on the Kolotylivka–Pokrovka and Hrabovske–Ryasne axes. Forward elements of the enemy’s “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping are unsuccessfully attempting to expand their penetration. Despite several attempts by forward units of the “Kursk” Tactical Grouping to advance southward, they have so far failed to reach the Pysarivka–Maryine line and advance in the northeastern part of the forest area in the Sadky area.

• The “Belgorod-Kharkiv” Tactical Grouping (forces of the 44th Army Corps and the 6th Combined Arms Army) continues fighting in the Synelnykove–Tsehelne–Vilcha–Lyman area, attempting to support the advance of its assault groups in the Symynivka and Hrafske area along the Siverskyi Donets river. Ukrainian Defense Forces hold positions in the Lyman, Vilcha, and Prylipka area, preventing Russian military command from building up its effort in this direction. The enemy’s forward infantry groups that broke through to Symynivka and Hrafske face significant logistics difficulties. The enemy cannot substantially increase their numbers, as moving personnel to replenish them through corridors under Defense Forces fire control from both flanks is a complex task.

• The 6th Combined Arms Army command, forced to stretch its forces and assets across a fairly wide front from Kupyansk to Vovchansk to accomplish a range of operational and tactical tasks, will in the near future focus on executing only 1–2 of them. The army clearly has insufficient forces with just the 68th and 69th Motorized Rifle Divisions for an offensive both in the Kupyansk area and in the Vovchansk area and an advance toward Velykyi Burluk from the bridgehead on the Oskil.

• The operational situation on the Kupyansk Direction is described as an unstable equilibrium. The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command is unlikely to abandon the assault and seizure of Kupyansk in the near term, so attacks on the bridgehead and in the city itself will continue, although the grouping’s forces require regrouping and reinforcement, as enemy elements operating in the direction of Kupyansk have no more than one understrength assault battalion each in a relatively combat-capable state. The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command, and specifically the 1st Tank Army, will therefore be quite limited in receiving reinforcements from Russian command’s strategic reserves. It is already apparent that the “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command is currently striking on the Lyman and Borova Directions — that is, in the center and on the left flank of its entire operational zone — rather than on the Kupyansk Direction, which fits entirely within the logic of preparations for an offensive against the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk agglomeration.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 134 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, one enemy attack was recorded.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made 5 attempts to breach defensive lines toward Starytsya, Vovchanski Khutory, Zybine, and Okhrymivka.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 4 times toward Borivska Andriivka, Kupyansk, Novoplatonivka, and Kivsharivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 11 enemy attempts to penetrate the Ukrainian defense toward Shyikivka and Dibrova and in the areas of Serednie and Stavky, and to advance toward Zakitne, Riznykivka, Pazeno, and Platonivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 15 attacks in the areas of Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Chasiv Yar, Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 29 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Bilytske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Udachne, and Novomykolayivka, and toward Hryshyne, Shevchenko, Molodetske, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked five times in the areas of Ternove, Novohryhorivka, and Krasnohirske, and toward Yehorivka.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 15 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Huliaypole, Solodke, Myrne, Olenokostyantynivka, Varvarivka, Zaliznychne, and Staroukrainka.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy attempted to improve its position by attacking toward Lukyanivske.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, the enemy attacked in the area of Antonivsky Bridge.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 3rd Battalion of the 119th Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division operates near Yunakivka; the 1st Battalion of the 217th Airborne Regiment of the 98th Airborne Division operates near Tetkino.

• The 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army operates in the southwestern part of Kupyansk; the 1431st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps advances on the Kupyansk Direction; the 237th Tank Regiment of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army strikes in Novomykhailivka; a communications unit from the 1st Tank Army is deploying near Bohuslavka.

• Units of the 6th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army operate in Riznykivka; reconnaissance units of the army’s 85th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade operate near Riznykivka and Nykyforivka; units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike in Sloviansk. The 31st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division of the 25th Combined Arms Army advances in the direction of Lyman.

• The 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes ammunition depots and Ukrainian Defense Forces positions near Rayske and Torske; the 238th Artillery Brigade of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Komyshuvakha; the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates near Rusyn Yar.

• The 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army operates northeast of Krasnohirske; the 14th Separate SOF Brigade operates near Barvinivka.

• The 7th Air Assault Division strikes near Orikhiv.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• The “Zapad (West)” Operational Grouping command will focus on Kupyansk and expanding the southern part of the bridgehead on the Oskil rather than on tactical operations in the border zone. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division will actively support the advance of 1st Tank Army forces from the north in its offensive on Kupyansk and may be reinforced by a number of elements of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division as part of such a decision.

• In the Kupyansk area, forces of the 1st Tank Army (47th Tank Division, 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade), elements of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division, 4th Tank Division, and 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army will under any circumstances attempt to eliminate the Defense Forces bridgehead east of Kupyansk and seize the city in the near term. The 1st Tank Army delivers its main effort in the direction of Pishchane–Kurylivka, that is, in the 47th Tank Division’s offensive sector, which is attempting to break through to Kivsharivka, consolidate there, and reach Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi with its main forces. The 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and forward units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army periodically attempt to break through to Zaoskillia from the direction of Lyman Pershyi and in the direction of Vilshana–Petropavlivka, restore their positions in the western part of Kupyansk by attacking along the Oskil from their bridgehead on it, with the aim of pinning Ukrainian Defense Forces units against the river or forcing them to withdraw from the Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka area northward, while simultaneously preventing them from organizing a stable defense in the Zaoskillia area and in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The task of seizing Kupyansk is currently of considerable importance to Russian military and political leadership, yet the Kupyansk Direction is unlikely to become the main focus of the enemy’s offensive campaign.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army will break through to the Mykolaivka–Nykanorivka line and, with part of its forces, to the Vasylivska Pustosh–Vasyutynske line, in order to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk respectively.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 23.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,288 850 (+970);

Tanks – 11,794 (+1);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,268 (+5);

Artillery systems – 38,662 (+24);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,695 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,336 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 84,775 (+136);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 192,869 (+1,999);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, on the night of 23 March Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 251 strike UAVs of various types, including around 150 “Shahed” drones as well as “Gerbera,” “Italmas,” and others. Air defense forces neutralized 234 enemy drones. Hits from 17 strike UAVs were recorded at 11 locations, with debris falling at 8 more. As of the morning, the attack was ongoing, with several enemy drones still airborne.

• At approximately 06:10, Russian forces attacked the Korabelny district of Kherson with a drone. The occupiers directed the UAV at a 75-year-old man riding a bicycle. He sustained blast trauma and a hand wound.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha and City Defense Council head Oleksandr Vilkul, on the morning of 23 March Russian occupiers attacked Kryvyi Rih twice, injuring four men. During the first massed Shahed UAV attack, two men aged 31 and 58 were injured and hospitalized in moderate condition; despite 19 drones being shot down over the Oblast, hits on infrastructure and a fire were recorded. During the second attack, two more men aged 60 and 36 were injured, and damage to apartment buildings and infrastructure facilities was recorded in the Metalurhiinyi district.

• According to Kirovograd Oblast Military Administration head Andrii Raikovych, on the evening of 22 March the Russian occupying army attacked the Oblast with UAVs, injuring a woman in Znamianka. The casualty was hospitalized with injuries. Damage to private residential buildings was also recorded in Znamianka and Oleksandriia.

• According to Kyiv Oblast Military Administration head Mykola Kalashnyk and Kyiv Oblast police, on the morning of 23 March explosions of unknown objects occurred near an apartment building in Bucha, injuring two law enforcement officers. The first call came in at 05:35 from a local resident reporting windows blown out by a blast wave; a second explosion occurred while officers were following terrorist threat response procedures, injuring the police officers. During the day, SBU and National Police officers detained the suspected perpetrator of the attack while still on the scene. He turned out to be a 21-year-old local resident who, according to preliminary information, had been recruited by Russian intelligence services online.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, on 23 March Russian forces attacked four districts of the Oblast more than 60 times with UAVs, artillery, and aerial bombs, injuring 8 people including a 14-year-old girl. The highest number of casualties was recorded in Synelnykivsky district, where three communities came under attack and a 70-year-old man is in serious condition; in Nikopol district, a lyceum, an enterprise, an agribusiness, and residential buildings were damaged. In Kryvyi Rih, two men were injured in the morning attack, while fires and infrastructure damage were recorded in Dnipro and Hrushivska community.

• According to NPC “Ukrenergo” and the Ministry of Energy, drone attacks on energy facilities and artillery shelling caused power outages for consumers in Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Sumy, Mykolaiv, Kirovograd, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. To stabilize the situation, capacity restriction schedules for industry and hourly blackouts for all consumer categories will be in effect across all regions of Ukraine from 17:00 to 22:00. Despite the difficult situation, electricity consumption as of the morning of 23 March showed a downward trend of 1.4% compared to the previous working day.

Russian forces attacked near Oleksiivka, Korchakivka, Kostyantynivka, Novomykolayivka, and Kindrativka, in the direction of Nova Sich, near Yablunivka and Khrapivshchyna, in the direction of Myropillya, near Kucherove and Ozerky.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Zelene, Prylipka, Synelnykove, Starytsya, Vovchansk, and Vovchanski Khutory, in the direction of Okhrymivka and Verkhnya Pysarivka.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced south of Pishchane.

Russian forces attempted to advance in the center of Kurylivka, attacked near Petropavlivka and Hlushkivka, in the direction of Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, near Novoplatonivka, and carried out an airstrike on the Oskil hydroelectric power plant bridge over the Oskil River east of the city of Oskil in Kharkiv Oblast.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Drobysheve, Yampil, and Platonivka, in the direction of Riznykivka and Kryva Luka, near Fedorivka Druha, Lypivka, and Dibrova, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka and Pazeno.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces recovered some positions in the center of Chasiv Yar.

Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Chasiv Yar, Pleshchiivka, Illinivka, Rusyn Yar, Berestok, Sofiivka, and Novopavlivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces struck enemy positions in the northwest of Dorizhne and advanced in the northwest of Hryshyne.

Russian forces advanced north of Pokrovsk and west of Rodynske, attempted to advance in the east and south of Bilytske, attacked near Vilne and Novyi Donbas, in the direction of Kucheriv Yar and Pokrovsk, in the direction of Serhiivka, near Chervonyi Lyman, Myrnohrad, Molodetske, Novopidhorodnie, and Udachne.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces infiltrated in the south of Ternove, attacked near Novomykolayivka, Bilyakivka, Filiya, Ivanivka, Ternove, Kalynivske, Krasnohirske, and Zlahoda.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Novooleksandrivka and Kosivtseve, and struck an enemy observation post in Paraskoviivka and a “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies unit command post in Mariupol.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole and Olenokostyantynivka, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa and Vozdvyzhivka, near Zelene, Dobropillya, Varvarivka, Zaliznychne, Staroukrainka, and Myrne, in the direction of Charivne and Huliaypilske.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a repair unit in Heliborne.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked near Luhivske, Stepnohirsk, Prymorske, Richne, and Pavlivka, in the direction of Veselyanka, Novoboykivske, Novoyakovlivka, and Magdalynivka.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Russian forces attacked near Antonivskyi Bridge.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Saratov oil refinery and the “Toliattikauchuk” and “KuibyshevAzot” chemical plants in Toliatti, Samara Oblast.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• Russian forces are unlikely to seize the “fortress belt” in 2026 but will achieve some tactical successes and sustain significant losses.

• In the Lyman area, the enemy has increased airstrikes using KAB-3000 guided aerial bombs and “Lancet” and “Molinia” strike UAVs and is working to degrade Ukrainian logistics and the defensive capabilities of the Defense Forces’ 3rd Army Corps ahead of an offensive.

• Russian forces are setting conditions for an operation toward Kramatorsk and Kostyantynivka: they have intensified assaults on the Sloviansk and Kramatorsk Directions, are attempting to advance on the high ground on the approaches to Kostyantynivka, are actively transferring personnel to Kostyantynivka, increasing the use of FPV drones and “Molinia” strike UAVs from Chasiv Yar, have moved armored vehicles to the direction, doubled the number of fire and air strikes on the Kramatorsk Direction, continue setting conditions for a spring–summer 2026 offensive, and have been conducting an air campaign against the southern edge of the “fortress belt” since at least the end of February this year.

• Russian forces are attempting to seize key high ground east of Sloviansk, including near Kryva Luka, and will continue assaults while securing their flanks, as the terrain favors the defense. Ukrainian Defense Forces control of the dominant high ground east of Sloviansk will complicate the aggressor’s advance toward Sloviansk.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces use varied routes during assaults, attempting to infiltrate their groups and disperse the attention of Ukrainian Defense Forces aerial reconnaissance, adapting their tactics based on prior experience.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces have been unable to stop Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacks despite redeploying special operations elements to the direction. Defense Forces advances have slowed due to changing weather conditions, but troops continue to advance, exploiting the absence of prepared enemy defenses.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 148 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, 6 combat engagements were recorded.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made 8 attempts to breach defensive lines in the areas of Prylipka, Vovchanski Khutory, Starytsya, Okhrymivka, and Synelnykove.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 5 times toward Petropavlivka, Kurylivka, Pishchane, and Hlushkivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 12 enemy attempts to penetrate the defense in the area of Serednie, toward Lyman, Stavky, and Dibrova, and to advance in the areas of Platonivka and Zakitne and toward Rai-Oleksandrivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 18 attacks near Chasiv Yar, Kostyantynivka, Kleban-Byk, Yablunivka, Sofiivka, Pleshchiivka, and Rusyn Yar, and in the direction of Stepanivka, Illinivka, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 28 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Shakhove, Rodynske, Chervonyi Lyman, Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk, Hryshyne, Udachne, and Molodetske, and toward Nove Shakhove, Kucheriv Yar, Bilytske, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 6 times in the areas of Ternove, Zlahoda, and Krasnohirske.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 13 enemy attacks took place toward Zaliznychne, Varvarivka, Staroukrainka, Olenokostyantynivka, Zelene, Charivne, and Myrne.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, an enemy attack in the direction of Prymorske was successfully repelled.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, the enemy carried out an unsuccessful attack.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 12th Tank Regiment of the 423rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Tank Division and the 15th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army are advancing on Borova.

• The 85th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army conducts reconnaissance between Riznykivka and Nykyforivka.

• The 27th Artillery Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strikes in Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka; the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Pavlivka, Novopavlivka, and Pryiut; the 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates in the direction of Druzhkivka.

• Units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies coordinate guided aerial bomb airstrikes in Chernihivka, Svitle, Novofedorivka, Novooleksandrivka, and Shevchenkove. The 9th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army strikes near Shevchenkove and Vodyanske.

• The 64th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 35th Combined Arms Army operates near Dobropillya; the 14th Separate SOF Brigade operates near Lyubytske.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will attack along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will advance in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army will break through to the Mykolaivka–Nykanorivka line and, with part of its forces, to the Vasylivska Pustosh–Vasyutynske line, in order to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk respectively.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 22.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,287 880 (+940);

Tanks – 11,793 (+3);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,263 (+1);

Artillery systems – 38,638 (+30);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,694 (+3);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,336 (+3);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 84,639 (+121);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 190,870 (+1,885);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, during the week Russia attacked Ukraine with two missiles, nearly 1,550 strike UAVs, and more than 1,260 guided aerial bombs. The President noted that over the same period the Russian Federation increased its crude oil sales thanks to sanctions relief, channeling the proceeds into the war effort.

• According to the Air Force, on the night of 22 March the enemy attacked Ukraine with 139 UAVs. Air defense forces managed to shoot down or suppress 127 drones. Hits from 8 strike UAVs were recorded at 7 locations, with debris falling at 7 more. As of the morning of 22 March, the Russian attack was ongoing, with several enemy drones still airborne.

• According to Kyiv Oblast Military Administration head Mykola Kalashnyk, on the night of 22 March Russian occupying forces attacked Brovary community with UAVs, damaging buildings at three civilian enterprises and causing a fire. In addition to the industrial facilities, the facades and roofs of two private houses and three vehicles were damaged. Preliminary reports indicate no civilian casualties, and the fire at one of the enterprises had been contained by morning.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, overnight on 22 March Russian occupying forces attacked the Oblast nearly 20 times, injuring a 22-year-old man with moderate injuries. In Nikopol district, the district center and three communities came under attack, with damage to infrastructure, residential buildings, solar panels, and vehicles. In Synelnykivsky district, one home was destroyed and five more damaged in the shelling, while damage to a dacha, outbuildings, and infrastructure facilities was recorded in Pavlohrad and Kryvorizky districts.

• According to Chernihiv Oblast Military Administration head Viacheslav Chaus, on the night of 22 March Russian Geran UAVs attacked an agricultural enterprise in Koriukivsky district. One animal was killed in the strike on a cattle barn.

• According to the State Emergency Service, on the night of 22 March in Sumy, Russian occupiers struck rescuers, damaging a fire engine. Specialists were inspecting the area following a previous impact when, as they were finishing their work, the enemy carried out a repeat strike near the fire tanker. There were no injuries.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha and Kryvyi Rih City Military Administration head Oleksandr Vilkul, the Russian army attacked Kryvyi Rih, damaging an industrial infrastructure facility and an apartment building. Preliminary reports indicate no civilian casualties.

• According to Odesa Oblast Military Administration head Oleh Kiper, on the afternoon of 22 March the Russian army attacked a farm and grain storage hangars in Odesa Oblast with UAVs. The strikes on civilian infrastructure facilities caused significant damage to the buildings. There were no civilian casualties.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, Russian forces struck Komyshuvakha with guided aerial bombs, killing a 53-year-old man. The strike destroyed private houses and non-residential buildings and caused a fire.

• Deputy Prime Minister for Reconstruction and Minister of Community and Territory Development Oleksiy Kuleba reported that since the beginning of the year Russian forces have carried out more than 180 attacks on port infrastructure in Odesa and Chornomorsk.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Sopych.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Zelene, Prylipka, Lyman, Starytsya, Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, Hrafske, and Tykhe, in the direction of Zybine, Bochkovе, Okhrymivka, and Verkhnya Pysarivka, near Chuhunivka.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces fought in the eastern part of Kurylivka, attempted to advance in Olhivka, attacked near Kupyansk, Fyholivka, Krasne Pershe, Petropavlivka, and Pishchane, in the direction of Hlushkivka, Novoplatonivka, Borivska Andriivka, Nadiia, Hrekivka, Novomykhailivka, Novoserhiyivka, Tverdokhlibove, and Serednie, in the direction of Korovyi Yar.

Ukrainian Defense Forces completed clearing Kupyansk of enemy forces and struck an anti-aircraft technical battery position near Dovzhansk.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the south of Yampil. Russian forces attacked near Lyman and Drobysheve, in the direction of Svyatohirsk, near Zarichne and Dibrova, in the direction of Staryi Karavan, near Platonivka, in the direction of Riznykivka, Kryva Luka, and Zakitne, near Fedorivka Druha, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the southeastern part of Kostyantynivka and in the center of Minkivka and control the Shevchenko neighborhood in the southwest of Chasiv Yar, which hampers the enemy’s envelopment of Kostyantynivka.

Russian forces attempted to advance north of Novopavlivka, attacked near Kostyantynivka, in the direction of Malynivka, near Kleban-Byk, Pleshchiivka, Illinivka, and Stepanivka, in the direction of Dovha Balka, near Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, and Novopavlivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Kucheriv Yar, near Vilne, Novyi Donbas, and Toretske, attempted to advance southwest of Bilytske, attacked near Pokrovsk, Hryshyne, and Novooleksandrivka, in the direction of Serhiivka and Shevchenkove, near Rodynske, Sukhetske, Myrnohrad, Kotlyne, Udachne, and Novopidhorodnie.

Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled an enemy assault along the E50 Pokrovsk–Pavlohrad highway with UAV strikes.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Filiya, Ternove, Kalynivske, Krasnohirske, Zlahoda, Sichneve, and Sosnivka.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the center of Hirke, on the western outskirts of Zaliznychne, and on the eastern outskirts of Myrne, and are operating in areas west and south of Hirke.

Russian forces attacked near Olenokostyantynivka, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa, Vozdvyzhivka, and Rizdvyanka, near Zelene, Dobropillya, Solodke, Zalizne, and Myrne, in the direction of Huliaypilske.

On the Orikhiv Direction, enemy infantry groups infiltrated northeast of Mala Tokmachka. Russian forces attacked near Luhivske, Stepove, Prymorske, Stepnohirsk, and Richne.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck infrastructure at the Vostochnyi training range near Novopetrovske.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Taman 500 kV electrical substation near Starotytarivska in Krasnodar Krai, and the Alchevsk metallurgical plant in the occupied Alchevsk, Luhansk Oblast which produces artillery shells and manufactures and repairs armored vehicles.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• Exaggerated claims by Russian military command about alleged advances or seizure of new settlements hamper Russian forces’ ability to effectively maneuver mobile reconnaissance and strike assets to provide fire support to specific front sectors or transition to defense when necessary.

• Forces of the 20th Combined Arms Army employ infantry that has received minimal week-long training. The level of unit cohesion among enemy units has deteriorated compared to the end of 2025.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces conduct massed infantry assaults approximately every 3–5 days, sometimes employing motorcycles and light vehicles.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces successfully disrupt enemy logistics in Oleshky and on the Dnipro river islands by intercepting supply UAVs.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 161 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 7 enemy assaults.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy assaulted Defense Forces unit positions 7 times near Vovchanski Khutory, Vovchansk, Okhrymivka, Prylipka, Zelene, and Starytsya.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked twice in the direction of Novoplatonivka and Kurylivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 8 enemy attempts to advance near Drobysheve, in the area of Rai-Oleksandrivka, Yampil, and Platonivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 22 attacks near Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Illinivka, Rusyn Yar, and Sofiivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 32 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Rodynske, Bilytske, Myrnohrad, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novomykolayivka, Novopavlivka, Filiya, and Bilyakivka.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked three times in the areas of Ternove, Krasnohirske, and Kalynivske.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 21 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Dobropillya, Zaliznychne, Zelene, Staroukrainka, Varvarivka, and Luhivske.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, one combat engagement took place in the area of Stepnohirsk.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, Ukrainian units repelled an enemy attack toward the Antonivskyi Bridge.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 49th Separate Tank Battalion of the 72nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 44th Army Corps operates in Sumy Oblast.

• The 1st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army operates near Drobysheve and Novoselivka.

• The 1008th and 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strike in Kostyantynivka; the 57th Separate SOF Company strikes near Mykolaypillya and Torske.

• The 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army operates east of Novohryhorivka; the 14th Separate SOF Brigade operates near Oleksandrivka and Dibrova.

• The 114th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army operates near Svyatopetrivka; the 305th Artillery Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes in the center of Hirke and in the west of Zaliznychne; the 8th detachment strikes in the eastern part of Myrne; bombers of the 11th Army of the Air Force and Air Defense carry out airstrikes in Lyubytske and Nizhnytsia.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will attack along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will advance in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army will break through to the Mykolaivka–Nykanorivka line and, with part of its forces, to the Vasylivska Pustosh–Vasyutynske line, in order to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk respectively.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 21.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,286 940 (+1,240);

Tanks – 11,790 (+1);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,262 (+8);

Artillery systems – 38,608 (+39);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,691 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,333 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 84,518 (+144);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 350 (+1);

UAV operational and tactical level – 188,985 (+1,781);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Ukrainian Air Force, on the night of 21 March the enemy attacked Ukraine with 154 UAVs, including around 90 Shahed-type drones. Air defense forces managed to shoot down or suppress 148 drones. Hits from 5 strike UAVs were recorded at 4 locations, with debris falling at 7 more. As of the morning of 21 March, the attack was ongoing, with several enemy drones still airborne.

• An enemy strike on 21 March destroyed a private house in Zaporizhzhia where an entire family was living — a man and a woman were killed and two children were injured. It subsequently emerged that four more adults were injured in the city.

• According to the Chernihiv City Council and Ukrzaliznytsia, Chernihiv was left completely without power as a result of overnight Russian strikes on energy infrastructure facilities in the Oblast. The loss of voltage in the overhead contact network caused delays to a number of trains in Chernihiv Oblast. The city of Slavutych in Kyiv Oblast was also left without electricity — nearly 21,000 residents lost power as a result of a Russian attack.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, on Saturday afternoon of 21 March Russian forces attacked critical infrastructure facilities in Zaporizhzhia. The strikes caused power outages in some districts of the city, and blast waves damaged windows in buildings near the impact sites. Preliminary reports indicate no casualties.

• According to the Sumy City Council, Russian occupiers struck the grounds of a preschool in the Velykochernechynsky village community of Sumy community with a Molniya UAV. The strike damaged windows and doors in the kindergarten building, though preliminary reports indicate no casualties. The enemy also attacked the community’s territory with four guided aerial bombs; the consequences of these strikes are still being assessed.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, throughout Saturday 21 March Russian occupiers attacked Synelnykivsky and Nikopolsky districts of the Oblast more than 30 times with UAVs, killing two men and injuring five more people. Among the casualties in Nikopol district are two children aged 7 and 18, as well as women, one of whom is in serious condition. Enemy strikes damaged infrastructure, private houses, shops, and vehicles in settlements across both districts.

• According to the Izium City Military Administration, on the evening of 20 March Russian occupiers carried out a massed guided aerial bomb strike on Izium community in Kharkiv Oblast. Hits were recorded in the Verkhnye Selyshche area, causing civilian casualties. Damage to buildings was also recorded and some consumers were left without electricity.

• According to the Bring Kids Back UA initiative, on 19 March 2026 the Southern District Military Court in Rostov-on-Don sentenced three Ukrainian teenagers from temporarily occupied Melitopol to between 7 and 8.5 years in prison on terrorism charges. Viktor Azarovskyi received 8 years and 6 months, Oleh Shokol 7 years and 6 months, and Denys Vasylyk 7 years; the boys were only 16–17 years old at the time of their arrest in autumn 2023. The Russian side tried the Ukrainian children as its own citizens in closed proceedings, disregarding the illegality of their transfer to detention facilities in Mariupol and Taganrog. Over more than two years, the boys were subjected to torture, beatings, and psychological pressure, resulting in serious health problems, particularly for Viktor Azarovskyi.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Veterynarne, Zolochiv, Kozacha Lopan, Zelene, Slatyne, Prylipka, Lyman, Starytsya, Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, and Tykhe, in the direction of Zybine, Bochkovе, Okhrymivka, Verkhnya Pysarivka, and Chuhunivka.

On the Kupyansk Direction, enemy infiltration groups operate in Kivsharivka. The occupiers attacked near Kupyansk, Fyholivka, Krasne Pershe, Petropavlivka, Pishchane, and Kurylivka, in the direction of Hlushkivka, Novoplatonivka, Borivska Andriivka, Nadiia, Hrekivka, Novomykhailivka, Novovodyane, Novoserhiyivka, Novoyehorivka, Olkhivka, and Serednie, in the direction of Korovyi Yar and Oleksandrivka, and attempted to advance south of Korovyi Yar and east of Oleksandrivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces destroyed a UAV launcher and the logistics depot of the 1843rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army near Holubivka and Radkivka, having identified the targets by their white winter camouflage.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces seized Fedorivka Druha, advanced south of Kalenyky, attacked near Lyman and Drobysheve, in the direction of Svyatohirsk, near Stavky, Dibrova, Yampil, and Platonivka, in the direction of Riznykivka and Kalenyky, near Lypivka and Nykyforivka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Russian forces operate in the south of Kostyantynivka, attempted to seize Pavlivka, attacked near Kostyantynivka, Chasiv Yar, Holubivka, Minkivka, and Pryvillya, in the direction of Malynivka, near Kleban-Byk, Ivanopillya, Pleshchiivka, Berestok, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, and Novopavlivka, in the direction of Pavlivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Kucheriv Yar and Vilne, near Novyi Donbas and Pokrovsk, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka and Shevchenkove, near Bilytske, Sukhetske, Rodynske, Zatyshok, Myrnohrad, Kotlyne, Udachne, Molodetske, and Novopidhorodnie, and intensified assaults in Hryshyne. Enemy attacks on the Hryshyne–Rodynske and Bilytske lines are aimed at supporting a potential offensive on Dobropillya. Novooleksandrivka and the southern part of Vasylivka are a grey zone.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Novooleksandrivka and encircled an enemy group that includes mercenaries from Ethiopia and Morocco. Only a small enemy infantry group is present in Bilytske; the settlement is under Defense Forces control.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Muravka, Filiya, Zelenyi Hai, Sichneve, Sosnivka, Stepove, Krasnohirske, Zlahoda, and Rybne.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Dobropasove and struck enemy ammunition depots in Donetsk and Yalta, a logistics depot near Vesele, and a concentration area near Yalta.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the northwestern part of Huliaypole, counterattacked in Rizdvyanka, and are advancing toward Huliaypilske, Charivne, and Myrne.

Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Tsvytkove, Zelene, and Dobropillya, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa and Vozdvyzhivka, near Zalizne, Staroukrainka, and Myrne, in the direction of Huliaypilske.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces attacked in the south of Richne and struck two fuel and ammunition depots, communications towers in Enerhodar, and energy infrastructure facilities in Tokmak.

Russian forces attacked near Stepove, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Stepnohirsk, and Prymorske, in the direction of Magdalynivka.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an enemy ammunition depot near Kalanchak and a fuel depot near Novotroitske.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “Granit” Innovation Center of the Almaz-Antey defense corporation in Sevastopol and personnel concentration areas near Striletska Zatoka and Ovrazhok.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• In the north of Kharkiv Oblast, Russian forces in the Lyptsi area are attempting to establish alternative data transmission channels following the loss of Starlink access, installing antennas closer to the border and increasing the use of Wi-Fi bridges. The enemy continues attempts to infiltrate behind Ukrainian Defense Forces positions, where it accumulates for further attacks, exploits poor weather conditions, is increasing FPV drone employment, and is targeting Ukrainian logistics.

• Russian forces struck civilian ambulances near Oleksandrivka and Prosyanka, civilian vehicles near Novoosynove, Prosyanka, and Borivske, and critical infrastructure facilities in Hrushkivka.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, a shortage of heavy UAV bombers limits Russian forces’ ability to employ them widely at the front, primarily for logistics rather than strikes.

• Russian forces have recently nearly tripled the number of attacks on the Oleksandrivka Direction; enemy personnel numbers have increased, the enemy is beginning to employ a limited number of heavy armored vehicles, and more “Molnia” UAVs are being used.

• Ukrainian Defense Forces liberated 285 km² on the Oleksandrivka Direction in one month. The enemy periodically attempts to counterattack to slow Defense Forces advances and stabilize the situation but has been unable to seize the initiative.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 201 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, 2 combat engagements were recorded.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made 19 attempts to breach defensive lines toward Prylipka, Lyman, Starytsya, Vovchansk, Tykhe, Bochkovе, Okhrymivka, Zybine, Chuhunivka, Fyholivka, and Krasne Pershe.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 11 times toward Petropavlivka, Pishchane, Hlushkivka, Novoplatonivka, Borivska Andriivka, and Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 30 enemy attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defense toward Hrekivka, Nadiia, Novomykhailivka, Novoserhiyivka, Olhivka, Serednie, Drobysheve, Zarichne, Lyman, Dibrova, Tverdokhlibove, and Korovyi Yar, and to advance toward Dibrova, Zakitne, Riznykivka, Rai-Oleksandrivka, and Platonivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 27 attacks toward Kostyantynivka, Kleban-Byk, Pleshchiivka, Illinivka, Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, Novopavlivka, and Stepanivka, and attempted to improve its position by assaulting in the Malynivka area and toward Kostyantynivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 30 enemy assault actions were stopped toward Novyi Donbas, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Bilytske, Sukhetske, Pokrovsk, Hryshyne, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novopidhorodnie, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 9 times toward Sichneve, Sosnivka, Krasnohirske, and Zlahoda.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 12 enemy attacks took place toward Zelene, Zaliznychne, Dobropillya, and Myrne, and in the areas of Solodke and Olenokostyantynivka.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy attempted to improve its position by attacking toward Stepove.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 15th Tank Regiment of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army strikes in Rybnytsya; the 2nd Battalion of the 119th Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division operates near Yunakivka.

• The 352nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps strikes in Pishchane.

• The 83rd Self-Propelled Artillery Regiment of the 67th Motorized Rifle Division of the 25th Combined Arms Army and the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army operate in the direction of Lyman.

• The 27th Artillery Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strikes in Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka; the 57th Separate SOF Company of the 8th Combined Arms Army and the 242nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the army strike near Rayske and Novopavlivka; the 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division strikes near Druzhkivka.

• The 80th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 51st Combined Arms Army strikes near Dobropillya, Novofedorivka, and Nadiia; units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike in Vodyanske.

• The 16th CBRN Brigade, the 1466th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division of the 5th Combined Arms Army, and the 20th BARS detachment strike in Huliaypole; the 218th Tank Regiment of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division strikes near Varvarivka; the 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes near Rizdvyanka, Lyubytske, and Rivne; the 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army operates in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

• The 76th Air Assault Division operates near Mala Tokmachka; elements of the 19th Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army operate near Prymorske; the 108th Air Assault Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division operates near Malokaterynivka; the 291st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the army strikes near Orikhiv.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will attack along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will advance in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army will break through to the Mykolaivka–Nykanorivka line and, with part of its forces, to the Vasylivska Pustosh–Vasyutynske line, in order to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk respectively.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 20.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,285 700 (+1,610);

Tanks – 11,789 (+3);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,254 (+21);

Artillery systems – 38,569 (+31);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,691 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,333 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 84,374 (+245);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 349 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 187,204 (+1480);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, from the evening of 19 March Russian occupiers attacked Ukraine with 156 UAVs of various types, including around 90 Shahed strike drones as well as Gerbera, Italmas, and other drone types. By 08:00, air defense forces had shot down or suppressed 133 enemy drones. Hits from 19 strike UAVs were recorded at 13 locations, with debris from shot-down drones falling at 7 more. As of the morning of 20 March, the enemy attack was ongoing.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, on the night of 20 March Russian forces struck civilian infrastructure in Zaporizhzhia district. Two hits destroyed private houses, killing a 30-year-old woman. A 48-year-old man and a 10-year-old child were also injured.

• According to Deputy Prime Minister for Reconstruction Oleksiy Kuleba, a UAV attack on Odesa Oblast on the night of 20 March damaged two civilian commercial vessels sailing under the flags of Palau and Barbados. The vessels were loaded with grain and moored at berths at the time of the strike; despite the damage, they remain afloat. Two people were injured in the attack, and damage to administrative buildings was recorded along with a fire that rescuers promptly contained.

• According to “Proliska” humanitarian mission head Yevhen Kaplin, on the morning of 20 March a Russian UAV attacked an evacuation crew vehicle in the town of Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka in Donetsk Oblast. A woman was killed in the strike and three more people were injured, two of whom are in serious and critical condition. The occupiers struck the vehicle directly on the humanitarian mission emblem while the crew was conducting evacuation operations in the settlement.

• Donetsk Oblast Military Administration head Vadym Filashkin signed an order for the forced evacuation of children from certain parts of Sloviansk that are most vulnerable to enemy shelling.

• According to Kherson Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Prokudin, three more children aged between 1 and 17 were returned to Ukrainian-controlled territory from the temporarily occupied part of the Oblast. The rescue took place under the Bring Kids Back UA initiative with the assistance of the Save Ukraine organization. The children are now safe. The Oblast head stressed that Russian occupiers are deliberately creating increasing dangers along return routes. The enemy is also intensifying pressure on the civilian population and introducing year-round conscription in the seized territories.

• According to the Ministry of Energy and “Ukrenergo,” on 20 March some consumers in Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Mykolaiv, and Kharkiv Oblasts are temporarily without electricity as a result of combat operations and strikes on energy infrastructure. At the same time, electricity consumption fell by 2.3% compared to the previous day thanks to clear weather, which is enabling effective operation of residential solar power plants and reducing the load on the general grid.

• According to Naftogaz CEO Serhii Koretsky, on the night of 20 March Russian forces attacked Naftogaz Group oil and gas facilities in Poltava and Sumy Oblasts with UAVs. The strikes on several assets caused damage, and a fire broke out at one facility, which has since been extinguished. There were no personnel casualties as employees were in shelters during the attack. Koretsky noted that since the beginning of the year the enemy has deliberately targeted the group’s critical infrastructure more than 30 times.

• According to National Union of Journalists head Serhiy Tomilenko, journalists in Ukraine are no longer recommended to mark themselves with “PRESS” insignia. The union head stressed that Russian occupiers deliberately target journalists with UAVs, making such markings no longer a guarantee of protection — and in fact increasing the risk of becoming a target. To enhance safety, the union provides frontline Journalist Solidarity Centers with drone detectors that allow journalists to spot threats in time and take cover. Verkhovna Rada Committee on Freedom of Speech head Yaroslav Yurchyshyn stressed that the practice whereby international institutions, including the UN, recommend journalists avoid any protective means such as detectors or electronic warfare equipment and rely exclusively on markings — large “PRESS” signs and bright vests — must change, and that this requires amendments to international humanitarian law.

• According to a Kyiv International Institute of Sociology survey conducted on 1–8 March 2026:

  • Ukraine is seeing a decline in the share of citizens prepared to endure the war for as long as necessary. While this figure stood at 65% at the end of January, it fell to 52% in mid-February and has since stabilized at 54% as of early March. At the same time, 28% of respondents say they are only willing to endure hostilities for a short period — from a few months to half a year. KIIS added that the decline in willingness to endure the war was observed primarily among those who had been open to a difficult exchange of control over Donetsk Oblast in return for security guarantees.

  • 71% of Ukrainians do not believe that the current negotiations can deliver a sustainable peace, while 25% of respondents express faith in such an outcome.

  • 62% of those surveyed consider it categorically unacceptable to transfer control of the entire Donbas to Russia in exchange for security guarantees. The share willing to accept such a concession stands at 33%, though most of them acknowledge it would be a difficult decision. Compared to February, public sentiment has hardened: the share of those categorically opposed to such a territorial exchange rose from 57% to 62%, while the share in favor fell from 36% to 33%.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Veterynarne, near Lyman, Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, Starytsya, Zelene, Prylipka, and Pishchane, in the direction of Verkhnya Pysarivka, Bochkovе, and Okhrymivka, near Chuhunivka.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Kupyansk and Petropavlivka, in the direction of Kurylivka, Novoosynove, and Hlushkivka, near Novoplatonivka, Novovodyane, and Novoyehorivka, in the direction of Chervonyi Stav.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces advanced on the northern outskirts of Novoselivka, attempted to advance south of Kalenyky, attacked near Lyman, Svyatohirsk, Drobysheve, Yarova, Stavky, Kolodyazi, and Yampil, in the direction of Dibrova, Brusivka, and Staryi Karavan, near Platonivka, Zakitne, Riznykivka, Kryva Luka, and Rai-Oleksandrivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces began counterattacks in Ozerne, which will significantly delay attempts by the 25th Combined Arms Army’s forward elements to advance to the southeastern outskirts of Lyman.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Minkivka, Holubivka, Pryvillya, Novomаrkove, and Chasiv Yar, in the direction of Malynivka, near Oleksandro-Shultyne, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Berestok, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, Pavlivka, and Novopavlivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces advanced north of Zatyshok, attacked near Dorizhne, Nove Shakhove, Novyi Donbas, Toretske, Vilne, Pokrovsk, Myrnohrad, Rodynske, Bilytske, and Hryshyne, in the direction of Shevchenkove, Novooleksandrivka, and Serhiivka, near Udachne, Kotlyne, Molodetske, and Novopidhorodnie.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novomykolayivka, Muravka, Filiya, Dachne, and Zelenyi Hai, in the direction of Velykomykhailivka, near Krasnohirske, in the direction of Boykove; infiltration groups operated in the south of Zlahoda; and a strike was carried out on the bridge over the Khaychur river near Novoskeluvatе.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Hai, Velyka Mykhailivka, and Pokrovske, expanded their kill zone to approximately 25 km, and struck the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies base, a UAV coordination center in Donetsk, and vehicle and ammunition depots south of Vilne in Donetsk Oblast.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Verkhnya Tersa, Vozdvyzhivka, Zirnytsia, Olenokostyantynivka, Dobropillya, Zelene, and Myrne, in the direction of Huliaypilske, near Zalizne and Hirke, in the direction of Staroukrainka.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Novodanylivka, near Shcherbaky, Stepove, Prymorske, Stepnohirsk, Lukyanivske, and Magdalynivka, but did not advance.

Forces of the 58th Combined Arms Army conduct low-intensity offensive and assault operations, attempting to resume the advance of their assault units toward Zaporizhzhia, operating primarily from the Prymorske–Stepnohirsk and Stepove–Mali Shcherbaky lines. In the 76th Air Assault Division’s sector, the enemy is unsuccessfully attempting to seize Mala Tokmachka and advance in the direction of Orikhiv.

Forward units of the 19th Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army made several unsuccessful attempts to restore lost positions in Prymorske, using the dry bed of the Kakhovka reservoir to envelop Ukrainian Defense Forces positions from the flank. Meeting engagements continue in the Stepnohirsk area. Units of the 47th Motorized Rifle Division are unsuccessfully attempting to eliminate the Defense Forces penetration in the center of the city. On the Stepove–Pavlivka direction, units of the 247th Air Assault Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division made several assault attempts and pushed Ukrainian Defense Forces forward groups several hundred meters north of Stepove.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Russian forces continued local assault operations near Bilohrudyi island.

Supporting operation:

• No strikes were reported.

Overall assessment of changes in the operational situation:

• Russian forces on the Kupyansk Direction are preparing for the spring–summer offensive and have increased attack intensity from a maximum of two per day last week to nine over the past day. The intensification may be part of preparations for the spring–summer campaign. The enemy is accumulating personnel.

• Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Sloviansk Direction employ innovative UAV tactics, which have enabled them to liberate part of the occupied territory and reduce the number of enemy attacks on the direction. UAV operators are focused on controlling logistics routes to degrade the enemy’s operational capacity to support its forward units.

• Russian military command is planning to seize Kostyantynivka by the May holidays and begin an operation to seize the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk agglomeration in the summer of 2026. Russian forces have intensified assaults, increased the volume of artillery strikes and airstrikes to more than 100 per day, and employ more than 400 FPV drones daily.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the number of personnel from occupied Ukraine is steadily increasing: more than 40% of Russian units are manned by citizens from occupied Crimea or Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces employ well-equipped and better-trained infantry, although the overall number of attacks has fallen from 50 or more per day in January to 7–10 per day in February and March. The enemy attempts to attack as much as possible in foggy conditions.

• Southwest of Orikhiv, Russian military command continues to accumulate assault infantry in preparation for intensified operations in the directions of Nesteryanka–Orikhiv and Shcherbaky–Novopavlivka. The involvement of elements of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army cannot be excluded.

• The “Dnepr” Operational Grouping command must in the near term choose between two courses of action: defeating the Orikhiv defensive district of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, or breaking through to the near approaches to Zaporizhzhia from the south along the Dnipro River. An attempt to break through to Orikhiv appears more likely. Under any development of the situation, the “Dnepr” and “Vostok (East)” Operational Groupings will require large-scale combat capability restoration measures for at least their first operational echelon.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 235 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, 6 combat engagements were recorded.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made 14 attempts to breach Ukrainian defensive lines toward Veterynarne, Zelene, Prylipka, Starytsya, Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, Chuhunivka, Okhrymivka, and Bochkovе.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 10 times toward Kupyansk, Petropavlivka, Kurylivka, and Novoplatonivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 20 enemy attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defense toward Lyman, Drobysheve, Stavky, and Dibrova, in the areas of Novovodyane and Novoyehorivka, and to advance in the areas of Yampil and Platonivka and toward Riznykivka and Rai-Oleksandrivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 39 attacks in the areas of Holubivka, Pryvillya, Minkivka, Nykyforivka, Malynivka, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, and Sofiivka, and toward Kostyantynivka, Illinivka, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 54 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Toretske, Rodynske, Zatyshok, Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk, Udachne, Kotlyne, Molodetske, Novomykolayivka, and Filiya, and toward Kucheriv Yar, Vilne, Novooleksandrivka, Shevchenko, Hryshyne, Muravka, Novopidhorodnie, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 4 times in the areas of Zelenyi Hai, Stepove, and Rybne.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 14 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Huliaypole and Myrne and toward Zaliznychne, Dobropillya, and Staroukrainka.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, 5 enemy attacks were successfully repelled near Stepove, Shcherbaky, and toward Novodanylivka.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 1st Battalion of the 82nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army operates near Hatyshche; the 71st Motorized Rifle Division of the 14th Army Corps strikes near Zybine and Volоkhivske.

• The 283rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army fights for Oleksandrivka.

• The 6th, 7th, and 88th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strike north of Rai-Oleksandrivka.

• The 57th Separate SOF Company of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Svitle; the 1st and 5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 51st Combined Arms Army strike near Shevchenkove.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes near Velykomykhailivka.

• On the Prydniprovske and Orikhiv Directions, the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping is operating, concentrating its main effort on the right flank of its operational zone, in the 58th Combined Arms Army’s sector (19th and 42nd Motorized Rifle Divisions, 136th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade). Also operating there are combined tactical groupings of the 4th and 201st Military Bases, a motorized rifle regiment of the Territorial Forces of the 47th Motorized Rifle Division of the 18th Combined Arms Army, the 108th and 247th Air Assault Regiments of the 7th Air Assault Division, the 104th, 234th, and 237th Air Assault Regiments of the 76th Air Assault Division, the 45th Separate SOF Brigade of the Airborne Forces, the 100th Separate Reconnaissance Brigade, and the 1445th and 1119th Motorized Rifle Regiments of the Territorial Forces.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will attack along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will advance in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army will break through to the Mykolaivka–Nykanorivka line and, with part of its forces, to the Vasylivska Pustosh–Vasyutynske line, in order to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk respectively.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, after several failed attempts to bring Mala Tokmachka and the surrounding area under control from the west, the 76th Air Assault Division will shift its main effort axis to the northeast — along the Bilohirya–Luhivske line — in an attempt to support the advance on the adjacent flank of the 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies, which are operating southwest of Huliaypole and have advanced in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 19.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,284 090 (+1,520);

Tanks – 11,786 (0);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,233 (+4);

Artillery systems – 38,538 (+32);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,691 (+3);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,333 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 84,129 (+155);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 349 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 185,724 (+1,391);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, from the evening of 18 March Russian occupiers attacked Ukraine with 133 UAVs of various types, including 70 Shahed strike drones as well as Gerbera and Italmas drones. By 08:00, air defense forces had shot down or suppressed 109 enemy drones in the north, south, west, and east of the country. Hits from 20 strike UAVs were recorded at 11 locations, with debris falling at 7 more. As of the morning of 19 March, the enemy attack is ongoing.

• According to Odesa City Military Administration head Serhii Lysak, four people were injured and civilian infrastructure was damaged in several districts of the city in a Russian UAV attack on Odesa on the night of 19 March. In Prymorsky district, 12 residential buildings were damaged and two people were hospitalized. In Kyivsky district, the blast wave blew out around 180 windows in a 22-story building and a university dormitory; one person was hospitalized and another received on-site assistance. In Khadjibeisky district, partial destruction of a two-story residential building was recorded.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, Russian forces attacked three districts of the Oblast more than 10 times with UAVs, injuring two people. In Synelnykivsky district, strikes on Mezhivska and Mykolaivska communities damaged a private house and injured a 57-year-old woman. In Nikopolsky district, a 56-year-old woman was hospitalized in serious condition. A fire and significant infrastructure damage were also recorded in Zelenodolska community of Kryvorizky district as a result of enemy strikes.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, on the morning of 19 March Russian forces attacked Zaporizhzhia’s infrastructure, seriously injuring one person. The strike cut power to more than 38,000 residential and around 2,000 commercial consumers, with voltage fluctuations recorded in some districts. By 08:20, energy workers had restored power to more than 83% of consumers, with 6,265 households and 305 commercial entities remaining on backup power.

• According to Kharkiv Oblast police, in the village of Hrushivka in Kupyansk district a Russian FPV drone attacked an emergency medical crew. The drone exploded near the ambulance, injuring a 57-year-old paramedic and a 31-year-old driver with blast concussion. The vehicle was also damaged, with side windows blown out and rear lights smashed.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, on 19 March the Russian army attacked Nikopolsky and Synelnykivsky districts of the Oblast nearly 30 times using artillery and UAVs. Strikes on Nikopol and the communities of Marhanetska, Pokrovska, and Chervonohryhorivska injured a 54-year-old woman, who was prescribed outpatient treatment. Damage to a lyceum, apartment buildings, private homes, and outbuildings was also recorded; in Mezhivska community, an enemy strike damaged a fire station building.

• According to Sumy Oblast Military Administration head Oleh Hryhorov and the regional prosecutor’s office, three men were killed and nine people were injured in Russian attacks on the Sumy Oblast border area on the morning of 19 March. In Velykopysarivska community, a 62-year-old resident was killed in a UAV strike. In Khutir-Mykhailivska community, two brothers aged 33 and 37 were killed in an attack on civilian infrastructure. Civilian casualties were also recorded in Vorozhbianska community after a vehicle was struck, in Okhtyrka district, and in Esmanska community where four people were injured in a guided aerial bomb strike.

• According to Chernihiv Oblast Military Administration head Viacheslav Chaus, late on the evening of 18 March Russian occupiers attacked the Avdiivka lyceum in Ponornytska community with three Geran UAVs. The strikes caused significant damage to the educational facility and also damaged school buses. The Oblast head noted that children at this lyceum had been studying in person and had only recently switched to a blended learning format due to constant air raid alerts.

• According to Volyn Oblast Military Administration head Roman Romaniuk, on the evening of 18 March the Russian army attacked an energy infrastructure facility near Novovolynsk. The enemy UAV strike left part of the community without electricity and disrupted water supply.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Sopych.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, and Starytsya, in the direction of Pishchane, Verkhnya Pysarivka, Bochkovе, and Okhrymivka.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attacked within and near Kupyansk, near Kucherivka and Petropavlivka, in the direction of Kurylivka, Hlushkivka, and Novoosynove, near Novoplatonivka. Approximately 20 enemy personnel remain in the center of Kupyansk.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in the direction of Ozerne–Yampil, liberated Ozerne, entered Yampil, cleared Lyman, and hold positions in the center of Riznykivka.

Russian forces attempted to advance east of Staryi Karavan and southwest of Riznykivka, attacked near Lyman, Svyatohirsk, Drobysheve, Stavky, Yampil, and Lypivka, in the direction of Ozerne, Dibrova, and Brusivka, near Platonivka, Zakitne, Kryva Luka, Kalenyky, Rai-Oleksandrivka, Nykyforivka, and Fedorivka Druha.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Russian forces fought for Mykolaivka, attempted to advance southeast of Novodmytrivka, in the center of Kostyantynivka, northeast of Berestok, east of Dovha Balka, and west of Illinivka. Elements of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army are attempting to advance southeast of Novopavlivka. The occupiers attacked near Kostyantynivka, Minkivka, Holubivka, Pryvillya, and Novomаrkove, in the direction of Podilske, near Oleksandro-Shultyne, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, Pavlivka, and Novopavlivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces hold positions in the southwestern part of Kostyantynivka and on the eastern outskirts and in the center of Illinivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance south of Hryshyne and toward Serhiivka, attacked near Dorizhne, Nove Shakhove, Pokrovsk, and Novooleksandrivka, in the direction of Shevchenkove, near Bilytske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Kotlyne, Novopidhorodnie, Molodetske, and Udachne.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Novopavlivka, Muravka, Novomykolayivka, Dachne, Filiya, and Krasnohirske, in the direction of Zlahoda and Danylivka, and conducted assault operations along the T0428 Novopavlivka–Dachne highway.

Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced north of Novoivanivka, destroyed a UAV unit command post near Obratne, and a communications hub near Manhush.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces struck enemy forces that had advanced in the south of Zaliznychne, counterattacked near Charivne, and destroyed a UAV unit command post near Huliaypole.

Russian forces fought for Charivne, attempted to advance northeast of Huliaypilske and north of Myrne, attacked near Huliaypole, in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa, Vozdvyzhivka, Zirnytsia, Boykove, Rizdvyanka, Dobropillya, Zelene, Varvarivka, and Hirke.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the center of Novodanylivka and struck a 58th Combined Arms Army ammunition depot in Terpinnya, a fuel depot in Melitopol, and an ammunition depot in Stepne with UAVs.

Russian forces attacked near Stepove, Prymorske, and Stepnohirsk.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the 123rd Aircraft Repair Plant in Staraya Rus, Novgorod Oblast; a fuel depot in Labinsk, Krasnodar Krai; a UAV training center near Henichenska Hirka, Kherson Oblast; struck the battalion command post and a Bastion coastal missile system launcher of the 15th Separate Coastal Missile Brigade of the Black Sea Fleet near Verkhniekurhannе; an S-400 SAM system near Shkilne; and a logistics depot of the Khersones air base in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea.

General conclusion:

• The General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces continues to exaggerate battlefield gains to create a false picture of the frontline situation in Ukraine. The enemy failed to seize Drobysheve, Yarova, Sosnove, Riznykivka, Kalenyky, Holubivka, and Veselyanka — in reality controlling 24% of Drobysheve, 50% of Yarova, 57% of Riznykivka, and having no presence whatsoever in Sosnove, Holubivka, Kalenyky, and Veselyanka. Russian General Staff claims of advancing 12 km west of Siversk and controlling 85% of Novoosynove and 60% of Kostyantynivka are also false: the enemy has actually advanced only 4.55 km, with individual infiltration groups reaching 7.7 km west of Siversk. Enemy units are entirely absent from Novoosynove, and in Kostyantynivka they control only 7.85% of the city.

• The enemy is also attempting to downplay Ukrainian Defense Forces successes in eastern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, claiming to hold the initiative, advance actively, and repel all Ukrainian counterattacks from the Pokrovsk and Velykomykhailivka directions. In reality, Ukrainian Defense Forces liberated more than 400 km² on the Oleksandrivka and Huliaypole Directions from the end of January to mid-March of this year. The occupiers’ claims of expanding the buffer zone in Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts and seizing Bobylivka, Rohizne, Chervona Zoria, and Mala Bobylivka in Sumy Oblast and Kruhle in Kharkiv Oblast also do not reflect reality. Russian forces conduct limited cross-border raids on these small villages to create an information effect of front line fragility in Ukraine. In fact, the front line is operationally stable, and Ukrainian Defense Forces have liberated more territory than the enemy has seized in the same period.

• Russian forces are unable to reach the administrative boundaries of Kupyansk; the enemy group encircled in the city is cut off from ground resupply and is entirely dependent on UAV logistics drops.

• Assault operations by forward elements of the enemy’s 25th Combined Arms Army toward the southeastern part of Lyman have been stopped.

• Russian forces shelled Oleksandrivka and Bilenke, which may indicate the beginning of preparations for an enemy spring–summer 2026 offensive against the “fortress belt.” The enemy continues to use both accumulated small infantry groups and to conduct assault operations with armored vehicles.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces maintain fire control over enemy logistics; improving weather conditions have not significantly affected the battlefield situation. Soldiers of the 506th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Combined Arms Army change into civilian clothing while conducting reconnaissance in the Ukrainian rear.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces have been unable to retake any of the territory they recently lost but continue attempts to infiltrate small groups on this direction.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 286 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, 4 combat engagements took place.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made 13 attempts to breach Ukrainian defensive lines in the areas of Vovchansk, Starytsya, Lyman, and Pishchane, and toward Okhrymivka and Bochkovе.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 18 times in the areas of Petropavlivka, Kurylivka, Novoosynove, Hlushkivka, and Novoplatonivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 16 enemy attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defense toward Lyman and Chervonyi Stav, in the areas of Kolodyazi and Drobysheve, and to advance in the areas of Yampil, Platonivka, and Zakitne, and toward Rai-Oleksandrivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 48 attacks in the areas of Minkivka, Novomаrkove, Kostyantynivka, Oleksandro-Shultyne, Sofiivka, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Illinivka, Rusyn Yar, Stepanivka, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 72 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Bilytske, Dorizhne, Nove Shakhove, Rodynske, Novooleksandrivka, Myrnohrad, Shevchenko, Hryshyne, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Udachne, Muravka, Novopidhorodnie, Molodetske, Novopavlivka, Filiya, and Dachne.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked three times in the areas of Zlahoda, Zelenyi Hai, and Krasnohirske.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 31 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Zaliznychne, Huliaypole, Myrne, Olenokostyantynivka, Huliaypilske, Zelene, and Dobropillya.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, 2 combat engagements took place with the enemy near Stepove.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, an enemy attack was repelled.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 82nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 69th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army operates near Prylipka.

• The 352nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps intercepts Defense Forces UAVs over Kurylivka; the 12th Tank Regiment of the 4th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army strikes southeast of Borivska Andriivka.

• The 123rd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army operates south of Riznykivka; the army’s 2nd Artillery Brigade strikes near Rai-Oleksandrivka.

• The 1465th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strikes in the southern and southwestern parts of Kostyantynivka. Artillery of the 1442nd and 1008th Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strikes in the northern part of Kostyantynivka; the 238th Artillery Brigade of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes in the eastern part of Illinivka; the 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Novomykolayivka.

• The 56th Separate SOF Battalion of the 51st Combined Arms Army strikes near Dobropillya, Krasnopodillya, and Nadiia.

• The 30th Separate SOF Company of the 36th Combined Arms Army strikes in Novomykolayivka; the 43rd Separate SOF Company strikes in Novohryhorivka; the “Martin Pushkar Volunteer Detachment” strikes in Orestopil and near Solodke and Myrne; the 24th Separate SOF Brigade operates in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

• The 38th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 35th Combined Arms Army strikes southeast of Huliaypilske; the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Combined Arms Army strikes near Verkhnya Tersa; the 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes near Hirke.

• The 71st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army strikes in Novodanylivka; the division’s 291st Motorized Rifle Regiment strikes near Orikhiv.

• The 4th Military Base of the 58th Combined Arms Army strikes northwest of Kherson city.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will attack along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will advance in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army will break through to the Mykolaivka–Nykanorivka line and, with part of its forces, to the Vasylivska Pustosh–Vasyutynske line, in order to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk respectively.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene, and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 18.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,282 570 (+1,710);

Tanks – 11,786 (+3);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,229 (+11);

Artillery systems – 38,506 (+29);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,688 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,333 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 83,974 (+230);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 349 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 184,333 (+1,189);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, from the evening of 17 March Russian occupiers attacked Ukraine with 147 UAVs of various types, including Shahed, Herber, and Italmas. By 08:00, air defense forces had shot down or suppressed 128 enemy drones in the north, south, and east of the country. Hits from 15 strike UAVs were recorded at 12 locations, with debris falling at three more. The enemy attack was ongoing.

• According to the State Emergency Service, on the night of 18 March Russian forces attacked the residential area of the town of Zolochiv in Bohodukhivsky district of Kharkiv Oblast with UAVs. Two private houses were completely destroyed in the strike, causing a fire covering 180 square meters. Preliminary reports indicate five people were injured. Despite the threat of further strikes, rescuers eliminated the consequences of the attack.

• According to Chernihiv Oblast Military Administration head Viacheslav Chaus and the State Emergency Service, overnight in Menska community a Russian UAV struck a diesel locomotive, causing a fire. The driver and his assistant were injured in the attack. In Snovska community, an enemy drone struck a residential building, damaging property and causing a fire. In addition, FPV drone strikes in another settlement in the Oblast set outbuildings ablaze and a 19-year-old was hospitalized with a shrapnel wound.

• According to the Odesa Oblast Military Administration and the State Emergency Service, a Russian UAV attack in Odesa Oblast damaged a critical infrastructure facility and some equipment. The resulting fire was promptly extinguished by rescuers; there were no casualties. In Mykolaiv Oblast, Shahed drone strikes and falling debris in Pervomaisky district damaged a power line and an outbuilding at a private residence.

• According to Kharkiv Mayor Ihor Terekhov and Oblast Military Administration head Oleh Syniehubov, one person was killed and five were injured in a Russian attack on Kharkiv Oblast on the morning of 18 March. In the Kholodnohirsky district of Kharkiv, a 54-year-old man was killed in a strike UAV attack; three more people, including a 16-year-old boy, were hospitalized with blast trauma. In the village of Ruski Tyshky, an enemy drone attacked a civilian vehicle, injuring a 65-year-old man and a 66-year-old woman with moderate injuries.

• On Wednesday, an enemy drone struck the premises of the Territorial Recruitment and Social Support Center in Sumy; there were no casualties inside the building, but a passerby near the impact site was injured.

• According to DTEK, Russian occupiers attacked energy workers in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with two FPV drones. In a frontline village, enemy drones struck a crew vehicle heading out to inspect power lines. The vehicle burned completely, but the energy workers managed to exit in time and were unharmed.

• According to “Ukrenerho,” hourly rolling blackout schedules have been introduced for the population across all regions of Ukraine due to a difficult situation in the energy system. Emergency outages are also in effect in some Oblasts and will be lifted once the situation stabilizes. The main causes of the restrictions are the consequences of previous Russian missile and drone attacks, rising energy consumption due to falling temperatures, and low solar power plant output under current weather conditions.

• According to a Kyiv International Institute of Sociology survey conducted in early March:

  • trust in President Volodymyr Zelenskyy rose by 9 percentage points to 62%. Researchers note that the figure has returned to previous levels after a noticeable decline in mid-February. Currently, 28% of respondents trust the President fully and 34% mostly trust him, while the distrust level stands at 32%. Analysis showed that rating fluctuations in previous months were driven primarily by respondents with an undecided attitude toward territorial concessions, while trust levels among those categorically opposed to troop withdrawal remained consistently high.

  • 69% of Ukrainians believe elections should take place only after a final peace agreement is concluded and the war is fully over. Compared to December 2025, this figure rose by 10 percentage points from 59%. At the same time, researchers recorded a marked decline in the share of those who would accept elections immediately after a ceasefire — this figure fell from 23% to 13%.

• Ukraine’s Security Service uncovered a large-scale Russian intelligence information and psychological special operation aimed at destabilizing the situation in Zakarpattia and inciting hostility between Ukraine and Hungary. According to the SBU, the perpetrators used IP telephony to spoof Ukrainian numbers and made anonymous calls to members of the Hungarian community threatening physical violence. The organizers of the operation posed as law enforcement officers or participants in nationalist-patriotic movements, demanding that people leave the country. Law enforcement established that the calls were made from Russian territory and urged citizens not to fall for provocations and to report such incidents.

Please accept our sincere apologies from providing inaccurate information on the Russian operational losses in yesterday’s report.

The report has been updated to accurately reflect the information provided by the Ukrainain General Staff on March 16, 2026 and can be found at the following link.

Sincerely,

CDS Team.

On the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Sopych and Novomykolayivka, in the direction of Nova Sich.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in Sopych.

Russian military command is planning to deploy units of the 51st and 119th Airborne Regiments of the 106th Airborne Division to respond to the deteriorating situation near Yunakivka and support the division’s 137th Airborne Regiment. Redeployment of the regiments to the direction is underway.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance within Verkhnya Pysarivka and attacked near Starytsya, Vilcha, and Vovchanski Khutory.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Kupyansk, Podoly, Kucherivka, Petropavlivka, and Pishchane, in the direction of Hlushkivka, Kurylivka, Novoosynove, and Borova, near Bohuslavka, Lozova, Hrekivka, Makiivka, and Novoyehorivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in the north of Kupyansk and near Borivska Andriivka and destroyed a Tor-M1 TELAR (Transporter, Erector, Launcher and Radar) system launcher near Korobkyne.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Lyman, Drobysheve, and Svyatohirsk, in the direction of Sosnove, near Ozerne, Yampil, Dibrova, Platonivka, Zakitne, Riznykivka, and Kryva Luka, in the direction of Rai-Oleksandrivka, near Nykyforivka and Fedorivka Druha, and carried out an airstrike with a FAB-3000 bomb on Ukrainian positions in Lyman.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced south of Kostyantynivka and counterattacked in Chasiv Yar.

Russian forces seized Novopavlivka and attacked near Kostyantynivka, Minkivka, Stupochky, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Berestok, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, and Pavlivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the northwest of Hryshyne and struck enemy assault group concentration areas in the south and southeast of Pokrovsk.

Russian forces attacked near Pokrovsk and Hryshyne, in the direction of Shevchenkove, near Rodynske, Bilytske, Zatyshok, Myrnohrad, Molodetske, Udachne, Kotlyne, and Novopidhorodnie, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka, and are attempting to consolidate within Hryshyne.

The “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command withdrew the 2nd Battalion of the 5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army from the direction for restoration due to heavy losses, in preparation for intensified attacks north of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Zelenyi Hai, Oleksandrohrad, Berezove, Ternove, Novomykolayivka, and Kalynivske, in the direction of Verbove, near Zlahoda, in the direction of Danylivka.

Units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike in Vidradne; the 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes near Oleksandrivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck an S-300 SAM system radar near Chervone and an observation post near Stepne.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance to the eastern outskirts of Verkhnya Tersa and southwest of Zaliznychne, attacked near Huliaypole, Zelene, Varvarivka, Svyatopetrivka, and Olenokostyantynivka, in the direction of Rizdvyanka and Vozdvyzhivka, near Zaliznychne and Myrne, in the direction of Charivne.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked near Pavlivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattack near Stepnohirsk and Prymorske, struck a Tor SAM system launcher near Balashivka, an observation post near Bohate, an enemy repair unit in Yakymivka, an ammunition depot in Andriivka, and a logistics depot in Berestove.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “Aviastar” aircraft manufacturing plant in Ulyanovsk Oblast, a fuel depot in Labinsk in Krasnodar Krai, and a depot, an electronic warfare station, and an electronic intelligence station near Sevastopol.

General conclusion:

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces not attack in the direction of Lyptsi due to Defense Forces UAV dominance and clear weather conditions. The occupiers are focused on transferring reserves to the area and have taken a tactical pause, waiting for either deteriorating weather or leaf cover for concealment.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 171 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, 4 combat engagements were recorded.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made three attempts to breach Ukrainian defensive lines toward Vovchansk and Starytsya.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 9 times toward Petropavlivka, Kurylivka, Hlushkivka, Novoosynove, Kupyansk, and Novoplatonivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 19 enemy attempts to penetrate the Ukrainian defense toward Drobysheve, Lyman, Stavky, Dibrova, and Borova, and to advance toward Yampil, Platonivka, Riznykivka, Ozerne, and Rai-Oleksandrivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 30 attacks toward Minkivka, Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 31 enemy offensive actions were stopped toward Bilytske, Rodynske, Novooleksandrivka, Myrnohrad, Shevchenko, Hryshyne, Udachne, Kotlyne, Filiya, Novomykolayivka, and Novopidhorodnie.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 5 times toward Danylivka and Zlahoda.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the enemy attacked 5 times toward Danylyvka and Zlahoda.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• Units of the 25th BARS detachment strike near the international border in Zarichchya, Myropillya, and Moshchentsi. The 1427th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps operates near Tetkino.

• The 136th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army strikes in Bohuslavka.

• The 204th Separate SOF Regiment strikes west of Siversk; the 2nd Artillery Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strikes near Rai-Oleksandrivka; the 85th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army conducts reconnaissance near Sloviansk.

• The 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army operates near Novopavlivka; the 1st and 3rd Battalions of the 4th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and the 1194th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strike within and near Kostyantynivka; units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike south of Kostyantynivka; the 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strikes in the north of Kostyantynivka; the 1008th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division strikes in the north of Kostyantynivka; the 57th Separate SOF Company of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Rusyn Yar, Vasylivka, and Bilytske.

• The 57th and 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades of the 5th Combined Arms Army and the 76th Air Assault Division attack west and northwest of Huliaypole; the 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes near Vozdvyzhenka and Zirnytsia; bombers of the 11th Army of the Air Force and Air Defense strike near Lisne and Novoselivka.

• The 108th Airborne Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division strikes near Malokaterynivka.

Possible operation situation developments:

• Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will attack along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will advance in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army will break through to the Mykolaivka–Nykanorivka line and, with part of its forces, to the Vasylivska Pustosh–Vasyutynske line, in order to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk and Kramatorsk respectively.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene, and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 17.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,280 860 (+930);

Tanks – 11,783 (+2);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,218 (+3);

Artillery systems – 38,477 (+20);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,688 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,333 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 83,744 (+120);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 349 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 183,144 (+1,991);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to a new report by the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine, at least 188 civilians were killed and 757 injured as a result of Russian armed aggression in February 2026. The death toll rose 31% compared to February 2025 and 83% compared to February 2024. Of those affected, 97% were recorded on Ukrainian government-controlled territory. More than a third of casualties were caused by missile and UAV strikes far from the front line, and the number of casualties from aerial bomb strikes rose 47% compared to the previous month.

• According to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, from the evening of 16 March Russian occupiers attacked Ukraine with 178 UAVs of various types, including 110 Shahed strike drones. By 08:00, air defense forces had managed to shoot down or suppress 154 enemy drones. Hits from 22 UAVs were recorded at 12 locations, with debris falling at two more. Operations are ongoing as several enemy targets remain airborne.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov and “Nova Poshta,” on the morning of 17 March the Russian army attacked Zaporizhzhia, striking near the innovative “Sich” mail terminal. Eight people were injured: six employees sustained concussions, while two more are in moderate condition. The attack was carried out using UAVs and high-speed targets.

• According to Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, overnight two women were injured in Russian UAV, aerial bomb, and artillery strikes on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. A 63-year-old woman was injured in Pokrovsk community of Synelnykivsky district, and a 30-year-old woman was hospitalized in moderate condition in Bohuslavska community of Pavlohrad district. The attacks destroyed and damaged private homes and vehicles, and damage to an agribusiness was recorded in Nikopolsky district.

• According to Odesa Oblast Military Administration head Oleh Kiper and the Ministry of Community and Territory Development, a night attack on the south of Odesa Oblast damaged energy, industrial, and port infrastructure facilities. Fires broke out on enterprise grounds and were promptly extinguished by rescuers; a production barge and outbuildings at one of the ports were struck. Power outages are affecting some settlements due to damage to energy facilities. There were no fatalities or injuries.

• According to the Ministry of Community and Territory Development, overnight Russian occupiers attacked Ukraine’s railway and port infrastructure. In Sumy Oblast, a UAV strike ignited a wagon from a non-operational fleet, which was promptly extinguished; railway workers were unharmed as they were in a shelter. In the south of the country, the enemy struck a barge used in production processes and damaged outbuildings at one of the ports.

• According to the Kherson Oblast Military Administration and the State Emergency Service, three civilians were injured in Russian shelling and UAV attacks in the Oblast during the day. At around 10:30, the occupiers shelled a residential building in Bilozirka, injuring a 73-year-old woman and a 49-year-old man with blast trauma and concussion. Later, an enemy drone struck the yard of a private residence in Nova Kamyanka, leaving a 66-year-old man with multiple shrapnel wounds to the head, torso, and limbs.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, over the course of the day the Russian army attacked Nikopolsky and Synelnykivsky districts of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast more than 50 times with artillery and drones. One person was killed and four more were injured, including a 72-year-old man in Nikopol. An agribusiness, an administrative building, an ambulance, apartment buildings, private homes, and civilian vehicles were damaged across communities.

• A Russian drone struck a shop in Slatyne in Kharkiv Oblast on the evening of 17 March, injuring two men, according to Derhachi City Military Administration head Viacheslav Zadorenko.

• According to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Russian army is deliberately destroying Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast. Daily aerial bomb, artillery, and UAV strikes are erasing the city block by block, leaving nothing but foundations where many buildings once stood. Photographs published by the General Staff document the scale of destruction to civilian infrastructure caused by the relentless enemy attacks.

• To date, the Bring Kids Back UA initiative of the President of Ukraine has succeeded in returning 2,048 Ukrainian children from temporarily occupied territories and Russia. Of that number, 424 children were returned with the assistance of the Ombudsman’s Office, according to Ukrainian Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets.

• According to published plans by Russia’s “Vnesheconombank” and the Unified Institute for Spatial Planning, the occupation authorities intend to increase the population of the seized territories of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts by 113,800 people by 2045. This growth is to be achieved through 15 master plans and 10 territorial planning projects envisaging the mass resettlement of Russian citizens to work in new industrial facilities, construction, and tourism. In total, the occupiers intend to attract more than 225,000 people to implement all planned development strategies — amounting in practice to an attempt to artificially alter the demographic composition of the occupied regions through large-scale migration from Russia.

• According to Ukrainian public broadcaster “Suspilne Krym,” citing the occupation head of the so-called Crimean State Council Volodymyr Konstantynov, between 5,000 and 7,000 Russian families relocate to the peninsula every year. The occupation authorities are encouraging this influx to artificially offset demographic decline, as Crimea continues to record high mortality rates significantly exceeding the birth rate. Konstantynov attributes the low birth rates among the local population to shifting priorities among young people today.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Lyptsi, Vovchansk, Izbytske, Vovchanski Khutory, and Verkhnya Pysarivka, and carried out airstrikes on Rubizhne with FAB-500 bombs with UMPK modules.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Fyholivka and Podoly, near Kucherivka, in the direction of Petropavlivka, Hlushkivka, Kurylivka, and Novoosynove. The 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army, operating on the direction, sustained significant losses, lost combat capability, and was withdrawn from its positions.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked north of Kupyansk and struck a missile unit concentration area near Dovzhansk in Luhansk Oblast.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the south of Yampil and hold Ozerne.

Russian forces attacked near Lyman, Drobysheve, Stavky, Yampil, Platonivka, Dronivka, Zakitne, Riznykivka, Kryva Luka, Rai-Oleksandrivka, Nykyforivka, and Fedorivka Druha.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced on the southern outskirts of Kostyantynivka.

Russian forces attempted to advance northwest of Stupochky, attacked near Kostyantynivka, Novomаrkove, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Kleban-Byk, Rusyn Yar, Illinivka, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces advanced near Toretske, Novyi Donbas, Nove Shakhove, Pokrovsk, Rodynske, Bilytske, Myrnohrad, Zatyshok, Sukhetske, Molodetske, and Udachne.

Ukrainian Defense Forces conduct search-and-strike operations in Hryshyne, clearing the center of the village where intense fighting continues, and struck enemy concentration areas near Shakhove, Udachne, and Pokrovsk.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces advanced near Novopavlivka, attacked near Oleksandrohrad, Berezove, Ternove, Novomykolayivka, and Novohryhorivka, in the direction of Verbove.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces strike east of Huliaypilske.

Russian forces advanced north of Zarichne, attacked near Huliaypole, in the direction of Rizdvyanka, Varvarivka, Olenokostyantynivka, Svyatopetrivka, Dobropillya, Zelene, Zlahoda, Zaliznychne, and Myrne, in the direction of Charivne and Huliaypilske.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked near Pavlivka, Prymorske, Shcherbaky, Richne, and Stepnohirsk.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattack near Prymorske and Stepnohirsk.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a logistics depot near the village of Osipenko and a UAV storage depot in the Prymorsk area of Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck a 59N6-E “Protyvnyk” radar and a 73E6 “Parol” radar in the Libknekhtivka area, and an S-400 “Triumf” SAM launcher near Dalne in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea.

General conclusion:

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the enemy has transitioned to active defense, attempting to hold its forward positions on the right flank — that is, in the sectors of the 29th and 36th Combined Arms Armies — and prevent further Ukrainian Defense Forces advances to the south and southeast toward the Huliaypole–Velyka Novosilka road. Over the past week, Defense Forces forward elements, attacking with considerable intensity, penetrated the enemy’s defenses and pushed the enemy back on the Oleksandrohrad–Voskresenka and Sosnivka–Sichneve lines. Their assault groups entered Sichneve and engaged on the outskirts of Voskresenka. As a result, several enemy groups in the Novoselivka area that had previously broken through to the Vovcha river now find themselves in a difficult position.

• The enemy’s 36th Combined Arms Army is still unable on its own to eliminate Ukrainian Defense Forces tactical penetrations in its sector on the Rybne–Novomykolayivka stretch. Ukrainian units have a realistic chance of reaching the Huliaypole–Velyka Novosilka road on the Temyrivka–Uspenivka (Novovasylivske) stretch. Ukrainian Defense Forces assault groups have already reached a line less than 2 km from this lateral road and are in a position to block significant enemy maneuver, including by bringing fire to bear on the crossing over the Yanchur river in the Novovasylivske area.

• The active offensive operations by Ukrainian Defense Forces on the flanks of the 36th Combined Arms Army, adjacent to the neighboring 29th and 5th Combined Arms Armies, were not taken seriously in time by the “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping command, as the reinforcement of the 36th and 29th Combined Arms Armies with “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping operational reserves only occurred two weeks after the start of intensive Ukrainian counterattacks. To halt the Defense Forces’ advance in the sectors of the 29th and 36th Combined Arms Armies, the “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping command may commit up to two brigades of the 35th Combined Arms Army. The 40th Separate Marine Infantry Brigade of the Pacific Fleet and the 120th Separate Marine Infantry Division of the Baltic Fleet are being transferred to the 36th Combined Arms Army’s sector, having urgently suspended their combat capability restoration on the Kostyantynivka Direction.

• The key feature of the situation on the Oleksandrivka Direction is that the active offensive operations by Ukrainian Defense Forces in the center and on the right flank of the “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping’s operational zone have not led to a reduction in the intensity of the enemy’s offensive operations in its 5th Combined Arms Army’s sector; the “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping command continues to advance west and northwest of Huliaypole despite the obvious risk of Ukrainian Defense Forces reaching the flank of that same 5th Combined Arms Army.

• The 5th Combined Arms Army (127th Motorized Rifle Division, 57th and 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades), elements of the 35th Combined Arms Army, and the 76th Air Assault Division of the “Dnepr” Operational Grouping continue their offensive northwest, west, and southwest of Huliaypole with the aim of enveloping the Orikhiv defensive district from the east and northeast. Even successful Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacks on the army’s right flank in the direction of Dobropillya–Rivnopillya and on the adjacent left flank of the 36th Combined Arms Army have not brought the grouping to a complete halt, though it has slowed considerably.

• On one hand, the enemy’s 5th Combined Arms Army has achieved tangible tactical successes, having almost completely seized Huliaypole, broken through to the west and southwest to the Zaliznychne area, and is developing its offensive in the general direction of Zelene–Olenokostyantynivka–Pryluky and toward Verkhnya Tersa. On the other hand, successful Defense Forces counterattacks on the right flank of the 5th Combined Arms Army and on the adjacent left flank of the 36th Combined Arms Army have led to the envelopment of the 5th Combined Arms Army’s main forces, which are attempting to advance west and northwest of Huliaypole. Ukrainian Defense Forces units defending in the area of Myrne and north of Zahirne — effectively covering the eastern approaches to the Orikhiv defensive district — now find themselves in a difficult position: the enemy has enveloped them from the north and threatens to cut them off from the main forces should it continue advancing through Huliaypilske into their rear.

• The enemy’s “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping can no longer simultaneously advance across the entire 5th Combined Arms Army’s sector and successfully repel Defense Forces counterattacks on its right flank. The situation for the enemy could deteriorate further if Ukrainian Defense Forces units reach the Solodke–Rivnopillya line or break through to Pryvilne and Uspenivka, which would force the 5th Combined Arms Army command to reorient from west to north and restore operational contact with the adjacent 36th Combined Arms Army. To prevent this, the enemy command organized several counterattacks northwest of Rivnopillya and pushed Ukrainian Defense Forces forward units back from the village by up to 1 km — which has not changed the situation even at the tactical level: Defense Forces have reached the Rybne area and positions east of Dobropillya. The 5th Combined Arms Army has been unable to seize the Tsvitkove–Krynychne–Staroukrainka–Hirske area, which complicates its advance toward Verkhnya Tersa.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 167 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 4 enemy assaults.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy twice assaulted Defense Forces positions toward Vilcha.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 4 times in the direction of Kurylivka, Novoosynove, and Hlushkivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 19 enemy attempts to penetrate the defense toward Dibrova, Lyman, and Drobysheve, and to advance in the areas of Yampil, Zakitne, and Platonivka, and in the directions of Ozerne, Riznykivka, and Rai-Oleksandrivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 26 attacks toward Kostyantynivka, Illinivka, and Novopavlivka, and in the areas of Stupochky, Pleshchiivka, Berestok, and Rusyn Yar.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 36 enemy assault actions were stopped toward Vilne, Novooleksandrivka, Shevchenko, Toretske, Bilytske, and Nove Shakhove, and in the areas of Zatyshok, Nykanorivka, Kotlyne, Novomykolayivka, Udachne, Novopidhorodnie, Myrnohrad, Rodynske, Molodetske, and Filiya.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 12 times in the areas of Zelenyi Hai, Oleksandrohrad, Kalynivske, Berezove, Ternove, Pershotravneve, Novomykolayivka, and Zlahoda, and in the direction of Verbove.

• Throughout the week, Ukrainian Defense Forces offensive operations also continued in the direction of Sosnivka–Ternove, on the right flank of the 36th Combined Arms Army adjacent to the 29th Combined Arms Army. Defense Forces units consolidated in Ternove, while the enemy held the Berezove area and made several attempts to counterattack Ternove from the flank, all of which failed. Defense Forces forward units advanced in the direction of Kalynivske–Novomykolayivka and entered the settlement. To prevent further advances, the enemy attacked unsuccessfully from the direction of Berezove and Zaporizke. Assault groups held Novomykolayivka and advanced to its southeastern part. On the Verbove–Novohryhorivka axis, Defense Forces advanced and consolidated in the northwestern part of Novohryhorivka, and to its east approached Novoivanivka to within 1.5 km. Operating along the western bank of the Yanchur river, Ukrainian Defense Forces penetrated the enemy’s defenses on the Zlahoda–Rybne axis, liberating the latter. On the opposite bank, the enemy holds Krasnohirske and periodically attempts to counterattack Rybne and prevent further Defense Forces advances along the road from Rybne to Uspenivka.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 20 enemy attacks took place in the area of Huliaypole and toward Zaliznychne, Varvarivka, Svyatopetrivka, Olenokostyantynivka, and Charivne.

• Operating along the railway northward from Zaliznychne, assault groups of the 57th and 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades broke through to the western outskirts of Staroukrainka and began fighting for it and broke through to the eastern outskirts of Hirke. South of the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road, the 38th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade advanced up to 4.5 km in the direction of Zaliznychne–Huliaypilske. Enemy assault groups north of Zarichne and east of Myrne penetrated Ukrainian defenses to the depth of first-echelon company strongpoints. The enemy is attacking in the direction of Zelene–Svyatopetrivka, entered the latter and advanced 1.5 km. After pushing Defense Forces units out of Olenokostyantynivka and Pryluky, the enemy’s attempts to tactically exploit its success in the direction of Vozdvyzhivka, Tsvetkova, and Dobropillya were unsuccessful, owing to successful counterattacks by Ukrainian Defense Forces assault groups on the opposite bank of the Khaychur river, east of Varvarivka, where they penetrated the combat formations of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, one combat engagement took place with the enemy in the area of Pavlivka.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 56th Air Assault Regiment of the 7th Air Assault Division operates in the border zone of Kursk Oblast.

• The 7th Separate Reconnaissance Brigade of the 1st Tank Army strikes in the northeast of Novoosynove.

• The 169th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 25th Combined Arms Army strikes in the south of Yampil.

• The 1008th, 1307th, and 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiments, the 89th Tank Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps, the 103rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army, the 20th Motorized Rifle Regiment, and an FSB detachment strike in Kostyantynivka; the 57th Separate SOF Company of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Druzhkivka, Toretske, and Myrne.

• The 75th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 201st Military Base employs swarm tactics to strike Ukrainian positions and logistics on the Pokrovsk Direction. The 80th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 51st Combined Arms Army operates near Novooleksandrivka.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes northeast of Lisne, near Barvinivka and Vozdvyzhenka.

Possible operation situation developments:

• The enemy has begun preparations for this year’s summer campaign. Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will attack along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will advance in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the command of the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army has an immediate task to reach the Mykolaivka – Nykanorivka line with its main forces, that is, to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk from the east, and reach the Vasylivska Pustosh – Vasyutynske line with part of its forces, that is, the near approaches to Kramatorsk from the east.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, units of the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 68th Army Corps, operating on the left flank of the 29th Combined Arms Army, will be forced to withdraw to the Voskresenka–Maliivka line and attempt to hold it; the forces of the 29th Combined Arms Army as a whole will be forced to withdraw from the Vovcha river on their left flank.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, the 5th Combined Arms Army will in the near term attempt to break through to the Verkhnya Tersa–Huliaypilske line, with its forward units already pushing in the direction of Verkhnya Tersa from Zaliznychne and Zelene, and attacking along the Huliaypole–Orikhiv road toward Huliaypilske from Zaliznychne and from Dorozhnyanka. In addition, the army will attempt to restore its positions along the Khaychur river.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 16.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,279 930 (+760);

Tanks – 11,781 (+0);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,215 (+2);

Artillery systems – 38,457 (+19);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,687 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1 333 (+1);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 83,624 (+111);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 349 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 181,153 (+1 883);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (0);

Boats/ships – 35 (+1).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Ukrainian Air Force, on the night of 16 March and throughout Monday morning the enemy attacked Ukraine with 211 UAVs, including more than 100 Shaheds as well as Gerbera, Italmas, and other drone types. Air defense managed to shoot down or suppress 194 enemy targets. The main axes of the strike were Odesa, Zaporizhzhia, and Kyiv Oblasts; the military described the attack on Kyiv Oblast as atypical due to the timing and drone types employed. Hits from 16 UAVs were recorded at 10 locations, with debris falling at 11 more, including on Independence Square in the center of the capital. As of 11:00, operations were ongoing.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, on the night of 16 March Russian occupiers attacked Zaporizhzhia. The strikes damaged residential buildings and caused fires at the impact sites. As of the morning, three casualties are known.

• According to Kharkiv Mayor Ihor Terekhov, on the morning of 16 March Russian forces attacked Kharkiv with Shahed UAVs. Two hits were recorded in Kyivsky district and one more strike in Shevchenkivsky district, with at least one person injured. Another strike hit the boundary between the two districts, damaging a transport infrastructure facility.

• According to Sumy Oblast Military Administration head Oleh Hryhorov and the State Emergency Service, on the morning of 16 March one person was killed and four were injured in Russian attacks in Sumy Oblast. In Velykopysarivska community, an enemy UAV attacked a 48-year-old local resident on a motorcycle; the man died from his serious injuries. In the Zarichnyi district of Sumy, a drone struck the roadway, damaging civilian vehicles and residential buildings and injuring four people.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, a 71-year-old woman was injured in overnight Russian artillery and UAV strikes on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. In Nikopol district, Nikopol, Marhanetska community, and Pokrovska community came under fire, with damage to homes recorded. In Synelnykivsky district, attacks on Vasylkivska and Petropavlivska communities caused fires in private houses, outbuildings, and on the grounds of an agribusiness.

• According to Ukrzaliznytsia’s press service, targeted Russian strikes on railway infrastructure in Sumy Oblast have temporarily suspended commuter train services. The damage to railway facilities is significant, requiring several days of emergency repair work to ensure passenger safety.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, Russian occupiers attacked a residential area of Zaporizhzhia in the morning, killing a woman. Three more people were injured, including a 15-year-old girl and a woman with a disability, both of whom were pulled from the rubble of a destroyed house by rescuers. Windows were blown out across the affected neighborhood, with facades and rooftops of residential buildings also damaged.

• On Monday 16 March, Russian invaders attacked a grain-loading truck in Sadivska community in Sumy Oblast with a drone, killing the driver.

• According to the Kherson Oblast Prosecutor’s Office, on 16 March one person was killed and two more were injured in massed airstrikes, artillery shelling, and UAV attacks on settlements in Kherson Oblast. In Kherson, a 38-year-old female passenger was killed when explosives were dropped from a drone onto a civilian vehicle, while the driver sustained shrapnel wounds. Also in the morning in the regional center, a man was hospitalized with serious injuries after another attack on a separate vehicle.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, two people were killed in a Russian attack on Zaitsivska community in Synelnykivsky district. Seven more residents were injured, including three children. The strike destroyed 10 private houses and damaged a school building.

• According to Moldovan President Maia Sandu, the Russian strike on the Novodnistrovsk hydroelectric power plant caused an oil spill into the Dnister river, threatening the country’s water supply. In response, Moldovan authorities declared a 15-day environmental emergency and took measures to protect the population, including temporarily restricting water supply in several settlements.

• On the occasion of the 12th anniversary of Russia’s illegal attempt to annex Crimea, Ukraine’s Foreign Ministry stated that Russia has turned the peninsula into a territory of lawlessness and a launching pad for aggression. Over the years of occupation, at least 430 people have faced politically motivated charges, and around 300 people remain in Russian captivity today, including 159 Crimean Tatars. The occupation authorities continue brutal persecution on grounds of opinion, language, and faith; Ukrainian diplomats are demanding the immediate release of all political prisoners and Russia’s compliance with international law.

• According to a KIIS survey conducted on 1–8 March, the outcome of a potential referendum on a peace agreement depends significantly on how the question is framed. Specifically, when an experimental version is used that emphasizes EU membership by 2027, security guarantees, and a reconstruction plan — while mentioning “territorial compromises” — 86% of voters would support the initiative. Even among those categorically opposed to trading territory for security guarantees, 54% are willing to vote “yes” if the terms of the agreement are presented in the “right” way.

• At the same time, researchers warn of manipulation risks and legitimacy concerns due to potentially low turnout, with only 64% of respondents expressing willingness to vote. Given security factors and the large number of refugees abroad, there is a risk of failing to reach the legally required turnout threshold of 50%+1 vote, which could lead to the results being rejected by the public.

• According to Ukraine’s Ombudsman’s Office, the occupation authorities sentenced 68-year-old Halyna Bekhter, a resident of the village of Plorоdidne, Zaporizhzhia Oblast to 11 years in prison on a state treason charge. Russian investigators allege that in July 2023 the woman transferred funds in support of the Armed Forces of Ukraine through a Ukrainian bank’s mobile application. Russia’s FSB classifies such actions as “providing financial assistance to a foreign state in activities directed against the security of the Russian Federation.”

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Vovchansk, Izbytske, Vovchanski Khutory, and Prylypky, in the direction of Verkhnya Pysarivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Vovchansk and Vovchanski Khutory.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance near Kucherivka, Petropavlivka, and Podoly, attacked near Kupyansk, Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, Kurylivka, Novoosynove, Novoplatonivka, and Oleksandrivka, in the direction of Vovchyi Yar and Krymka. Enemy positions in Kupyansk remain unstable; the enemy is attempting to establish logistics through a corridor currently around 500 meters wide.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattack in the north of Kupyansk, from Hlushchenkove, near Ridkodub and Novomykhailivka. The grey zone near Ridkodub has expanded.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the western part of Riznykivka and counterattacked near Sosnove, Riznykivka, and Yarova.

Russian forces attacked near Lyman and Drobysheve, in the direction of Sosnove, near Stavky, Svyatohirsk, Rai-Oleksandrivka, Riznykivka, Zakitne, Kryva Luka, and Nykyforivka, in the direction of Yampil.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces struck enemy infiltration group positions in the center of Holubivka and on the eastern and southeastern outskirts of Kostyantynivka, counterattacked near Illinivka and Berestok, and in the Kramatorsk area are using infiltration tactics behind enemy lines, frequently seizing the tactical initiative.

Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Novomаrkove, Ivanopillya, Pleshchiivka, Kleban-Byk, and Illinivka, in the direction of Dovha Balka, near Rusyn Yar, in the direction of Mykolaypillya, near Sofiivka and Novopavlivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attempted to advance west of Rodynske, attacked near Toretske, Novyi Donbas, Nove Shakhove, Pokrovsk, and Hryshyne, in the direction of Serhiivka, near Bilytske, Myrnohrad, Zatyshok, Chervonyi Lyman, Sukhetske, Udachne, Kotlyne, and Novopidhorodnie.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck enemy artillery positions near Zelene and are making extensive use of UGVs for frontline logistics and casualty evacuation.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Muravka, Andriivka-Klevtsove, Oleksandrohrad, Zlahoda, Krasnohirske, and Kalynivske, in the direction of Vyshneve.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Zelene, Olenokostyantynivka, Varvarivka, and Verkhnya Tersa, in the direction of Vozdvyzhivka and Rizdvyanka, in the direction of Zalizne, Huliaypilske, and Myrne.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked near Bilohirya, Mala Tokmachka, Prymorske, Shcherbaky, and Stepnohirsk.

Ukrainian Defense Forces are fighting on the outskirts of Prymorske and Stepnohirsk and struck a concentration area near Novomykolayivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, a vehicle concentration area near Berdyansk, and two trains east and southwest of Tokmak.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Afipsky oil refinery and the infrastructure of the Kavkaz port in Krasnodar Krai; the Khanskaya airfield near Maykop in the Republic of Adygea; a rocket brigade Iskander OTRK unit concentration area near Kurortne; destroyed one Iskander OTRK launcher near Vyshneве; struck a Nebo-U radar near Hvardiiske in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea; an S-300 air defense system radar near Sadove in Donetsk Oblast; and a repair unit deployment area near Andriivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

• GUR units struck the “Slavianyn” and “Avangrad” ferries at the “Kavkaz” port.

General conclusion:

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the enemy has almost entirely exhausted its available reserves and is being forced to commit logistics unit personnel to assault operations. The enemy uses improvised bridges to cross the Bakhmutivka river. The occupiers pull vehicles further to the rear due to increasing losses. Vehicles are being withdrawn from Siversk (4 km from the front line), Kreminna (around 27 km), and Bilohorivka (18 km) toward Lysychansk and Sievierodonetsk (30–37 km).

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, improving weather conditions have allowed the enemy to increase FPV drone employment. No increase in the intensity of guided aerial bomb strikes has been noted.

• Ukrainian Defense Forces have gained an advantage in low-altitude UAV operations, employing fiber-optic FPV drones, FPV drone carrier UAVs, radio frequency maneuvering, and AI-enabled drone swarms to strike enemy rear areas.

• Ukrainian Defense Forces have intensified their medium-range strike campaign, degrading enemy air defenses and preparations for the spring–summer 2026 offensive campaign.

• Ukrainian Defense Forces strikes target enemy logistics facilities and other assets in eastern and southern Ukraine, aimed at disrupting the anticipated spring–summer offensive. Multiple launch rocket systems on the Sloviansk and Kostyantynivka Directions are actively identified and destroyed.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 144 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, 3 combat engagements took place.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy made three attempts to breach Ukrainian defensive lines near Vovchanski Khutory, Fyholivka, and Vovchansk.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked 3 times in the direction of Kurylivka and Petropavlivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 15 enemy attempts to penetrate the Ukrainian defense near Drobysheve, Stavky, and Lyman, and to advance in the areas of Zakitne, Riznykivka, Yampil, Platonivka, Dronivka, and toward Rai-Oleksandrivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 31 attacks near Nykyforivka, Novomаrkove, Kostyantynivka, Ivanopillya, Illinivka, Kleban-Byk, Pleshchiivka, Rusyn Yar, and Sofiivka.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 20 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Toretske, Rodynske, Myrnohrad, Udachne, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 6 times in the areas of Oleksandrohrad, Zlahoda, and Dobropillya.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 18 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Huliaypole, Zaliznychne, Varvarivka, Zelene, Charivne, Huliaypilske, and Myrne.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy made three attempts to improve its positions near Shcherbaky, Stepnohirsk, and Pavlivka.

• On the Prydniprovske Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces stopped the enemy three times.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 137th Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division operates near Yunakivka.

• Units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike in Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi.

• The 123rd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army strikes in the western part of Riznykivka; the 9th Engineer Regiment of the 25th Combined Arms Army strikes in Mykolaivka; units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike in Novoselivka.

• The 1008th and 1307th Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps strike in Kostyantynivka; units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies coordinate Aerospace Forces airstrikes in the northwestern suburbs of Kostyantynivka; the 238th Artillery Brigade of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Oleksiyevo-Druzhkivka; the 57th Separate SOF Regiment of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Mykolaypillya and Vodyanske.

• The 61st Separate Marine Infantry Brigade of the Northern Fleet strikes near Dobropillya; the 80th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 51st Combined Arms Army operates near the city; the 9th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the army operates west of Rodynske.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes south of Oleksandrivka, Barvinivka, Lisne, and Dolynka; the 69th Separate Cover Brigade of the 35th Combined Arms Army operates in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

• The 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 29th Combined Arms Army intercepts UAVs south of Pryvilne.

• The 98th Airborne Division strikes in Antonivka; the division’s 331st Airborne Regiment operates in the direction of Kakhovka.

Possible operation situation developments:

• The enemy has begun preparations for this year’s summer campaign. Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will attack along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will advance in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the command of the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army has an immediate task to reach the Mykolaivka – Nykanorivka line with its main forces, that is, to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk from the east, and reach the Vasylivska Pustosh – Vasyutynske line with part of its forces, that is, the near approaches to Kramatorsk from the east.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will assault Kostyantynivka and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• Should Ukrainian Defense Forces continue advancing south along both banks of the Yanchur river and reach the Uspenivka area, the enemy’s 5th Combined Arms Army will be forced to halt its offensive and redeploy its right flank to face north to avoid a breakthrough by the Defense Forces’ 10th Army Corps into its rear. The army’s troops will have to withdraw from positions north of Huliaypole (along the Khaychur river). The situation for the enemy’s “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping may deteriorate further if Ukrainian Defense Forces break through to Temyrivka, in which case a gap of up to 8 km along the front will open between the 5th and 36th Combined Arms Armies.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 15.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,279 170 (+740);

Tanks – 11,781 (+4);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,213 (+1);

Artillery systems – 38,438 (+17);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,686 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,332 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 83,513 (+110);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 349 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 179,270 (+1,984);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,468 (+65);

Boats/ships – 34 (+1).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, over the past week Russia employed 1,770 UAVs, more than 1,530 guided aerial bombs, and 86 missiles against Ukraine, of which more than 20 were ballistic. The President emphasized that each such missile contains at least 60 foreign components supplied to Russia in circumvention of sanctions and called for the elimination of known supply schemes.

• According to the Air Force, on the night of 15 March the enemy attacked Ukraine with 97 UAVs, around 70 of which were Shaheds. Ukrainian forces managed to shoot down or suppress 90 enemy drones. The attack resulted in hits from 5 strike UAVs at 5 locations and debris falling at 2 locations. As of the morning, operations are ongoing as several enemy targets remain airborne.

• According to the Kharkiv Oblast Military Administration, on 14 March near the village of Chervona Khvylia in Velykoburlutska community, two men aged 27 and 56 were killed and a 54-year-old man was injured in Russian strikes. All three were emergency medical service personnel. In addition, a 63-year-old woman was injured in an enemy attack in Kupyansk and hospitalized with a serious leg wound.

• According to the State Emergency Service in Kherson Oblast, a Russian UAV struck a minibus in Kherson in the morning, setting it on fire. A civilian man was injured in the attack. Rescuers extinguished the fire despite the threat of further strikes.

• On the afternoon of 15 March, a Russian UAV struck near a checkpoint in the village of Noveselivka in Kyselivska community, Chernihiv district, killing one soldier and injuring five more; a police officer was also injured.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, the enemy attacked Dnipro, with the blast wave damaging the roof and windows of a two-story residential building and setting a vehicle on fire. A 73-year-old man was injured.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, Russian forces attacked the village of Rozumivka in Zaporizhzhia district with an FPV drone, injuring a 73-year-old woman and a 36-year-old man; the blast wave and debris damaged the fence of a private house.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, on Sunday Russian forces carried out 20 attacks on five districts of the Oblast using UAVs, artillery, and aerial bombs, injuring four people. A 73-year-old man in Dnipro, a 56-year-old woman in Nikopol district, and a 66-year-old woman in Synelnykivsky district were hospitalized, while a 30-year-old man will be treated on an outpatient basis. The attacks caused fires at a transport enterprise in Pyatykhatky and in the residential sector of Pavlohrad district, and damaged more than 16 homes, infrastructure, and vehicles.

• According to the Kharkiv Oblast Prosecutor’s Office, a 73-year-old woman was killed in the town of Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi in Russian attacks on Sunday. Two police officers were injured in a repeat UAV strike on the town of Zolochiv, and a security guard at a municipal enterprise was injured in a drone attack on the village of Oskil. FPV drone strikes on the village of Klynova-Noveselivka were also recorded, damaging a residential building and power lines.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Starytsya, Vovchansk, and Vovchanski Khutory, in the direction of Hrafske and Zybine.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Vovchansk and Vovchanski Khutory.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Podoly, Hlushkivka, Novoplatonivka, Bohuslavka, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Hrekivka, and Novoyehorivka, and attempted to advance in the north of Zahryzove.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in the direction of Novoplatonivka and Borivska Andriivka, isolated Russian forces in Kupyansk; the enemy has significantly reduced its attack tempo due to heavy losses.

The front line near Novoplatonivka and Borivska Andriivka is currently unclear.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Lyman, Yarova, and Drobysheve, in the direction of Sosnove, Pryshyb, and Stavky, near Kalenyky, Rai-Oleksandrivka, Platonivka, Riznykivka, Kryva Luka, Ozerne, Fedorivka Druha, and Nykyforivka, in the direction of Yampil.

Ukrainian Defense Forces are striking pontoon bridges being laid by the enemy across the Bakhmutka river.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced in the south of Kostyantynivka and are striking enemy artillery firing positions west of Ivanivske and in Bakhmut.

Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Stupochky, Predtechyne, Ivanopillya, Pleshchiivka, Berestok, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Mykolaypillya, Rusyn Yar, Sofiivka, and Novopavlivka.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Dobropillya, in the direction of Kucheriv Yar, Nove Shakhove, Vilne, and Novyi Donbas, near Pokrovsk, Hryshyne, Rodynske, Bilytske, Zatyshok, Chervonyi Lyman, and Myrnohrad, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka and Serhiivka, near Kotlyne, Udachne, Novopidhorodnie, and Molodetske.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked in the south of Bilytske.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces are operating in the center of Novopavlivka, counterattacked near Ivanivka, in the direction of Vidradne and Oleksandrivka, and installed around 42 km of anti-drone netting along logistics routes in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

Russian forces attacked near Novopavlivka, Novomykolayivka, Muravka, Andriivka-Klevtsove, Oleksandrohrad, Rybne, Berezove, Novohryhorivka, and Kalynivske, in the direction of Vyshneve and Andriivka.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Zelene, Dobropillya, and Olenokostyantynivka, in the direction of Rizdvyanka, near Zaliznychne and Myrne, and struck near Huliaypilske with a FAB-3000 aerial bomb.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Russian forces attacked in the direction of Magdalynivka, near Prymorske and Stepnohirsk, and struck the road bridge over the Kinska river between Yuliivka and Zaporizhzhia.

Novoandriivka and Novodanylivka are a grey zone.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “Azot” chemical plant in Nevinnomyssk, Stavropol Krai; a fuel depot in Kendektamak, Republic of Bashkortostan; and a fuel depot in Makiivka, Donetsk Oblast.

General conclusion:

• On the Sloviansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces strike enemy artillery firing positions with UAVs and have forced the enemy to pull multiple launch rocket systems back from the front line.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies refine their UAVs and employment tactics and have begun using new fragmentation munitions. “Rubikon” is expanding its personnel and has significantly more and better-quality equipment than other units.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 153 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy attempted to breach defensive lines near Prylypka.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked twice in the areas of Novoosynove and Novoplatonivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 17 enemy attempts to penetrate the Ukrainian defense in the areas of Drobysheve, Stavky, and Lyman, and to advance in the areas of Zakitne, Platonivka, Riznykivka, and Yampil were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 29 attacks near Kostyantynivka, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Illinivka, Mykolaypillya, Sofiivka, Novopavlivka, and Rusyn Yar.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 25 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Toretske, Zatyshok, Nove Shakhove, Rodynske, Chervonyi Lyman, Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novopidhorodnie, Muravka, and Hryshyne.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 8 times in the areas of Oleksandrohrad, Andriivka-Klevtsove, Vyshneve, Kalynivske, Krasnohirske, and Zlahoda.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 20 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Huliaypole, Zaliznychne, Myrne, Olenokostyantynivka, Varvarivka, Zelene, and Huliaypilske.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, the enemy attempted to improve its positions near Stepnohirsk.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 128th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 44th Army Corps strikes near Vovchanski Khutory.

• The 72nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, the 4th Battalion of the 20th Motorized Rifle Regiment, the 1442nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps, and the 4th Battalion of the 103rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strike in Kostyantynivka; the 17th High Power Artillery Brigade of the 3rd Army Corps strikes in the north of Kostyantynivka; the 57th Separate SOF Regiment of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Toretske, Rayske, and Mykolaypillya.

• The 177th Separate Marine Infantry Battalion of the Caspian Flotilla operates on the Dobropillya Direction; the 76th Air Assault Division operates on the Pokrovsk Direction.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade strikes in Vyshneve, south of Bohodarivka, northeast of Sosnivka, and near Lyubytske.

• The 27th Motorized Rifle Division of the 2nd Combined Arms Army operates on the Huliaypole Direction; the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Combined Arms Army operates in the direction of Huliaypole.

• The 291st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army strikes near Orikhiv.

• The 205th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 49th Combined Arms Army strikes in Kozatske.

Possible operation situation developments:

• The enemy has begun preparations for this year’s summer campaign. Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will intensify operations along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will attempt to advance from the Dvorichanske bridgehead in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the command of the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army has an immediate task to reach the Mykolaivka – Nykanorivka line with its main forces, that is, to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk from the east, and reach the Vasylivska Pustosh – Vasyutynske line with part of its forces, that is, the near approaches to Kramatorsk from the east.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will seize Kostyantynivka by assault and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• Should Ukrainian Defense Forces continue advancing south along both banks of the Yanchur river and reach the Uspenivka area, the enemy’s 5th Combined Arms Army will be forced to halt its offensive and redeploy its right flank to face north to avoid a breakthrough by the Defense Forces’ 10th Army Corps into its rear. The army’s troops will have to withdraw from positions north of Huliaypole (along the Khaychur river). The situation for the enemy’s “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping may deteriorate further if Ukrainian Defense Forces break through to Temyrivka, in which case a gap of up to 8 km along the front will open between the 5th and 36th Combined Arms Armies.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 14.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,278 430 (+810);

Tanks – 11,777 (+4);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,212 (+10);

Artillery systems – 38,421 (+52);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,686 (+1);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,332 (+1);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 83,403 (+180);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 349 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 177,286 (+2,147);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,403 (0);

Boats/ships – 33 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Ukrainian Air Force, on the night of 14 March the enemy carried out a combined strike employing 498 aerial targets, of which 460 were shot down or suppressed. Russia launched two Zircon anti-ship missiles (1 shot down), 13 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles (7 shot down), 25 Kalibr cruise missiles (all shot down), 24 Kh-101 cruise missiles (all shot down), 4 Kh-59/69 guided air missiles (1 shot down), and 430 UAVs (402 shot down). Information on four more enemy missiles is being verified. Hits from 6 missiles and 28 strike UAVs were recorded at 11 locations, with debris falling at 7 more. The main axis of the strike was Kyiv Oblast.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, on the night of 14 March Russian forces attacked Zaporizhzhia district, damaging a private house and causing a fire. Four civilians were injured in the strike, including a man, a woman, and two children.

• According to Brovary Mayor Ihor Sapozhko, two people were killed in a massed Russian missile attack on Brovary on the night of 14 March. Eight more people were injured to varying degrees, all of whom were hospitalized. According to Kyiv Oblast Military Administration head Mykola Kalashnyk, damage was recorded in several more districts of the Oblast as a result of the attack. In Obukhiv district, a technical room in an apartment building was damaged and vehicles burned; in Bucha district, a private house caught fire; and in Vyshhorod district, fire engulfed warehouses and damaged an apartment building. By evening, the death toll from the night attack on Kyiv Oblast had risen to 5, with 22 people injured, including three children.

• According to the Ministry of Energy, during the night’s combined attack the enemy deliberately targeted energy infrastructure in Kyiv and the surrounding Oblast. In addition to the capital region, power outages were recorded in Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Cherkasy, and Kirovograd Oblasts following hits on grid facilities. In Kyiv, the night attack and voltage cuts in parts of the network temporarily suspended trolleybus and tram services in several districts.

• According to Deputy Prime Minister for Reconstruction Oleksiy Kuleba, on the night of 14 March a Russian UAV struck a commuter train in Kharkiv Oblast. Passengers were unharmed, but the driver and his assistant sustained shrapnel wounds. As the overhead line was down, the train was running on a diesel locomotive, which sustained the damage.

• According to the Kherson Oblast Military Administration, on the morning of 14 March Russian forces shelled the center of Kherson and the Dniprovskyi district of the city. The strike on the central part injured three children, who sustained blast trauma and shrapnel wounds to the head. During the shelling of Dniprovskyi district, three women in an apartment were injured and hospitalized in moderate condition with concussion and traumatic brain injuries.

• According to Kordon.Media, citing the prosecutor’s office, at around 17:00 on Saturday an enemy UAV struck the Smorodyne–Vorozhba commuter train near the village of Noveselytsya in Sumy Oblast. The drone hit the locomotive at the rear of the train. Preliminary reports indicate no casualties; passengers were evacuated to a safe location.

• According to Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration head Ivan Fedorov, on Saturday Russian forces carried out four guided aerial bomb strikes on residential areas of Zaporizhzhia and attacked Tavriiske in Zaporizhzhia district. Two men were killed in the strikes. Eighteen people were injured in Zaporizhzhia, including two teenagers; a 17-year-old boy is in serious condition. The attacks damaged 12 apartment buildings, 12 private houses, an infrastructure facility, and vehicles; rescuers freed two people from the rubble and extinguished a fire.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration head Oleksandr Hanzha, on Saturday Russian forces carried out nearly 40 attacks on three districts of the Oblast using UAVs, artillery, and aerial bombs, injuring nine people. In Nikopol district, strikes on the district center and four communities injured seven people and damaged a hospital, a lyceum, enterprises, and more than 10 residential buildings. In Synelnykivsky district, four communities came under attack, with two people injured and homes damaged; strikes on Hrushivska community and Kryvyi Rih were recorded in Kryvorizky district.

• According to Bring Kids Back UA, seven more children and teenagers held under pressure by the occupation authorities have been returned to Ukraine from temporarily occupied territories. Among those rescued are 18-year-old twins Mark and Mykhailo and 18-year-old Dmytro, whom Russian authorities attempted to forcibly conscript into the Russian army despite the latter’s health problems. Also returned was 19-year-old Viktor, who had long lived in a frontline zone under shelling, and six-year-old Nika, who had been forced to march under armed guard at her kindergarten. All are now on Ukrainian-controlled territory, and the young people plan to continue their studies at Ukrainian educational institutions.

• According to data from Germany’s Central Register of Foreigners cited by Welt, the number of Ukrainian male refugees of military age in Germany is growing. As of 9 March 2026, 1,340,362 people who left due to the war were registered in the country. Among them, the 18-to-63 age group includes 349,520 men and 500,393 women. Over the past year, the number of men in this category grew by around 52,000, while the number of women in the same age group increased by nearly 24,000.

On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, Russian forces attacked near Vovchanski Khutory, Prylypky, and Symynivka, in the direction of Zybine and Vesele.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked south of Hrafske and hold positions on the southeastern outskirts of Vovchansk, impeding enemy advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

On the Kupyansk Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces hold positions in Kurylivka and struck an S-300V launcher near Borovenky, a logistics depot, an ammunition depot near Dubivske, and a fuel train near Dovzhansk.

Russian forces attacked in the direction of Kupyansk, Podoly, Hlushkivka, Novoplatonivka, and Cherneshchyna.

On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces attacked near Lyman and Drobysheve, in the direction of Stavky, near Svyatohirsk, Dronivka, Kalenyky, Rai-Oleksandrivka, Riznykivka, Kryva Luka, Zakitne, Fedorivka, Fedorivka Druha, and Nykyforivka. The 7th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Combined Arms Army struck a Defense Forces unit observation post southwest of Kryva Luka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Lyman.

On the Kostyantynivka Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced on the southern outskirts of Kostyantynivka and counterattacked near Illinivka.

Russian forces attacked near Kostyantynivka, Minkivka, Ivanopillya, Pleshchiivka, Berestok, Illinivka, Stepanivka, Rusyn Yar, and Sofiivka, in the direction of Novopavlivka, Pavlivka, Torske, and Pryiut.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, Russian forces seized Hryshyne and the Pokrovska mine north of Udachne, attempted to advance east of Hryshyne and northwest of Udachne, attacked in the direction of Kucheriv Yar, near Nove Shakhove and Vilne, in the direction of Novyi Donbas, near Ivanivka and Hryshyne, in the direction of Shevchenkove, near Rodynske, Bilytske, Sukhetske, Myrnohrad, and Svitle, in the direction of Novooleksandrivka and Serhiivka, near Kotlyne, Udachne, Novopidhorodnie, and Molodetske.

Ukrainian Defense Forces hold positions south of Bilytske.

On the Oleksandrivka Direction, Russian forces attacked near Muravka, Novomykolayivka, and Ternove.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Novopavlivka, continued counterattacks near Andriivka, Novooleksandrivka, Vovche, Sosnivka, and north of Ivanivka, and struck a field artillery depot near Shyroka Balka, destroying more than 6,000 artillery rounds.

On the Huliaypole Direction, Russian forces attacked near Huliaypole, Olenokostyantynivka, Rizdvyanka, Tsvitkove, and Verkhnya Tersa, in the direction of Vozdvyzhivka, near Danylivka, Zelene, Dobropillya, Zlahoda, Rybne, Zalizne, Hirke, and Myrne.

On the Orikhiv Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces advanced southeast of Novodanylivka and struck an enemy observation post near Vasylivka, an artillery brigade repair company near Yakymivka, a Tor-M2 air defense system west of Berdyanske, four facilities of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and the concentration area of the “Rubikon-7” reserve unit in Probudzhennya.

Russian forces attacked near Stepnohirsk, in the direction of Magdalynivka, Novodanylivka, and Stepove, and struck a bridge near Zaporizhzhia city, disrupting Ukrainian logistics.

On the Prydniprovske Direction, Russian forces continued local assaults near Bilohrudyi island.

Supporting operation:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the “Uralkhim” chemical plant in Kirovo-Chepetsk; the Tikhoretsk oil pumping hub; a compressor station in Hai-Kodzor, Krasnodar Krai; struck a fuel depot in Azovske with an FP-2 UAV; and struck a Sopka-2 radar, a 48Ya6-K1 Podlet radar near Vynohradne, a P-18 Terek radar, a 39N6 Kasta-2E2 radar, a Geran/Herber UAV ground relay station, and an RSP-6M2 radar in Crimea.

• The “Atesh” partisan group disabled a railway relay cabinet near Stary Oskol in Belgorod Oblast, disrupting urgent ammunition delivery for the 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army and the 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Tank Army in the Kupyansk area.

General conclusion:

• Ukrainian Defense Forces have effectively halted the advance of Russian forces in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, although forces of the 44th Army Corps and the 6th Combined Arms Army continue attempts to advance southward along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets river in the direction of Hrafske and Symynivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the Starlink disruption is forcing Russian forces to control UGVs using remote control rather than network systems, creating operational inefficiency. Prior to the Starlink disruption, Russian forces used UAVs for logistics but are now relying on Mavic UAVs to supply forward positions. The enemy’s efforts to establish logistics bridges are only 10% successful due to Ukrainian Defense Forces air defense efforts.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, Russian forces are preparing to resume the offensive in spring. During this period, the occupiers intensify attacks on Ukrainian Defense Forces logistics, while Ukrainian units strike enemy UAV operator positions.

• Russian forces are accumulating infantry, UAV operators, and armored vehicles, including tanks, in the occupied part of Chasiv Yar in preparation for the spring offensive and have increased airstrike intensity on average from three to five strikes per day. Ukrainian Defense Forces destroy or suppress between 100 and 150 enemy UAVs daily.

• Russian forces recently reduced the intensity of attacks on Kucheriv Yar and on the Dorizhne–Novyi Donbas and Nove Shakhove–Vilne directions to a minimum. Constant Ukrainian Defense Forces UAV strikes on the Pokrovsk Direction force Russian forces to hold positions in building basements for months without resupply or rotation.

• Losses sustained by the enemy in fighting for Pokrovsk have forced Russian forces to pause their offensive. The 51st Combined Arms Army also sustained significant losses during fighting for Myrnohrad, forcing it to reduce attack intensity. The enemy attacks only sporadically on the Rodynske–Shevchenko and Sukhetske–Bilytske directions. The 2nd Combined Arms Army is attempting to advance through Hryshyne toward Novooleksandrivka. Enemy advances in the direction of Dobropillya will force Russian military command to transfer resources from the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk Direction and significantly reinforce the 51st and 2nd Combined Arms Armies.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the Starlink disruption significantly disorganized enemy command and control, FPV drone employment, and reconnaissance UAV operations, enabling successful Ukrainian counterattacks. Ukrainian Defense Forces exploit the dispersed nature of enemy positions on the direction to advance with infantry groups on foot or in armored vehicles and use heavy UAVs both to strike Russian positions and to resupply infantry groups.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces successfully intercept enemy “Molniya” UAVs at altitudes above 1 km and have begun employing long-range E-300 UAVs against targets closer to the front line in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Change in the line of contact (LoC), directions of attacks and counterattacks:

• There were 154 combat engagements on various fronts.

• On the Northern Slobozhansky and Kursk Directions, the enemy attacked Ukrainian Defense Forces positions once.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, the enemy attempted to breach Ukrainian defensive lines toward Zybine.

• On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy attacked three times in the direction of Podoly and Hlushkivka.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, 15 enemy attempts to penetrate the Ukrainian defense toward Stavky, Lyman, and Drobysheve, and to advance toward Kryva Luka, Rai-Oleksandrivka, and Riznykivka, and in the areas of Yampil, Zakitne, and Platonivka were stopped.

• On the Kostyantynivka Direction, the enemy carried out 28 attacks toward Kostyantynivka, Illinivka, Ivanopillya, Stepanivka, Novopavlivka, and Sofiivka, and in the areas of Pleshchiivka and Rusyn Yar.

• On the Pokrovsk Direction, 27 enemy assault actions were stopped in the areas of Myrnohrad, Rodynske, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novomykolayivka, and Novopidhorodnie, and toward Kucheriv Yar, Novooleksandrivka, Bilytske, Hryshyne, and Novopavlivka.

• On the Oleksandrivka Direction, the enemy attacked 8 times in the areas of Rybne, Berezove, Oleksandrohrad, and Novohryhorivka.

• On the Huliaypole Direction, 28 enemy attacks took place in the areas of Huliaypole, Myrne, and Zelene, and toward Dobropillya, Zaliznychne, and Olenokostyantynivka.

• On the Orikhiv Direction, 2 combat engagements took place toward Prymorske and in the area of Stepnohirsk.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

• The 83rd Separate Air Assault Brigade operates near Yablunivka.

• The 3rd Battalion of the 128th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 44th Army Corps operates near Vovchansk; the 11th Tank Regiment of the 18th Motorized Rifle Division, the 1431st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 11th Army Corps, and the 204th Separate SOF Regiment operate on the Kharkiv Direction.

• The 245th and 272nd Motorized Rifle Regiments and the 153rd Tank Regiment of the 47th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army operate east of Kupyansk. The 121st and 122nd Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Combined Arms Army and the 27th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 1st Tank Army operate near Kupyansk. The 7th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 47th Tank Division strikes in the north of Kivsharivka; the 423rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 4th Tank Division of the 1st Tank Army operates on the Borova Direction.

• The 1st Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army operates near Novoselivka; the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army operates on the Sloviansk Direction.

• The 72nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 3rd Army Corps, the 1008th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd Army Corps, and the 78th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army strike in Kostyantynivka; the 27th Artillery Regiment of the 6th Motorized Rifle Division strikes near Kostyantynivka; the 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army strikes near Toretske.

• The 55th Marine Infantry Division of the Pacific Fleet operates near Dobropillya; the 5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 51st Combined Arms Army and the 57th Separate SOF Regiment strike south of Bilytske.

• The 14th Separate SOF Brigade intercepts Ukrainian Defense Forces UAVs near Sosnivka and strikes near Sosnivka and Kolomiytsi, west of Vozdvyzhivka.

• Units of the “Rubikon” Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies strike near and within Dolynka; bombers of the 11th Army of the Aerospace Forces Air Force and Air Defense strike near Vozdvyzhivka and Verkhnya Tersa.

• The 42nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 58th Combined Arms Army strikes near Novodanylivka and on the outskirts of Orikhiv.

Possible operation situation developments:

• The enemy has begun preparations for this year’s summer campaign. Two offensive operations should be expected starting from the end of April 2026 — the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk and the Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operations. The disruption of the enemy’s summer offensive will lead to a prolonged loss of offensive capabilities, depletion of resources, and will provide a real chance to end the war. The Lyman, Sloviansk, and Kostyantynivka Directions are acquiring strategic significance, as the enemy’s military-political leadership is urgently requiring several convincing operational victories that can be presented as victory in the entire war.

• The enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will continue to operate simultaneously along the Northern Slobozhansky Direction, the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, and the Velykyi Burluk Direction and will attempt to seize as large an area as possible in Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast with the aim of subsequent political bargaining for their exchange for territories in Donetsk Oblast that the enemy will be unable to seize.

• On the Southern Slobozhansky Direction, in the Vovchansk area, the enemy “Belgorod–Kharkov” Tactical Group will continue attempts to break through along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi Donets in the southern direction and advance as far as possible in the Vovchansk–Bilyi Kolodyaz direction. Attempting to advance in the general Vovchansk–Staryi Saltiv direction, the Tactical Group command will try to secure the right flank of its main forces, which will advance toward Bilyi Kolodyaz.

• In the Kupyansk area, Russian forces will intensify operations along the Pishchane–Kurylivka line and further toward Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi, as well as along the Kolisnykivka–Hlushkivka line and further toward Kivsharivka and Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi. The 6th Combined Arms Army of the enemy “Sever (North)” Operational Grouping will advance simultaneously on three directions: toward Staryi Saltiv, Velykyi Burluk, and in the Kupyansk area. The army’s troops will attempt to advance from the Dvorichanske bridgehead in the Krasne Pershe–Novovasylivka and Dvorichna–Ridkodub directions, attack in the Milove–Ambarne direction with the aim of capturing the latter and will try to outflank from the north and south the defensive strongpoint of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the Kolodyazne area. The 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Tank Army will attempt to eliminate the bridgehead of the 16th Army Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces on the Oskil east of Kupyansk.

• On the Sloviansk Direction, the command of the enemy’s 3rd Combined Arms Army has an immediate task to reach the Mykolaivka – Nykanorivka line with its main forces, that is, to reach the near approaches to Sloviansk from the east, and reach the Vasylivska Pustosh – Vasyutynske line with part of its forces, that is, the near approaches to Kramatorsk from the east.

• On the Kostyantynivka direction, the enemy “Yug (South)” Operational Grouping will attempt to seize the Druzhkivka–Kostyantynivka agglomeration by enveloping the flanks of Kostyantynivka, while simultaneously breaking through to the near approaches to Druzhkivka, after which it will seize Kostyantynivka by assault and push Ukrainian Defense Forces out of the Druzhkivka area under the threat of encirclement. Enemy forces will advance toward the Malotaranivka–Semenivka–Bilokuzmynivka–Komyshuvakha area north of Druzhkivka. Ukrainian Defense Forces will be forced to withdraw from the area between Kostyantynivka and the Kleban-Byk Reservoir under the threat of encirclement to the area north of road T0504, which will slow the assault actions of the enemy’s 3rd Army Corps in Kostyantynivka.

• On the Dobropillya Direction, in the near term the enemy will attempt to break through to the northwest, striking with the adjacent flanks of the 2nd and 51st Combined Arms Armies and breaking through to the Novohryshyne–Dobropillya (village)–Chernihivka–Shevchenko area, i.e. reaching the near approaches to Dobropillya city from the south. In the operational zone of the “Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping, Russian forces can no longer simultaneously break through to Dobropillya from the south, southeast, and east, meaning they are already forced to accomplish this task sequentially. It is likely that the 2nd Combined Arms Army will first break through from the direction of Pokrovsk to the near approaches to Dobropillya from the south, after which the main effort of the “”Tsentr (Center)” Operational Grouping command will shift to the 51st Combined Arms Army’s sector, which will break through to the city from the east and southeast, following which the assault on Dobropillya will begin.

• Should Ukrainian Defense Forces continue advancing south along both banks of the Yanchur river and reach the Uspenivka area, the enemy’s 5th Combined Arms Army will be forced to halt its offensive and redeploy its right flank to face north to avoid a breakthrough by the Defense Forces’ 10th Army Corps into its rear. The army’s troops will have to withdraw from positions north of Huliaypole (along the Khaychur river). The situation for the enemy’s “Vostok (East)” Operational Grouping may deteriorate further if Ukrainian Defense Forces break through to Temyrivka, in which case a gap of up to 8 km along the front will open between the 5th and 36th Combined Arms Armies.

• On the Prydniprovske direction, the command of the enemy’s “Dnepr” Operational Grouping will continue trying to take control of most of the island zone in the Dnipro delta in the direction of Kherson, will try to create a tactical bridgehead on the right bank, and to eliminate the tactical bridgeheads of the 30th Marine Corps of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the area of the automobile and railway bridges near Antonivka.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 13.03.26

Personnel - almost 1,277 620 (+860);

Tanks – 11,773 (+7);

Armored combat vehicles ‒ 24,202 (+5);

Artillery systems – 38,369 (+50);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,685 (+4);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems – 1,331 (+2);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 83,223 (+189);

Aircraft - 435 (0);

Helicopters – 349 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 175,139 (+2,071);

Intercepted cruise and other missiles – 4,403 (0);

Boats/ships – 33 (0).

Humanitarian + general:

• According to the Ukrainian Air Force, on the night of 13 March Russian forces attacked Ukraine with an Iskander-M ballistic missile and 126 strike UAVs — “Shahed,” “Gerbera,” “Italmas,” and other types. Around 80 of the drones were” Shaheds.” By 08:00 a.m., Ukrainian air defense had shot down or suppressed 117 enemy UAVs. The missile and 8 strike drones scored hits at 7 locations, with debris falling at 5 more. The attack continued, with several drones still airborne.

• On the night of 13 March, Russian forces struck the city of Balakliia in Kharkiv Oblast, with hits recorded in residential areas.

• According to Kupyansk District Military Administration head Andrii Kanashevych, on the morning of 13 March Russian forces struck a scheduled passenger bus travelling from Kharkiv to Velykyi Burluk. The attack occurred at around 09:15 on the road near the village of Nova Oleksandrivka. The Russian munition was preliminarily identified as loaded with fragmentation submunitions. Three people were killed and four more were injured.

• On the evening of 12 March, Russian forces attacked port infrastructure in Odesa Oblast with strike drones, damaging a food warehouse.

• According to the Kherson and Sumy Oblast Military Administrations, Russian attacks on 13 March killed one woman and injured nine people. In Hlukhivska community in Sumy Oblast, a guided aerial bomb strike on a residential area injured three civilians, two of whom were hospitalized. In Kherson Oblast, a 52-year-old woman was killed near the village of Nova Kamianka in an FPV drone attack. In Dariivka, a UAV strike injured a 27-year-old man and four women, who were diagnosed with acute stress reaction.

• According to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Council head Mykola Lukashuk, Russian forces attacked Nikopolsky and Synelnykivsky districts with drones and artillery throughout the day. In Nikopolsky district, the district center and the communities of Chervonohryhorivska, Pokrovska, and Marhanetska came under attack, with a private house, outbuildings, an agribusiness, and a power line damaged. In Synelnykivsky district, UAV attacks on Mezhivska and Dubovykivska communities injured a 37-year-old man and damaged a private house and infrastructure facilities.

• According to the Office of the Prosecutor General and the National Police, law enforcement officers have identified 13 collaborators who committed war crimes during the occupation of Izium in Kharkiv Oblast. Among those identified are 11 combatants, a deputy of the so-called “LNR,” and the head of the “DNR union of cinematographers.” Between April and September 2022, they robbed and tortured local residents, holding them in metal containers without food or water. Through beatings and threats, the perpetrators extracted information about ATO veterans and military personnel. The collaborators filmed the torture to produce propaganda videos about the “elimination of Banderites,” for which they received commendations from Russian leadership.

• According to Eurostat data cited by Deputy Minister of Social Policy Ilona Havronska, more than 4.3 million Ukrainians currently hold temporary protection status in EU countries. The largest numbers are in Germany — 1,260,230 — followed by Poland with 965,990 and the Czech Republic with 397,185. During 2025, authorities issued 683,395 new protection decisions, down 14% from 2024. According to Havronska, the security situation remains the primary factor keeping citizens from returning home.